The Bilo College Football Report is back in the NFL Draft game with our 2017 Edition of the "NFL Draft Prospectus". I will be releasing this guide and breakdown once again by positions, and of course we begin with the Quarterback position.
I have painstakingly analyzed every QB on the list once again this year, and has been the case for the last couple of years, if you are an NFL franchise in need of a front line QB, you are in a great deal of trouble here.
There is very little depth in this class, and as was the case in 2016, there are few that will be able to produce in year one, and few who would be able to play at all in 2017 for any franchise. With the college transition to shotgun spread offenses, QBs coming out of the college game are less and less prepared for the style of NFL play. More are the players coming out of college like Jared Goff last season, and Brett Hundley the year before, where these QBs need to be broken down to their core and rebuilt from the ground up. Once that project was completed for Brett Hundley, he became a different player altogether, and the jury is still way out on Goff after what was a mess of a rookie season. Here are my final grades on the 2017 QB class, 1st by draft order, followed by my analysis and breakdown.
1st Round (4.5-5 points)
Mitch Trubusky, North Carolina
2nd Round (3.7-4.5)
DeShone Kizer, Notre Dame
3rd Round (3.0-3.7)
Patrick Mahomes III, Texas Tech
DeShaun Watson, Clemson
4th Round (2.5-3.0)
Davis Webb, Californis
Brad Kayya, Miami
5th Round (2.0-2.5)
Nate Peterman, Pittsburgh
Josh Dobbs, Tennessee
6th Round (1.5-2.0)
Chad Kelly, Ole Miss
7th Round (1.0-1.5)
Jerod Evans, Virginia Tech
Alec Torgersen, Penn
UFA (0-1.0)
Antonio Pipkin, Tiffin
Seth Russell, Baylor
Tyler Stewart, Nevada
Taysom Hill, BYU
Patrick Towles, Boston College
CJ Beathard, Iowa
Mitch Leidner, Minnesota
Sefo Liufau, Colorado
Gunner Kiel, Cincinnati
Greg Ward, Jr., Houston
Ryan Higgins, Louisiana Tech
Nick Mullens, Southern Mississippi
Cooper Rush, Central Michigan
Phillip Nelson, East Carolina
Dane Evans, Tulsa
Zach Terrell, Western Michigan
Skyler Howard, West Virginia
Tyler Rogers, New Mexico State
Phillip Walker, Temple
Trevor Knight, Texas A&M
David Washington, Old Dominion
Kenny Potter, San Jose State
Small School Prospects
Austin Gahafer, Morehead State
KD Humphries, Murray State
Brady Gustafson, Montana
Kevin Anderson, Fordham
Kyle Sloter, Northern Colorado
Justin Dvorak, Colorado Mines
Kyle Zimmerman, NW Missouri State
Garrett Fugate, Central Missouri
Jeff Ziemba, Shepherd (WV)
The Breakdown
Mitch Trubisky, North Carolina
6-3, 220
Trubisky, in my opinion, is the only QB in this class that I would approach taking in the first round of the 2017 NFL draft. Had he returned to play for the Tar Heels in 2017, he would probably be perceived as a top 5 pick if he had played to potential. As is, I would not draft Trubisky inside the top 10, but rather somewhere between 11-15.
Trubisky was the full time starter at UNC for one full season. He completed 304/477 passes for 3748 yards and 30 TDs to just 6 INTs on the season. He completed 68% of his passes, and attempted 34.4 passes per game.
The Good: He has solid size for an NFL QB, and looks the part. He has exceptional accuracy and can make all of the throws, and has played under center as well as in shotgun. He has the best NFL mindset as far as the ability to run an offense of anyone in this class, by far. He threw for 400 yards in 3 straight games without a pick, and threw 11 TD passes in those games, which were all wins for UNC. He threw for 250 yards or more in 10 games during the 2016 season.
The Bad
Trubisky only has one season to grade him by as a starter. During his sophomore season, he only attempted 47 passes, but completed 40 of them, so the sample size on him is not great. UNC finished the season just 1-3, and he tossed 4 of his 6 picks on the season in those 3 losses. In games that he threw multiple picks ( he tossed 2 in 3 games), UNC lost all three of those games. When he failed to throw a TD pass, UNC went 0-2. In 5 losses in 2016, he tossed 8 TDs to 6 Picks. In their 8 wins, he tossed 22 TDs to zero picks.
