If there is a central theme for the Mountain West Conference in 2014, it would be "Into the Unknown". There are big changes coming in 2014, and it all starts at Boise State, where Chris Petersen was finally lured away to greener grasses at Washington, where we finally get to see how he responds on a consistently bigger stage. There are major changes not only at Boise State, but also at Fresno State where Derek Carr moves on, at Wyoming where the FCS' best coach (Craig Bohl) tries his hand, San Jose State loses David Fales, and so on and so on. It's a wide open race in the Mountain West.
Projected Order of Finsh
West
1. Fresno State
2. Nevada
3. San Diego State
4. UNLV
5. San Jose State
6. Hawaii
Mountain
1. Boise State
2. Utah State
3. Colorado State
4. Wyoming
5. Air Force
6. New Mexico
Best Coach
Tim DeRuyter, Fresno State
Worst Coach
Norm Chow, Hawaii
Most Underrated Team
Colorado State
Most Overrates Team
Boise State
Coaches on the Hot Seat
Bob Davie, New Mexico
Troy Calhoun, Air Force
Norm Chow, Hawaii
Bobby Hauck, UNLV
Boise State Broncos
Projected 2014 Record: 10-2
Head Coach: Bryan Harsin (1st season)
2014 will be a year of finding a new identity for the Broncos after the departure of Petersen and the entrance of the much unproven Bryan Harsin, who spent all of one season as the head man at Arkansas State before bolting for home.
The Broncos are also looking for a starter at QB, but Gran Hedrick looks to return to the job in the new system, even if new OC Mike Sanford didn't immediately hand over the reins to the new no huddle shotgun offense. Jay Ajayi will be a key in the new attack at RB after rushing for over 1400 yards last season, an output that had him named an All-Bilo RB of the Year finalist. Matt Miller and SHane Williams-Rhoades return at WR, and that should give the new offense a massive kick after they combined for over 1800 yards and 19 scores a season ago. The major questions will come on an unproven and rebuilding line where only two starters return, and at TE where a freshman is slated to start.
The defensive front is largely rebuilding as well, with only two players back in the front six in DT Armand Nance and LB Ben Weaver. The secondary, however, is loaded with the return of CB Donte Deayon and all three safeties in Corey Bell, Darian Thompson, and Jeremy Ioane.
Dan Goodale was as dependable as can be at PK last season, drilling 17 of 19 FGs. Sophomore Sean Wale will take over full time Punting duties this fall.
The schedule is largely friendly, so returning to 10 wins shouldn't be an issue, but if the chemistry doesn't take hold early with the changes, Boise could be ripe for picking by Utah State or even Colorado State. Nothing is set in stone.
Opening Game
8/28 Ole Miss at Atlanta
Utah State Aggies
Projected 2014 Record: 8-5
Head Coach: Matt Wells (9-5, 2nd season)
Consistency should be a key factor for the Aggies in 2014, as I see them finishing right about the same spot as they did a year ago.
Chuckie Keeton is back at QB, and that is great news for Aggie fans after they lost the talented senior for a huge chunk of last season. The major problem for USU is that there is very little returning starting experience coming back from last season on offense, as just three starters return. WR Jojo Nelson is one of those returnees, and will be used in a multitude of different spots on the field. The only other returning starter is LT Kevin Whimpey.
The defense has some serious holes to fill as well, as only four starters return. Three of those starters are up front in star DE BJ Larsen, LB Kyler Fackrell, and LB Zach Vigil. This group should be able to carry the front while the new guys mesh early. FS Brian Sulte is the lone returnee in the secondary.
Nick Diaz is back after hitting 17 of 23 FGs last fall, and the Aggies will be looking for more from him. Jaron Bentrude is back at Punter, but he was largely average last season, failing to average 40 yards.
There are many new holes on both sides of the ball, but there is talent at almost every spot, which is something that could never be said ten years ago in Logan. Gary Anderson, and now Matt Wells have placed this program in a position where returning the old days of major losing is no longer an option, and USU could surprise some people in 2014.
Opening Game
8/30 at Tennessee
Fresno State Bulldogs
Projected 2014 Record: 8-4
Head Coach: Tim DeRuyter (20-6, 3rd season)
What DeRuyter has done in Fresno in two short seasons is nothing short of amazing, but he'll have to move forward without his big gun in Derek Carr this season, and that will be a huge challenge for the Bulldogs to overcome.
Luckily for Fresno State, the West division is up for grabs, and they may still have enough talent to grab the ring.
Replacing Carr at QB will be Duke transfer Brandon Connette, and he may have a major breakthrough this season, if he remains healthy. Josh Quezeda starts at RB, but will likely share carries with Marteze Waller like they did a season ago. A major issue will be filling shoes in a depleted receiving corps that only returns Josh Harper this fall. RT Justin Northern, RG Cody Wichmann, and C Bo Bonnheim all return on the line, but the left side is under construction.
Only one starter returns on the D line in DE Tyeler Davison, but the LB corps is loaded, with every starter there returning in Ejiro Ederaine, Karl Mickelson, Kyrie Wilson, and Donavon Lewis. The secondary is deep and experienced as well, with three starters back in CB Curtis Riley, SS Charles Washington, and FS Derron Smith. Look for JC transfer Corey Ferguson to push hard for the open CB job.
Colin McGuire returns at PK, while Garrett Swanson returns as well at P to give the Bulldogs one of the better kicking games in the MWC.
While the Bulldogs are loaded with questions on offense, the defense should be good enough to carry the load until the offense finds their way, and that shouldn't take long. Fresno is one of three teams that could eventually win the West this season.
Opening Game
8/30 at USC
Nevada Wolfpack
Projected 2014 Record: 7-5
Head Coach: Brian Polian (4-8, 2nd season)
Looking for a surprise story to some out of the MWC? Try looking towards Reno, where the Pack could see as much as a three win improvement over a disappointing 2013, which could be good enough to go bowling once again.
Cody Fajardo worked through some rough times last fall to become a real leader of this football team at QB, and may be one of the best at the position in the conference this fall. Richy Turner will be his lone returning starting target at WR this fall, but he's a good one, and should have a big season. Look out for WR Hasaan Richardson, who is a huge target with skill. Kendall Brock is back at RB, and should break the 1000 yard mark thanks to a solid line that returns four starters this season.
The defense has some solid numbers coming back as well, starting on the line where three starters are back in DE Brock Hekking, DT Jordan Hanson, and DT Rykeem Yates. Two LBs return to starting roles as well in Jonathon McNeal and Jordan Dobrich, giving Nevada a shot at having one of the most improved defensive fronts in the league. Charles Garrett and Evan Favors are both back at CB, but both Safeties need replacing in camp.
Brent Zuzo did a solid job at PK last fall, hitting 14 of 17 FGs, and is back. Sophomore Alex Boy looks to be the new Punter at press time.
Nevada returns so much talent that got valuable experience from a hard knocks season in 2013, and that experience should pay dividends in Polian's second season as coach. Look for Nevada to be right in the thick of that wide open West race.
Opening Game
8/30 Southern Utah
San Diego State Aztecs
Projected 2014 Record: 6-6
Head Coach: Rocky Long (25-14, 4th season)
SDSU has gotten some mixed expectations put on them heading into the season by the experts, but I pick them somewhere right in the middle of a wide open West. There are more questions than answers right now, and I'm not sure about overall depth at key spots.
Quinn Kaehler returns to start at QB, and he leads an offense that finished 38th nationally in passing. The issue I have is that only one starter returns in Ezell Ruffin at WR. Bob Toledo is high on his receivers, but it's all talk of potential, which is something that I find very little use for. It's all about game day, and they are unproven. There is some good news on the line, where three starters return in LT Terry Poole, C Jordan Smith, and RG Darrell Greene, and that'll be important as the Aztecs break in a new RB in DJ Humphrey, who should get the nod as the starter.
The defense was a mess against the pass last fall, ranking 98th, and the news gets worse as only CB JJ Whitakker returns in the five DB set. That could be a huge mess brewing. The news isn't any better up front either, as only DE Dontrell Onuoha and LB Cody Galae return. The Azecs hipe that Grossmont and USC transfer Christian Heyward can add some bulk up front, but again, there's that potential word.
The staff is hitting the reset button at PK, and are hoping that JC transfer Donny Hageman can get the job done after the kicking game nearly ruined the season last fall. Joel Alesi returns at Punter.
I've heard Long and Toledo talking about potential players for years dating back to their days together at UCLA. While having young potential is a good thing, these guys need to get onto the field and do the job. At best, I see the Aztecs as a middle of the road team that will either squeak into a bowl, or be home for the holidays based on a failure to live up to the talk.
Opening Game
8/30 Northern Arizona
Colorado State Rams
Projected 2014 Record: 6-6
Head Coach: Jim McElwain (12-14, 3rd season)
The rams surprised a few people by making their way to the New Mexico Bowl last fall, where they shockingly held off Washington State. Can they possibly revive that magic this fall, and even improve on it?
The answer is up in the air, as there are many questions on offense. Garrett Grayson is back at QB, and everything rests on him on offense this fall after the loss of Kapri Bibbs at RB, along with his backup in the spring who left the program. Grayson is completely loaded with ability, and has a solid group of receivers to get the ball to in returning starters Joe Hansley and Rashard Higgins, as well as HB Kivon Cartwright. The Rams will likely have to dig deep to find a new RB, but will have to dig even deeper on the line, where only LT Ty Sambrallo returns.
The secondary is loaded on defense, where every starter returns. Bernard Blake and DeAndre Elliott are back at the corners, while Trent Matthews and Kevin Pierre-Louis are back deep. Three starters return at LB in the 3-4 in Cory James, Max Morgan, and Aaron Davis. The glaring problem is on the line, where not a single starter returns this fall.
Jared Roberts is a lock at PK after hitting 21 of 24 tries a season ago. Hayden Hunt is also back at Punter after averaging just a hair short of 42 yards per punt last season.
The Rams are on a balancing beam this fall, and it could tilt either way. Grayson is good enough to lead this offense, but will inexperience on the line and in the run game let him down? Can the defense hold it together until the offense catches up? Those are huge questions.
Opening Game
8/29 Colorado at Denver
UNLV Rebels
Projected 2014 Record: 4-8
Head Coach: Bobby Hauck (13-38, 5th season)
The Rebels shocked observers by making it to their first bow since 1994 last fall, but a return trip may not be in the making in 2014, 20 years after that magical season. A bowl ban for a lacking APR score, however, was overturned, and so if a few chips fall in the right direction, the Rebels could squeeze into yet another minor bowl where they'll take a huge financial loss to participate in.
Gone is Caleb Herring at QB, and retread Nick Sherry will battle junior Blake Decker in camp. Also gone is the beast that was Tim Cornett at RB, and that loss may be even bigger. The good news is that talented WR Devante Davis returns, but how good will the new QB be about getting the ball out to him? Marcus Sullivan returns as well, and should have the advantage when most teams will be doubling up on Davis. The great news is the line returns four starters, which is a solid foundation.
The defensive front is loaded with holes, as only DEs Sonny Sanitoa and Jordan Sparkman return, leaving both DT jobs and all three LB jobs open. The secondary, which was solid a year ago, returns three starters in CBs Tajh Johnson and Kenneth Penny, as well as SS Peni Vea.
Nolan Kohoorst is gone at PK, leaving a huge hole that got even bigger when Connor Perkins bolted for a two year Mormon mission. Jonathon Leiva is the last man standing. Logan Ynuker was solid last fall, and should be a strength at Punter.
With Herring and Cornett gone on offense, and an unproven bunch waiting to take over, the issues on offense could be the undoing. Last time the Rebels went bowling, it took 20 years to get back. Will that be the case again?
Opening Game
8/29 at Arizona
Wyoming Cowboys
Projected 2014 Record: 6-6
Head Coach: Craig Bohl (1st season)
The addition of North Dakota State's Craig Bohl as head coach to replace the embattled Dave Christensen was pure brilliance from an administration that largely couldn't get out of their own way leading up to that point. Bohl dominated FCS football, and will largely increase the Cowboy footprint in the MWC beginning almost immediately.
