Sunday, July 16, 2017

Bilo's 2017 College Football Preview: Vanderbilt Commodores


Vanderbilt Commodores
Derek Mason struggled to get the Commodores to six wins and a bowl game last fall, and once they got to the Independence Bowl, they were thoroughly dismantled by NC State. The Commodores head into 2017 still looking for believers, as most don't see this team finishing near the upper half of the watered down SEC East. Can Vanderbilt ride the legs of Ralph Webb to a higher level this fall?
What To be Excited About: Offense
The offense centers around the running ability of RB Ralph Webb. Webb ran for 1283 yards and 13 TDs last season. He averaged 5.13 yards per carry, and 98.69 yards per game. He could finish this season as the second leading all-time rusher in the SEC, and is one of the better backs in the nation. Khari Blasingame ran for 10 TDs last season on just 97 carries, and returns as the primary backup, as does FB Bailey McElwain.
The receiving corps is also well thought of. WRs Trent Sherfield and Kalija Lipscomb both return, as does TE Nathan Marcus. Caleb Scott and TE Justin Pinckney also return, and CJ Duncan returns as well as the top receiver from the team last season.
Tommy Osborne is back at PK, and hit 15/19 FG attempts last fall.
What To Be Concerned About: Offense
Kyle Shurmer is back at QB, and was a different player the second half. He still finished the season with just nine scores, and did toss 10 INTs. If he can be that guy from act two, the Commodores will be OK. If he is the guy from act one, not so much.
The offensive line is also a work in progress, and could see some major changes. Justin Skule is slated to start at LT, but is better on the right side. If he moves back to the right side, Devin Cochran, a RS freshman, could slide in at LT. Bruno Reagan is back at RG, and should stick there, but there are questions as to how everything should stack up when camp breaks.
What To Be Excited About: Defense
Vanderbilt actually was solid most of the season on defense, giving up just over 24 points per game. The best part of the defense could be in the secondary, where three starters are back in CB Tre Herndon, SS Ryan White, and FS LaDarius Wiley. Herndon finished with eight PBUs, and also led the team with two INTs. White and Wiley combined for 10 PBUs. Wiley finished second in tackles with 76, while White was right behind him with 75. Joejuan Williams will start at CB as a sophomore after a strong debut last fall. Depth at CB is excellent as well.
Sam Loy was excellent as a freshman last fall at Punter, and averaged 41.65 yards per punt.
What To Be Concerned About: Defense
Nifae Lealao is a rock solid NG up front, but the rest of the line is very much in flux. Jonathon Wynn is back at DE as a senior, and projects to start, but has not lived up to any billing as of yet. Dare Odeyingbo projects to start at the other DE spot, but that is not set in stone. Depth is not great at the end spots, either.
The LB spots are mostly open for competition in the fall, and Derek Mason openly admits that he has no real set rotation at this point. Oren Burks returns to start, but is the lone returning starter. Burks did finish with 6.5 TFLs, and 59 tackles as well.
2017 Schedule: 9/2 Middle Tennessee, 9/9 Alabama A&M, 9/16 Kansas State, 9/23 Alabama, 9/30 at Florida, 10/7 Georgia, 10/14 at Ole Miss, 10/28 at South Carolina, 11/4 Western Kentucky, 11/11 Kentucky, 11/18 Missouri, 11/25 at Tennessee
Final Overview
With so many depth issues on defense, and so many questions on the offensive line, the Commodores may be hard pressed to head back to another bowl this season. Shurmer could turn himself around, but if the line in front of him does not work it out, it may all be for nothing, because he will be running for his life. It may take some time to iron everything out, and it may not happen between now and when the season ends. Several questions could be answered in camp, but the level of talent has dipped every year since Mason took over, and this roster is an example of that. The team may not bottom out this season, but once Webb is gone at RB, it may not be long before it does.

Saturday, July 15, 2017

Bilo's 2017 College Football Preview: Kentucky Wildcats


Kentucky Wildcats
There was a period early in 2016 where it looked like the Mark Stoops era would come to an end. The Cats started out just 2-3, and Stoops was his own worst critic. Kentucky turned it around after that, and won five of their final seven regular season games, and got to seven wins. The Wildcats have not fully turned the corner yet, but 7-5 at Kentucky is acceptable at the basketball school. Can this team make another run at a bowl game in 2017? Can they push through the top three in the SEC East? Will they fall back?
What To Be Excited About: Offense
Stephen Johnson is back at QB, but he is not the perfect QB to run this offense. That said, he is the best that the Wildcats have, and so they make do. Johnson only completed 54.7% of his passes, but tossed 13 TDs to just six INTs on the season. As long as he can limit the mistakes and manage the game, he is enough to get this program by, for now.
Benjamin Snell, Jr. is back at RB, and will be the prime back this season after rushing for 1091 yards and 13 scores. He averaged 5.87 yards per carry, and is a big play threat out of the backfield.
Three seniors return as starters on the line for Kentucky in LT Cole Mosier, RG Nick Haynes, and RT Kyle Meadows.
Austin MacGinnis is back at PK after hitting 16/19 FG attempts last season.
What To Be Concerned About: Offense
The most concerning area of the offense is receiver, where not one WR finished with as many as 40 receptions last fall. Garrett Johnson was the leader with 39 receptions last fall, and only three receivers on the team last fall finished with 20 or more receivers.
What To Be Excited About: Defense
All four starters return at LB, and it is a fairly active group. Courtney Love and Josh Allen return on one side, and combined for 138 tackles last fall. Jordan Jones is the star, as he led the team with 109 tackles, and pairs with Denzil Ware, who wrapped last season with 70 tackles. Expect this unit to be the heart and soul of this defense.
Both CBs return in Chris Westry and Derrick Baitey. Baity finished with seven PBUs last fall, while Westry needs some work after knocking away just three passes last fall. Both are juniors this season, and should show some signs of development. Mike Edwards is back at Safety, and he finished with eight PBUs and finished with 100 tackles. He is an NFL caliber prospect.
What To Be Concerned About: Defense
The defensive line lacked any kind of real aggressiveness last fall, and only one starter returns in DT Adrian Middleton. Naquez Pringle is projected to start at NT, while Alvonte Bell is projected to start at DE.
Punter Grant McKinnis is back at Punter, but was barely average last fall after averaging just 39.19 yards per punt.
2017 Schedule: 9/2 at Southern Mississippi, 9/9 Eastern Kentucky, 9/16 at South Carolina, 9/23 Florida, 9/30 Eastern Michigan, 10/7 Missouri, 10/21 at Mississippi State, 10/28 Tennessee, 11/4 Ole Miss, 11/11 at Vanderbilt, 11/18 at Georgia, 11/25 Louisville
Final Overview
Have no doubt that Mark Stoops is still very much on the hot seat in 2017. His overall record at Kentucky is still just 18-30 despite making the bowl last fall, and the program still has miles to go. The opportunity is there to win another six or seven games this season right off of the top, but there is no wiggle room, and some of those games are very much a trap. If Kentucky slides backwards, there could be a change in staff. They cannot afford to go back, as the SEC East has never been more vulnerable. It's time to make a charge.

Bilo's 2017 College Football Previews: South Carolina Gamecocks


South Carolina Gamecocks
The Will Muschamp era began in Columbia last fall to mixed reviews after the team finished 6-7 after a loss to USF in the Birmingham Bowl. In 2017, the story could be all about the offense, and the return of Skai Moore on defense. Can South Carolina build on getting to a bowl last season, and push the top three in the SEC East, or will they stay stuck in the middle?
What To Be Excited About: Offense
Jake Bentley emerged as the QB of the future in 2016, as he averaged 202.9 yards passing in seven games. He will be the starter from the word go this season. He completed 65.8% of his passes last fall, and could be a major breakout performer in the conference this fall.
The RB group could be a committee in 2017. Rico Dowdle returns after averaging 5.74 yards per carry last fall. He will be joined by North Carolina transfer Ty'Son Williams, who had a solid spring game, and AJ Turner. All three will be sophomores this season.
The receiving corps returns basically intact this season, which is a huge gain for the program. Deebo Samuel is the leader at WR, as he caught 59 passes for 783 yards last season. Bryan Edwards and KC Crosby are also back after they combined for 67 catches last fall. Hayden Hurst is also back at TE, and was the second leading receiver last fall with 48 receptions for 616 yards.
The line looks like they have the opportunity to improve massively over last season this fall with four returning starters in LT Malik Young, C Alan Knott, RG Cory Helms, and RT Zack Bailey all return.
What To Be Concerned About: Offense
In what should be a banner season for the offense is marred only by the fact that the Gamecocks will be looking for a new PK. Elliott Fry is gone. The job will be handed over to freshman Alexander Wosnick in fall camp.
Even with the experience coming back on the line, the Gamecocks had the worst line in the SEC last season. That group should improve in a major way this fall, but cannot afford to slide backwards, or else what should be a great year on offense could break down.
What To Be Excited About: Defense
Bryson Allen-Williams is back at one LB spot after finishing second on the team in tackles last fall with 75. He added 8.5 TFLs on the season, and should be a leader at a very important position. Even bigger news comes with the return of Skai Moore, who lost last season to injury. He is a three time tackling leader for the Gamecocks and returns an athletic element to the defense that the team was missing last fall.
The secondary returns a ton of experience, as four starters return in the 4-2-5 defensive set. Rashad Fenton, Jamarcus King, and Chris Lemmons all return at CB, and DJ Smith is back at FS. King finished with nine PBUs, Fenton added five, and Lemmons added six more last fall. Smith led the team in tackles with 80 last fall, but provides little in pass coverage. Steven Montac projects to start at SS.
What To be Concerned About: Defense
The line has some serious holes to fill, as two new starters must be found. DT Taylor Stallworth and Ulric Jones are the lone returning starters this fall at DT. Dante Sawyer will start at DE, and DJ Wonnum is projected to replace Darius English at the other DE spot, which is easier said than done.
South Carolina was terrible at creating pressure off the edge overall last season, and that needs to be rectified.
The Gamecocks are also seeking a new Punter in camp this fall, with sophomore Michael Almond projected to be the guy.
2017 Schedule: 9/2 NC State at Charlotte, 9/9 at Missouri, 9/16 Kentucky, 9/23 Louisiana Tech, 9/30 at Texas A&M, 10/7 Arkansas, 10/14 at Tennessee, 10/28 Vanderbilt, 11/4 at Georgia, 11/11 Florida, 11/18 Wofford, 11/25 Clemson
Final Overview
The Gamecocks look like they can make some major strides on offense this fall, but the major issues reside on offense, where South Carolina got hit up for 32 points per game during the second half of the season last year. The offense also only scored just over 20 points per game on the year last season. Look for the roles to flip, but the offense is still mostly young, even with several starters returning. The Gamecocks should have just enough talent to slide into the 4th spot in the SEC East, and I would consider that a sign of development, while the overall record may not change much.