Final Overview
Trubisky is graded anywhere from mid 2nd round to early 1st, depending on who you talked to or when that conversation took place. As we get closer to draft day, the consensus is swinging to early 1st, and that information is based strictly on how teams are getting desperate to find competent passers, which happens to be a majority of the NFL these days. Trubisky has a small sample size to grade from, and that is a problem, because he has not fully developed. I think most people would have liked to see him stay in school for one more season, but as weak as the draft class is at QB, he stands to make a killing, ready or not. He will not be ready to start from day one, but could effectively develop into a very solid starter with the right staff behind him.
DeShone Kizer, Notre Dame
6-4, 230
Kizer has a ton of hit or miss challenges to deal with, as he is, like Trubisky, an early entry. Nobody is completely sold on Kizer, and most wanted to see another season in college. As a junior in 2016, the team completely fell apart around him, making him a man on an island during a 4-8 campaign. He passed for 2925 yards, with 26 TDs and 9 picks. As a sophomore, he came out of nowhere to take over and lead the Irish to a strong season in which he passed for 2880 yards, 21 TDs, and 10 picks. He rushed for 520 yards and 10 scores as a sophomore, and 472 yards and 8 scores as a junior.
The Good
Kizer has an NFL build, and is a very fluid athlete, as was evident by his total 992 yards rushing and 18 scores in 2 seasons with the Irish. He can scramble well within the pocket and make all of the throws on the run going to his strong side. If he keeps to the pocket, with adequate protection, he can throw the deep ball with considerable accuracy once he plants himself and throws. Once he established himself as a sophomore, Kizer took over like a guy who had been the leader all of the time, and really showed very few deficiencies until late in the season, with exception to turnovers, where he threw picks in 5 of 6 games. He is solid at reading defenses and knowing where he has the advantage in the secondary, and knows when to pick up and run when he doesn't have one. He wastes very few reps. He threw 47 TDs in 2 seasons.
The Bad
There was regression in accuracy in 2016, as he dipped almost 4 full points in completion percentage. Of course, the entire team imploded around him, and one cannot blame it all on his play. He did increase TD passes by 5, while dropping his pick total by 1, but he still managed to throw 19 picks in 23 games, which is hardly an indicator of being a great decision maker all of the time. Like most Notre Dame QBs under Brian Kelly, he played with a great deal of pressure, as Kelly was known to yell and scream all of the time. He often tried to take too much on as a result. His QBR also dropped by almost 5 full points in 2016 as the team struggled from weak to weak.
Final Overview
Almost everyone in the business was unhappy with Kizer's decision to not go back to school in 2017. He is an incomplete player who has work to do, and could be looked at as nothing more than an early round developmental pick, as he would likely be destroyed as a rookie trying to play significant minutes in 2017.
He has to work hard on improving his reads, and has to make better decisions with the football, as he is a turnover machine of sorts. When he is on, he may be the best overall QB in this class, but when he doesn't have his head right, he can be a mess and make poor decisions. He may just be the most frustrating QB in this class, as he is the epitome of the saying "some days are diamond, some days are stone".
He has not put everything together yet, and has not won enough to make me a believer, as Notre Dame is just 14-11 during his 2 seasons. I can easily see a second round grade for him, but it may be that someone will reach higher, and that would be a huge mistake. He will need time to ripen on the vine under a dedicated QB coach to get him ready.
Patrick Mahomes III, Texas Tech
6-3, 219
Mahomes is a polarizing player across the board. He spent two and a half seasons as the starter for the Red Raiders, playing in a primarily pass happy offense. He is 12-13 in two full seasons as a starter, and shared half a season with Davis Webb as a freshman before Webb transferred to California. As a freshman, playing part time, Mahomes completed 56.8% of his passes, and passed for 1547 yards with 16 TDs and four INTs. As a sophomore, Mahomes was the full time starter, and passed for 4653 yards, with 36 TDs and 15 INTs. He completed 63.5% of his passes on 44.1 attempts per game, and averaged 357.9 yards per game. As a junior, He passed for 5052 yards, 41 TDs, and 10 INTs. He averaged 49.3 attempts per game, and completed a career high 65.7% of his passes. He added a career high 12 rushing TDs as well.