Unfortunately, Brett Smith didn't stick around to play QB for another season, and made an ill decided jump to the NFL, where he is basically already jobless. Backup Jason Thompson transferred to Utah, so Bohl is largely starting from scratch at QB. Whomever wins the job should have talented targets in Jalen Claiborne and Dominic Rufran to throw to. Claiborne had 75 receptions last fall. Shaun Wick returns at RB, and will start from day one in the West Coast offense, but the Cowboys will eventually need more depth here. It'll come. The right side of the line and center return, but the left side will be in rebuild mode.
The defense returns some nice parts this fall, and has three starters abck on the line in DE Eddie Yarbrough, DT Patrick Martens, and DE Sonny Puletasi. There is some depth and experience at LB as well with the return of Mark Nzeocha and Jordan Stanton, but both will be adjusting to the new defensive scheme, and could be a liability in pass coverage. Both corners return in Blair Burns and DeAndre Jones, while FS Darrenn White is back as well and is adjusting to the Tampa 2 scheme.
Stuart Williams is back at PK, and Punter Ethan Wood returns as well, and so the Cowboys should be ok here.
One thing about Bohl is how much he was able to achieve without obtaining super talented recruits. He takes what he gets and builds them into football players, and that's what is needed at Wyoming. Expect immediate returns, as I believe the Cowboys may skid into bowl contention at 6-6 this season.
Opening Game
8/30 Montana
San Jose State Spartans
Projected 2014 Record: 3-9
Head Coach: Ron Caragher (6-6, 2nd season)
The loss of David Fales to the NFL is almost too much weight to bear from a football that stumbled to a 6-6 finish in 2014. A fall is likely.
With Fales gone at QB, the job is likely Joe Gray's to lose, but he's no Fales in the end. In response to the upheaval at QB, RB Jarrod Lawson could get more carries this fall, and become a prime back for the Spartans to lean on. WR Tyler Winston will step up as a huge target for Gray in the passing game, and Billy Freeman will likely have a larger role at TE as well. The line is in rebuilding mode, with only two returning starters in LT Wes Schweitzer and C David Peterson.
The line is a strength on D, where three starters are back in DTs Travis Raciti and Nate Falo, as well as DE Sean Bacon. The secondary has some strength as well in returnees CBs Jimmy Pruitt and Dasheon Frierson, and FS Forrest Hightower. LB is not as fortunate as only Christian Tago returns.
PK Austin Lopez is back at PK, and is one of the best in the nation, hitting 39 of 44 career kicks. RS freshman Zach Steinberg is in line to win the Punting job.
With Fales gone, and questions holding at QB and the line, as well as at LB, the weight is almost too much. However, I am a believer in coach Ron Caragher, so anything is possible. Realistically, I only see three wins with this schedule and these issues.
Air Force Falcons
Projected 2014 Record: 2-10
Head Coach: Troy Calhoun (49-41, 8th season)
These are dark times for the Air Force program for more reasons than wins and losses, but we will get to that in a moment. The on-field product has largely been in a tailspin, hitting the side of the mountain nose first in 2013 when they finished just 2-10. 2014 doesn't figure to get any better than that.
There could be as many as three QBs in camp fighting for the starting job, but it looks to go to Nate Romine, as the sophomore was the last man standing last fall. If it is indeed Romine, he needs to get the rockets going early to step up the energy in the offense, as the Falcons finished 91st nationally in total offense, not a place we're used to seeing them. The HB position must be filled as well, giving the Falcons a whole lot of questions in the backfield. Broam Hart does figure in as the starting FB. If the Falcons find a QB who can actually pass, Sam Gagliano is back at WR, and is joined as a returning starter by TE Garrett Griffin. The line is in rebuild mode, however, with only LT Matt Rochell and C Michael Husar, Jr. coming back for more.
The defense was absolutely awful in 2013, but it can only improve this season as seven starters return. Both DEs are back in Nick Fitzgerald and Alex Hansen, but a new starter must be found at NG, with Troy Timmerman leading the pack to get the nod. Three of four LBs return in Joey Nichol, Spencer Proctor, and Dexter Walker, with senior Jared Jones leading the group hoping to grab the one open starting job. The secondary has two starters back in CB Gavin McHenry and FS Christian Spears. Whatever happens, Air Force cannot survive ranking 114th in total defense, 119th against the run, and 116th in scoring defense.
Will Conant returns at PK, and was one of the few bright spots of the squad last season after hitting 11 of 13 FGs. The Punter job is wide open up until the kickoff on the 30th.
This is a make or break season for Calhoun, as the 2-10 finish, topped by an independent review of the Academy athletic department for off-field issues of many terrible kinds will place a spotlight on some perceived ugliness around the entire department, and Calhoun is in the center of the storm. If he can't win, and beat back a review, then he may already be toast.
Opening Game
8/30 Nicholls State
New Mexico Lobos
Projected 2014 Record: 2-10
Head Coach: Bob Davie (7-18, 3rd season)
The Lobos got off to a horrid start in 2013, and when all is said and done, they lost six of their final seven games with only a win over Air Force to show. Bob Davie needs to start showing improvement this season, or else the writing could be on the wall for him in 2015. He should get the full season to show a case for sticking around.
Of course, when you have no QB or RB of any real experience, then you have more problems than you can count already, and that's the case with the Lobos. Whomever wins the QB job will at least have experience to go to through the air, as both WR Jeric Magnant and WR Marquis Bundy return for another go this fall. UNM was awful when it came to moving the ball in the air, ranking 120th nationally with just 113 yards per game. The run game, on the other hand, ranked 4th nationally with a total of 308.8 yards per game rushing. The Line should help, as three starters return in LG Jamal Price, C LaMar Burton, and RT Johnny Viscaino.
The defense was all around terrible last fall, as the best stat to be found was a ranking of 101st against the pass, and that was the absolute best ranking on defense. DE Brett Bowers is the only member of the line to return as a starter this fall, while half of the LB corps comes back in Javarle Johnson and Dakota Cox. Half of the secondary comes back as well, with CB Cranston Jones joining SS David Guthrie as returning starters.
Both kickers must be replaced heading into the season, and that coud bode badly with a freshman taking over PK duties in Jason Sanders, while the front runner for the punting job is likely to be Guthrie, who also plays SS. This bodes badly.
With so many issues, and lacking talent and experienced depth across the board, UNM will find themselves fighting with Air Force for the division cellar.
Opening Game
8/30 UTEP
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
Projected 2014 Record: 1-11
Head Coach: Norm Chow (4-20, 3rd season)
Honestly, I am shocked that Chow earned a third try at this football team, but obviously, the administration has to be blind at this point to have kept him around. The Chow era will go down as one of the darkest in the history of this program.
The offense, at times, wasn't horrible, and managed to rank 19th in the country in passing yards (301.4) per game. The bad news was that the run game was absolutely anemic, averaging 114.6 per game (113th nationally). There is a three man battle for QB going on in camp, and there is very little at the position to be excited about. Joey Iosefa should be a primary attack point in the offense, but teams may stack up against him. Keith Kirkwood and Scott Harding both return at WR, but the real talent could be in the slot, where Marcus Kemp will share time with Utah transfer Quinton Pedroza. The line may very well be a mess, with only two starters returning in Ben Clark, who moves from C to LT, and Kody Afusia, who shifts over to C. As many as two freshmen could find starting jobs on the line, and with inexperience at QB, that could be really awful news.
There was nothing good about the way that this defense played football in 2013. 113th ranked scoring defense, 104th ranked rush D, 116th ranked pass D, and 115th ranked in total defense. This Hawaii team also couldn't provide takeaways on any regular basis, and UH finished -10 there (T112th).
Beau Yap returns at DE, and will be joined by NT Moses Samia on the line. Both are seniors. The LB corps is thin and rather weak, with only Jerrol Garcia-Williams returning to start. He may be flanked by Jeremy Castro, a UCLA transfer. The secondary could show improvement if CBs Ne'Quan Phillips and Dee Maggitt can join up with FS Marrell Jackson can create some opportunities. Sophomore Trayvon Henderson led the team with three picks last fall, and likely starts at SS.
Tyler Hadden was just a mess as everyone else on this team at PK, hitting just 7 of 13 FGs last fall. WR Scott Harding handles Punting duties as well, and also returns kicks as an all-purpose guy.
I'm no fan of Norm Chow, and the game hasn't been his playground in over ten years. UH made a desperate hire hear, and it's biting them squarely on the ass. Surf is definitely not up here.
Opening Game
8/30 Washington
Monday, August 11, 2014
Thursday, August 7, 2014
College Football Preview 2014: MAC
Nobody surprised more in 2013 than Bowling Green, who sneaked in and stole the MAC title from Northern Illinois, who was headlined by Jordan Lynch. Lynch is gone, and Bowling Green's starting lineup is largely being rebuilt, but they are both still in position to win the conference, but only if they can hold off challenges from Toledo and Ball State, who both have something to say in the race, as does Buffalo. It should be another banner season in the MAC.
Projected Order of Finish
East
1. Bowling Green
2. Buffalo
3. Ohio
4. Akron
5. Kent State
6. Miami (Ohio)
7. U Mass
West
1. Northern Illinois
2. Toledo
3. Ball State
4. Central Michigan
5. Western Michigan
6. Eastern Michigan
Coaches on the Hot Seat
Dan Enos, Central Michigan
Best Coach
Dino Babers, Bowling Green
Worst Coach
Dan Enos, Central Michigan
Bowling Green Falcons
Projected 2014 Record: 9-3
Head Coach: Dino Babers (1st season)
The Falcons came out of nowhere in 2013 and stole the MAC title, but then coach Dave Clawson parlayed that title into the Wake Forest job and bolted. I actually believe that the Falcons are in better shape with their new head coach, as they hired Dino Babers and his high powered offense away from FCS member Eastern Illinois. Babers is a disciple of both Kevin Sumlin and Art Briles, and turned EIU into a power from a doormat.
Matt Johnson enters the 2014 season as probably the best QB in the league, but he has few experienced tools to work with as the Falcons return just five starters on offense. All four starting WRs are new, but Johnson gets a huge weapon back in RB Travis Greene, who helps both in the run game and as a receiver. Both tackles return up front in Jacoby Bennett and Logan Dietz, as does Center Alex Huettel.
Only five starters return on defense as well, so finding new starters becomes a focus on both sides of the football. Bryan Thomas and Charlie Walker return at DE, but both are undersized options who have to depend on athleticism rather than bull dozing speed. LB DJ Lynch returns at LB, and is the only other returning starter up front. Ryland Ward returns at Safety, but is the only returnee in what will be a rebuilt secondary. It's unlikely that the Falcons could return to their lofty ranking of 10th nationally in total defense with this rebuild going on.
Tyler Tate is one of the best PKs in the nation after hitting 18 of 22 last fall, but the Punter job could go to a freshman in Joe Davidson.
Opening Game
8/28 Western Kentucky
Buffalo Bulls
Projected 2014 Record: 9-3
Head Coach: Jeff Quinn (17-32, 5th season)
Jeff Quinn turned a corner with the Bulls last season, winning 8 games and going bowling. However, the best player on the team, Khalil Mack, is gone. Mack is a once in a generation type player at a program like Buffalo, so he leaves a huge void. With that in mind, Buffalo could still be just as good as they were a year ago.
Joe Licata is back for another go at QB, but is coming off of hip surgery that cost him the spring. He is expected to be a go heading into the season, and is a key to making the offense work without RB Brandon Oliver, who has moved on. He will be replaced by a three man committee led by Anthone Taylor. Both WRs must be replaced, but Devon Hughes has promise. He should combine with TE Matt Weiser to give the passing game two reliable targets. The line is loaded, as every single starter returns from a strong campaign in 2013.
The defense has a common problem to many MAC schools in that they have to replace most of the line. Only NT Kritjan Sokoli returns as a starter. Lee Skinner and Adam Redden both return at LB, but can senior Jake Stockman replace Mack's numbers alone? Not likely. Cortney Lester is the lone returning starter in the secondary at CB.