Friday, July 14, 2017

Bilo's 2017 College Football Previews: Florida Gators


Florida Gators
Jim McElwain has had the fortunate luck of coaching the Gators through a long term transitional period while the SEC East is a mess. If the Gators were playing in the SEC East, they may finish anywhere from third to fifth. As it is, the Gators measure up just behind Georgia in the East as of this moment, and have a chance to steal the division if the ball bounces the right way. Will the Gators find a QB between Malik Zaire and Feleipe Franks to finally turn this offense around and push closer to an elusive SEC title?
What To Be Excited About: Offense
Jordan Scarlett may be the most important piece of the offense returning. If he can get himself over the 1000 yard mark, and get an increased work load in 2017, the QB situation may develop more quickly. He barely missed that mark last season, but with more carries could come more success across the board.
All three starting receivers return from last season in Antonio Callaway, Brandon Powell, and Tyrie Cleveland, and TE DeAndre Goolsby rounds out the talented group of pass catchers. Callaway caught 54 passes last season, and with the right QB, could be in for a major breakout season. Powell added 45 catches, while Goolsby added 38 from his TE spot.
Eddy Piniero is back at PK after a solid 2016 season. He connected on 21/25 FG attempts, and is a consistent source of points for an offense that has struggled to score.
What To Be Concerned About: Offense
The QB situation became interesting when former Notre Dame player Malik Zaire transferred into the program late in the spring. He will be battling it out with Feleipe Franks for the starting job, with Kyle Trask on the outside edge. One of these guys has to develop and say healthy to give the Gators a shot at winning the SEC East. If that does not happen, forget about competing for the division title, and start worrying about staying alive.
The line is a huge question mark for the Gators. Every starter in 2017 is projected to be a sophomore or a junior, and that rarely works for the best. There will be no senior leadership at all.
What To Be Excited About: Defense
The Gators are exceptionally young on the line on defense as well, but several of these young players got major experience and produced last season. Jabari Zuniga was the best of the bunch, finishing with 8.5 TFLs at DE last season, while CeCe Jefferson was right there with him with 6.5 TFLs last fall. They may be one of the best young bookend combos in the league, and maybe the nation. Khairi Davis and Tevan Bryan are solid inside as well, but the ends get all the glory. Jordan Sherit is also back at DE, and will rotate in and out of the game. He adds one more layer to placing pressure on opposing backfields.
The Gators have one of the more talented CBs in the SEC in Duke Johnson, who finished with seven PBUs last fall. He will be the anchor in the secondary in 2017 for this football team. Marcell Harris is back at Safety, and led the team in tackles last season with 73. Nick Washington returns as well after finishing with 45 tackles. Either Chauncey Gardner or CJ Henderson will win the open CB job, but both are sophomores. Gardner has the edge now after a 32 tackle season last fall.
Johnny Townsend returns as the Punter after an amazing season that saw him average 47.89 yards per punt. He is one of the very best in the nation.
What To Be Concerned About: Defense
The LB unit is a bit pedestrian compared to the rest of the defense, and that could be a problem against teams that really love to pound the football, which they do in the SEC. Kylan Johnson, David Reese, and Vosean Joseph will all be starting, but are still young, and still trying to find themselves in the system.
2017 Schedule: 9/2 Michigan at Arlington, 9/9 Northern Colorado, 9/16 Tennessee, 9/23 at Kentucky, 9/30 Vanderbilt, 10/7 LSU, 10/14 Texas A&M, 10/28 Georgia at Jacksonville, 11/4 at Missouri, 11/11 at South Carolina, 11/18 UAB, 11/25 Florida State
Final Overview
The Gators are in what seems like a constant state of flux dating back to the Muschamp era. McElwain is a definite upgrade at head coach, but the Gators have yet to turn thecorner in so many areas, and just when everything looked like it would they lost Will Grier to the PED suspension and transfer. The Gators are starting over at QB, have a young line, and a run game that is not yet fully developed. They have a young, but talented D line, a group of developing LBs, and a secondary that could be very good. The only area where the Gators are completely buttoned up is in the kicking game. The schedule is rather tough with early games against Michigan, Tennessee, Kentucky, LSU, and Texas A&M. Where the Gators get a break is that they have an inordinate number of home games. As of this moment, the Gators could finish second in the SEC East, and push Georgia for the East title, but they are a few injuries away from being purely bad. It could go either way this fall.

Bilo's 2017 College Football Previews: Tennessee Volunteers


Tennessee Volunteers
If they gave out championships and titles for winning the game of life, as Butch Jones likes to point out, the Vols would be truly legendary, but they are not winning it where it counts, which means SEC East titles in a very watered down division. Butch Jones had the window open last season to take the division title and play in the SEC title game, but he fell short, and now the window on the Vols getting to that vaunted place has been slammed shut. With all of the losses that Tennessee suffered, how difficult will it be for them to keep up with Florida and Georgia, and stay ahead of the lower tier programs in the division?
What To Be Excited About: Offense
John Kelly returns at RB for the Vols, and may very well be a central piece of the offense, even though he is not a returning starter. He averaged 6.43 yards per carry last season in limited duty, but is probably the best bet they have for a big play performer.
Jauan Jennings is back at WR, and he will definitely be a major component as the Vols are bringing along an otherwise inexperienced corps of receivers. He caught 40 passes last season and scored seven times. Ethan Wolf caught 21 passes last season at TE, and should be able to help out alongthe way.
Strengths on the line should come in LG Jack Jones, C Jashon Robertson, and RT Chance Hall.
What To Be Concerned About: Offense
Josh Dobbs is gone after a mostly up and down career, so the Vols will have to hit the rest button. The backup from last season, Quinton Dormady, is expected to startm but will get a major push from Jarret Guarantano, a RS freshman. Dormady attempted al of 17 passes last season.
While Jennings and Wolf bring stability to the receiving corps, the rest of the group is mostly an unknown situation, as a pair of sophomores are stepping up in Tyler Byrd and Marquez Calloway. They combined for all of 16 receptions last fall.
There are a couple of concerns on the line, as the Vols are turning to a sophomore to start at LT in Drew Richmond, and a freshman at RG in Trey Smith.
The kicking game has some ups and downs to deal with as well, as Aaron medley hit just 11/16 FG attempts last season.
What To Be Excited About: Defense
Both LBs return in the 4-2-5 defense this fall in Cortez McDowell and Darrin Kirkland, Jr. They combined for 99 tackles last fall.
Trevor Daniel returns at Punter, and is one of the bets in the nation after averaging 44.57 yards per punt last fall.
What To Be Concerned About: Defense
With Derek Barnett gone, the Vols lost one of the best defensive players that they have ever had. Replacing him will be most difficult. Darrell Taylor and Jonathon Kongbo will try their best at the DE spots, but they have a ton of work to do to get to where the tandem was last year at DE. Kendal Vickers and Reginald Khalil McKenzie, Jr. will start at DT, but hardly have wrecking ball numbers behind them.
The secondary will be loaded with new or under performing players this fall. Justin Martin and Shaq Wiggins will start at the CB spots, while Rashaan Gauldin, arguably the best of the bunch, starts at NB. Todd Kelly, Jr. and Nigel Warrior will project to start at the Safety spots.
2017 Schedule: 9/4 at Georgia Tech, 9/9 Indiana State, 9/16 at Florida, 9/23 U Mass, 9/30 Georgia, 10/14 South Carolina, 10/21 at Alabama, 10/28 at Kentucky, 11/4 Southern Mississippi, 11/11 at Missouri, 11/18 LSU, 11/25 Vanderbilt
Final Overview
Butch Jones has been a master recruiter, but that recruiting acumen has not turned into much on the field, and championship of life trophies or rings don't cut it in SEC play. He is in a win now situation, because it would seem, as I said earlier, the window on Tennessee getting a foothold on SEC East dominance has closed on them. They've certainly had their chances to get there, they just have not. Don't be surprised of this team either finishes third in the East behind Florida and Georgia, or completely bottoms out and misses a bowl. Either scenario could be likely.

Thursday, July 13, 2017

Bilo's 2017 College Football Previews: Arizona State Sun Devils


Arizona State Sun Devils
Change is coming to Tempe in the form of a new OC and DC in Billy Napier and Phil Bennett. Something has got to give as the Sun Devils are coming off of back to back losing seasons. The message is clear this fall, win, or be gone for head coach Todd Graham, who has never gotten close to winning a PAC-12 title during his tenure in the Phoenix burbs. Graham enters year six, and if something does not change, it will be his last.
UPDATE: Arizona State played in the 2013 PAC-12 South title game, which they lost to Stanford 38-14.
What To Be Excited About: Offense
Manny Wilkins can certainly put the ball up for the Devils, but can he do so consistently and accurately? That will be his biggest challenge in 2017 after he tossed 12 TDs, but also added nine INTs to his totals last fall. He did average 232 yards per game passing, so he absolutely can move the ball at times, and that will be important.
Kalen Ballage runs like a human wrecking ball at times, and could be the key to getting the Sun Devils where they need to be this season. He is a power runner who ran for 14 scores last season, but he will run in a combo package with Demario Richard. Neither back, on his own, is a hige threat, but together, they can do some damage.
N'Keal Harry caught 58 passes last season in more of a slot role, and will return to tlead the receivers this fall.
What To Be Concerned About: Offense
The offensive line returns only two starters from a unit that already was not very good last fall. Sam Jones returns at LG, while Quinn Bailey returns at RT.
Harry is the only returning starter in the starting receiver group. John Humphrey and Jalen Harvey will start at the two open spots, but Harvey caught just 21 passes last season, and Humphrey is transferring in. They form an unknown in a piece of the offense that is necessary for the team to push forward.
Losing PK Zane Gonzalez is painful after he hit 23/25 FGs last season. Brandon Ruiz, a freshman, is trying his hand at the job in camp.
What To Be Excited About: Defense
As bad as the defense was last season, a building block exists on the line, as two of three starters return in DE JoJo Wicker and DT Tashon Smallwood. They combined for 20 TFLs last fall, and should be a force to be reckoned with up front and on the edge.
Koron Crump and DJ Calhoun also return at LB. Calhoun led the team with 11.5 TFLs, and also with 77 tackles last season. Crump finished with just 37 tackles as a sophomore, but should mature in the system this fall as a junior.
What To Be Concerned About: Defense
The secondary was a major problem area last fall, and only one starter returns this season in S Marcus Ball. He finished second on the team with 64 tackles, but was not much to worry about in pass coverage. Chase Lucas, a freshman, projects to start at CB along with Chad Adams, a senior. J'Marcus Rhodes, a senior who was strictly a reserve last season, will start at the open Safety spot.
The Punting job is also open, with Michael Sleep-Dalton slated to give it a try.
2017 Schedule: 8/31 New Mexico State, 9/9 San Diego State, 9/16 at Texas Tech, 9/23 Oregon, 9/30 at Stanford, 10/14 Washington, 10/21 at Utah, 10/28 USC, 11/4 Colorado, 11/11 at UCLA, 11/18 at Oregon State, 11/25 Arizona
Final Overview
The good news is that I see the Sun Devils as having more talent on hand than Arizona, so the Devils should rise above Arizona for 5th in the PAC-12 South. As far as getting a better finish than that, well, it all depends on how bad UCLA is this season, but UCLA could finish with five wins, and still be ahead of the Sun Devils when all is said and done. The schedule is brutal until the final month, with exception to the opener, so it will all depend on how this team comes around with a new offensive and defensive mindset with new assistants all around. If they fail to gel, there will be an entirely new staff on campus for 2018.