The Good
Mahomes has the size that scouts seem to value. He can use his size to hang tough in the pocket and make the great throws, as he is able to do, or he has the athleticism to move out of the pocket and deliver on the run. He really came around as a runner in his junior season, when he ran for 12 scores. He sells play action very well, and uses his eyes to draw off defenders.
His accuracy improved each season, and he seemingly grew much more confident every season. He has a leading man swagger, but is not arrogant. He understands how to put touch on a football, or fire it like a cannon when hitting tight zone creases.
He seems to have a solid understanding of the game.
The Bad
Mahomes is the epitome of a "system guy". It's hard to translate where he will be as a rookie, because his entire understanding of the game is about to change. He is a shotgun only passer who has never had to work from under center, and needs to learn how to run in a huddle up system that balances out between pass and run. He has always played in a no huddle, hyper fast tempo, and has never had to really manage a game beyond quick decision passing.
He is also not a winner. He won just 12 games while losing 13 as a full time starter, and the team got worse around him as time wore on.
Although he shows an understanding of what is happening around him, he is too prone to going for the big fish and huge play rather than allowing the game to flow around him, and seems prone to breaking down into a playground mentality., as the offense he comes from tends to do.
He will also take off too soon, as he is trying to show his running skills, even if he does not have to.
As a former pitcher, he winds up a bit too much when making throws, which telegraphs intent to toss deep. This bad habit also allows more balls to sail on him.
He has also never developed a throwing angle that he goes to consistently. He is all over the place with his delivery.
Final Overview
Mahomes is simply a very raw, very unrefined QB in a refined league when it comes to expectations from QBs. He is simply not ready to be a front line starter in this league, and grades are all over the place on him, depending on whom you speak with. He comes from Texas Tech, a school familiar with big number QBs, but which is also familiar with their QBs flaming out as pros before they ever get their feet on the ground. Not one Tech QB in the modern era has ever made it in the league, and that is saying something. Unless he gets some serious coaching, like Brett Hundley did at Green Bay, he is not going to make it.
DeShaun Watson, Clemson
6-3, 215
Watson is yet another player that most people in the football business are highly split on. He took Clemson from an average ACC program to an elite unit over the last two seasons, as the Tigers were national semifinalists in 2015, and national champs in 2016. He played in eight games as a freshman in 2014, passing for 1466 yards, 14 TDs, and two INTs. He added five rushing scores as well. As a sophomore, he took Clemson to a national title game appearance. He passed for 4104 yards, 35 TDs, and 13 INTs. He added another 1105 yards and 12 more TDs on the ground. Clemson won the national title his junior season in 2016. He passed for 4593 yards, 42 TDs, and tossed 17 INTs, and averaged 306.2 yards per game passing. He completed between 68 and 69% of his passes each of his three seasons. He added nine more scores as a runner in 2016, and finished with 629 yards on the ground.
The Good
He certainly knows how to win. He finished as a finalist for the Heisman twice, and played in two national title games, winning one. In that title win for the 2016 season a couple of months ago, Watson led a wild 4th quarter rally to deliver the title win.
Over his last 1181 pass attempts, he has been sacked just 32 times. He can move the pocket easily, and does not get shifty with his run ability too soon. He will stick in the pocket and deliver throws under pressure, rather than break down and take off when he does not have to. He became more of a passer in 2016, and less of a runner, but still ran when necessary with success.
He has solid size for an NFL QB.
He seems to stand up the tallest against the toughest competition, and does not get derailed in tough games against big time opponents. Very confident. High character guy who can lead a locker room by example.
The Bad
Watson tends to make some concerning decisions in critical moments at times. He has tossed 30 INTs in the last two seasons, which averages out to 15 per season. That is a high number for a guy who had a gifted roster around him to make plays in. He was only hurried 42 times in two seasons, and tossed 30 picks. Do the math there, but it is not good.
He tends to have Danny Wuerffel syndrome at times, where he just chucks the ball up and hopes his receivers can get to it. And sometimes can be known to misread what defenses are doing.
He is still having a tough time reading through progressions, and this is something that he should have dealt with a while ago. He locks onto his favorite targets and does not always do a good job of looking them off.