The good news on defense is that most of the players in line to step into starting jobs are upper classmen, meaning that the Bulls will have experience.
Patrick Clarke will be back at PK, but 13 of 20 isn't good enough. Tyler Grassman is back at Punter, and should work at increasing his 4 yard average, but he is a master at setting teams back inside the 20 on angular punts.
Opening Game
8/30 Duquesne
Ohio Bobcats
Projected 2014 Record: 6-6
Head Coach: Frank Solich (67-50, 10th season)
The Bobcats snuck into a bowl last fall, but it may be a tall order getting them back again in 2014, as there are some serious issues on offense. All of the key players from the last couple of seasons are gone, and that leaves WR Chase Cochran as the only skill player back on offense. Derrius Vick is a pure running QB, but could face a challenge from incoming freshman Joey Duckworth, if Duckworth's knee holds up. Daz'mond Patterson should step in at RB, but two new starters must be found at WR. Three starters return on the line in LT Mike McQueen, LG Mike Lucas, and Center Lucas Powell, but the right side must be rebuilt.
The defense should be a strength in 2014, as there is a ton of starting experience coming back, especially up front. DE Kurt Laseak, NT Antwan Crutcher, and DE Tarell Basham all return on the line, and senior Cameron McLeod should start at the open DT spot. Ben Russell and Jovon Johnson both return at LB, but Blair Brown is a key as a new starter, and may be the best of the bunch. The secondary is stacked as well, as CB Devin Bass joins SS Josh Kristoff and FS Thad Ingol as returning starters.
Josiah Yazdani took over at PK halfway through the season, and hit 14 of 15 FGs. He should be a breakout star in 2014. Junior Mitch Bonnstetter should step in as the new starter at Punter.
Opening Game
8/30 at Kent State
Akron Zips
Projected 2014 Record: 5-7
Head Coach: Terry Bowden (6-18, 3rd season)
Bowden finally showed some solid gains in 2013, but it's hard to see that Akron makes an additional step forward in 2014.
The offense will be loaded in the skill positions, as almost everyone returns starting with QB Kyle Pohl. Pohl was up and down last fall, but should show some improvement this season. Jawon Chisholm is looking to find a breakout season in 2014 at RB, but isn't the best athlete in the world. There are no stars at WR, but all three starters return in LT Smith, Zach D'Orazio, and Fransohn Bickley. Travis Switzer returns at Center, and is joined by RG Joe McNamara, but there will likely be three new starters on the line, which could be problematic.
The D line is in rebuld mode, as only NG Cody Grice returns. LB is in better shape, as Justin March and Jatavis Brown return, but the Zips need a new starter at MLB to step up. Both safeties return in SS Bre' Ford and FS JOhnny Robinson, but both corners need to be replaced.
Zach Paul is a solid Punter, and will likely be even better this fall. Robert Stein was not good last fall, and could lose his job eventually if he doesn't get better than making barely over half of his tries.
Opening Game
8/28 Howard
Kent State Golden Flashes
Projected 2014 Record: 4-8
Head Coach: Paul Haynes (4-8, 2nd season)
The Golden Flashes have taken some steps back after Darrell Hazell bolted for Purdue. Haynes had a rough go last fall, and is depending on a sophomore QB in Colin Reardon, who was very bumpy last season. Traylon Durham starts at RB, but only if he recovers from foot surgery that happened in the offseason. WR Chris Humphrey is the only other skill set player back on offense, so Kent State is rebuilding big time. Both tackles return on the line, but the entire interior is new.
The interior of the D line comes back in Nate Terhune and Chris Fairchild, but both ends are being replaced. The run defense stands to get better with both LBs returning in Darius Redmond and Matt Dellinger. The secondary is being largely rebuilt with only Safety Jordan Italiano returning.
Brad Miller should win the PK job, but will he get to kick from short range like Punter Anthony Melchiori did a year ago?
Opening Game
8/30 Ohio
Miami (Ohio) Red Hawks
Projected 2014 Record: 4-8
Head Coach: Chuck Martin (1st season)
Hiring Chuck Martin should take Miami in the right direction, but it couldn't get more wrong than it has been the last few seasons. Martin has to build toughness and discipline, but there is way more work to be done than what we can truly grade in one season. If they can win my projected four games, that would be a huge start for what has been a wayward program.
Andrew Hendrix transfers from Notre Dame, and will fill the QB job right away. He has some experienced weapons to throw to, as all three receivers are back in Dawan Scott, Alvonta Freeman, and David Frazier. Four starters return on the line, and only the Center job is up for grabs.
DE Bryson Albright and DT Mitchell Winters are back on the line, and are joined in the front seven by Kent Kern and Josh Dooley at LB. This group got run over regularly, ranking 111th nationally against the run last fall. The secondary wasn't any good either, but it is experienced with Heath Harding, Brison Burris, and Jay Mastin all coming back.
Kaleb Patterson was a busy guy last fall, and hit 22 of 29 FGs on the season, but replacing all everything Punter Zac Murphy is imperative.
Opening Game
8/30 Marshall
U Mass Minutemen
Projected 2014 Record: 0-12
Head Coach: Mark Whipple (49-26, 7th season overall)
What was a decent FCS program has been a major disaster of an FBS program. It's never too late to go back, and that's what they should do, but of course, they won't.
Hiring Mark Whipple was a key move, as at least he understands the culture in Amherst, and has had success there in the past.
The offense will largely depend on RB Lorenzo Woodley, as a new QB must be broken in. WR Tajae Sharpe is also back and could help ease the transition from a spread offense to a conventional pro offense. Only two starters return on the line.
The line returns one starter on defense in NT Daniel Maynes. There is experience at LB in Stanley Andre, Jovan Santos-Knox, and Trey Seals. The secondary was actually decent last fall, and returns both corners in Randall Jette and Trey Dudley-Giles. Joe Cotton is also back at Safety.
Blake Lucas was largely terrible at PK, hitting only 3 of 10 kicks last fall.
Opening Game
8/30 Boston College
Northern Illinois Huskies
Projected 2014 Record: 9-3
Head Coach: Rod Carey (12-3, 2nd full season)
Jordan Lynch may be gone at QB, but his departure actually makes the Huskies a more balanced team, and they certainly become harder to plan against without his exploits, as long as everyone else on offense steps up. It's a three way battle t replace Lynch heading into camp, where the offense will look for balance.
Whomever wins the QB job gets the benefit of having both WRs back in the starting lineup from a season ago in De'Ron Brown and Tommylee Lewis. Add TE Luke Eakes back into the mix, and the Huskies could be loaded in the passing game. Cameron Stingley also returns at RB, and rushed for over 1100 yards a year ago, and could be more of a feature his fall. With four starters back on the line, that could be a serious reality.
On defense, the Huskies have much to do in replacing every starter on the line. Jamaal Bass and Boomer Mays return at LB, and will have to pick up the slack of the inexperience up front. Three starters return in the secondary, but they will all have to improve a great deal after the Huskies ranked just 105th nationally against the pass.
Tyler Wedel, who punted last fall, also adds PK duties to his resume this season.
Opening Game
8/28 Presbyterian
Toledo Rockets
Projected 2014 Record: 6-6
Head Coach: Matt Campbell (17-9, 3rd full season)
The Rockets missed out on a bowl despite winning 7 games last fall, but they could find it a tough go to get back to a bowl this fall.
There will be a new QB this season, and it could either be former backup Logan Whiteside or Alabama transfer Philip Ely. David Fluellen is gone at RB, but Kareem Hunt rushed for 866 yards as a backup last season, and now gets the premier back spot. Alonzo Russell and his 115 receptions returns at WR, as does Justin Olack and TE Alex Zmolik, giving the Rockets a deep receiving corps. The line is probably the best in the MAC, and returns four starters, with only the Center job open.
The defense was an absolute letdown last fall, and improvement is a must this fall. the front seven may be loaded, as six starters return. The line will be led by DE Allen Covington and DTs Trayvon Hester and Orion Jones. All three starters are back at LB in Trent Voss, Chase Murdock, and Junior Sylvestre, giving the Rockets one of the most experienced groups up front in the league. The secondary has some holes to fill, but CB Cheatham Norrils and SS Chaz Whittaker both return.
Jeremiah Detmer is back at PK, and is one of the very best in the country, hitting 36 of his last 37 FG tries. There will be a new Punter, but it seems locked down in sophomore Nick Ellis.
Opening Game
8/30 New Hampshire
Ball State Cardinals
Projected 2014 Record: 8-4
Head Coach: Pete Lembo (25-13, 4th season)
Pete Lembo has done a major rebuilding job in Muncie, and was nearly courted away last winter. He remains as the head guy, and that alone gives Ball State a chance in 2014.
Finding a new QB to replace Keith Wenning will be the primary goal, but whomever lands the job will Have a bit of talent to get the ball to in Jordan Williams, and youngsters Jordan Hogue and Devin Reece. Williams is the only returning starter, so the youngsters are in a battle for playing time. Three starters return on the line in QT Steven Bell, C Jacob Richard, and SG Jalen Schlachter, and they will blow some holes open for returning RB Jahwan Edwards, but the run game needs some improvement.
The Cardinals need some help in rebuilding the defensive line, as only DE Nick Miles returns from last season as a starter. Ben Ingle and Zack Ryan both return at LB, and they will need to step up to support an inexperienced line. The secondary should be loaded with three returning starters in CB Eric Patterson, SS Brian Jones, and FS Dae'Shaun Hurley. The Cardinals ranked a respectable 44th in the nation against the pass in 2013.
Scott Secor is back at PK, and is one of the best in the MAC. Kyle Schmidt returns at Punter, but had an up and down freshman year last fall.
Opening Game
8/30 Colgate
Central Michigan Chippewas
Projected 2014 Record: 4-8
Head Coach: Dan Enos (19-30, 5th season)
2014 is a make or break season for Dan Enos, who has never put together a winning record at CMU. The Chippewas have been largely average to awful under his watch, and it's bowl or bust for him. The problem is that there isn't enough talent here to get there.
Cooper Rush is back at QB this season, but his 15 INTs are not getting it done. Saylor Lavalli should will be the starter at RB full time this season, and rushed for 807 yards in 8 starts last fall. Titus Davis is a beats at WR, and had 1109 yards receiving last fall. Courtney Williams also starts again, but will Rush get them the football enough to make a difference?
The line is a huge strength, as all five starters return. This line is largely thought to be the best in the MAC. Something has to give, as the Chippewas ranked just 108th in total offense last fall.
The strength on defense is against the pass, as CMU ranked 20th against the pass last fall. Kavon Frazier, Jason Wilson, and Jarret Chapman all return there to give a core strength to the unit. LB Justin Cherocci will be back at LB, and the Chippewas need him to anchor the middle. CMU gave up over 200 yards rushing last season per game, and the front will have to work it out. DT Leterrius Walton and DE Louis Palmer return.
Ron Coluzzi is back at PK, but was very average at 12 of 17 last season. He also takes over punting duties this fall, which could be good or bad.
Opening Game
8/28 Chattanooga
Western Michigan Broncos
Projected 2014 Record: 1-11
Head Coach: PJ Fleck (1-11, 2nd season)
Not much worked last season for the Broncos, so there is only one way to go...up. Zach Terrell is back at QB, but could lose the job to youngster Chance Stewart. WR Corey Davis is the only other skill player to return in 2014, so the offense is starting from scratch in a big way. The good news is that the line returns intact.
The defense did have a nice return in the passing game, ranking 4th against the pass overall. However, when you rank 118th against the run, why would anyone throw? DT Cleveland Smith and LB Austin Lewis are the only returning starters in the front seven, so rebuilding is in order. That strong secondary boasts three returning starters in CBs Donald Cellscar and Ronald Zamort, and Safety Justin Currie.
PK Andrew Haldeman was solid last fall, hitting 16 of 20 FGs, and more will be asked of him. J. Schroeder is back at Punter, but must find direction and consistency if he's to hold the job and help out a beleaguered defense.