Bilo's 2017 College Football Previews: Arizona Wildcats


Arizona Wildcats
Arizona gave Rich Rodriguez a contract extension before last season. I am guessing there is some buyers remorse on that deal. The Wildcats hit rock bottom last season, and it seemed like nothing worked, and everything completely derailed. The only real question for 2017 is if the Cats have what it takes to stay out of last place in the South, and hand that honor to arch rival Arizona State, who should be close to being as bad as the Cats this season...
What To Be Excited About: Offense
We'll start with some good news in that the entire offensive line returns in 2017. LT Layth Friekh, LG Christian Boettcher, C Nathan Eldridge, RG Jacob Alsadek, and RT Gerhard de Boer all are back up front, and that is a decent building block for what was a struggling offense last season.
WR Shun Brown only caught 29 passes last fall, but averaged over 17 yards per reception, and proved that the Cats do have a play maker, if only they had a QB that could get the football to him.
What To Be Concerned About: Offense
The QB situation is a mess. No matter how anyone tries to sell it, Brandon Hawkins is not a QB you win with week in and week out. His passing skills are marginal, at best, and he has to run to succeed. Nobody wins in the PAC-12 with a run first philosophy QB, and Rich Rodriguez needs a passer. He simply does not have one.
Nick Wilson is back on the field, but the fragile back has missed more games each season than the last since his breakout freshman campaign. It would be great if he could stay on the field, but it's hard to believe that his fragile body will allow it.
Other than Brown, the receiving corps was a complete let down last season, but it was not as much their fault as one would think, as there were no credible passing QBs to take advantage of what they provide.
The kicking game was also inconsistent and downright sloppy last season, as Josh Pollack hit just 9/14 FGs, which did little to lift up a struggling offense. To his credit, three of his misses were from 50 yards or more, but with everything else going so badly, it's glaring that he couldn't hit one of those kicks.
What To Be Excited About: Defense
The old Desert Swarm has become the Desert Snore. Arizona gave up a ton of points last season at just over 38 per game, so any improvement over that would be good.
If you have to start somewhere for a building block for improvement, it is at the CB position, where both Dane Cruikshank and Jace Whittaker return. Cruikshank finished the season with seven PBUs, while Whittaker wrapped with eight PBUs. They should do a fairly good job at locking down outside threats. Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles was solid at Safety with six PBUs and 78 tackles, which were good for second on the team.
What To Be Concerned About: Defense
The front seven is completely unimpressive as we enter fall camp for the Cats. Justin Belknap is back at DE, while Parker Zellers is back at NG, but neither player blew the roof off last fallwith their pressure ability.
DeAndre Miller is the lone returning starter at LB, but finished with just 18 tackles in limited action last season. Brandon Rutt is joined by Jacob Colacion, who is a freshman.
Flannigan -Fowles is a solid Safety option in the secondary, but the other two safeties in the 3-3-5 defense that Rodriguez favors leave much to be desired. Isaiah Hayes finished with 38 tackles and was absent in pass coverage, while Tritan Cooper is a new starter as a sophomore.
The Cats had a decent thing going with Pollack as the Punter, but then a complete brain cramp happened, and they pulled him off the job for Jake Glatting, who fell well short of Pollack's averages, and making matters worse, they are going back to Glatting again.
2017 Schedule: 9/2 Northern Arizona, 9/9 Houston, 9/15 at UTEP, 9/22 Utah, 10/7 at Colorado, 10/14 UCLA, 10/21 at California, 10/28 Washington State, 11/4 at USC, 11/11 Oregon State, 11/18 at Oregon, 11/25 at Arizona State
Final Overview
I see no way in hell that Rich Rodriguez survives this coming season as head coach of the Arizona Wildcats. This team was abysmal last season, and there is just no other word for it, and looking at this roster, and the overall schedule, it is impossible for me to see the Cats winning enough to get out of the cellar that they will fight with Arizona State for in the South. There is certainly a limited possibility that this team somehow shocks us all and wins as many as six games, but that looks like a pipe dream to me. It should be another rough ride in Tucson.

Bilo's 2017 College Football Previews: UCLA Bruins


UCLA Bruins
As we sit here, it would be apparent that the Jim Mora era may very well be coming to its conclusion. This program never reached the exulted heights that were expected of this hire, and although it has been a far cry better than anything that Karl Dorrell or Rick Neuheisel ever accomplished, let's face it...this era has fallen well short of what it should have been. USC was down, and UCLA had the opportunity and an open window to take LA by storm. Did they do that? No. The window for that, by the way, slammed shut with the emergence of Sam Darnold and that magical run that the Trojans went on from October through January last fall. If there was any hope of taking over the city, that hope has died out. There were no conference titles under Mora, and UCLA still has not been to a Rose Bowl in 18 years. Since 1993, UCLA has won exactly one conference title, and there are several young Bruins fans who know nothing but the mediocrity to pure garbage that this program has been in their lifetime. The window has closed, and now the Bruins appear relegated to the non-relevant section of the PAC-12 standings once again.
What To Be Excited About: Offense
There was absolutely nothing to be excited about with this offense last season on any level. It was by far the worst offensive season in recent memory, and so changes were made to the coaching staff to rectify the issues. The problem is that several of the players who could not execute a tied up house fly last season still remain on the roster. I have far more questions than answers about this group, so let's just cut the crap and move on to the concerns.
What To Be Concerned About: Offense
If you are still on the Josh Rosen train, wake up and step off before you go off the cliff with it. Does Rosen have talent? Certainly, he does. Has he made the most of it? Absolutely not. His production started to tail off in 2015 as a freshman when games started to mean something, and by the USC and bowl games, he was a shell of the kid that started the season off as the so called "Rosen one". Last season, it was obvious, right out of the gate, that he had regressed, as he struggled to get things done in a week one loss to Texas A&M. By a mid-season loss to Arizona State, he had completely derailed and was lost for the season because of the arrogance of himself and the coaching staff for allowing him back into the game after he had already injured his groin, and quite frankly, could not outrun a penguin with a bad wheel. He was crushed on a hit that a healthy player would have avoided, and he was lost for the year with both the groin injury and his shoulder. He has to remain healthy this season, for starters, become more accountable, stop being so entitled, and start taking this thing seriously if UCLA is to rebound from a morbidly bad season. I think that with his entitled, spoiled brat persona, that this will be asking a ton of him.
Now on to the run game. It was putrid. It made a person want to leave the room every time UCLA was on offense. It was a thing of frustration to watch what had been such a talented stable of backs look like they had never watched a football game before. They simply could not run. They could not identify holes, could not get to the edge, and could not make plays. Soso Jamabo has been a waste of talent. He was a huge get for the Bruins, and has never lived up to his billing. He is the poster child for why recruiting rankings are often a joke. The rest of the backs followed his lead, and never got off the bus. For the first time in 40 years, UCLA had the worst rushing offense in the conference, and one of the five worst in the nation, and was even worse than Washington State and Cal, where running the football was merely a suggestion.
The receivers are all pedestrian, at best. Not one receiver broke out and became a star last season, and that was when Rosen was still on the field. Great QBs can make great receivers out of ordinary talents, and Rosen has never developed that with his receivers. He yells at his receivers for mistakes that he makes throwing the football, and the trust is not there on the field, and it is absolutely evident.
The line, while not completely devoid of talented individuals, played like a complete mess as a group, had no communication, and simply folded on almost every play, especially when they had to...gasp...run block.
Here's something that makes one even more concerned. Spring practice showed no signs that any of this has been rectified. Not one bit of it. Rosen played some in the spring, and played terribly in the spring game. He, like Brett Hundley at this stage of his career, was still making the same mistakes he was making two seasons ago. The offense progressed, to the eye of the beholder, not one bit.
What To Be Excited About: Defense
As the offense regressed, as did the defense last season, including a game against Utah where they made Joe Williams look like Bo Jackson in his Auburn prime playing against Louisiana-Lafayette. There were players to be sure, who were trying their hardest on every down, but even they wore down in time.
Whereas I had to go fully negative on the offense, I find there to be some promise on this side of the football. Jacob Tuioti-Mariner is a star in the making at DT. He played largely in the shadows of others last season, and will now be released into the wild to fend for himself. He finished with five TFLs and was generally disruptive last season. Look for him to have a breakout season in 2017.
The secondary is fully loaded for the Bruins as well, despite some losses in personnel. Nate Meadors is a high motor play maker at CB, and has always played bigger than himself since his freshman season when he got thrown to the wolves. Look for him to produce big in coverage this season.
Adarius Pickett and Jaleel Wadood are both NFL caliber Safeties for the Bruins, and they should be able to protect the back end of the defense with ease.
Kenny Young will be the middle man on defense at ILB, and is an underrated player in the conference as a while. Young finished with 8.5 TFLs last season, and finished second on the team with 90 tackles. He is another pro prospect with a bright future, and is one of those rare players that could save the Bruins with his presence on the field.
What To Be Concerned About: Defense
Other than Tuioti-Mariner, the line is full of unknown quantities in former reserves and freshmen. Rick Wade is projected to start at one DE spot as a sophomore, but was unheard of last season,and that is if he can hold off freshman Osa Odighizuwa. Boss Tagiloa was a huge get in recruiting at DT, but never made any headway last season. He is slated to start, but Matt Dickerson, who played well when given the chance last fall, is in the mix as well. Prized freshman Jaelen Phillips is slated to start at DE, but he is a freshman, and freshmen are freshmen until proven otherwise.
Young is flanked by two completely unknown quantities at LB as well in Josh Woods and Krys Barnes. Woods finished with 26 tackles last season, but really did not make much of a mark otherwise, while Barnes, a sophomore, made all of three tackles. I'd be worried. DeChaun Holliday, Lokeni Toailoa, and Mique Juarez are all on the two deep, but can they be depended on? Can Juarez get his head right after he bailed on the program only to be brought back?
UCLA is starting yet another freshman at CB in Darnay Holmes. He is considered to be a major talent, but again, he is a freshman. What he did in high school means nothing at this point.
There are ten freshmen or sophomores on the second string as of this moment, so the reality is thatm while there may be talent, there is no discernible depth when it comes to absolute experience on this defense. That is the reality.
2017 Schedule: 9/3 Texas A&M, 9/9 Hawaii, 9/16 at Memphis, 9/23 at Stanford, 9/30 Colorado, 10/14 at Arizona, 10/21 Oregon, 10/28 at Washington, 11/3 at Utah, 11/11 Arizona State, 11/18 at USC, 11/25 California
Final Overview
This is my bare bones projection for UCLA football. Five wins. That's it. They will have to steal, scrap and claw for most of those wins as well. There are tap games that they could lose as well. In short order, the talent on defense is better than it was last season, but long term, not short. In my opinion, the talent on offense, where all of the issues are, has not evolved. Mora has recruited like  maniac on defense, and that is to the credit of DB coach Demetrise Martin, who is the most promising assistant on this staff. Recruiting on offense has been a mess, especially in the line, where the Bruins have floundered during almost the entirety of the Mora era. Don't expect any more than what you got last year from this group, and you won't be disappointed.