He is another "system guy" who works in a playground like no huddle, shotgun offense. He will have to learn how to lead from a huddle, and will have to be taught to work from under center, meaning that he cannot be ready to be a starter for at least two seasons, maybe three.
His numbers will not translate to the NFL, and his game will have to change dramatically to succeed.
He did have an ACL injury in 2014, and although it has not given him problems, it needs to be addressed.
Final Overview
Watson is not ready to be a front line starting QB in the NFL right out of school, and some teams may be dumb enough to try to make him one, which could destroy his career. He is a system QB, and played in a strictly college offense that does not translate to the next level. If he tries too hard to be a dual threat guy in the NFL, he will get hurt badly. His turnover numbers are big, and that is concerning as well. I see too many bad traits despite his winning in college. He is the kind of QB in this league that you pass on and let the other guy take the chance and the developmental time that it will take to get him NFL ready.
Davis Webb, California
6-4, 229
Webb is another big number passer in the tradition of both Texas Tech and California Quarterbacks in the last 20 years. He started out at Texas Tech in 2013, and passed for 2718 yards, and tossed 20 TDs to nine picks. He was limited to eight games in 2014, and passed for 2539 yards and 24 TDs, to 13 INTs. He lost the job to Patrick Mahomes III in 2015 and transferred to California after nearly signing with Colorado. He did play in five games before transferring, passing for just 300 yards and two scores. At California, in 2016, he passed for 4295 yards and 37 scores to 12 INTs.
The Good
He has plenty of arm strength to make the requisite throws. He has awesome size for an NFL type QB, which helps out a great deal.
He is strong in the pocket, and will hang in to make passes under pressure, but there are some issues here I will discuss later.
He has solid touch on his passes, and knows how to adjust his speeds in different situations well enough.
He has mobility and can move a pocket under pressure, and can score on his feet as well, as he did six times at Cal.
He has raw ability, and seems coachable.
The Bad
Webb is another system guy who ran a pass happy, minimal read offense at both Texas Tech and California. He was not a big winner at either school, finishing just 5-7 at California.
I have a real issue that he lost the job at Texas Tech to Mahomes, and then transferred out rather than fighting through it. When he had an opportunity to transfer, he stuck with a pass happy scheme rather than going to a program where he could play in a more pro set offense to show what he had in that environment.
He has virtually zero experience running huddles or playing under center, which is a recurring theme here.
He has thrown a high number of picks in limited experience.
He has a lock on attitude towards his receivers, and does not progress his reads well, and that is a bad habit based on the offense he has played in.
He will throw a pass to his number one option, whether the pass is there to be made or not, and will toss into traffic when he does not have to.
He does not stand in to pressure well enough, and will try to make something happen that is not there, Tends to get his foot work jumbled up as he can start to think run too early in progressions. His footwork basically needs a complete overhaul.
When pressured, his accuracy falls sharply, so playing behind an average or bad line will highly effect productivity from this player.
Final Overview
Webb has plenty of natural, raw talent, to get by, but his mental approach to the game has been soured by playing in those pass happy systems, where one read is all you get. He has the arm to make it work, but has too many bad habits, and is not ready to be tasked with running an NFL offense on the field. He will have to be broken down and rebooted to have any chance in this league, and at best, may translate to a career backup even then, if he is lucky. He is worth the developmental time, but only if you have someone credible in front of him for the next three years.
Brad Kaaya, Miami
6-4, 209
Kaaya was a three year starter for the Hurricanes and enters the draft after his junior season. He probably has the best sample size of any QB in the 2017 draft as a result. As a freshman in 2014, he passed for 3198 yards and 26 TDs to 12 INTs. He completed just 58.5% of his passes in an up and down season, while attempting 29.1 passes per game. As a sophomore in 2015, Kaaya passed for 3238 yards and 16 TDs against five INTs. He completed 61.2% of his passes, and attempted 32.4 passes per game, and played in 12 games. As a junior in 2016, Kaaya passed for 3532 yards, with 27 TDs and just seven INTs in 13 games. He completed 62% of his passes on 32.4 attempts per contest.
The Good
Solid NFL size and arm strength is a plus.
