Monday, November 23, 2015

Coaches on the Hot Seat: Week 13

There are currently 12 jobs open in FBS football, and LSU could be a 13th next week, if not sooner. With so much firing going on, one has to assume that there could be more, but some schools could elect to wait another season. This post is about coaches who could go either way as we rapidly approach the end of the season...

Paul Johnson, Georgia Tech
I don't see Johnson going, but nobody can claim that this season didn't end up being one huge dumpster fire. The Yellowjackets were a top ten team to start the season in many polls, and then the wheels came off before the wreck even got out of the first month. Tech simply wasn't as good as they were cracked up to be, and Johnson can be squarely blamed for that. There may be considerable heat on him in 2016.

Tommy Tuberville, Cincinnati
Tuberville is another coach likely safe until next season, but they too largely underperformed on expectations this season. Tuberville has never been one of the great coaches, and this season was just one example. Look for there to be more heat on him next season.

Charlie Strong, Texas
All of the Miami rumors have not been helping matters as Strong tries to rebuild the Longhorns. He keeps shutting the rumors down, and he is getting plenty of public support from the interim AD, but how long will that last if the results don't get better once a permanent AD is named?

Dana Holgorsen, West Virginia
How long will 5th place finishes be ok in Morgantown? WVU has not competed with the top dogs in the Big 12 since joining, and finishing in the middle of the pack or lower is not what WVU had in mind when they joined. Demands will be high next season.

Mike Riley, Nebraska
Having to beat Iowa for a 6th win to get bowl eligible in the final week is never a popular thing in Lincoln, and despite all the bad breaks, most Husker fans likely privately wish Bo Pelini was still around. Riley was a strange fit when he was named coach at Nebraska, so I am guessing after the train wreck that this season became, he won't get a long leash next fall.

Bill Cubit, Illinois (Interim)
He wants the job full time, and if Illinois ends up bowling, maybe he should get it. I believe, however, that Illinois will not make a call on Cubit until they have had a good chance to wade through the waters of who is available, and if they can land someone splashier, Cubit will be out. Stay tuned.

Kevin Wilson, Indiana
If Indian beats Purdue, they will go bowling, but that still may not be enough for Wilson to keep his job. More was expected when Wilson was hired, and he has had five years to get it done, and 6-6 has become the peak, again, if they beat Purdue. I'd give it 50% of a chance that Wilson coaches the Hoosiers next fall.

Rick Stockstill, Middle Tennessee
If there is one thing that he does well, it's getting the Blue Raiders to .500 and keeping them there for long periods of time. That's not enough these days, and attendance suffered this season. His act has gotten stale here, so it may make the most sense for both sides to move on.

Ron Turner, FIU
This is a huge back and forth for me. Turner hasn't done a great job with the Panthers, and the season ended with a 5-7 record. There has to be a ton of thinking going on about what to do here, but if Turner were to go, and he may, maybe the Panthers should consider Kerwin Bell of Jacksonville as a replacement.

Larry Coker, UTSA
I am guessing that Coker can pretty much dictate terms of how and when he leaves at this point, and I have written plenty on the subject in the last two weeks. The storm has seemingly quieted down with two consecutive wins, but how much longer Coker wants to do this is anyone's guess right now.

David Bailiff, Rice
Much like Stockstill at MTSU, Bailiff has done a good job of getting Rice to somewhere in the middle, and then surging up and down from there every year. He has been anything but consistent, and the fan base, what there is of it, may be done riding the roller coaster. This program could be better than this.

Sean Kugler, UTEP
Kugler was moving the needle a year ago, but the needle went back the other way in 2015. The Miners cannot seem to build momentum, and that could cost Kugler in 2016 if more of the same happens again.

Jeff Monken, Army
Monken will be fine until next season. He had a young team, but to answer a comment criticizing me for giving Larry Coker a break for having a young team, Army isn't a start up program. Rich Ellerson was a good coach coming into Army, and he didn't get any slack for that either. Monken has got to find a way to win, because Army is now worse than all of the service academy schools, including even The Citadel.

Pete Lembo, Ball State
Lembo is moving in the wrong direction, and while there is no buzz about him going anywhere right now, word on the street is telling me that he has next year to get it going or he will be gone.

Chris Creighton, Eastern Michigan
He looked like he was moving the dial early on, but before the end of September, it was all back to gloom for EMU. He will be in year three next fall, and it will be time to show results.

Chuck Martin, Miami (Ohio)
Like Creighton, Martin is rebuilding a toxic waste dump. Also like Creighton, better results must be seen to be able to continue to work the rebuild.

Tim DeRuyter, Fresno State
This program has plummeted since two years ago. DeRuyter will likely get one more season to try to get the program moving again, but that is it.

Mike MacIntyre, Colorado
He has already been given another season, as there were some strides made in 2015. MacIntyre has one more season to get this program moving, and it will be bowl or bust in 2016.