Bilo's 2017 College Football Previews: Utah Utes


Utah Utes
What was an overall successful season for the Utes had to be considered as a bit of a disappointment for some, as injury issues and just plain bad luck mounted to cost the Utes four losses, and had them fighting for a win against what should have been an over matched Indiana team in the bowl game. Kyle Whittingham is one of the A list coaches in the PAC-12, and under his guidance, the Utes are rolling into the 2017 season trying to get healthy, and push forward. Will they have enough to push past Colorado, or USC in the South this fall?
What To Be Excited About: Offense
Troy Williams is back at QB this fall, and while not the perfect QB, he is quite good at times. He passed for 2757 yards and 15 TDs last season, but did manage to toss eight INTs. His accuracy and turnovers need to improve, but as he goes, so does the Ute offense in 2017. Williams did manage to add five more rushing TDs last fall.
What To Be Concerned About: Offense
There are questions across the board for the Utes on offense, starting at RB, where Joe Williams, who was virtually pulled off of his couch to fill in for injuries last season, is gone after filling in aptly to rush for 1407 yards and 10 TDs. The projected replacements have not a ton of experience or production behind them in Zack Moss and Jordan Howard. Either of them could explode this season, but they are not known quantities, and that is a measure for concern.
The receivers are thin on production and history as well. Raelon Singleton, Demari Simpkins, and Siaosi Wilson are slated to start, but caught a combined 61 passes between them last fall. There is virtually no depth behind them at that point, and that will have to be developed as the season progresses.
The line lost some serious talent after last season, and a pair of sophomores will be starting in LG Darrin Paulo and Johnny Capra. Three more sophomores are on the two deep, so again, experience is a relative thing that will be in development as the season progresses.
Andy Phillips, one of the most successful kickers in college football over the last few years, has moved on as well. Hayes Hicken, a sophomore, is slated to take his place.
What To Be Excited About: Defense
The Utes will be rock solid at DT this fall with the return of Lowell Lotulelei and Filipo Mokofisi. The two combined for 16.5 TFLs last fall, and will probably be the most disruptive interior linemen on any defense in the conference.
The LB corps will be a major strength as well this fall, as both Sunia Tauteoli and David Luafatasaga both return. They combined for 109 tackles last fall, and will project to start when camp breaks in the 4-2-5 defense. The Utes also return junior Cody Barton at ROVER, who finished with 66 tackles last fall, good for second on the team.
Mitch Wishnowski is back as the Punter, and has a legendary leg. He averaged well over 47 yards per punt last fall, and should be noted as being the best Punter the conference has to offer.
What To Be Concerned About: Defense
The DE spots are an anomaly this fall. Kylie Fitts has seen his career derail based on a transfer and on injuries, and played in just two games last season. If he is healthy, he could be one of the better ends in the league, but he has not been able to stay on the field. Bradley Anae has promise, but is just s sophomore, and played in just six games last fall.
The secondary is a major area of concern, as this is a unit that needs to come together, and has very little history behind them. The best of the bunch, by far, is SS Chase Hanson, who finished last season leading the team in tackles with 90 (54 were solos). He also defended nine passes, created two QB hurries, and forced three fumbles. There were overwhelming personnel losses from the secondary after last season, so this unit is in a bit of a rebuild. There are also two freshmen and a sophomore on the two deep, so depth is not a luxury here.
2017 Schedule: 8/31 North Dakota, 9/9 at BYU, 9/16 San Jose State, 9/22 at Arizona, 10/7 Stanford, 10/14 at USC, 10/21 Arizona State, 10/28 at Oregon, 11/3 UCLA, 11/11 Washington State, 11/18 at Washington, 11/25 Colorado
Final Overview
Two of the three non con games are wins off the top against North Dakota and San Jose State, but BYU, as always, will be a tough out for the Utes. The conference schedule, however, is unforgiving for a team trying to rebuild certain areas on both sides of the football. Whittingham has talent here, but a ton of it is inexperienced, and that could cause some bumps in the road this fall as the new parts try to gel together. Nothing would shock me about the Utes finishing as high as second in the league, but they could also slide to third or fourth, depending on what progress is made at Colorado and UCLA.

Bilo's 2017 College Football Previews: Colorado Buffaloes


Colorado Buffaloes
Colorado finally turned a major corner under Mike MacIntyre last fall, and depsite some off-field drama involving some allegations on how a sexual assault case was handled, everything looks to be headed in the right direction for this program. Some key pieces are gone on both sides of the football, but there seems to be enough talent on hand to make another run at the South title this fall. Will the Buffaloes that are new starters in key positions be able to gel quickly enough to make that happen?
What To Be Excited About: Offense
Phillip Lindsay returned for his senior season at RB, and should be a key focal point on offense for the Buffs in 2017.He rushed for 1252 yards and 16 TDs last fall, all while averaging 5.13 yards per carry. He also caught 53 passes out of the backfield, so he is a weapon that should surely be used to excess.
The top four WRs return for the Buffaloes this fall, and Lindsay would include a fifth top receiver. Shay Fields, Devin Ross, Bryce Bobo, and Jay MacIntyre all return to the fold, and each of them caught at least 30 passes last season. Fields was the leader with 56 receptions for 833 yards and nine scores. Ross posted 69-787-5, Bobo posted 44-548-2, and MacIntyre posted 32-412-1.
The line is in good shape from Center to the left, with three seniors starting in CJonathon Huckins, LG Gerrad Kough, and LT Jermoy Irwin.
What To Be Concerned About: Offense
The QB spot should be OK in the hands of Steven Montez, but he will have to be the full time starter and star this season. He played well enough in his time on the field last fall, but we will now get to see him fully on display. One concerning area of play for him was his TD:INT ratio. He tossed nine TDs, but also tossed five INTs.
The right side of the line will be young and thin this fall, as a pair of sophomores project to start in RG Tim Lynott and RT Aaron Haigler.
The Buffs used three different PKs last fall. A key to the season will be deciding on just one in 2017. James Stefanou, a freshman, is projected to get the job over returnee Chris Graham.
What To Be Excited About: Defense
There is no doubt that the Buffs got hammered on losses on defense after the season, and lost a ton of top flight talent. They also lose DC Jim Leavitt, which we will talk about in a moment.
There are still some pieces left over that the defense can build upon. Rick Gamboa returns at ILB, and finished second in tackles last season with 76. He also finished with three PBUs. Ryan Moeller was also productive at the BUFF position, finishing with 64 tackles.
Isaiah Oliver is back at CB, and finished last season with seven PBUs. He will be the new star in a secondary that was hammered with lost personnel.
Alex Kinney is back at Punter, and had a solid season, averaging just over 41 yards per punt.
What To Be Concerned About: Defense
The losses are big. Here is a list: Jimmie Gilbert, Tedric Thompson, Ahkello Witherspoon, Kenneth Olugbode, Chidobe Awuzie, Samson Kafovalu, Jordan Carroll, and Josh Tupou. Very few teams are armed to make up for those sorts of losses, and that group had a huge amount to do with moving Colorado up the charts from a team that had been 5-40 in PAC-12 play, to a team that played in a PAC-12 title game last fall. Finding immediate replacements for them will not be easy, and replacing Jim Leavitt as the DC is going to very tough as well. This is not an enviable task.
2017 Schedule: 9/1 at Colorado State (@Denver), 9/9 Texas State, 9/16 Northern Colorado, 9/23 Washington, 9/30 at UCLA, 10/7 Arizona, 10/14 at Oregon State, 10/21 at Washington State, 10/28 California, 11/4 at Arizona State, 11/11 USC, 11/25 at Utah
Final Overview
I believe that Colorado willnot have enough in the tank to take USC in the South again in 2017. I think that this is a very good, well coached football team that will push very hard, and ultimately will challenge for second or third place in the South. I think that if we are being real, this should be the expectation. I do also believe that Colorado is probably a year away from challenging for the conference title again, and some pieces that wil lbe in play on the roster this season wil lbe those players who gain experience this season to challenge next. Still, the Buffs are going to be a very difficult team to beat.