Played in a more pro set offense, and knows the system better than almost anyone at QB in the draft class. He has shown flash and ability to make the tough throws he will have to make in the NFL.
He has a very nice deep ball, and shows considerable touch on his passes when necessary. When he has the time, he probably has one of the better throwing motions in the college game, and understands progressions.
The Bad
Although he has some very good physical attributes, his mental approach can be sloppy. He has never really gotten out of the low 60% range in completion percentage, and only plays at his best when he has a clean pocket and is in perfect conditions to make plays. He really breaks down under pressure, and will keep his eyes on the pass rush rather than on what is unfolding in the passing game downfield.
He is a Drew Bledoe type in that he grows roots in the pocket, and does not move well at all. If the sack is coming, he will not be able to avoid it.
He needs some work in recognizing packages, and must continue to improve at his base package reading, where he made some strides in 2016.
Final Overview
Kaaya probably has the best long term future, if a team will invest in him in the short term, but he is strictly a hit or miss prospect. He will need time to develop and progress as a pro, so someone taking him will have to show patience and attack his shortcomings right away, He seems to be coachable, and if he gets the right staff around him, he could really bloom. He came into Miami with a huge amount of pressure on him as a can't miss prospect, but he never truly had great talent around him to help him recognize those expectations. I like him as a long term prospect, but he certainly needs some work. If you can get him in the mid to late rounds, he could be a developmental steal based on his experience in a more pro set offense than almost any of his piers in this class.
Nate Peterman, Pittsburgh
6-2, 225
Peterman was a two year starter for the Pitt Panthers, starting both his junior and senior seasons in the ACC. He passed for 2287 yards and 20 TDs to eight picks in his first season as a starter. He completed 61.5% of his passes on 24.2 attempts per game.
As a senior in 2016, Peterman passed for 2855 yards, with 27 scores and seven picks. He completed 60.5% of his passes on 23.5 passes per game.
The Good
He threw 47 TD passes over two seasons, with just 15 INTs, which is just over a 3:1 ratio.
Knows how to control a game, and is a solid game manager.
Times his passes well, has some good zip on the ball in tight windows, and avoids making crucial errors.
He is solid at reading his progressions, which is a rare skill in this class.
He works the pocket very well, and can move and shift the pocket at will. Will step up and deliver a big throw under pressure.
He may have the best timing of any QB in this class, and anticipates very well.
Very accurate on deep balls.
Beat Clemson in 2016.
The Bad
He has an inconsistent release, which allows him to lose control and sail some passes.
He is supremely confident, which is good, but he can get a bit arrogant with his skills, and makes some dumb things happen on occasion.
His overall accuracy is not great, as his completion percentage hovered in the extremely low 60% range.
He is a little on the shorter range than scouts like.
He is more a game manager than a game controller. He showed some game changing flash against Clemson by tossing five TDs against a tough defense, but that flash was just a glimpse, and it was rarely seen again.
While he has worked in a pro set offense, he still needs more work on mechanics and understanding on some basic concepts and logistics.
Final Overview
Peterman is kind of like vanilla ice cream. It will do the trick, but you won't write home about it. He is more a game manager, in the shape of a Greg McElroy, than a game changer. He is solid, but not spectacular. There are things to like, but overall, I do not see him as a starter in this league at this stage. There just is not enough there for my liking, but that's not to say I hate him. There just is not enough there for me.
Josh Dobbs, Tennessee
6-3, 216
Dobbs was probably one of the most disappointing overall prospects in college football during his time a Tennessee, as he never seemingly lived up to his billing.
Dobbs did not start regularly until his junior season, even though he had the label of four year starter stamped on him out of high school. As a freshman, he passed for 695 yards with two TDs and six INTs, and completed 59.5% of his passes. He ran for 189 yards and one score. As a sophomore, he played in six games, passing for 1206 yards and nine scores to six INTs. He added 469 yards rushing and eight more scores on the ground.
As a junior, He passed for 2291 yards and 15 TDs to just five picks. He averaged 26.5 pass attempts per game, and completed 59.6% of his passes. He added 671 yards rushing and 11 more scores. As a senior, he passed for 2946 yards and 27 scores to 12 INTs, and added a career high 891 yards rushing and 12 TDs. He completed a career high 63% of his passes on 27.5 attempts per game.