Opening Game
8/30 at Purdue
Eastern Michigan Eagles
Projected 2014 Record: 3-9
Head Coach: Chris Creighton (1st season)
EMU hired Creighton from FCS program Drake, where he had decent success in a not horrible lower level conference, but EMU has been a loser for as long as anyone can remember. This will be a huge overhaul, and it remains to be seen if it can be done.
Hopes hang on QB Brogan Roback, who will lean heavily on RB Bronson Hill, who rushed for 1101 yards in 2014. Jay Jones is the lone returning starter at WR, but the Eagles will run a two TE set, and both TEs return in Duwhan Alford and Tyreese Russell. Both tackles (Andrew Wylie, Lincoln Hansen) and Center Campbell Allison return.
The line boasts some experience in DE Pat O'Connor and NT Omar McFarlane, and they are joined up front by the return of LB Ike Spearman, but there are three holes to fill at LB, which is a huge issue. Willie Creear is the lone returnee in the secondary, and will start at CB.
Dylan Mulder returns at PK, but barely cleared 50% on the season, and Punter Austin Barnes missed out on a 40 yard average. Not good on either count.
Opening Game
8/30 Morgan State
Projected Order of Finish
East
1. Bowling Green
2. Buffalo
3. Ohio
4. Akron
5. Kent State
6. Miami (Ohio)
7. U Mass
West
1. Northern Illinois
2. Toledo
3. Ball State
4. Central Michigan
5. Western Michigan
6. Eastern Michigan
Coaches on the Hot Seat
Dan Enos, Central Michigan
Best Coach
Dino Babers, Bowling Green
Worst Coach
Dan Enos, Central Michigan
Bowling Green Falcons
Projected 2014 Record: 9-3
Head Coach: Dino Babers (1st season)
The Falcons came out of nowhere in 2013 and stole the MAC title, but then coach Dave Clawson parlayed that title into the Wake Forest job and bolted. I actually believe that the Falcons are in better shape with their new head coach, as they hired Dino Babers and his high powered offense away from FCS member Eastern Illinois. Babers is a disciple of both Kevin Sumlin and Art Briles, and turned EIU into a power from a doormat.
Matt Johnson enters the 2014 season as probably the best QB in the league, but he has few experienced tools to work with as the Falcons return just five starters on offense. All four starting WRs are new, but Johnson gets a huge weapon back in RB Travis Greene, who helps both in the run game and as a receiver. Both tackles return up front in Jacoby Bennett and Logan Dietz, as does Center Alex Huettel.
Only five starters return on defense as well, so finding new starters becomes a focus on both sides of the football. Bryan Thomas and Charlie Walker return at DE, but both are undersized options who have to depend on athleticism rather than bull dozing speed. LB DJ Lynch returns at LB, and is the only other returning starter up front. Ryland Ward returns at Safety, but is the only returnee in what will be a rebuilt secondary. It's unlikely that the Falcons could return to their lofty ranking of 10th nationally in total defense with this rebuild going on.
Tyler Tate is one of the best PKs in the nation after hitting 18 of 22 last fall, but the Punter job could go to a freshman in Joe Davidson.
Opening Game
8/28 Western Kentucky
Buffalo Bulls
Projected 2014 Record: 9-3
Head Coach: Jeff Quinn (17-32, 5th season)
Jeff Quinn turned a corner with the Bulls last season, winning 8 games and going bowling. However, the best player on the team, Khalil Mack, is gone. Mack is a once in a generation type player at a program like Buffalo, so he leaves a huge void. With that in mind, Buffalo could still be just as good as they were a year ago.
Joe Licata is back for another go at QB, but is coming off of hip surgery that cost him the spring. He is expected to be a go heading into the season, and is a key to making the offense work without RB Brandon Oliver, who has moved on. He will be replaced by a three man committee led by Anthone Taylor. Both WRs must be replaced, but Devon Hughes has promise. He should combine with TE Matt Weiser to give the passing game two reliable targets. The line is loaded, as every single starter returns from a strong campaign in 2013.
The defense has a common problem to many MAC schools in that they have to replace most of the line. Only NT Kritjan Sokoli returns as a starter. Lee Skinner and Adam Redden both return at LB, but can senior Jake Stockman replace Mack's numbers alone? Not likely. Cortney Lester is the lone returning starter in the secondary at CB.
The good news on defense is that most of the players in line to step into starting jobs are upper classmen, meaning that the Bulls will have experience.
Patrick Clarke will be back at PK, but 13 of 20 isn't good enough. Tyler Grassman is back at Punter, and should work at increasing his 4 yard average, but he is a master at setting teams back inside the 20 on angular punts.
Opening Game
8/30 Duquesne
Ohio Bobcats
Projected 2014 Record: 6-6
Head Coach: Frank Solich (67-50, 10th season)
The Bobcats snuck into a bowl last fall, but it may be a tall order getting them back again in 2014, as there are some serious issues on offense. All of the key players from the last couple of seasons are gone, and that leaves WR Chase Cochran as the only skill player back on offense. Derrius Vick is a pure running QB, but could face a challenge from incoming freshman Joey Duckworth, if Duckworth's knee holds up. Daz'mond Patterson should step in at RB, but two new starters must be found at WR. Three starters return on the line in LT Mike McQueen, LG Mike Lucas, and Center Lucas Powell, but the right side must be rebuilt.
The defense should be a strength in 2014, as there is a ton of starting experience coming back, especially up front. DE Kurt Laseak, NT Antwan Crutcher, and DE Tarell Basham all return on the line, and senior Cameron McLeod should start at the open DT spot. Ben Russell and Jovon Johnson both return at LB, but Blair Brown is a key as a new starter, and may be the best of the bunch. The secondary is stacked as well, as CB Devin Bass joins SS Josh Kristoff and FS Thad Ingol as returning starters.
Josiah Yazdani took over at PK halfway through the season, and hit 14 of 15 FGs. He should be a breakout star in 2014. Junior Mitch Bonnstetter should step in as the new starter at Punter.
Opening Game
8/30 at Kent State
Akron Zips
Projected 2014 Record: 5-7
Head Coach: Terry Bowden (6-18, 3rd season)
Bowden finally showed some solid gains in 2013, but it's hard to see that Akron makes an additional step forward in 2014.
The offense will be loaded in the skill positions, as almost everyone returns starting with QB Kyle Pohl. Pohl was up and down last fall, but should show some improvement this season. Jawon Chisholm is looking to find a breakout season in 2014 at RB, but isn't the best athlete in the world. There are no stars at WR, but all three starters return in LT Smith, Zach D'Orazio, and Fransohn Bickley. Travis Switzer returns at Center, and is joined by RG Joe McNamara, but there will likely be three new starters on the line, which could be problematic.
The D line is in rebuld mode, as only NG Cody Grice returns. LB is in better shape, as Justin March and Jatavis Brown return, but the Zips need a new starter at MLB to step up. Both safeties return in SS Bre' Ford and FS JOhnny Robinson, but both corners need to be replaced.
Zach Paul is a solid Punter, and will likely be even better this fall. Robert Stein was not good last fall, and could lose his job eventually if he doesn't get better than making barely over half of his tries.
Opening Game
8/28 Howard
Kent State Golden Flashes
Projected 2014 Record: 4-8
Head Coach: Paul Haynes (4-8, 2nd season)
The Golden Flashes have taken some steps back after Darrell Hazell bolted for Purdue. Haynes had a rough go last fall, and is depending on a sophomore QB in Colin Reardon, who was very bumpy last season. Traylon Durham starts at RB, but only if he recovers from foot surgery that happened in the offseason. WR Chris Humphrey is the only other skill set player back on offense, so Kent State is rebuilding big time. Both tackles return on the line, but the entire interior is new.
The interior of the D line comes back in Nate Terhune and Chris Fairchild, but both ends are being replaced. The run defense stands to get better with both LBs returning in Darius Redmond and Matt Dellinger. The secondary is being largely rebuilt with only Safety Jordan Italiano returning.
Brad Miller should win the PK job, but will he get to kick from short range like Punter Anthony Melchiori did a year ago?
Opening Game
8/30 Ohio
Miami (Ohio) Red Hawks
Projected 2014 Record: 4-8
Head Coach: Chuck Martin (1st season)
Hiring Chuck Martin should take Miami in the right direction, but it couldn't get more wrong than it has been the last few seasons. Martin has to build toughness and discipline, but there is way more work to be done than what we can truly grade in one season. If they can win my projected four games, that would be a huge start for what has been a wayward program.
Andrew Hendrix transfers from Notre Dame, and will fill the QB job right away. He has some experienced weapons to throw to, as all three receivers are back in Dawan Scott, Alvonta Freeman, and David Frazier. Four starters return on the line, and only the Center job is up for grabs.
DE Bryson Albright and DT Mitchell Winters are back on the line, and are joined in the front seven by Kent Kern and Josh Dooley at LB. This group got run over regularly, ranking 111th nationally against the run last fall. The secondary wasn't any good either, but it is experienced with Heath Harding, Brison Burris, and Jay Mastin all coming back.
Kaleb Patterson was a busy guy last fall, and hit 22 of 29 FGs on the season, but replacing all everything Punter Zac Murphy is imperative.
Opening Game
8/30 Marshall
U Mass Minutemen
Projected 2014 Record: 0-12
Head Coach: Mark Whipple (49-26, 7th season overall)
What was a decent FCS program has been a major disaster of an FBS program. It's never too late to go back, and that's what they should do, but of course, they won't.
Hiring Mark Whipple was a key move, as at least he understands the culture in Amherst, and has had success there in the past.
The offense will largely depend on RB Lorenzo Woodley, as a new QB must be broken in. WR Tajae Sharpe is also back and could help ease the transition from a spread offense to a conventional pro offense. Only two starters return on the line.
The line returns one starter on defense in NT Daniel Maynes. There is experience at LB in Stanley Andre, Jovan Santos-Knox, and Trey Seals. The secondary was actually decent last fall, and returns both corners in Randall Jette and Trey Dudley-Giles. Joe Cotton is also back at Safety.
Blake Lucas was largely terrible at PK, hitting only 3 of 10 kicks last fall.
Opening Game
8/30 Boston College
Northern Illinois Huskies
Projected 2014 Record: 9-3
Head Coach: Rod Carey (12-3, 2nd full season)
Jordan Lynch may be gone at QB, but his departure actually makes the Huskies a more balanced team, and they certainly become harder to plan against without his exploits, as long as everyone else on offense steps up. It's a three way battle t replace Lynch heading into camp, where the offense will look for balance.
Whomever wins the QB job gets the benefit of having both WRs back in the starting lineup from a season ago in De'Ron Brown and Tommylee Lewis. Add TE Luke Eakes back into the mix, and the Huskies could be loaded in the passing game. Cameron Stingley also returns at RB, and rushed for over 1100 yards a year ago, and could be more of a feature his fall. With four starters back on the line, that could be a serious reality.
On defense, the Huskies have much to do in replacing every starter on the line. Jamaal Bass and Boomer Mays return at LB, and will have to pick up the slack of the inexperience up front. Three starters return in the secondary, but they will all have to improve a great deal after the Huskies ranked just 105th nationally against the pass.
Tyler Wedel, who punted last fall, also adds PK duties to his resume this season.
Opening Game
8/28 Presbyterian
Toledo Rockets
Projected 2014 Record: 6-6
Head Coach: Matt Campbell (17-9, 3rd full season)
The Rockets missed out on a bowl despite winning 7 games last fall, but they could find it a tough go to get back to a bowl this fall.
There will be a new QB this season, and it could either be former backup Logan Whiteside or Alabama transfer Philip Ely. David Fluellen is gone at RB, but Kareem Hunt rushed for 866 yards as a backup last season, and now gets the premier back spot. Alonzo Russell and his 115 receptions returns at WR, as does Justin Olack and TE Alex Zmolik, giving the Rockets a deep receiving corps. The line is probably the best in the MAC, and returns four starters, with only the Center job open.
The defense was an absolute letdown last fall, and improvement is a must this fall. the front seven may be loaded, as six starters return. The line will be led by DE Allen Covington and DTs Trayvon Hester and Orion Jones. All three starters are back at LB in Trent Voss, Chase Murdock, and Junior Sylvestre, giving the Rockets one of the most experienced groups up front in the league. The secondary has some holes to fill, but CB Cheatham Norrils and SS Chaz Whittaker both return.