Bilo's 2017 College Football Previews: USC Trojans


USC Trojans
The Trojans could not have been in worse shape at the end of September last season if they had tried. They had been obliterated by Alabama, and a 1-3 start had the program reeling, and Clay Helton was already in jeopardy before he had completed his first month on the job as USC head coach. Les Miles was even lurking around in LA just in case something went sideways. Helton made a major decision after that. He benched Max Browne, once a prized prospect, and turned to RS freshman Sam Darnold, and everything fell into place. The Trojans finished the season on a 9-0 run, ended up in the Rose Bowl, and beat Penn State in a classic. The Trojans maynow be a conference favorite above even Washington, but the Trojans beat the Huskies in Seattle last fall, so that should surprise nobody. Look for the team to continue to improve in all areas this fall, and look for the Trojans to make a push towards a playoff birth in 2017. Anything short of that would be construed as a disappointment.
What To Be Excited About: Offense
Darnold became the savior of the Trojans last fall once he was installed as the starting QB, and Max Browne transferred out to Pitt. Darnold is one of the top three listed QBs in the nation coming into the season, and he won games with iron will alone at times last fall. Look for his masterful play to continue as the offense flows through him.
Ronald Jones, Jr. came on strong as a sophomore last season, and rushed for 1082 yards and 12 scores. He is the Trojans run game this fall, and will be a nice balance in the backfield to the work of Darnold. They should be a perfect pairing in what should be an explosive offense.
The line had a bad reputation in 2015 and for part of last season, but that group grew as the season wore on, and they were playing like USC lines of old by the end of the year. There is plenty of experience, and the depth chart runs rather deep this fall. Chuma Edoga will start either at LT or RT, but that will not be decided until camp breaks. Chris Brown starts at LG, while Viane Talamaivo will start at RG. Senior Nico Falah will start at Center.
What To Be Concerned About: Offense
The Trojans lost a ton of talent at WR last fall with the departure of JuJu Smith-Schuster and Darreus Rogers. This will be an area of concern as the Trojans are forced to go with less experienced options in the passing game this season. The one bright spot here will be the return of Deontay Burnett, who became one of the more reliable options on offense last fall. He caught 56 passes and scored seven times.
The PK game will be something of a wild ride once again. Matt Boermeester is gone, and the job will belong to RS freshman Michael Brown as we head into fall camp.
What To Be Excited About: Defense
The starting LB group should be quite good this season with the return of three starters in Porter Gustin, Cameron Smith, and Uchenna Nwosu. Gustin finished with 68 tackles and led the team with 13 TFLs. Smith led the team in tackles with 83, and finished with seven TFLs. Nwosu finished the year with 53 tackles. They will be joined by John Houston, Jr. this season, as he rolls into the starting lineup based on projections.
The secondary is again in good hands despite losing a talent like Adoree' Jackson. CB Imam Marhsll is back, as are Safeties Chris Hawkins and Marvell Tell. Marshall finished with eight PBUs, while the Hawkins and Tell combined for 87 tackles. Marshall added three INTs on the season. Isaiah Langley will likely start in Jackson's old CB spot.
What To Be Concerned About: Defense
The line is thin on talent and production right now, which will put tremendous pressure on the back seven this fall. DE Rasheem Green is solid at DE, however, giving the Trojans a building block up front. He will be joined by DT Malik Dorton and NT Jacob Daniel. Depth will also be an issue behind this group, as it will be at LB, where experience is lacking in a young reserve corps.
Chris Telby had a rough go at times at Punter last fall, and averaged just over 38 yards per punt. The defense will absolutely need more field to work with in the coming year.
2017 Schedule: 9/2 Western Michigan, 9/9 Stanford, 9/16 Texas, 9/23 at California, 9/29 at Washington State, 10/7 Oregon State, 10/14 Utah, 10/21 at Notre Dame, 10/28 at Arizona State, 11/4 Arizona, 11/11 at Colorado, 11/18 UCLA
Final Overview
The Trojans, despite some areas of concern, are in prime shape to return to their glory days and run the PAC-12 South. One thing to notice is that the Trojans do not play Washington in the regular season, and they have to visit Washington State. In South play, they visit Colorado, but host Utah. With Darnold at the QB spot, and talent surrounding him, the offense will take off, while the defense finds its groove with the new starters. In short, I am looking at a team that is ready to challenge, right now.

Bilo's 2017 College Football Previews: Oregon State Beavers


Oregon State Beavers
Gary Anderson certainly has his hands full as he tries to rebuild Oregon State football back to respectability after former head coach Mike Riley seemingly ran the talent pool into the ground as he walked out the door for the Nebraska job. Anderson has been plodding along, and is going slowly and methodically in his rebuild, which is probably the right way to go. It would seem at this point that if the administration and the fan base stays patient, this will all pay off in time. However, the rebuild continues.
What To Be Excited About: Offense
ANderson had the run game elevated in the offense last season, and it fared very well once it got to full speed. The Beavers averaged just over 191 yards rushing per game as a team last fall, and they return their top two backs in Ryan Nall and Artavis Pierce. They combined for 1474 yards rushing in 2016, and scored17 times (13 by Nall). Nall was a big play threat, averaging 6.47 yards per carry, while Pierce averaged 5.34 yards per carry.
What To Be Concerned About: Offense
The QB position is in a bit of flux as of right this moment. Darrell Garretson broke his ankle in October and missed the rest of the season, and was in and out of spring ball as he recovered. Marcus McMaryion rotated in and out of the first unit in practices, but camp broke without him holding the job. Jake Luton, a transfer from Idaho and Ventura College spent a lot of time in first team reps, to varying degrees of success. This situation will likely not get ironed out until well into fall camp.
The receiving group is hardly stellar based on numbers from last season, and that could be because of the mixed up QB situation. It does not appear, that with the loss of Victor Bolden, that there is much in the way of big time talent going on here.
The line also has some issues to iron out, as the projected starters on the left side are both sophomores, and there is also an extended battle taking place at Center, where experience, again, is thin.
The PK game is also in flux, as Garrett Owens, who struggled a good deal, is being replaced most likely by Jordan Choukair.
What To Be Excited About: Defense
One has to hunt and peck through the returning roster to find pieces individually to be excited about with this group of returning players.
LB should have a couple of decent pieces in Bright Ugwoegbu and Manase Hungalu. They combined for 137 tackles last season, and will be the heart and soul of the defense in 2017.
The secondary will be thin, but CB Xavier Crawford is a star in the making. As a freshman, he finished with 10 PBUs and 70 total tackles on the season. Look for a huge season from him as a sophomore.
The Beavers do have a decent option at Punter, as Nick Proebski returns after averaging 41.3 yards per punt last season.
What To Be Concerned About: Defense
The line is looking a little thin heading into fall camp. Baker Pritchard and Phillip Napoleon are projected as the starting DEs, while Elu Aydon is slated as the starting NT, but none of these players have made a mark yet on this defense, and have been devoid of applicable pressure as far as last season was concerned.
While half of the LB group is not half bad, the other half has yet to prove themselves in any real capacity. Andrzej Hughes-Murray is slated to start at ILB as a sophomore, while Jonathon Willis is set at OLB as we head to camp. Willis finished with just 20 tackles last season.
As good as Crawford was as a freshman at CB, the rest of the secondary appears to be unsettled. Dwayne Williams did not do a ton at the other CB spot, and the Safeties were mostly ineffective. That trend will have to improve, and they had several miscues (missing perfect INT opportunities, etc.) in spring ball.
2017 Schedule: 8/26 at Colorado State, 9/2 Portland State, 9/9 Minnesota, 9/16 at Washington State, 9/30 Washington, 10/7 at USC, 10/14 Colorado, 10/26 Stanford, 11/4 at California, 11/11 at Arizona, 11/18 Arizona State, 11/25 at Oregon
Final Overview
As the Beavers did show a couple of signs of life last season, the rebuild is far from over for Anderson and his staff. Anderson is still trying to put the pieces back together after Mike Riley and his crew basically nose dived this program back into the years prior to the good times, when Oregon State was the yearly doormat in the old PAC-10 and PAC-8 before that. Riley's second term as head coach of the Beavers was a mere shadow of his first, and Anderson is paying the price in trying to fix the damage. This will take some time, and the best one can hope for right now is for the Beavers to steal a couple of games here or there in those rare moments when they play over their heads.

Wednesday, July 12, 2017

Bilo's 2017 College Football Previews: California Golden Bears


California Golden Bears
The Cal Bears got sick and tired of the wandering eye of head coach Sonny Dykes after last season, as his name continually came up in job searches from Missouri to Baylor, and he did nothing to squash those rumors. It became obvious that he had no long term want to be the head coach at Cal, and so they freed him up to go after a job that he never got, and they turned to Wisconsin DC Justin Wilcox, who is no stranger to the PAC-12 and west coast football in general. Wilcox generated a massively successful defense at Wisconsin, and since Cal has had no defense at all under Dykes, it should be an interesting transition to get Cal back to playing balanced football of any kind.
What To Be Excited About: Offense
One thing is assured, and that is the receiving corps may end up being one of the better units in the PAC-12 this fall, despite the departure of Chad Hansen early to the NFL Draft. Demetrius Robertson, Melquise Stovall, and Jordan Veasy all return this season. Robertson caught 50 passes for 767 yards last fall as a freshman, and scored seven times, and could break out even bigger depending on the unknown QB situation coming into camp. Stovall caught 42 passes as a freshman last season, and scored three times. Veasy caught 25 passes as well as a reserve, and will step in to start.
Matt Anderson will provide some scoring from the PK position, as he returns for his senior year after hitting 22/26 FGs last fall.
What To Be Concerned About: Offense
One thing is for certain, as compared to the offense that Dykes ran, the offense will slow down to a degree, and maybe even more efficient as the unit balances out.
There is not one QB coming in that has taken a snap for the Bears, and that will mean an adjustment period in fall camp. Junior Chase Forrest is projected to win the starting job as a junior, but took not one snap behind Davis Webb last fall. RS sophomore Ross Bowers is currently behind him on the depth chart, but both should get a long look in camp.
The run game, largely a secondary feature in the old offense, will get more of a prominent role in the offense under Beau Baldwin, the former Eastern Washington HC who comes to the Bears as OC. Tre Watson and Vic Enwere are both back after they combined for 1045 yards rushing last season as part of a committee of backs.
There is a concern with the line, as the offense will still look to a spread feature, it will also feature more of a balanced attack.
What To Be Excited About: Defense
The defense will be moving to a 3-4 look, which Wilcox ran to perfection at Wisconsin. Tim DeRuyter, the former Fresno State coach, is landing as DC with the Bears, and has a defensive acumen from his career as an assistant. He has some serious work to do to rehab a unit that allowed an embarrassing 42.6 points per game last season.
There is some talent on the line for the Bears in DE James Looney and DT Tony Mekari. They combined for 12.5 TFLs last season, and should provide solid play and leadership in the new system. Zeandae Johnson, a RS sophomore, will move over to start at DE, as former DE Cameron Saffle moves outside to OLB in the new defensive look.
Saffle was a star for the Bears last fall, finishing with 8.5 TFLs to go with his 57 total tackles. He will stand out in the 3-4 as a rush END/LB type who will specialize in disrupting opposing backfields. He should thrive in this role. Devante Downs and Raymond Davison will both return at ILB this fall after decent efforts last season. Downs led the team with 84 tackles, while Davison finished with 69, which was good for third on the team. Alex Funches, a transfer, should fill the open OLB spot.
There is talent in the secondary, as both CBs Darius Allensworth and Marloshawn Franklin return. They combined for 12 PBUs last fall.
Dylan Klumph was one of the best Punters in the nation last season, and returns to handle the job in 2017 after averaging 44.8 yards per punt.
What To Be Concerned About: Defense
This defense was a mess last year, but it's hard to understand it when you see the kind of talent that exists. At the end of the day, one has to blame the former staff and their scheme, and their overall game planning. I would make a safe bet that in any event, you will see some improvements from this unit this fall.
ONe are that is questionable right now is at Safety. Quentin Tartabull and Evan Rambo are the projected starters currently, but they are both an unknown quantity at this point. Derron Brown and Jaylinn Hawkins will give both a good push in fall camp.
2017 Schedule: 9/2 at North Carolina, 9/9 Weber State, 9/16 Ole Miss, 9/23 USC, 9/30 at Oregon, 10/7 at Washington, 10/13 Washington State, 10/21 Arizona, 10/28 at Colorado, 11/4 Oregon State, 11/18 at Stanford, 11/25 at UCLA
Final Overview
The Bears are in not so much a rebuild mode as it is a reshape mode. Sonny Dykes is a decent guy, and a smart offensive football coach, but he is an unbalanced coach who favors crazy amounts of offense above all else, which was his MO at Louisiana Tech as well. In short, it is obvious that Cal was never a job he really wanted long term, and so he continued to look at every opening that came along. Justin Wilcox may be the long term answer that the Golden Bears needed, and he has already put together a first rate coaching staff, especially with coordinators Beau Baldwin and Tim DeRuyter. Baldwin has already had massive success as head coach of FCS Eastern Washington, and will likely use this job as a catapult to an FBS head job at some point, but Wilcox pulled off a real coup to get him hired. Look for some real improvements this season, but there are too many puzzle pieces to account for right now, so finishing in fifth place in the North with the ability to move up seems to be simply the most reasonable expectation of this program right now.