The Good
Dobbs has a quick release when passing, and can read through progressions rather easily.
Has solid deep ball skills, with 14 TD passes of 21 yards or more.
He has solid rushing ability, and can make players miss who over pursue.
Can throw well on the run, and make big plays when needed.
The Bad
Is too much of a runner, not enough of a passer, despite showing more passing ability in 2016 than any other season.
His best value is in a wildcat package.
Completion percentage never got out of the low 60s as a career high.
Inconsistent decision making, mental approach is all over the place.
He crumbles under pressure.
Never lived up to advanced billing coming into the college game, and never won on a high level.
Highly questionable when it comes to reading defenses.
Makes up his mind too early as to where he will throw the ball, and then throws it whether the play is there or not.
Final Overview
I will admit that I am not a fan. I would simply not draft Dobbs based on a lack of ever living up to expectations, and never having won an SEC East title in his four years. The fact that it took him two full years to win the starting QB job is ludicrous to me. His overall skill set makes him a decent college QB in an average program, but he is not nearly great, and to be a QB in the NFL, one must display some level of greatness. Dobbs is not that guy.
Chad Kelly, Ole Miss
6-2, 215
Kelly started his career at Clemson, but was kicked out of school due to disciplinary issues, and transferred to famed JC East Mississippi before ending up at Ole Miss.
Kelly blew onto the scene at Ole Miss like a hurricane off of the gulf in 2015, passing for 4042 yards and 31 scores, but he did toss 13 INTs. He attempted 35.2 passes per game, and completed 65.1% of his passes.
He injured his ACL in 2016, which ended his season early. He played in just nine games, passing for 2758 yards with 19 TDs and nine INTs. He completed 62.5% of his passes on 36.4 attempts per game.
The Good
Has a big arm, and loves to use it.
Believes in himself above all other things.
Is fun to watch and makes a myriad of plays.
The Bad
I have him as a 6th rounder currently, but he could go undrafted.
He is an off-field nightmare, and his temper gets the best of him. He had a ton of issues at Clemson involving fights, and getting into it with the staff, and was kicked out of the school.
He seemed to get himself together at East Mississippi, but there is an arrogance there that gives an impression that he doesn't care what people think. He had another issue last season where he ran onto the field during his brother's high school game during a fight.
As bad as his head is off-field, his on field play can be described as erratic, even if he can show some excitement at times. He makes terrible decisions with the football, which was evident in losses to Alabama and Florida State, where Ole Miss blew huge leads to lose.
Does not appear to be coachable, and is more loose cannon than anything else.
He has raw talent, but at this point, that's all he will seemingly ever have.
Was uninvited to the combine.
Was not healthy enough to run all drills at combine, even if he had appeared.
Too risky a pick.
Final Overview
Teams are running away from low character guys these days, and Kelly absolutely qualifies as low character. His hotheadedness just spins off into supernova land, and there is no getting him down from that tree. He has probably already fallen off of most boards, and he needs to figure out how to get them back. He showed a willingness to go to the combine, but the league shut him out, and has not profiled him, making him an extreme long shot, at best.
Jerod Evans, Virginia Tech
6-4, 230
Evans started his career at Air Force, but a torn ACL led him to transfer to the JC route at Trinity Valley. He was heavily recruited out of Trinity Vally by Texas A&M, but chose Virginia Tech instead for a chance to be the undisputed starter. He started just one season at Virginia Tech, and that was 2016.
Evans passed for 3552 yards and 29 TDs against just eight picks for the Hokies. He completed 63.5% of his passes on 30.1 attempts per game.
The Good
Evans likely climbed into the late rounds with a solid combine. He has the perfect size for a prospect at QB for the league, and has a cannon arm. He came into Tech and helped turn the offense around in his one season under center. He finished 10-4 as a starter, and started his first month with 14 TDs to just one pick.
The Bad
Evans has a massively limited sample size, as he played only one full season of major college football. His accuracy was not great, and he diminished as the season progressed. He had that 14:1 ratio for TD to INT to start the season, but he tossed six picks in his final five games, and the team was a barely average 3-2 during that time. He was horrible in a 17-7 loss to North Carolina, where he only completed 7/17 passes for just 73 yards.