Jeremiah Detmer is back at PK, and is one of the very best in the country, hitting 36 of his last 37 FG tries. There will be a new Punter, but it seems locked down in sophomore Nick Ellis.
Opening Game
8/30 New Hampshire
Ball State Cardinals
Projected 2014 Record: 8-4
Head Coach: Pete Lembo (25-13, 4th season)
Pete Lembo has done a major rebuilding job in Muncie, and was nearly courted away last winter. He remains as the head guy, and that alone gives Ball State a chance in 2014.
Finding a new QB to replace Keith Wenning will be the primary goal, but whomever lands the job will Have a bit of talent to get the ball to in Jordan Williams, and youngsters Jordan Hogue and Devin Reece. Williams is the only returning starter, so the youngsters are in a battle for playing time. Three starters return on the line in QT Steven Bell, C Jacob Richard, and SG Jalen Schlachter, and they will blow some holes open for returning RB Jahwan Edwards, but the run game needs some improvement.
The Cardinals need some help in rebuilding the defensive line, as only DE Nick Miles returns from last season as a starter. Ben Ingle and Zack Ryan both return at LB, and they will need to step up to support an inexperienced line. The secondary should be loaded with three returning starters in CB Eric Patterson, SS Brian Jones, and FS Dae'Shaun Hurley. The Cardinals ranked a respectable 44th in the nation against the pass in 2013.
Scott Secor is back at PK, and is one of the best in the MAC. Kyle Schmidt returns at Punter, but had an up and down freshman year last fall.
Opening Game
8/30 Colgate
Central Michigan Chippewas
Projected 2014 Record: 4-8
Head Coach: Dan Enos (19-30, 5th season)
2014 is a make or break season for Dan Enos, who has never put together a winning record at CMU. The Chippewas have been largely average to awful under his watch, and it's bowl or bust for him. The problem is that there isn't enough talent here to get there.
Cooper Rush is back at QB this season, but his 15 INTs are not getting it done. Saylor Lavalli should will be the starter at RB full time this season, and rushed for 807 yards in 8 starts last fall. Titus Davis is a beats at WR, and had 1109 yards receiving last fall. Courtney Williams also starts again, but will Rush get them the football enough to make a difference?
The line is a huge strength, as all five starters return. This line is largely thought to be the best in the MAC. Something has to give, as the Chippewas ranked just 108th in total offense last fall.
The strength on defense is against the pass, as CMU ranked 20th against the pass last fall. Kavon Frazier, Jason Wilson, and Jarret Chapman all return there to give a core strength to the unit. LB Justin Cherocci will be back at LB, and the Chippewas need him to anchor the middle. CMU gave up over 200 yards rushing last season per game, and the front will have to work it out. DT Leterrius Walton and DE Louis Palmer return.
Ron Coluzzi is back at PK, but was very average at 12 of 17 last season. He also takes over punting duties this fall, which could be good or bad.
Opening Game
8/28 Chattanooga
Western Michigan Broncos
Projected 2014 Record: 1-11
Head Coach: PJ Fleck (1-11, 2nd season)
Not much worked last season for the Broncos, so there is only one way to go...up. Zach Terrell is back at QB, but could lose the job to youngster Chance Stewart. WR Corey Davis is the only other skill player to return in 2014, so the offense is starting from scratch in a big way. The good news is that the line returns intact.
The defense did have a nice return in the passing game, ranking 4th against the pass overall. However, when you rank 118th against the run, why would anyone throw? DT Cleveland Smith and LB Austin Lewis are the only returning starters in the front seven, so rebuilding is in order. That strong secondary boasts three returning starters in CBs Donald Cellscar and Ronald Zamort, and Safety Justin Currie.
PK Andrew Haldeman was solid last fall, hitting 16 of 20 FGs, and more will be asked of him. J. Schroeder is back at Punter, but must find direction and consistency if he's to hold the job and help out a beleaguered defense.
Opening Game
8/30 at Purdue
Eastern Michigan Eagles
Projected 2014 Record: 3-9
Head Coach: Chris Creighton (1st season)
EMU hired Creighton from FCS program Drake, where he had decent success in a not horrible lower level conference, but EMU has been a loser for as long as anyone can remember. This will be a huge overhaul, and it remains to be seen if it can be done.
Hopes hang on QB Brogan Roback, who will lean heavily on RB Bronson Hill, who rushed for 1101 yards in 2014. Jay Jones is the lone returning starter at WR, but the Eagles will run a two TE set, and both TEs return in Duwhan Alford and Tyreese Russell. Both tackles (Andrew Wylie, Lincoln Hansen) and Center Campbell Allison return.
The line boasts some experience in DE Pat O'Connor and NT Omar McFarlane, and they are joined up front by the return of LB Ike Spearman, but there are three holes to fill at LB, which is a huge issue. Willie Creear is the lone returnee in the secondary, and will start at CB.
Dylan Mulder returns at PK, but barely cleared 50% on the season, and Punter Austin Barnes missed out on a 40 yard average. Not good on either count.
Opening Game
8/30 Morgan State
Sunday, August 3, 2014
College Football Preview 2014: Independents
The independent ranks lost two members for 2014 with Idaho and New Mexico State finding landing spots back in the Sun Belt. This is basically addition through subtraction, and will likely increase the overall independent profile for 2014 for the time being. With Navy bolting in 2015 for the AAC, that's merely temporary. Heading into 2014, three of four independents will likely be bowling, and it should be another strong showing in the mid to lower tier bowl circuit for two of the three.
Projected Order of Finish
1. Notre Dame
2. BYU
3. Navy
4. Army
Coaches on the Hot Seat
None
Best Coach
Bronco Mendenhall, BYU
Worst Coach
None
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Projected 2014 Record: 9-3
Head Coach: Brian Kelly (37-15 (5th season)
Lot's will depend on the ability of Everett Golson to rebound the offense to the form that the Irish showed in their championship run season of 2012. Back from suspension, Golson has the job all to himself, and he will need to shine brightly, and early on. The run game is looking for a new starter, but eventually the job should fall to former five star Greg Bryant, but he redshirted last season as he struggled with injury and struggled even more trying to figure out the playbook. Sophomore Tarean Folston holds the starting job heading into camp. DaVaris Daniels is the lone member of the receiving corps to return as a starter, but there is talent and depth, it's just a matter of who wins out in camp. Three starters return on the line in LT Ronnie Stanley, C Nick Martin, and RG Christian Lombard.
The front seven is thin on defense, with just two starters coming back in DT Sheldon Day and LB Jaylon Smith. Smith will have to step up and lead in the middle of the field as just a sophomore. KelVarae Russell is back at CB, while Austin Collinsworth returns at SS. The remainder of the secondary is also being rebuilt heading into camp, and it looks like the Irish will be young, and thin there as well.
Senior Kyle Brindza returns as the combo PK/P once again for the Irish, and with the rebuilding defense, his skills will be more important than ever.
Opening Game
8/30 Rice
Brigham Young Cougars
Projected 2014 Record: 9-3
Head Coach: Bronco Mendenhall (82-34, 10th season)
With Taysom Hill back at QB, anything is possible for the BYU offense, as Hill can carry a game with both arm and legs, even if his receiving corps is being completely overhauled for the 2014 season. BYU will be deep and loaded with transfers in that corps, but there is little to go on but hype and expectation so far. All of the new WRs will be juniors in Terenn Houk, Mitch Matthews, and Kurt Henderson, but Cody Hoffman is gone, and that's a huge hole to fill. Jamaal Williams will be a huge benefit after rushing for over 1200 yards last season, and will be the primary back, no committee. The line returns three starters from a group that struggled at times with inconsistency and injuries in 2013. LT De'ondre Wesley, LG Solomone Jaku, and RT Michael Yeck all return.
BYU really could use some improvement from the D, but that may be a tough go, with only DT Remington Peck. LB Alani Fua, and LB Bronson Kaufusi returning. The secondary, however, should be a bit more loaded with three of four spots taken up with returning starters in CB Robertson Daniel, S Craig Bills, FS Skye PoVey.
Moose Bingham looks like a lock to take the open PK job as a sophomore, but the Punter job is locked up with Scott Arellano coming back off of a solid 2013 campaign.
Opening Game
8/29 at U Conn
Navy Midshipmen
Projected 2014 Record: 9-3
Head Coach: Ken Niumatalolo (49-30, 8th season)
Navy has a top flight trigger man at QB in Keenan Reynolds, who rushed for 31 TDs last fall and scored 188 points on the season. He rushed for over 1300 yards as the leader of this option offense. THe line will be key, with four starters returning in LT Bradyn Heap, LG EK Binns, C Tanner Fleming, and RG Joe Zuzek. Navy will go with a committee at the all important FB spot, which will be led by senior Noah Copeland. Geoffery Whiteside will return to start at SB, and will be joined by DeBrandon Sanders who steps up from second string to start this fall after rushing for over 500 yards last fall. The receivers will both be new in Jamir Tillman and Brendan Dudeck.
Navy's weal point on D was against the run last fall, but that could change with the return of two starters on the line in DE Paul Quessenberry and NG Bernard Sarra. They will be joined in the front seven by returning LBs Chris Johnson and Jordan Drake. The secondary wasn't half bad in 2013, and has three returning starters in CBs Brendan Clements and Kwazel Bertrand, who will be joined by FS Parrish Gaines.
Nick Sloan returns at PK, but basically has only connected on two thirds of his career tries. That must improve at some point. Pablo Beltran is a four year starter at Punter, and had a decent 41.4 yard per punt average last fall.
Opening Game
8/30 Ohio State at Baltimore
Army Cadets
Projected 2014 Record: 2-10
Head Coach: Jeff Monken (1st season)
The Rich Ellersen era unfortunately ended after last season, and it's not like he didn't try, and even had some success. The success dried up, and in came Jeff Monken, who had some decent successes at Georgia Southern, and understands an option offense.
First task is finding a QB between Angel Santiago and AJ Schurr, who both have starting experience. I suggest picking one and going for it rather than using the dreaded two QB system. Larry Dixon is the FB, and he will likely finish his season in Army's top ten rushers list. Terry Baggett is a big play runner, and will compliment the pitch out game perfectly. Tony Giovannelli is the other starter at RB, and is a solid pass catcher as well. The big news is the return of RB Raymond Maples, who missed most of last season due to injury. Xavier Moss caught 35 passes last fall, and is the one returning starting WR. The line will be largely rebuilt, with only LG Steve Shumaker and RT Justn Gilbert returning.
Army wasn't purely horrible on D last fall, but couldn't stop the run. They may have just as many issues doing so with only two returning starters coming back in the front seven, and both are on the line in DE Mike Ugenyi and NT Richard Glover. There are no returning starters at LB, which is a huge hole to work out in camp. The good news is that the secondary returns intact, and the Cadets were incredibly strong against the pass, ranking 14th nationally. Josh Jenkins and Chris Carnegie return at the corners, while Geoff Bacon and Hayden Pierce are back at the safety slots.
PK Dan Grochowski will be the starter at PK, and if the offense can get him close, he could be a strong weapon after hitting 8 of 11 last fall. Punter Alex Tardieu was just awful at times in 2013, and yet he still has the job for lack of a better option. Bad punts and a rebuilding defense up front could be terrible news for the 2014 Cadets.
Opening Game
9/6 Buffalo
Projected Order of Finish
1. Notre Dame
2. BYU
3. Navy
4. Army
Coaches on the Hot Seat
None
Best Coach
Bronco Mendenhall, BYU
Worst Coach
None
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Projected 2014 Record: 9-3
Head Coach: Brian Kelly (37-15 (5th season)
Lot's will depend on the ability of Everett Golson to rebound the offense to the form that the Irish showed in their championship run season of 2012. Back from suspension, Golson has the job all to himself, and he will need to shine brightly, and early on. The run game is looking for a new starter, but eventually the job should fall to former five star Greg Bryant, but he redshirted last season as he struggled with injury and struggled even more trying to figure out the playbook. Sophomore Tarean Folston holds the starting job heading into camp. DaVaris Daniels is the lone member of the receiving corps to return as a starter, but there is talent and depth, it's just a matter of who wins out in camp. Three starters return on the line in LT Ronnie Stanley, C Nick Martin, and RG Christian Lombard.