Tuesday, July 11, 2017

Bilo's 2017 College Football Previews: Oregon Ducks


Oregon Ducks
If Autzen Stadium had a roof, it would have caved in last season in Eugene. The fault was centered around the entire offensive line playing freshmen at one point, grad transfer Dakota Prukop being injured, forcing true freshman Justin Herbert into action, and a defense that could not stop a herd of infants. Mark Helfrich became the first Oregon coach to be fired in 40 years, and a massive shift had to be made. Oregon went outside the football family and hired Willie Taggart, who has been credited with massive turnarounds at Western Kentucky and South Florida. Taggart, a former QB, is also a Jim Harbaugh guy, as he had worked with Harbaugh at Stanford. He is trying to infuse some energy into the program, and brought Mario Critobal and Marcus Arroyo to run the offense, and even managed to poach Jim Leavitt as DC from Colorado. Can the Ducks motivate a terrible defense to improve, and can the young players that got in some time last fall pick this thing up and move the needle in year one?
What To Be Excited About: Offense
Herbert may have just been a freshman last fall, but he was a very good one. He passed for 1936 yards and tossed 19 TDs to just four INTs on the season, and showed he has what it takes to be the next great Oregon QB. With a full season under him now, and with a full season under the belts of the linemen in front of him, he could really rocket up the charts this fall.
Royce Freeman is a massively talented and explosive back who finally appears to be healthy as we head into fall camp. He played in 11 games last fall, and ran for 945 yards and nine scores, while averaging 5.63 yards per carry. When he was healthy in 2015, he rushed for over 1800 yards, so there is massive potential here if his body is right. Tony Brooks-James, Kani Benoit, and Taj Griffin also all return to give the Ducks one of the deepest pools of backs in the nation.
That young line that was a burdon last fall is starting to grow up, and even though four starters are sophomores, there are not four more experienced sophomores on one line anywhere in the nation. All five starters had serious starting experience last fall in LT Brady Aiello, LG Shane Lemieux, C Jake Hanson, RG Tyrell Crosby, and RT Calvin Throckmorton. Crosby is the "old man" of the group as a senior.
Adrian Schneider is back at PK after hitting 9/12 FG attempts last fall, and shoud see more opportunities this fall.
What To Be Concerned About: Offense
What was already a thin receiving corps took another hit a couple of weeks ago when Darren Carrington was suspended indefinitely for a DUI stop that caused an arrest. Charles Nelson is now the lone returning starter until, and if Carrington is reinstated to the team. Nelson caught 54 passes last fall for 554 yards and five scores, but again, there is very little depth after that.
What To Be Excited About: Defense
The hiring of Leavitt alone was enough to make cheers erupt all through the forest. For the last two seasons, the defense has been a fast sinking ship, and it hit the coral reef last fall under the watchful eye of Brady Hoke, the former Michigan head coach. Leavitt will instill some pride in this unit, and get things back in track much as he did at Colorado.
Troy Dye is back at LB after leading the team with 91 tackles last fall, and will start inside in the 3-4 defense, and Jimmie Swain is hanging around as well after racking up 77 total tackles.
The line will be in decent hands with the return of DE Henry Mondeaux, who finished with 35 tackles and four TFLs last season. The Ducks also won a derby of sorts in Clemson grad transfer Scott Pagano, who chose the Ducks over Oklahoma last spring. Jalen Jelks is projected to start at the open DE spot after finishing with four TFLs of his own last season.
Three starters are back in the secondary in CB Arrion Springs, CB Ugo Amadi, and S Tyree Robinson. Thomas Graham, a freshman, could push Amadi out of his starting job, while there are several options at Safety that may change projected starter roles as well. One such option is freshman Brady Breeze, who is projected to win a starting job.
What To Be Concerned About: Defense
Depth, across the board, is at a premium. The Ducks have no shortage of reserves coming back across every position, but with as bad as this unit was the last two seasons, can they be trusted to turn it around in one year? That is a huge question. I think that Leavitt is an amazing DC, but he is not a miracle worker, and this transition from a 3-3-5 look to a 3-4 will take some time, and expect some bumps in the road.
Punter is a position of problem as well, Ian Wheeler was mostly awful last season, and a battle is going on to replace him between Adam Stack and Blake Maimone.
2017 Schedule: 9/2 Southern Utah, 9/9 Nebraska, 9/16 at Wyoming, 9/23 at Arizona State, 9/30 California, 10/7 Washington State, 10/14 at Stanford, 10/21 at UCLA. 10/28 Utah, 11/4 at Washington, 11/18 Arizona, 11/25 Oregon State
Final Overview
Don't expect the world to change in just one season. Taggart is a pro at getting programs turned around, but it has taken him until year three at both of his stops to make the transition complete. He has never had the resources that he will have at Oregon, however, so pressure will likely not take long to mount. Oregon, which had been an abysmal program for so very long, has now gotten used to winning over the last 20 years, and there is no interest in backtracking to the old days.

Bilo's 2017 College Football Previews: Stanford Cardinal


Stanford Cardinal
I expected the Cardinal to slip more than they did a year ago, and even though it was a down year by normal standards, Stanford still managed to win 10 games after beating North Carolina in the Sun Bowl. That was a heck of a run despite not really having their chosen starting QB most of the season, and for the fact that their star RB was banged up a good chunk of it as well. David Shaw may very well be the best coach in this conference, and he proved it once again in 2016. Can he repeat that measure in 2017, even though he may not have as much offensive talent as North contenders Washington and Washington State?
What To Be Excited About: Offense
Keller Chryst is apparently healthy this season, and if he can hold it together, he may be the best passer st Stanford since Andrew Luck left. Chryst was never himself last season, and Ryan Burns took the reins and ran with it. All you need to know, however, is that Chryst had a 5:1 TD to INT ratio last season when he was able to go. That tells you something. KJ Costello took a ton of snaps this spring, as Chryst was not healthy enough to go after being injured and knocked out of the bowl game.
There is no doubting the talent that was Christian McCaffrey, but one silver lining of him leaving the team before the bowl game was that Bryce Love got to show us what he could do, and as it turns out, he is not half bad. He finished last season with 783 yards rushing, and averaged 7.05 yards per carry. With a full season to be the main back, he could be a massive breakout star.
The Cardinal will get their two top receivers back from last season in Trenton Irwin and JJ Arcega-Whiteside. They combined for 61 receptions last season in a bad QB year for the Cardinal. With both back in the fold, it could help stabilize the QB situation. Dalton Schultz caught 22 passes at TE last season, and also returns.
Stanford always has great lines under Shaw, and this season should be no different, as four starters return. LT AT Hall, LG Nate Herbig, C Jesse Burkett, and RT David Bright all return, and junior Nick Wilson will get the projected start at RG.
What To Be Concerned About: Offense
Even though I have listed Chryst as a reason to be excited, he still has to prove himself capable of being reliable and healthy this season. If he cannot do so, Costello will have a ton of pressure applied to him, and he is an unknown quantity at this point. Depth is not evident beyond that for the Cardinal.
Another area of lacking depth will be at both RB and WR, where the Cardinal do not have anyone who has shown flashes as, or has shown a capacity to make big plays and be the guy coming off the bench to provide relief. If injuries mount up, Stanford could be in trouble.
The Cardinal also will lose Conrad Ukropina at PK after he hit 22/27 FG attempts last season. Sophomore Jet Toner is projected to win the job in his place.
What To Be Excited About: Defense
One area where this football team never lets you down is on defense, and even with the loss of Solomon Thomas, there is still a ton of talent to go around.
Dylan Jackson (DE) and Harrison Phillips (DT) will try their hand at being the leaders on the line now that Thomas has moved on. Phillips is a bit of a beat inside, as he finished with 9.5 TFLs last fall. He finished with 46 tackles overall. Jackson picked up just 14 tackles in a rotational role.
JOey Alfieri is back at OLB, and he could be the new leader of this unit overall. He finished with 51 tackles last season, and added 10.5 TFLs, a total that was good for second on the team behind Thomas. He added five sacks.
Quentin Meeks is back at CB, and Justin Reid returns to the field at FS. They combined for 13 PBUs last season.
Jake Bailey was one of the best Punters in the conference last fall, and averaged 43.52 yards per punt.
What To Be Concerned About: Defense
Depth could be a major factor on the line, and it may be to the negative. With Thomas gone, the biggest play maker on the team is gone. Jackson was simply a rotational player last fall, and Eric Cotton is a new starter after making just four tackles last season.
Even with Alfieri and Bobby Okereke back at LB this season, this still is not one of their more talented LB corps of years past. Sean Barton and Casey Toohill, both juniors, are projected to start, but combined for 37 tackles a year ago, and depth, again, is not great.
Half of the secondary is in rebuild mode, even if a pair of seniors are filling the open spots in CB Alijah Holder and S Denzel Franklin. Holder is solid after wrapping 2016 with six PBUs, and is healthy again after losing time to shoulder surgery. Franklin is a total unknown, however. Once again, depth is a key issue.
2017 Schedule: 8/26 Rice at Sydney, 9/9 at USC, 9/16 at San Diego State, 9/23 UCLA, 9/30 Arizona State, 10/7 at Utah, 10/14 Oregon, 10/26 Oregon State, 11/4 at Washington State, 11/10 Washington, 11/18 California, 11/25 Notre Dame
Final Overview
Stanford over projected themselves last season after losses had everyone pegging them around the eight win mark. I think that eight wins is a fair mark to shoot for once again, but don't be shocked if Shaw finds a way to overcome that number once again. Stanford does not have enough weapons to win the North, however, and may be a year short of really competing for a conference title, and only if they can find a perfect QB, which they really don't have now. Still, this team should once again be a very difficult out.