Final Overview
There just is not enough on tape to really look at Evans as anything other than a developmental prospect. I am not certain as to where his head is with him coming out after just one year at Virginia Tech, and I also question his dedication after he took one injury and left Air Force. It seems that he believes in himself a bit too much at this point, and is lacking a humility factor. Due to his size, and raw skill set, I may use a 7th rounder on him and develop him long term, but that is about it. I would not be surprised if he even goes undrafted.
Alec Torgersen, Penn
6-3, 230
Torgersen enters the draft as one of the most decorated Ivy League QBs ever in the modern era. In his last two seasons, he passed for 36 TDs and just seven INTs after a bumpy first couple of seasons for the Quakers. He tossed 11 INTs in one season as a sophomore, more than his final two seasons combined. He completed 69% of his passes as a junior, which was second in FCS football. He also rushed for 18 scores for his career.
The Good
He is a three year starter at Penn.
He is a student of the game who used film after his sophomore season to help him develop his game.
Has excellent ball handling skills when reading defenses pre-pass.
He is highly accurate and has nice touch on deep passes, and has excellent zip on short and mid range passes.
Shows solid touch on deep balls. Can get out of trouble with his feet, and can move the pocket.
Very accurate passer, and has confidence throwing in the middle of the field as well.
The Bad
Came from a zone read option offense at Penn.
Did not play against top flight competition.
He has not had to make too many decisions, as plays and checks are called in from the sideline.
Comes from a one read offense, and has to do some work in reading progressions, and has to develop into an NFL offense.
Hangs onto the ball too long at times.
Has an inconsistent throwing angle.
Final Overview
Torgersen is a small school prospect that has value in the late rounds, and could even climb a bit if teams fall in love with the potential here. Think Jon Kitna of sorts. He has long range potential with development, but he has a lot of work to do, which again, is a recurring theme with this class.
He could be a three to four year prospect.
The Rest of the Class
Antonio Pipkin, Tiffin: High accuracy, dual threat type who could be a developmental prospect.
Seth Russell, Baylor: system guy with good numbers, but has an injury history.
Tyler Stewart, Nevada: Has a decent arm, but offense limited him as a true passer.
Taysom Hill, BYU: More legend now than actual prospect, derailed by injuries.
Patrick Towles, Boston College: Has size, but numbers were never great. Kentucky transfer.
CJ Beathard, Iowa: Really fell off the grid as a passer in 2016, was intriguing before that.
Mitch Leidner, Minnesota: Game manager type who can run. May be worth a UFA look.
Sefu Liufau, Colorado: Had a bad off season after big year, has injury history.
Gunner Kiel, Cincinnati: Was never coached correctly, fell into dog house in 2016.
Greg Ward, Jr., Houston: Dynamic athlete, may move to WR in NFL.
Ryan Higgins, Louisiana Tech: Gunslinger from a QB school, would pick him up right away.
Nick Mullens, Southern Miss: Injuries derailed 2016 season, still has some skill.
Cooper Rush, Central Michigan: Dual threat type could have big future in CFL.
Phillip Nelson, East Carolina: Injury history, went to ECU and removed his leash, solid passer.
Dane Evans, Tulsa: 7600 yards passing over last two seasons. Should get camp invite.
Zach Terrell, Western Michigan: Completed just shy of 70% of his passes in 2016, 33 TDs.
Skyler Howard, West Virginia: All over the place throughout his career, but had some big games.
Tyler Rogers, New Mexico State: Despite numbers, a decent QB who had little help.
Phillip Walker, Temple: Started out as a running QB, left as a passer.
Trevor Knight, Texas A&M: Tough as nails, but probably didn't do enough to get drafted.
David Washington, Old Dominion: Had a huge 2016, and maybe landed himself a camp invite.
Kenny Potter, San Jose State: Played in a losing program, but is not a bad player.
Best of the Small School QBs
Austin Gahafer, Morehead State; KD Humphries, Murray State; Brady Gustafson, Montana; Kevin Anderson, Fordham; Kyle Sloter, Northern Colorado; Justin Dvorak, Colorado Mines; Kyle Zimmerman, NW Missouri State; Garrett Fugate, Central Missouri; Jeff Ziemba, Shepherd
Coming Up Next: NFL Draft Prospectus 2017, Running Backs
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