The front seven is thin on defense, with just two starters coming back in DT Sheldon Day and LB Jaylon Smith. Smith will have to step up and lead in the middle of the field as just a sophomore. KelVarae Russell is back at CB, while Austin Collinsworth returns at SS. The remainder of the secondary is also being rebuilt heading into camp, and it looks like the Irish will be young, and thin there as well.
Senior Kyle Brindza returns as the combo PK/P once again for the Irish, and with the rebuilding defense, his skills will be more important than ever.
Opening Game
8/30 Rice
Brigham Young Cougars
Projected 2014 Record: 9-3
Head Coach: Bronco Mendenhall (82-34, 10th season)
With Taysom Hill back at QB, anything is possible for the BYU offense, as Hill can carry a game with both arm and legs, even if his receiving corps is being completely overhauled for the 2014 season. BYU will be deep and loaded with transfers in that corps, but there is little to go on but hype and expectation so far. All of the new WRs will be juniors in Terenn Houk, Mitch Matthews, and Kurt Henderson, but Cody Hoffman is gone, and that's a huge hole to fill. Jamaal Williams will be a huge benefit after rushing for over 1200 yards last season, and will be the primary back, no committee. The line returns three starters from a group that struggled at times with inconsistency and injuries in 2013. LT De'ondre Wesley, LG Solomone Jaku, and RT Michael Yeck all return.
BYU really could use some improvement from the D, but that may be a tough go, with only DT Remington Peck. LB Alani Fua, and LB Bronson Kaufusi returning. The secondary, however, should be a bit more loaded with three of four spots taken up with returning starters in CB Robertson Daniel, S Craig Bills, FS Skye PoVey.
Moose Bingham looks like a lock to take the open PK job as a sophomore, but the Punter job is locked up with Scott Arellano coming back off of a solid 2013 campaign.
Opening Game
8/29 at U Conn
Navy Midshipmen
Projected 2014 Record: 9-3
Head Coach: Ken Niumatalolo (49-30, 8th season)
Navy has a top flight trigger man at QB in Keenan Reynolds, who rushed for 31 TDs last fall and scored 188 points on the season. He rushed for over 1300 yards as the leader of this option offense. THe line will be key, with four starters returning in LT Bradyn Heap, LG EK Binns, C Tanner Fleming, and RG Joe Zuzek. Navy will go with a committee at the all important FB spot, which will be led by senior Noah Copeland. Geoffery Whiteside will return to start at SB, and will be joined by DeBrandon Sanders who steps up from second string to start this fall after rushing for over 500 yards last fall. The receivers will both be new in Jamir Tillman and Brendan Dudeck.
Navy's weal point on D was against the run last fall, but that could change with the return of two starters on the line in DE Paul Quessenberry and NG Bernard Sarra. They will be joined in the front seven by returning LBs Chris Johnson and Jordan Drake. The secondary wasn't half bad in 2013, and has three returning starters in CBs Brendan Clements and Kwazel Bertrand, who will be joined by FS Parrish Gaines.
Nick Sloan returns at PK, but basically has only connected on two thirds of his career tries. That must improve at some point. Pablo Beltran is a four year starter at Punter, and had a decent 41.4 yard per punt average last fall.
Opening Game
8/30 Ohio State at Baltimore
Army Cadets
Projected 2014 Record: 2-10
Head Coach: Jeff Monken (1st season)
The Rich Ellersen era unfortunately ended after last season, and it's not like he didn't try, and even had some success. The success dried up, and in came Jeff Monken, who had some decent successes at Georgia Southern, and understands an option offense.
First task is finding a QB between Angel Santiago and AJ Schurr, who both have starting experience. I suggest picking one and going for it rather than using the dreaded two QB system. Larry Dixon is the FB, and he will likely finish his season in Army's top ten rushers list. Terry Baggett is a big play runner, and will compliment the pitch out game perfectly. Tony Giovannelli is the other starter at RB, and is a solid pass catcher as well. The big news is the return of RB Raymond Maples, who missed most of last season due to injury. Xavier Moss caught 35 passes last fall, and is the one returning starting WR. The line will be largely rebuilt, with only LG Steve Shumaker and RT Justn Gilbert returning.
Army wasn't purely horrible on D last fall, but couldn't stop the run. They may have just as many issues doing so with only two returning starters coming back in the front seven, and both are on the line in DE Mike Ugenyi and NT Richard Glover. There are no returning starters at LB, which is a huge hole to work out in camp. The good news is that the secondary returns intact, and the Cadets were incredibly strong against the pass, ranking 14th nationally. Josh Jenkins and Chris Carnegie return at the corners, while Geoff Bacon and Hayden Pierce are back at the safety slots.
PK Dan Grochowski will be the starter at PK, and if the offense can get him close, he could be a strong weapon after hitting 8 of 11 last fall. Punter Alex Tardieu was just awful at times in 2013, and yet he still has the job for lack of a better option. Bad punts and a rebuilding defense up front could be terrible news for the 2014 Cadets.
Opening Game
9/6 Buffalo
Tuesday, July 29, 2014
College Football Preview 2014: Conference USA
CUSA had yet another season of severe loss, as Tulsa, Tulane, and East Carolina joined the departures of UCF, Houston, Memphis, and SMU from last season. Those are huge losses for any conference to endure, and basically has made the conference restructure its core power structure. CUSA has added some numbers this season in Western Kentucky and Old Dominion, but those numbers are not what was lost. With that being said, as many as six teams from this conference could be bowl bound in 2014, and Marshall could be a major player nationally, as they finally break through the fog of mediocrity.
Projected Order of Finish
East
1. Marshall
2. Middle Tennessee
3. Western Kentucky
4. Florida Atlantic
5. Old Dominion
6. UAB
7. Florida International
West
1. UTSA
2. Rice
3. North Texas
4. Louisiana Tech
5. Southern Mississippi
6. UTEP
Coaches on the Hot Seat
Ron Turner, FIU
David Bailiff, Rice
Skip Holtz, Louisiana Tech
Best Coach
Larry Coker, UTSA
Worst Coach
Ron Turner, FIU
The following teams are projected to finish with winning records and obtain bowl births:
Marshall Thundering Herd
Projected 2014 Record: 12-0
Head Coach: Doc Holliday (27-24, 5th season)
Offense
Six starters return on a unit that ranked 20th nationally, and the most important starter in the group is QB Rakeem Cato, who has passed for over 10,000 yards and 91 TDs in his career. The senior will have a top flight target in the passing game with the return of WR Tommy Shuler, but they must replace Gator Hoskins at TE. Hoskins leaves a huge hole to fill, and senior Eric Prohnpafel will get first shot at doing so. Craig Wilkins also returns at WR, but must step up so that DBs cannot team up on Shuler.
Essray Taliaferro is also gone at RB, but there is plenty of depth and talent ready to step up to replace him. Junior Kevin Grooms has the lead, but Steward Butler is pushing for carries.
Both guards must be replaced, but tackles Sebastion Johannson and Clint Van Horn are back, as is Center Chris Jasperse.
Defense
The main reason for my huge expectations could be massive improvement on a defense that already ranked a highly respectable 35th last season. Seven starters return, with four coming in the front seven. James Rouse (DT) and Ra'Shawde Myers (DE) return on the line, while Evan McKelvey and Jermaine Holmes are back at LB. The front seven, however, is where the improvement must come from, as the Herd finished just 57th against the run.
Both CBs are back in Corey Tindal and Darryl Roberts. Tindal started as a freshman, and should have a breakthrough season in 2014. Tiquan Lang also returns at SS, and also started as a freshman last season. Sophomore AJ Leggett will likely get the nod at FS this fall.
Special Teams
Justin Haig returns at PK, but is being pushed heading into the fall by Nick Smith. Tyler Williams also returns at Punter, and he finished strong by averaging 42.4 yards per punt.
Opening Game
8/30 at Miami (Ohio)
Final Overview
The Herd will benefit hugely by a very weak schedule, which includes Miami (Ohio) and Rhode Island in the first two weeks, and includes Akron and CUSA newcomer Old Dominion in weeks 3 and 4. The conference schedule is highly manageable, and with weapons on both sides of the football, Marshall should cruise to the CUSA title game.
UTSA Roadrunners
Projected 2014 Record: 9-3
Head Coach: Larry Coker (19-15, 4th season)
Offense
Nine starters return on offense, but QB Eric Soza is gone. Tucker Carter is the replacement, and has been the backup to Soza, so being the understudy here will serve him well.
David Glasco returns at RB, but will have to provide a good deal more on offense than 496 yards in ten games. Nate Shaw will be lead blocking at FB once again, and will need to be relied on more than ever this season as Carter will hand off more often than Soza did.
Kam Jones and Brandon Freeman both return at WR, and that will bring stability to the passing game with the new QB being broken in. Senior Cole Hubble will likely start at TE after getting valuable experience off of the bench last season.
The entire offensive line returns intact this fall, and that is the building block of any great offense, and this offense has the ability to be great this season.
Defense
Ten starters return on a defense that allowed just 10.5 points per game over their final four games of the season, which were all wins.
Coming in off of that streak will be a must, with a tough schedule starting out the slate. Five members of the front six return, led by DE Robert Singletary and Ashaad Mabry (DT) on the line, and Drew Douglas at LB, who finished with 69 tackles last fall. Douglas will have to step up to support new starter Jens Jeters, but then again, Jeters is a senior, so he should be ok surrounded by the talent that he has around him for support.
The entire secondary returns, and that is great news, but strides must be made, because the early schedule will bring ins some high power passing in the likes of Houston, Arizona, and Oklahoma State. Triston Wade will be the leader of this unit at Safety.
Special Teams
Sean Ianno returns at PK, but he had some issues last fall, hitting on just 11 of 19 FGs on the year. Kristian Stern was average last season, hitting for 40.4 yards per punt. Improvements must come from this area.
Opening Game
8/29 at Houston
Final Overview
Coker is the best coach in a constantly shifting landscape in CUSA, and has the deepest starting lineup, but that early schedule is brutal with trips to Houston and Oklahoma State, while Arizona comes to the Alamo Dome. The rest of the schedule has a couple of challenges, but UTSA should be able to overcome them, make the CUSA title game, and go bowling for the first time in school history.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Projected 2014 Record: 8-4
Head Coach: Rick Stockstill (51-49, 9th season)
Offense
There are major holes on offense, with only four starters returning overall. None of those starters return in the backfield, as Austin Grammer looks like the new QB, while Jordan Parker looks like the new starter at RB. Parker has started in the past, but has an injury history. Grammer is in a battle as camp approaches with AJ Erderly and Brent Stockstill, and luckily there is major depth at RB.
Both WRs do return, as Christian Collis and Marcus Henry are both back in the fold. Collis, however, broke his ankle in spring ball, and may not be ready to go.
The only returning starters on the line are at Tackle, with Darius Johnson and Isaiah Anderson coming back for more.
Defense
Four starters return in the front seven, where the Blue Raiders finished ranking just 96th against the run last fall. Patrick McNeil will be back at DT, while Alexander Antoine is back at DE. Christian Henry and TT Barber will both be back at LB, and are all conference candidates, and should be the heart and soul of this unit.
Three starters are back in the secondary, with SS Kevin Byard and FS Xavier Walker both returning deep. Junior Jared Singletary is back at CB, while a starter will have to be replaced across from him. Senior Khari Burke will likely be that new starter.
Special Teams
Cody Clark had an average season in 2013, hitting 12 of 16 FGs, and is back. He will need to improve, but has room to grow as a sophomore.
Zachary Lopez has not distanced himself from freshman AJ Wells heading into the fall in a battle for the Punter job.