Bret Bielema, Arkansas
I give him credit for getting his team back in the second half of this season, but that start was abysmal. This is the SEC, where Les Miles is getting fired for a 132-31 record. How much longer do you think that 6-6 or 5-7 every year will hold up in Hog Country?

Gus Malzahn, Auburn
They fired Gene Chizek a year out from winning a national title. Auburn is in last place in the SEC West. Malzahn gets one more season, and that is it.

Mark Richt, Georgia
He may go this offseason. Richt has been fairly average at UGA, and is seeking an elusive SEC title out of a very weak Eastern Division. How hard should this be?


Week 12 PRS Rankings: FCS

Sunday, November 22, 2015
Rank Points Team Record Opponent
1 2384 Jacksonville State  10-1 Def. Murray State 42-20
2 2058 McNeese State  10-0 Def. Lamar 20-14
3 1998 Harvard  9-1 Def. Yale 38-19
4 1986 James Madison  9-2 Def. Villanova 38-29
5 1923 Dayton  10-1 Lost to Drake 27-17
6 1911 Illinois State  9-2 Def. South Dakota 46-0
7 1875 Dartmouth  9-1 Def. Princeton 17-10
8 1849 Grambling State  8-2 Bye
9 1832 Prairie View A&M  8-2 Def. Jackson State 56-14
10 1829 Charleston Southern  9-2 Lost to Alabama 56-6
11 1817 Fordham  9-2 Regular Season Over
12 1766 Coastal Carolina  9-2 Lost to Liberty 24-21
13 1754 Portland State  9-2 Def. Eastern Washington 34-31
14 1703 Bethune-Cookman  9-2 Def. Florida A&M 35-14
15 1678 North Carolina A&T  9-2 Lost to North Carolina Central 21-16
16 1597 Citadel  8-3 Def. South Carolina 23-22
17 1594 North Dakota State  9-2 Def. Missouri State 55-0
18 1523 Richmond  8-3 Def. William & Mary 20-9
19 1503 William & Mary  8-3 Lost to Richmond 20-9
20 1474 San Diego  9-2 Def. Butler 28-27
21 1467 Sam Houston State  8-3 Def. Central Arkansas 42-13
22 1465 North Carolina Central  8-3 Def. North Carolina A&T 21-16
23 1403 Southern Utah  8-3 Def. Northern Arizona 49-41
24 1364 South Dakota State  8-3 Lost to Western Illinois 30-24 2 OT
25 1330 Alcorn State  7-3 Def. Alabama A&M 44-10
26 1294 Jacksonville  9-2 Def. Valparaiso 58-13
27 1250 Tennessee-Chattanooga  8-3 Lost to Florida State 52-13
28 1149 Southern  6-4 Bye
29 1136 Northern Iowa  7-4 Def. Southern Illinois 49-28
30 1059 Central Arkansas  7-4 Lost to Sam Houston State 42-13
31 1041 Northern Arizona  7-4 Lost to Southern Utah 49-41
32 1040 Pennsylvania  7-3 Def. Cornell 34-21
33 1024 New Hampshire  7-4 Def. Maine 22-6
34 1007 Eastern Illinois  7-4 Def. Eastern Kentucky 21-7
35 998 Western Carolina  7-4 Def. Virginia Military Institute 24-20
36 972 Towson  7-4 Def. Rhode Island 38-21
37 971 South Carolina State  7-4 Def. Savannah State 52-29
38 959 Duquesne  8-3 Def. St. Francis (PA) 30-20
39 948 Tennessee-Martin  7-4 Def. Southeast Missouri State 28-25
40 911 Colgate  7-4 Def. Bucknell 14-10
41 910 Eastern Kentucky  6-5 Lost to Eastern Illinois 21-7
42 886 Montana  7-4 Def. Montana State 54-35
43 811 North Dakota  7-4 Def. California Poly 45-21
44 741 Liberty  6-5 Def. Coastal Carolina 24-21
45 714 Samford  6-5 Def. Mercer 47-21
46 709 St. Francis (PA)  6-4 Lost to Duquesne 30-20
47 662 Morehead State  7-4 Def. Marist 20-17
48 654 Eastern Washington  6-5 Lost to Portland State 34-31
49 628 Yale  6-4 Lost to Harvard 38-19
50 600 Villanova  6-5 Lost to James Madison 38-29
51 589 Western Illinois  6-5 Def. South Dakota State 30-24 2 OT
52 586 Weber State  6-5 Def. Idaho State 35-14
53 553 Holy Cross  6-5 Def. Georgetown 45-7
54 522 Lehigh  6-5 Def. Lafayette 49-35
55 358 Hampton  6-5 Regular Season Over
56 357 Wofford  5-6 Def. Furman 38-28
57 356 Sacred Heart  6-5 Def. Wagner 45-17
