There are some surprises in the rankings this week. It would seem that our formula has found an interesting turn of events in that we failed to show a final top two that matched the BCS. of course, we never do. To show how our system does not engage personal votes or human interference other than plugging in equations, our final top two pre-bowl teams in the country ended up being Florida State and Ohio State, despite Ohio State losing the Big 10 title game against Michigan State last Saturday.
Our system has always set out to show that the BCS system was inherently flawed, and teams that lost a late season game were penalized (circa UCLA's loss to Miami in 1999), while teams that had lost early games were still rewarded (Florida State that same season, amongst many others, including Alabama and LSU).
This season it came into play with Auburn having lost early in the season, and Ohio State losing late. Don't get me wrong...We actually are happy with Auburn and Florida State in the BCS final this season. There is nothing wrong with how the season ended up, despite the topsy turvy final weeks when it seemed that nobody wanted to take the number two spot and keep it.
When you look at our rankings, most of the numbers seemed to solidify in the final few weeks, and with so many teams losing late season games, leaving a collection of 9 teams with one loss this week, there was little room for separation heading into the bowls.
Looking at the Ohio State/Auburn differential, one starts with point differential in wins by each. Ohio State won their games by an average of 25 points per game, over 300 points totaled in just point differential for the season. Auburn, on the other hand, only averaged a point differential per game of 12.353 points per game, or just under 200 points for the season.
There is one more factor to consider in that Auburn played 8 home games on the year, with Ohio State playing 7. You get higher point totals for road wins in general. Each team played one home game against an FCS opponent, with the Buckeyes crushing Florida A&M 76-0, which picked up a few more points than Auburn with their win over Western Carolina.
The numbers will accumulate through the bowls, with less than 200 points separating Auburn at number five, and Louisville at ten. There will also be available opportunities to move up with upsets to the top five.
Here are our final regular season rankings for 2013:
1 | 3286 | Florida State | 13-0 | Def. Duke 45-7 |
2 | 2601 | Ohio State | 12-1 | Lost to Michigan State 34-24 |
3 | 2559 | Northern Illinois | 12-1 | Lost to Bowling Green State 47-27 |
4 | 2445 | Baylor | 11-1 | Def. Texas 30-10 |
5 | 2370 | Auburn | 12-1 | Def. Missouri 59-42 |
6 | 2311 | Central Florida | 11-1 | Def. Southern Methodist 17-13 |
7 | 2304 | Michigan State | 12-1 | Def. Ohio State 34-24 |
8 | 2298 | Fresno State | 11-1 | Def. Utah State 24-17 |
9 | 2295 | Alabama | 11-1 | Regular Season Over |
10 | 2199 | Louisville | 11-1 | Def. Cincinnati 31-24 |
11 | 2172 | Stanford | 11-2 | Def. Arizona State 38-14 |
12 | 2064 | Missouri | 11-2 | Lost to Auburn 59-42 |
13 | 1997 | Oregon | 10-2 | Regular Season Over |
14 | 1907 | Oklahoma | 10-2 | Def. Oklahoma State 33-24 |
15 | 1905 | Oklahoma State | 10-2 | Lost to Oklahoma 33-24 |
16 | 1863 | Ball State | 10-2 | Regular Season Over |
17 | 1818 | Rice | 10-3 | Def. Marshall 41-24 |
18 | 1770 | Bowling Green State | 10-3 | Def. Northern Illinois 47-27 |
19 | 1725 | Arizona State | 10-3 | Lost to Stanford 38-14 |
20 | 1708 | South Carolina | 10-2 | Regular Season Over |
21 | 1657 | Clemson | 10-2 | Regular Season Over |
22 | 1637 | UCLA | 9-3 | Regular Season Over |
23 | 1516 | East Carolina | 9-3 | Regular Season Over |
24 | 1512 | Marshall | 9-4 | Lost to Rice 41-24 |
25 | 1506 | Duke | 10-3 | Lost to Florida State 45-7 |
26 | 1482 | Wisconsin | 9-3 | Regular Season Over |
27 | 1400 | Cincinnati | 9-3 | Lost to Louisville 31-24 |
28 | 1370 | Louisiana State | 9-3 | Regular Season Over |
29 | 1323 | Miami (FL) | 9-3 | Regular Season Over |
30 | 1315 | Southern California | 9-4 | Regular Season Over |
31 | 1242 | Texas | 8-4 | Lost to Baylor 30-10 |
32 | 1239 | North Texas | 8-4 | Regular Season Over |
33 | 1132 | Boise State | 8-4 | Regular Season Over |
34 | 1087 | Washington | 8-4 | Regular Season Over |
35 | 1075 | Notre Dame | 8-4 | Regular Season Over |
36 | 1068 | Georgia | 8-4 | Regular Season Over |
37T | 1060 | Houston | 8-4 | Regular Season Over |
37T | 1060 | Texas A&M | 8-4 | Regular Season Over |
39 | 1037 | Louisiana-Lafayette | 8-4 | Lost to South Alabama 30-8 |
40 | 1006 | Buffalo | 8-4 | Regular Season Over |