Opening Game
8/30 Savannah State
Final Overview
While the offense will be rebuilding, it will be hipe upon hope that the front of the defense gets tougher and follows the example of that fine secondary that ranked 19th against the pass nationally. Four of the last five games on the schedule are all massively winnable, as none of those teams had winning records in 2013. Rick Stockstill, who is always on the Hot Seat, must really have a strong finish in 2014, as his career record here is only two games above .500. He should have enough to win 8 games this fall, and anything less would be a disappointment.
Rice Owls
Projected 2014 Record: 7-5
Head Coach: David Bailiff (40-48, 8th season)
Offense
There is rebuilding to do at both QB and RB, and that could be key heading into the season. Driphus Jackson should be the new QB, while Jowan Davis is likely going to get the starters carries at RB.
Dennis Parks and Jordan Taylor are back at WR, and that is really good news for a new QB. Taylor is a huge target, and should be an all-conference candidate. Connor Cella is also back at TE.
Three starters return on the line in LG Nico Carlson, RG Drew Carroll, and RT Caleb Williams.
Defense
Six starters return on defense, with half of those coming up front. NT Stuart Mouchentaf and DT Christian Covington return on the line, while James Radcliffe is the lone returning starter at LB. DE and the open LB spot are wide open races, and those positions are weaknesses heading into camp.
The secondary returns three of five starters in CBs Bryce Callahan and Malcolm Hill, and S Julius White. The secondary is a strength, having ranked 18th nationally last fall against the pass.
Special Teams
Chris Boswell is gone at PK, and it should be tough to replace him. Taylor Knopf should be in line to start as a freshman, but it's not a lock.
Opening Game
8/30 at Notre Dame
Final Overview
The Owls will not be repeating as CUSA champs in 2014, but there is enough in the tank to get back to a bowl game. The water mark should be seven wins this fall, and David Bailiff needs that win mark to get closer to a .500 career mark. If the Owls fall back once again, then it could be tough going for him.
North Texas Mean Green
Projected 2014 Record: 7-5
Head Coach: Dan McCarney (18-19, 4th season)
Offense
Only five starters return this fall, and four of them come on the offensive line in LT Antonio Johnson, LG Mason Y'Barbo, C Keydon Kirby, and RT Cyril Lemon. Three of them are seniors, and one is a sophomore, so experience is solid up front. The only other returning starter comes at WR in Carlos Harris, and he is stepping into a leader position that he hasn't really had to shoulder before. Look for JC transfer Josh Greer to get a long look for the open QB job heading into fall camp.
Defense
The story is the same on defense, where only four starters return. The bulk of the experience comes in the secondary, where CBs James Jones and Kenny Buyers join S Lairamie Lee as returning starters. This group, however, was the weak spot on D last fall, ranking just 61st against the pass, while no other defensive stat ranked less than 17th. The role of leadership comes to these guys in 2014, and they need to step up to meet it.
Derek Akunne, a senior, is the lone returning starter up front, and he finished second on the team in tackles last season.
Special Teams
Both kickers return in Zach Paul (PK) and Blake Macek (P). The real key in the ST department is on defense, where the Green blocked seven kicks in 2013.
Opening Game
8/30 at Texas
Final Overview
There are more questions than answers heading into the 2014 season in Denton, but there is some strong talent coming back, albeit not entirely experienced talent. epth may be an issue, but when you look at the way the schedule breaks down, UNT may be able to repeat their bowl trip from a year ago, but everything has to go right, especially on offense.
The following schools either finish with losing records and/or miss bowl games
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Projected 2014 Record: 6-6
Head Coach: Jeff Brohm (1st season)
Jeff Brohm takes over for Bobby Petrino, but expect some road bumps in year one in CUSA for the Toppers.
FAU Owls
Projected 2014 Record: 4-8
Head Coach: Charlie Partridge (1st season)
With the Carl Pelini disaster behind them, the Owls will try to move forward, but failed to make a big splash bu hiring an O line from a losing team. There is talent around, but not enough.
Old Dominion Monarchs
Projected 2014 Record: 5-7
Head Coach: Bobby Wilder (46-14, 6th season)
ODU makes a move to a full FBS schedule and has one of the better coaches (Wilder) and QBs (Taylor Henicke) in the conference and in college football. The schedule is difficult, but the talent is strong, especially if the defense plays bigger for their explosive offense. Expect ODU to compete for conference titles in a couple of years.
UAB Blazers
Projected 2014 Record: 2-10
Head Coach: Bill Clark (1st season)
Good luck to Clark as he inherits one of the worst programs in the game. Facilities will get pgraded, but not the stadium, and getting a smaller, more on campus friendly facility is key to getting this thing going. The talent is just not there, and the Blazers stay toward the bottom.
FIU Panthers
Projected 2014 Record: 2-10
Head Coach: Ron Turner (1-11, 2nd season)
Some fans wanted Turner out after one season, and I get why. This program is a mess, and the Panthers football team has become a joke in South Florida. There is very little talent to build anything around, and rock bottom seems to be a magnet. The only two wins may come against FCS opponents in the two opening weeks (Bethune-Cookman, Wagner) and neither of those games are locks.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Projected 2014 Record: 4-8
Head Coach: Skip Holtz (4-8, 2nd season)
I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but Tech seems destined to repeat the four win from last season that pissed off so many fans. Improvement will be seen in small ways, but Holtz is a decent coach who should be able to get the Dogs bulling again in a couple of seasons.
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles
Projected 2014 Record: 4-8
Head Coach: Todd Monken (1-11, 2nd season)
Speaking of finding victory in small ways, Monken should be doing that at USM this season. He will finally have a QB to give the ball to every week without fail, but it's still a question as to how that works out. A three game improvement to four wins should be reachable.
UTEP Miners
Projected 2014 Record: 2-10
Head Coach: Sean Kugler (2-10, 2nd season)
Instead of small victories, things could actually get worse for the Miners instead of getting better in 2014. Look for UTEP to actually regress while Kugler tries to find options and answers all over the football field. 2015 will be worth watching to see if Kugler is still the guy, but he deserves one more year after this to mold and improve this program.
Projected Order of Finish
East
1. Marshall
2. Middle Tennessee
3. Western Kentucky
4. Florida Atlantic
5. Old Dominion
6. UAB
7. Florida International
West
1. UTSA
2. Rice
3. North Texas
4. Louisiana Tech
5. Southern Mississippi
6. UTEP
Coaches on the Hot Seat
Ron Turner, FIU
David Bailiff, Rice
Skip Holtz, Louisiana Tech
Best Coach
Larry Coker, UTSA
Worst Coach
Ron Turner, FIU
The following teams are projected to finish with winning records and obtain bowl births:
Marshall Thundering Herd
Projected 2014 Record: 12-0
Head Coach: Doc Holliday (27-24, 5th season)
Offense
Six starters return on a unit that ranked 20th nationally, and the most important starter in the group is QB Rakeem Cato, who has passed for over 10,000 yards and 91 TDs in his career. The senior will have a top flight target in the passing game with the return of WR Tommy Shuler, but they must replace Gator Hoskins at TE. Hoskins leaves a huge hole to fill, and senior Eric Prohnpafel will get first shot at doing so. Craig Wilkins also returns at WR, but must step up so that DBs cannot team up on Shuler.
Essray Taliaferro is also gone at RB, but there is plenty of depth and talent ready to step up to replace him. Junior Kevin Grooms has the lead, but Steward Butler is pushing for carries.
Both guards must be replaced, but tackles Sebastion Johannson and Clint Van Horn are back, as is Center Chris Jasperse.
Defense
The main reason for my huge expectations could be massive improvement on a defense that already ranked a highly respectable 35th last season. Seven starters return, with four coming in the front seven. James Rouse (DT) and Ra'Shawde Myers (DE) return on the line, while Evan McKelvey and Jermaine Holmes are back at LB. The front seven, however, is where the improvement must come from, as the Herd finished just 57th against the run.
Both CBs are back in Corey Tindal and Darryl Roberts. Tindal started as a freshman, and should have a breakthrough season in 2014. Tiquan Lang also returns at SS, and also started as a freshman last season. Sophomore AJ Leggett will likely get the nod at FS this fall.
Special Teams
Justin Haig returns at PK, but is being pushed heading into the fall by Nick Smith. Tyler Williams also returns at Punter, and he finished strong by averaging 42.4 yards per punt.
Opening Game
8/30 at Miami (Ohio)
Final Overview
The Herd will benefit hugely by a very weak schedule, which includes Miami (Ohio) and Rhode Island in the first two weeks, and includes Akron and CUSA newcomer Old Dominion in weeks 3 and 4. The conference schedule is highly manageable, and with weapons on both sides of the football, Marshall should cruise to the CUSA title game.
UTSA Roadrunners
Projected 2014 Record: 9-3
Head Coach: Larry Coker (19-15, 4th season)
Offense
Nine starters return on offense, but QB Eric Soza is gone. Tucker Carter is the replacement, and has been the backup to Soza, so being the understudy here will serve him well.
David Glasco returns at RB, but will have to provide a good deal more on offense than 496 yards in ten games. Nate Shaw will be lead blocking at FB once again, and will need to be relied on more than ever this season as Carter will hand off more often than Soza did.
Kam Jones and Brandon Freeman both return at WR, and that will bring stability to the passing game with the new QB being broken in. Senior Cole Hubble will likely start at TE after getting valuable experience off of the bench last season.
The entire offensive line returns intact this fall, and that is the building block of any great offense, and this offense has the ability to be great this season.
Defense
Ten starters return on a defense that allowed just 10.5 points per game over their final four games of the season, which were all wins.
Coming in off of that streak will be a must, with a tough schedule starting out the slate. Five members of the front six return, led by DE Robert Singletary and Ashaad Mabry (DT) on the line, and Drew Douglas at LB, who finished with 69 tackles last fall. Douglas will have to step up to support new starter Jens Jeters, but then again, Jeters is a senior, so he should be ok surrounded by the talent that he has around him for support.
The entire secondary returns, and that is great news, but strides must be made, because the early schedule will bring ins some high power passing in the likes of Houston, Arizona, and Oklahoma State. Triston Wade will be the leader of this unit at Safety.
Special Teams
Sean Ianno returns at PK, but he had some issues last fall, hitting on just 11 of 19 FGs on the year. Kristian Stern was average last season, hitting for 40.4 yards per punt. Improvements must come from this area.
Opening Game
8/29 at Houston
Final Overview
Coker is the best coach in a constantly shifting landscape in CUSA, and has the deepest starting lineup, but that early schedule is brutal with trips to Houston and Oklahoma State, while Arizona comes to the Alamo Dome. The rest of the schedule has a couple of challenges, but UTSA should be able to overcome them, make the CUSA title game, and go bowling for the first time in school history.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Projected 2014 Record: 8-4
Head Coach: Rick Stockstill (51-49, 9th season)
Offense
There are major holes on offense, with only four starters returning overall. None of those starters return in the backfield, as Austin Grammer looks like the new QB, while Jordan Parker looks like the new starter at RB. Parker has started in the past, but has an injury history. Grammer is in a battle as camp approaches with AJ Erderly and Brent Stockstill, and luckily there is major depth at RB.
Both WRs do return, as Christian Collis and Marcus Henry are both back in the fold. Collis, however, broke his ankle in spring ball, and may not be ready to go.
The only returning starters on the line are at Tackle, with Darius Johnson and Isaiah Anderson coming back for more.
Defense
Four starters return in the front seven, where the Blue Raiders finished ranking just 96th against the run last fall. Patrick McNeil will be back at DT, while Alexander Antoine is back at DE. Christian Henry and TT Barber will both be back at LB, and are all conference candidates, and should be the heart and soul of this unit.
Three starters are back in the secondary, with SS Kevin Byard and FS Xavier Walker both returning deep. Junior Jared Singletary is back at CB, while a starter will have to be replaced across from him. Senior Khari Burke will likely be that new starter.
Special Teams
Cody Clark had an average season in 2013, hitting 12 of 16 FGs, and is back. He will need to improve, but has room to grow as a sophomore.
Zachary Lopez has not distanced himself from freshman AJ Wells heading into the fall in a battle for the Punter job.