58 333 Incarnate Word  6-5 Def. Houston Baptist 30-3
59 313 Youngstown State  5-6 Lost to Indiana State 27-24
60 311 Alabama State  6-5 Def. Miles 26-7
61 291 Princeton  5-5 Lost to Dartmouth 17-10
62 240 Northern Colorado  6-5 Def. Abilene Christian 40-36
63 229 Brown  5-5 Def. Columbia 28-23
64 224 Indiana State  5-6 Def. Youngstown State 27-24
65 216 South Dakota  5-6 Lost to Illinois State 46-0
66 198 Mercer  5-6 Lost to Samford 47-21
67 189 Stony Brook  5-5 Def. Albany 20-2
68 186 Monmouth  5-6 Def. Gardner-Webb 23-9
69 152 Norfolk State  4-7 Def. Morgan State 17-10
70 150 Montana State  5-6 Lost to Montana 54-35
71 142 Lamar  5-6 Lost to McNeese State 20-14
72 126 Marist  5-6 Lost to Morehead State 20-17
73 123 Butler  6-5 Lost to San Diego
74 67 Bryant  5-6 Lost to Robert Morris 21-20
75 25 Northwestern State  4-7 Def. Stephen F. Austin State 33-17
76 9 Morgan State  4-6 Lost to Norfolk State 17-10
77 -3 California Poly  4-7 Lost to North Dakota 45-21
78 -29 Kennesaw State  6-5 Lost to Presbyterian 14-6
79 -33 Stephen F. Austin State  4-7 Lost to Northwestern State 33-17
80 -92 Tennessee State  4-6 Lost to Tennessee State 30-24
81 -99 Drake  5-6 Def. Dayton 27-17
82 -146 Furman  4-7 Lost to Wofford 38-28
83 -213 Southeast Missouri State  4-7 Lost to Tennessee-Martin 28-25
84 -219 Bucknell  4-7 Lost to Colgate 14-10
85 -231 Campbell  5-6 Regular Season Over
86 -233 Tennessee Tech  4-7 Def. Tennessee State 30-24
87 -284 Delaware  4-7 Def. Elon 14-10
88 -313 Southern Illinois  3-8 Lost to Northern Iowa 49-28
89 -352 Georgetown  4-7 Lost to Holy Cross 45-7
90 -362 Nicholls State  3-8 Def. Southeastern Louisiana 27-24
91 -364 Elon  4-7 Lost to Delaware 14-10
92 -369 Southeastern Louisiana  4-7 Lost to Nicholls State 27-24
93 -388 Jackson State  3-7 Lost to Prairie View A&M 56-14
94 -417 Maine  3-8 Lost to New Hampshire 22-6
95 -472 Murray State  3-8 Lost to Jacksonville State 42-20
96 -521 Gardner-Webb  4-7 Lost to Monmouth 23-9
97 -533 Alabama A&M  3-7 Lost to Alcorn State 44-10
98 -556 Abilene Christian  3-8 Lost to Northern Calorado 40-36
99 -566 Texas Southern  3-6 Bye
100 -624 Central Connecticut State  4-7 Regular Season Over
101 -662 Albany  3-8 Lost to Stony Brook 20-2
102 -665 Robert Morris  4-7 Def. Bryant 21-20
103 -796 California-Davis  2-9 Def. Sacramento State 35-21
104 -855 Presbyterian  2-9 Def. Kennesaw State 14-6
105 -951 Virginia Military Institute  2-9 Lost to Western Carolina 24-20
106 -962 Columbia  2-8 Lost to Brown 28-23
107 -1005 Idaho State  2-9 Lost to Weber State 35-14
108 -1105 Savannah State  1-9 Lost to South Carolina State 52-29
109 -1128 Sacramento State  2-9 Lost to California-Davis 35-21
110 -1145 Howard  1-10 Lost to Delaware State 32-31
111 -1174 Stetson  3-8 Lost to Davidson 20-17
112 -1251 Wagner  1-10 Lost to Sacred Heart 45-17
113 -1352 Florida A&M  1-10 Lost to Bethune-Cookman 35-14
114 -1378 Valparaiso  2-9 Lost to Jacksonville 58-13
115 -1392 Rhode Island  1-10 Lost to Towson 38-21
116 -1413 Cornell  1-9 Lost to Pennsylvania 34-21
117 -1483 Arkansas-Pine Bluff  2-9 Def. Mississippi Valley State 25-19 OT
118 -1545 Delaware State  1-10 Def. Howard 32-31
119 -1627 Davidson  2-9 Def. Stetson 20-17
120 -1635 Missouri State  1-10 Lost to North Dakota State 55-0
121 -1668 Houston Baptist  2-9 Lost to Incarnate Word 30-3
122 -1686 Lafayette  1-10 Lost to Lehigh 49-35
123 -1695 Austin Peay State  0-11 Regular Season Over
124 -1872 Mississippi Valley State  0-11 Lost to Arkansas-Pine Bluff 25-19 OT
125 -1890 East Tennessee State  2-9 Def. Kentucky Wesleyan 42-27