41T | 987 | Brigham Young | 8-4 | Regular Season Over |
41T | 987 | Western Kentucky | 8-4 | Regular Season Over |
43 | 953 | Utah State | 8-5 | Lost to Fresno State 24-17 |
44 | 930 | Middle Tennessee State | 8-4 | Regular Season Over |
45 | 903 | Iowa | 8-4 | Regular Season Over |
46 | 869 | Nebraska | 8-4 | Regular Season Over |
47 | 866 | Vanderbilt | 8-4 | Regular Season Over |
48 | 858 | Virginia Tech | 8-4 | Regular Season Over |
49 | 837 | Minnesota | 8-4 | Regular Season Over |
50 | 801 | Navy | 7-4 | Bye |
51 | 788 | Michigan | 7-5 | Regular Season Over |
52 | 674 | Penn State | 7-5 | Regular Season Over |
53 | 668 | Kansas State | 7-5 | Regular Season Over |
54 | 655 | Arizona | 7-5 | Regular Season Over |
55 | 648 | Texas-San Antonio | 7-5 | Regular Season Over |
56 | 621 | Texas Tech | 7-5 | Regular Season Over |
57 | 616 | Toledo | 7-5 | Regular Season Over |
58 | 562 | Colorado State | 7-6 | Regular Season Over |
59 | 558 | Mississippi | 7-5 | Regular Season Over |
60 | 538 | San Diego State | 7-5 | Regular Season Over |
61 | 530 | Arkansas State | 7-5 | Regular Season Over |
62 | 524 | Boston College | 7-5 | Regular Season Over |
63 | 514 | Tulane | 7-5 | Regular Season Over |
64 | 484 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 7-5 | Regular Season Over |
65 | 470 | Georgia Tech | 7-5 | Regular Season Over |
66 | 464 | Ohio | 7-5 | Regular Season Over |
67 | 445 | Maryland | 7-5 | Regular Season Over |
68 | 417 | Florida Atlantic | 6-6 | Regular Season Over |
69 | 343 | Oregon State | 6-6 | Regular Season Over |
70 | 304 | South Alabama | 6-6 | Def. Louisiana-Lafayette 30-8 |
71 | 221 | Troy | 6-6 | Regular Season Over |
72 | 191 | North Carolina | 6-6 | Regular Season Over |
73 | 181 | San Jose State | 6-6 | Regular Season Over |
74 | 143 | Washington State | 6-6 | Regular Season Over |
75 | 91 | Central Michigan | 6-6 | Regular Season Over |
76 | 89 | Mississippi State | 6-6 | Regular Season Over |
77 | 68 | Texas State | 6-6 | Regular Season Over |
78 | 63 | Pittsburgh | 6-6 | Regular Season Over |
79 | 62 | Rutgers | 6-6 | Def. South Florida 31-6 |
80 | 24 | Louisiana-Monroe | 6-6 | Regular Season Over |
81 | 21 | Syracuse | 6-6 | Regular Season Over |
82 | -214 | Indiana | 5-7 | Regular Season Over |
83 | -225 | Wyoming | 5-7 | Regular Season Over |
84 | -256 | Utah | 5-7 | Regular Season Over |
85 | -274 | Northwestern | 5-7 | Regular Season Over |
86 | -289 | Southern Methodist | 5-8 | Lost to Central Florida 17-13 |
87 | -371 | Tennessee | 5-7 | Regular Season Over |
88 | -393 | Akron | 5-7 | Regular Season Over |
89 | -584 | Texas Christian | 4-8 | Regular Season Over |
90 | -601 | Florida | 4-8 | Regular Season Over |
91T | -642 | Kent State | 4-8 | Regular Season Over |
91T | -642 | West Virginia | 4-8 | Regular Season Over |
93 | -653 | Nevada-Reno | 4-8 | Regular Season Over |
94 | -682 | Louisiana Tech | 4-8 | Regular Season Over |
95 | -705 | Illinois | 4-8 | Regular Season Over |
96 | -730 | Wake Forest | 4-8 | Regular Season Over |
97 | -777 | New Mexico | 3-9 | Regular Season Over |
98 | -801 | Army | 3-8 | Bye |
99 | -930 | Colorado | 4-8 | Regular Season Over |
100 | -951 | Tulsa | 3-9 | Regular Season Over |
101 | -986 | Iowa State | 3-9 | Regular Season Over |
102 | -1069 | Connecticut | 3-9 | Def. Memphis 45-10 |
103 | -1098 | Memphis | 3-9 | Lost to Connecticut 45-10 |
104 | -1154 | Arkansas | 3-9 | Regular Season Over |
105 | -1237 | North Carolina State | 3-9 | Regular Season Over |
106 | -1260 | Temple | 2-10 | Regular Season Over |
107 | -1300 | Texas-El Paso | 2-10 | Regular Season Over |
108 | -1325 | Kansas | 3-9 | Regular Season Over |
109 | -1475 | Alabama-Birmingham | 2-10 | Regular Season Over |
110 | -1526 | Air Force | 2-10 | Regular Season Over |
111 | -1532 | Kentucky | 2-10 | Regular Season Over |
112 | -1557 | Hawaii | 1-11 | Regular Season Over |
113 | -1563 | South Florida | 2-10 | Lost to Rutgers 31-6 |
114T | -1624 | Eastern Michigan | 2-10 | Regular Season Over |
114T | -1624 | Virginia | 2-10 | Regular Season Over |
116 | -1667 | New Mexico State | 2-10 | Regular Season Over |
117 | -1793 | Southern Mississippi | 1-11 | Regular Season Over |
118 | -1813 | Western Michigan | 1-11 | Regular Season Over |
119 | -1925 | Idaho | 1-11 | Regular Season Over |
120 | -1966 | Massachusetts | 1-11 | Regular Season Over |
121 | -1986 | California | 1-11 | Regular Season Over |
122 | -2060 | Florida International | 1-11 | Regular Season Over |
123 | -2068 | Purdue | 1-11 | Regular Season Over |
124 | -2244 | Miami (OH) | 0-12 | Regular Season Over |
125 | -2440 | Georgia State | 0-12 | Regular Season Over |
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