Bilo's 2017 College Football Previews: Washington State Cougars


Washington State Cougars
The Washington State Cougars came to life in 2016 under Mike Leach, and there are plenty of pieces in place to make sure that the party has not ended. The offense still promises plenty of explosiveness under QB Luke Falk, and the defense showed major improvement last season, allowing just over 26 points per game. In short, the Cougars are still the best prepared team in the PAC-12 North to challenge the Washington Huskies this season, but is there enough in the tank to pull the upset and steal the North division in 2017?
What To Be Excited About: Offense
Luke Falk is back, and there are few better QBs in the nation coming back in 2017 to major college football. Falk passed for 4468 yards and 38 TDs in the Air Raid offense last season, and he added 38 TDs to 11 INTs. He avraged 343.7 yards passing per game last season, and completed an amazing 70% of his passes. He should run one of the most efficient passing offenses that you will see all season from any given team.
Jamal Morrow and James Wicks will return at RB. The run game is very much secondary in this offense, but what they do have is explosive, big play ability out of the group that they have. Morrow averaged 6.39 yards per carry, and wicks averaged 5.4 yards per carry.
The Cougars lost some serious skill in Gabe Marks and River Cracraft, but they do return an exciting group of receivers to the fold this season, and there should be little drop off in play. Tavares Martin, Jr. will return as the leader this season. He caught 64-728-7 last fall. He is joined by Kyle Sweet (27-357-3), Robert Lewis (33-394-3), and Isaiah Johnson-Mack (35 receptions).
The line is solid as well, with the return of three seniors in Cody O'Connell (LG), BJ Salmonson (RG), and  Cole Madison (RT).
What To Be Concerned About: Offense
It's hard to pick apart anything in this offense, but there is a certain lack of depth at WR beyond the starts this season. Ten different Cougars caught at least 20 passes last season, but three of those players are gone, and two more are stepping into starting roles, leaving depth somewhat lacking. There is no doubt that the coaching staff will identify opportunities in camp, but right now, the numbers are lesser than a year ago.
PK Erik Powell simply struggled last fall. He hit just 9/15 FG tries in 2016, and is back to try once again. It would be good to find an alternate if he struggles again. The Cougars lost to Eastern Washington and Boise State by exactly three points per game. It would be brutal to lose games like that again.
What To Be Excited About: Defense
The Cougars have one of the most underrated DEs in the nation in Hercules Mata'afa. He finished with 13.5 TFLs last season and added five sacks, all as a sophomore. Look for him to breakout entirely in 2017. He will be joined at DE by Nnamdi Oguayo, who finished with 3.5 TFLs a year ago as a freshman. Daniel Ekuele is back at NT after finishing with 23 tackles last fall.
Peyton Pelluer is back at MLB for the Cougars, and led the team in tackles last fall with 93. He added 7.5 TFLs, and is one of the more active MLBs in the conference. He will be joined by WLB Frankie Luvu, who finished with seven TFLs on 46 tackles last fall.
The Cougars are in excellent shape at the Safety spots this fall with the return of FS Robert Taylor and SS Jalen Thompson. Thompson was rock solid in coverage, finishing with seven PBUs and 51 tackles. Taylor finished with 61 tackles on the year.
Erik Powell handled Punting duties as well last fall, and averaged a booming 48 yards per punt. He will be a huge piece to the puzzle with field position in 2017.
What To Be Concerned About: Defense
The RUSH spot is beset with lack of production returning with Dylan Hanser slated to start this fall. He finished with just 21 tackles last season as a reserve, while backup Logan Tago finished with just 12 tackles.
The CB spot will be a tough one as well. Darrien Molton is solid, as he finished with six PBUs last fall, but Marcus Strong is extremely inexperienced, and will be starting as a sophomore.
2017 Schedule: 9/2 Montana State, 9/9 Boise State, 9/16 Oregon State, 9/23 Nevada, 9/29 USC, 10/7 at Oregon, 10/13 at California, 10/21 Colorado, 10/28 at Arizona, 11/4 Stanford, 11/11 at Utah, 11/25 at Washington
Final Overview
Washington State could very well push into 10 win territory this season, as I feel that they match up extremely well to beat Boise State at home this season, as they very nearly did on the road last season. Wins are assured against Montana State and Nevada in non con play, and USC comes to Martin Stadium early. Colorado and Stanford also come to Pullman, but the Cougars do go on the road to take on Washington in Seattle last fall. The time is now if the Cougars are going to pounce, and they should be one of the more underrated teams nationally speaking this fall. It should be another fun ride on the Palouse.

Bilo's 2017 College Football Previews: Washington Huskies


Washington Huskies
The pieces all came together for the Huskies in 2016, and this once proud program appears to be back with a vengeance after some seriously average to dark seasons. With a trip to the national semifinal, Washington has cemented their place in the hierarchy of western college football, and nothing appears ready to knock them from their place. Other programs in the PAC-12 North are getting better, but Chris Petersen has laid his golden touch on this program, and there is no looking back. The only question is, can the Huskies stave off challengers in Washington State and Stanford in the North, while also finding a way to beat USC in the South, and in the end find a way back to the college football playoffs?
What To Be Excited About: Offense
Jake Browning is back at QB, and was a key piece in the rise to power in both conference play and on a national level. If you remove a game or two, Browning was right in the thick of the Heisman talk, and could very well be an early season top ten favorite for the award this fall. He passed for 43 TDs last season against just nine INTs, and passed for 3430 yards, or 245 yards per game.
Myles Gaskin exploded at RB as a sophomore last season, and will be back to carry the load in the run game once again in 2017. Gaskin rushed for 1373 yards and 10 scores last fall, all while averaging 5.79 yards per carry. Lavon Coleman also returns as the primary backup for his senior season after wrapped last fall with 852 yards and seven TDs. He also averaged 7.47 yards per carry.
Dante Pettis and Chico McClatcher both return at WR as well this fall. Pettis, who is a multidimensional threat in both the passing game and return game, finished with 53 receptions for 822 yards and 15 scores last season, and added another two scores on punt returns. McClatcher caught 31 passes for 574 yards last season as a sophomore, and moves up one spot on the depth chart to replace John Ross.
The offensive line will have four upperclassmen starting this fall. Trey Adams is at LT, Coleman Shelton at C, Andrew Kirkland at RG, and Kaleb McGary at RT. Sophomore Nick Harris is the kid of the group at LG.
What To Be Concerned About: Offense
There are not many concerns, but one area to examine is depth at WR, where there will not be a lot. Losing John Ross is a huge hit, as he caught 17 TD passes last fall, and went over 1000 yards receiving. He was also the primary kick return man, where he averaged 24.18 yards per return, and he took one back for a score. Ty Jones, a freshman, may very well start as the third receiver this fall, and there is very little in the way of returning production on the bench.
The kicking game is being left in new hands as well, as Cameron Van Winkle has moved on. Tristan Vizcaino came out of  spring ball as the starter. He will be a senior this fall.
What To be Excited About: Defense
The three man front on defense seems to be in good hands in 2017. Greg Gaines and Vea Vita both return up front. Gaines finished with eight TFLs last fall, while Vita finished with another 6.5. Jaylen Johnson takes over at the DE spot, and picked up 2.5 TFLs as a rotational end last fall. With all three coming into their junior seasons, they all could be considered breakout candidates in PAC-12 play.
The Huskies are positively loaded at ILB this fall in the 3-4 set with the return of Azeem Victor and Keishawn Bierria. They combined for 137 tackles last fall, and added eight TFLs as a combo up the middle. Running on the Huskies up the middle ought to be a challenge this season.
The Safeties should be in decent shape, as both Taylor Rapp and Jo Jo McIntosh return to the field. They combined for 119 tackles last season, and should be one of the better Safety combos in the conference, if not in the nation.
Tristan Vizcaino will handle the Punting duties, as he did a year ago. He averaged 40.73 yards per punt.
What To Be Concerned About: Defense
The Huskies, make no mistake, lost some talent on defense after last fall. They are going to be thinned out at OLB this fall, as Connor O'Brien and Amandre Williams, a RS freshman, are projected to start. Williams has the edge over the returning Trevis Bartlett, even though Bartlett played with explosive flash at times last season, finishing with nine TFLs. Camilo Eifler, another RS freshman, is expected to back up O'Brien, who finished with 35 tackles last fall. Bartlett finished with just 26 tackles overall.
The CB position will be a bit thin as well. Jordan Miller starts at one CB spot, but finished with just one PBU last season. Byron Murphy, another RS freshman, is projected to start at the other open CB spot.
2017 Schedule: 9/1 Rutgers, 9/9 Montana, 9/16 Fresno State, 9/23 at Colorado, 9/30 at Oregon State, 10/7 California, 10/14 at Arizona State, 10/28 UCLA, 11/4 Oregon, 11/10 Stanford, 11/18 Utah, 11/25 Washington State
Final Overview
The Huskies will be thin at three very critical areas this season, WR, CB, and OLB. Even with those issues glaring, Petersen has placed the Huskies in the mode to win once again, and there is plenty of other talent around to help out where they are thinned out. With what is coming back into play this season, there is no reason to think that this football team will not challenge for another PAC-12 title, and make another run at a national semifinal spot. With player like Browning, Pettis, and Gaskin, as well s Coleman n the run game, the Huskies are primed for big things offensively, and enough talent is left over on defense to make some noise. This is going to be another big season in Seattle.

Monday, July 10, 2017

Bilo's 2017 College Football Previews: San Jose State Spartans


San Jose State Spartans
The Spartans are starting over again after hiring Oregon State WR Coach Brent Brennan as head coach this off-season. The program has once again fallen into disarray since Mike MacIntyre left the program for the Colorado job, and that, unfortunately, has been a problem for this floundering program, off and on, for years. Brennan was probably not the most high profile hire one will ever hear of, and has a mountain of a job to do to get this program right again. Will he be the right guy to turn the ship around, or will it be more of the same?
What To be Excited About: Offense
Malik Roberson was not used nearly enough last season, but expect the leash to be removed after he led the team in rushing on just 99 carries last fall. He finished with 508 yards and averaged 5.13 yards per carry. Zamore Zigler also showed some flashes here and there, and averaged 5.35 yards per carry. If San Jose State is going to surprise anyone, the ru is going to be the way to do it.
Justin Holmes and Tre Hartley are moving up in the receiving corps, and will be the two primary targets this season. They combined for 72 receptions for 1185 yards last fall, and should help with a young QB group.
The line will have some serious senior leadership in LT Nate Velichko, LG Jeremiah Kolone, C Keoni Taylor, and RG Chris Gonzalez. RT Troy Kowalski is the kid of the group as a sophomore.
Bryce Crawford was a major bright spot at PK last season, as he hit 16/18 FG tries. He is back to give the Spartans a solid scoring option.
What To Be Concerned About: Offense
The QB group will be severely young and inexperienced with the departure of Kenny Potter this season. Josh Love, a RS sophomore will start, but was not promising in limited action last fall. He completed just 51.7% of his pass attempts, and tossed five INTs to just two TDs.  If he cannot win or hold the job, Montel Aaron, a RS freshman, is the only backup option worth looking at currently.
What To Be Excited About: Defense
The Spartans will run a 3-4 defense this fall. Two players of note return on the line in DE Owen Roberts and DT Bryson Bridges. Roberts finsihed with 8.5 TFLS off of the edge, while Bridges added 5.5 more up the middle. Roberts finished with 56 tackles overall last fall, while Bridges picked up 33 tackles.
The LB corps is expected to be a bit up and down this season, but has some quality in OLB Ethan Aguayo and ILB Frank Ginda. Ginda finished last season with 99 tackles, while Aguayo added 53.
The CB group should be solid as Austin Chechere returns after recording 14 PBUs last fall. He also led the team with four INTs. Jermaine Kelly also returns after recording five PBUs and 26 tackles.
Maurice McKnight is back at FS after recording 68 tackles and Trevon Bierria is back at SS, and recorded 54 tackles last fall. Bierria was solid in pass coverage, scoring six PBUs on the year.
Michael Carrisoza is back at Punter, and is one of the best in the nation after averaging 44.31 yards per punt last fall.
What To Be Concerned About: Defense
The LB corps could be a weak link, even with the return of Ginda and Aguayo. They are only as good as the other half of the equasion, and William Ossai and transfer sophomore Justin Parcells are unknown quantities in the starting role. Mykal Berry is another severely inexperienced player at DE as well, giving the Spartans three huge questions in the front seven. As good as some of these defensive pieces are, and there are good pieces, the unit still allowed over 34 points per game last season as it crumbled under the pressure of holding up a terrible offense. If the offense cannot come through with inexperience aplenty at QB, this unit may collapse yet again.
2017 Schedule: 8/26 USF, 9/2 Cal Poly, 9/9 at Texas, 9/16 at Utah, 9/23 Utah State, 9/30 at UNLV, 10/7 Fresno State, 10/14 at Hawaii, 10/28 at BYU, 11/4 San Diego State, 11/11 at Nevada 11/18 at Colorado State, 11/25 Wyoming
Final Overview
In order for the Spartans to find any success, that front seven has got to hold up, and the offense has got to unleash their talent in the backfield in the run game. The schedule is brutal early, and even the game against FCS member Cal Poly is no guaranteed win. I still see an opportunity for this team to win five games, but there is no room for error, and the talent, specifically on defense, has got to hold that up.

Bilo's 2017 College Football Previews: Nevada Wolfpack


Nevada Wolfpack
Nevada has become a program lost in the wilderness the last few seasons, and there were a ton of issues with the Brian Polian era. He has now moved on, claiming that this was an untenable situation because of budget and facility issues, and now the Wolfpack have looked to long time assistant Jay Norvell to try and right things. Of course the question begs, why has he not received a head coaching job until now? Was this the right hire, or did Nevada simply go out and get someone on the cheap? We will find out soon enough, as the Pack continues to try and stop what has become a long and slow slide to the bottom of the very weak West division of the MWC.
What To Be Excited About: Offense
With a QB battle brewing, the important thing to note is that the Wolfpack has some experience coming back at receiver this fall. Wyatt Demps caught 53 passes to lead the team last season, and finished the season with 686 yards and eight scores. He will be the most important piece of the puzzle in most cases. Andrew Cellis moves up one spot on the depth chart after catching 23 passes last fall.
The line could end up being OK this season, as four upperclassmen are projected for starting nods in LT Austin Corbett, LG Ziad Damanhoury, C Sean Krepsz, and RT Jake Nelson.
Spencer Pettit was solid at PK last fall, hitting 7/9 FG attempts, and will be the full time kicker in 2017.
What To Be Concerned About: Offense
David Cornwell transferred over from Alabama, and was a formerly high ranked recruit for the Crimson Tide. He never could quite get over the hump at Alabama, and so now is looking to try his hand at the Nevada QB job. Ty Gangi is back after starting some games last season as well, but neither is what I would call a perfect option at this point. Cornwell is all potential, while Gangi struggled at times to move the ball.
The run game also took a massive hit just last week when James Butler, who is coming off of back to back 1300 yard seasons, has announced that he will be transferring to Iowa. That leaves Jaxson Kinkade, a sophomore, as the only back with any real experience after rushing 78 times for just 334 yards last fall. He hardly showed any big play potential last fall, and that is a major issue.
What To Be Excited About: Defense
The Pack will be going with a 3-3-5 defense this fall. Malik Reed returns at one DE spot after leading the team last fall with 9.5 TFLs and five sacks. The opposite DE spot is open, but Korey Rush should settle in there after playing fairly well as a rotational player last fall. Hausio Sakuna will start at NT, and showed some flashers last season as a freshman.
The Safeties ought to be fun to watch this season, as they are one of the more active units in the MWC. Jaden Sawyer, Asauni Rufus, and Dameon Baber will all be back after decent showings last fall. Rufus finished second on the team in tackles with 95 (67 solos), and forced three fumbles. Baber finished with 73 total tackles, broke up three passes, and forced two fumbles, and Sawyer finished with 49 tackles and six PBUs. Sawyer also led the team with two INTs.
What To Be Concerned About: Defense
The LBs are hardly the most active unit in the league. Travis Wilson and Austin Palhaus will start outside, while Gabe Sewell will start in the middle. Sewell is the best of the bunch, with 78 tackles last season, including 5.5 for loss. Wilson and Paulhaus combined for 59 between them.The middle of the field will need some work this fall, and that could be a big problem, as two thirds of the line in front of them will be breaking in as new starters as well.
The CB position is looking a bit weakened this fall, as Kendall Johnson and Elijah Moody project to start. They combined for just three PBUs last fall, and the Wolfpack secondary as a while generated just five INTs all season.
The punting job is wide open after the departure of the very successful Alex Boy, who averaged well over 43 yards per punt a year ago.
2017 Schedule: 9/2 at Northwestern, 9/9 Toledo, 9/16 Idaho State, 9/23 at Washington State, 9/30 at Fresno State, 10/7 Hawaii, 10/14 at Colorado State, 10/20 Air Force, 11/4 at Boise State, 11/11 San Jose State, 11/18 at San Diego State, 11/25 UNLV
Final Overview
I will admit that I am not a big fan of the Jay Norvell hire out of the gate, but one never knows. This will be his first ever FBS head coaching job, and so he has a ton to prove, despite that he has been an assistant for what feels like forever. This program has been on a downward slide for some time now, and the Brian Polian era ended in disaster, despite beating hated rival UNLV to close out last season by 35 points. Polian had few good things to say when he walked away from this program, so Norvell is walking into a tenuous situation. Nevada has won before, and can win again, but how far off it is from seeing those times again remains to be seen. I see four wins on the board, at best.

Bilo's 2017 College Football Previews: Fresno State Bulldogs


Fresno State Bulldogs
Tim DeRuyter came to Fresno State on a hot streak, and was even considered for the open USC job at one point a few years ago, but that all came to a crashing halt, and this once proud program that has known mostly success for the last three decades has now hit rock bottom. DeRuyter is gone, and now the administration turns to former California head coach Jeff Tedford. Tedford was a bit of a head scratacher when he was hired, as there were other candidates about that made more sense at the time, but Tedford does have a history at Fresno State, as he returns for his third go around on this staff. Make no mistake...Tedford has a total rebuild ahead of him to get the Bulldogs right again. After the Cal situation slipped through his fingers, and he missed a wide open window to dominate in the PAC-12, will this situation be any different?
What To Be Excited About: Offense
Chason Virgil showed signs of coming along last season before missing part or all of the final three games of 2016. He returns to the QB job as a sophomore in 2017 after passing for 2021 yards and 13 TDs to 10 INTs. Of course, he still has plenty of work to do to get the engine running perfectly, but he has shown some ability, and they have not had that at QB since Derek Carr left. If he slips, the Bulldogs have brought in JC transfer Jorge Reyna to help out as QB depth is exceptionally thin.
The top two receivers from the 2016 team are both coming back in KeeSean Johnson and Jamire Jordan. Johnson caught 66 passes for 773 yards and 10 scores last fall, and Jordan caught an additional 45 passes for 713 yards, and is a major big play threat, averaging 15.84 yards per catch.
The entire offensive line, while inconsistent last fall, will return intact, which can only be encouraging. Chriatian Cronk is back at LT, Logan Highes at LG, Aaron Mitchell at C, Micah St. Andrew at RG, and David Patterson (RT) will all be back.
Kody Kroening was a rare bright spot last fall at PK, as he hit 15/17 FG attempts. He will be back to give the Bulldogs a much needed scoring option this fall.
What To be Concerned About: Offense
The offense has been i complete implosion mode for the last couple of years, and the team really bottomed out last season when they averaged just 17.7 points per game. One of the main issues is with a run game that averaged just 116.17 yards per game, while running behind a freshman QB who was struggling to find his groove. The run game has got to improve upon these numbers, as not one back averaged at least five yards per carry, no matter their workload. The line had something to do with that, but with that group back intact, there are no more excuses.
What To Be Excited About: Defense
Six returning starters are back for the Bulldogs, which puts them ahead of several other MWC teams in that category.
Three starters return on the line, which is a good start to show improvement this season. Nathan Madsen and Tobenna Okeke are back at DE, while Malik Forrester is back at DT. Forrester is the best of the group, as he finished with five TFLs last season. The returning ends combined for just four.
James Bailey and Robert Stanley are back at LB. Bailey finished with 59 tackles last fall, while Stanley had 54, and they combined for eight TFLs. Bailey added four PBUs in coverage.
What To Be Concerned About: Defense
The defense crumbled under the weight of having to carry a stagnating offense last season, and allowed 30.9 points per game. Part of the concern this season is that only one returning starter is back in the secondary, and that could allow teams to have their way with the pass fairly early in the season and in games in general. DeShawn Potts is the lone returning starter. He finished with five PBUs last season and added 59 tackles.
The Punting game is also a concern, as Blake Cusick did not have a stellar freshman season. He averaged just 38.33 yards per punt on the year, and that will not help much.
2017 Schedule: 9/2 Incarnate Word, 9/9 at Alabama, 9/16 at Washington, 9/30 Nevada, 10/7 at San Jose State, 10/14 New Mexico, 10/21 at San Diego State, 10/28 UNLV, 11/4 BYU, 11/11 at Hawaii, 11/18 at Wyoming, 11/25 Boise State
Final Overview
This, once again, is a total rebuild job. Tedford is going to have his hands full with this gig, and in his most recent years, he has not done a great job just about anywhere. He lasted just one season in his return to the CFL as head coach of the BC Lions, and had to leave his job with Tampa Bay in the NFL due to health issues, and then there was that implosion and slow slide at Cal. All signs point to this not working out long term, but one has to hold out hope. In short, a three win season would be a miracle this fall in Fresno, and just surviving the early schedule will be imperative, as the Bulldogs play two national semifinalist teams in consecutive weeks with games at Alabama and Washington. That was brutal scheduling. The Bulldogs will continue to take their lumps for a time, but for how long? Nobody knows.