Opening Game
8/30 Savannah State
Final Overview
While the offense will be rebuilding, it will be hipe upon hope that the front of the defense gets tougher and follows the example of that fine secondary that ranked 19th against the pass nationally. Four of the last five games on the schedule are all massively winnable, as none of those teams had winning records in 2013. Rick Stockstill, who is always on the Hot Seat, must really have a strong finish in 2014, as his career record here is only two games above .500. He should have enough to win 8 games this fall, and anything less would be a disappointment.
Rice Owls
Projected 2014 Record: 7-5
Head Coach: David Bailiff (40-48, 8th season)
Offense
There is rebuilding to do at both QB and RB, and that could be key heading into the season. Driphus Jackson should be the new QB, while Jowan Davis is likely going to get the starters carries at RB.
Dennis Parks and Jordan Taylor are back at WR, and that is really good news for a new QB. Taylor is a huge target, and should be an all-conference candidate. Connor Cella is also back at TE.
Three starters return on the line in LG Nico Carlson, RG Drew Carroll, and RT Caleb Williams.
Defense
Six starters return on defense, with half of those coming up front. NT Stuart Mouchentaf and DT Christian Covington return on the line, while James Radcliffe is the lone returning starter at LB. DE and the open LB spot are wide open races, and those positions are weaknesses heading into camp.
The secondary returns three of five starters in CBs Bryce Callahan and Malcolm Hill, and S Julius White. The secondary is a strength, having ranked 18th nationally last fall against the pass.
Special Teams
Chris Boswell is gone at PK, and it should be tough to replace him. Taylor Knopf should be in line to start as a freshman, but it's not a lock.
Opening Game
8/30 at Notre Dame
Final Overview
The Owls will not be repeating as CUSA champs in 2014, but there is enough in the tank to get back to a bowl game. The water mark should be seven wins this fall, and David Bailiff needs that win mark to get closer to a .500 career mark. If the Owls fall back once again, then it could be tough going for him.
North Texas Mean Green
Projected 2014 Record: 7-5
Head Coach: Dan McCarney (18-19, 4th season)
Offense
Only five starters return this fall, and four of them come on the offensive line in LT Antonio Johnson, LG Mason Y'Barbo, C Keydon Kirby, and RT Cyril Lemon. Three of them are seniors, and one is a sophomore, so experience is solid up front. The only other returning starter comes at WR in Carlos Harris, and he is stepping into a leader position that he hasn't really had to shoulder before. Look for JC transfer Josh Greer to get a long look for the open QB job heading into fall camp.
Defense
The story is the same on defense, where only four starters return. The bulk of the experience comes in the secondary, where CBs James Jones and Kenny Buyers join S Lairamie Lee as returning starters. This group, however, was the weak spot on D last fall, ranking just 61st against the pass, while no other defensive stat ranked less than 17th. The role of leadership comes to these guys in 2014, and they need to step up to meet it.
Derek Akunne, a senior, is the lone returning starter up front, and he finished second on the team in tackles last season.
Special Teams
Both kickers return in Zach Paul (PK) and Blake Macek (P). The real key in the ST department is on defense, where the Green blocked seven kicks in 2013.
Opening Game
8/30 at Texas
Final Overview
There are more questions than answers heading into the 2014 season in Denton, but there is some strong talent coming back, albeit not entirely experienced talent. epth may be an issue, but when you look at the way the schedule breaks down, UNT may be able to repeat their bowl trip from a year ago, but everything has to go right, especially on offense.
The following schools either finish with losing records and/or miss bowl games
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Projected 2014 Record: 6-6
Head Coach: Jeff Brohm (1st season)
Jeff Brohm takes over for Bobby Petrino, but expect some road bumps in year one in CUSA for the Toppers.
FAU Owls
Projected 2014 Record: 4-8
Head Coach: Charlie Partridge (1st season)
With the Carl Pelini disaster behind them, the Owls will try to move forward, but failed to make a big splash bu hiring an O line from a losing team. There is talent around, but not enough.
Old Dominion Monarchs
Projected 2014 Record: 5-7
Head Coach: Bobby Wilder (46-14, 6th season)
ODU makes a move to a full FBS schedule and has one of the better coaches (Wilder) and QBs (Taylor Henicke) in the conference and in college football. The schedule is difficult, but the talent is strong, especially if the defense plays bigger for their explosive offense. Expect ODU to compete for conference titles in a couple of years.
UAB Blazers
Projected 2014 Record: 2-10
Head Coach: Bill Clark (1st season)
Good luck to Clark as he inherits one of the worst programs in the game. Facilities will get pgraded, but not the stadium, and getting a smaller, more on campus friendly facility is key to getting this thing going. The talent is just not there, and the Blazers stay toward the bottom.
FIU Panthers
Projected 2014 Record: 2-10
Head Coach: Ron Turner (1-11, 2nd season)
Some fans wanted Turner out after one season, and I get why. This program is a mess, and the Panthers football team has become a joke in South Florida. There is very little talent to build anything around, and rock bottom seems to be a magnet. The only two wins may come against FCS opponents in the two opening weeks (Bethune-Cookman, Wagner) and neither of those games are locks.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Projected 2014 Record: 4-8
Head Coach: Skip Holtz (4-8, 2nd season)
I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but Tech seems destined to repeat the four win from last season that pissed off so many fans. Improvement will be seen in small ways, but Holtz is a decent coach who should be able to get the Dogs bulling again in a couple of seasons.
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles
Projected 2014 Record: 4-8
Head Coach: Todd Monken (1-11, 2nd season)
Speaking of finding victory in small ways, Monken should be doing that at USM this season. He will finally have a QB to give the ball to every week without fail, but it's still a question as to how that works out. A three game improvement to four wins should be reachable.
UTEP Miners
Projected 2014 Record: 2-10
Head Coach: Sean Kugler (2-10, 2nd season)
Instead of small victories, things could actually get worse for the Miners instead of getting better in 2014. Look for UTEP to actually regress while Kugler tries to find options and answers all over the football field. 2015 will be worth watching to see if Kugler is still the guy, but he deserves one more year after this to mold and improve this program.
Tuesday, July 22, 2014
2014 College Football Preview: Big 12
The math still fails to make sense, as there are still only 10 teams in the Big 12. The conference failed to add two more members, and seems to be currently content sitting at ten. I feel that they are making the correct choice. Hosting a championship game isn't all it's hyped up to be, and now the regular season champion still holds the ability to get into a title game without the added pressure. The Big 12 may be the lone major that has it right. That being said, BYU, Boise State, Houston, and SMU are all still in play eventually, as is Cincinnati and U Conn.
The conference has two schools that will eventually play into the national title scene as Oklahoma looks to be back to their old dominating ways, and Baylor looks to rebound from their Fiesta Bowl failure to become a national player for certain in 2014. The rest of the conference looks to be decent to basically average this fall, so barring any miracles, it all falls on the Sooners and Bears to make something happen.
Projected Order of Finish
1. Oklahoma
2. Baylor
3. Texas
4. Kansas State
5. Oklahoma State
6. TCU
7. Texas Tech
8. West Virginia
9. Iowa State
10. Kansas
Coaches on the Hot Seat
Charlie Weis, Kansas
Paul Rhoades, Iowa State
Dan Holgorson, West Virginia
Best Coach
Art Briles, Baylor
Worst Coach
Charlie Weis, Kansas
The following teams will finish with winning records and bowl bids...
Oklahoma Sooners
Projected 2014 Record: 11-1
Head Coach: Bob Stoops (160-39, 15th season)
Offense
Trevor Knight has the job at QB now, and he blew up in the Sugar Bowl win over Alabama. Knight should be the guy to carry on the legacy of true top performers at QB that has become a staple of Sooner football. Stability here may give the Sooners a chance at moving up from a rough ranking of 90th last fall.
The RB position is a bit jumbled, but there are options. Keith Ford heads into camp with the job, but he will likely hand the job over to freshman Joe Mixon, a huge inbound talent from California. Alex Ross is also back and in the mix as well.
WR Sterling Shepard is going to have a huge season, and is the lone returning starter there. Derrick Woods will step in and start as a sophomore, and former Blake "Belldozer" Bell will also move to WR for the 2014 season. Isaac Ijalana will also get reps in the multiple set offenses. Much is also thought of TE Taylor McNamara, who may give the Sooners yet another standout TE.
The strength on the line is at tackle, as both Tyrus Thompson and Daryl Williams return. LG Adam Shead returns, giving the Sooners senior leadership at all three spots. Juniors should start at the open C and RG spots in Ty Darlington and Nila Kasitati.
Defense
The Sooners were a strong unit last fall, ranking 20th overall. Both DEs return in Charles Tapper and Chuka Ndulue, and three of four LBs return in Dominique Alexander, Frank Shannon, and Erik Striker. New starters will be needed at one LB spot, and at DT.Jordan Phillips has the lead at DT, while senior Geneo Grissom leads at LB.
The secondary could be well improved from a ranking of 30th nationally. Julian Wilsona and Zack Sanchez return at CB, while FS Quentin Hayes is back as well. Sophomore Hatari Byrd will likely start at the open SS spot.
Special Teams
Michael Hunnicutt returns as one of the best PKs in America, and the senior has missed only 10 FGs during his entire career.
Jed Barnett is back at Punter after averaging 41.7 yards per punt.
Opening Game
8/30 Louisiana Tech
Final Overview
Of course, there always trap games when it comes to OU, but they should maneuver their way through the season without much incident, until 11/8 when they meet Baylor in Norman. If the offense improves, as it should, and the defense builds off of last season, as it should, OU could be in the championship picture (Final 4).
Baylor Bears
Projected 2014 Record: 11-1
Head Coach: Art Briles (44-32, 7th season)
Offense
Baylor finished 1st nationally in both scoring and total offense last season, and there isn't much to make me believe that the Bears won't be back there again. What's even more impressive was the balance displayed on this offense, as the Bears also finished 13th in the nation in rushing.
Back is Bryce Petty at QB, who is actually better than any QB that Baylor has had (sorry, RG3). Petty passed for 32 TDs and just 3 picks last fall, and is largely the guy to finish as our QB of the Year this fall.
Shock Linwood will get the bulk of the carries at RB, after the Bears lost several RBs the last couple of seasons. Gone is the committee approach, and Linwood should be the guy.
The WR corps is loaded with Antwan Goodley, Levi Norwood, and Corey Coleman all returning to start. Depth is also plentiful, giving the Bears the best WR corps in the nation. Tre'von Armstead will get the nod at TE.
The main question will be on the line, where only LT Spencer Drango and RG Desmine Hilliard return.
Defense
This may be the Achilles for the Bears. The defense was surprisingly strong last fall for a traditionally rich offensive football team, finishing 28th nationally. The main issue is that the roster is loaded with new starters as only three starters return in DT Beau Blackshear, LB Bryce Hager, and FS Terrell Burt. Eight new starters will tell the tale as to how far the Bears could go.
Special Teams
The Bears will be handing their PK duties to a true freshman in 2014, as Aaron Jones has moved on. Chris Callahan has the job to lose now.
Spencer Roth is a beast at Punter, as he averaged a booming 45.8 yards per punt last fall.
Opening Game
8/31 SMU
Final Overview
The offense is like the Death Star of old, without the thermal exhaust port weakness. Nothing will likely stop the offense from pumping up nearly 50 points per game this fall, but can the defense come together to stop opponents from doing the same? The new starters on D need to gel early, or else the Bears may slip. If the defense even comes together marginally, Baylor will be able to challenge Oklahoma in the Big 12,. The schedule is highly manageable, but the Bears do travel to Oklahoma. That game should be for all the marbles in the Big 12 race.
Texas Longhorns
Projected 2014 Record: 8-4
Head Coach: Charlie Strong (1st season)
Offense
The offense was highly average at best in 2013, ranking just 64th nationally, and the passing game struggled once again, ranking 79th.
David Ash is back to start at QB, but he will be challenged by USC transfer Max Wittek, Tyrone Swoopes, and Jerrod Heard in camp. Ash has never stepped all the way up to be the leader that he needs to be, and if he struggles early, look for a change to happen.
Malcolm Brown is a beast at RB, and will be joined by Jonathon Gray and Joe Bergeron as a strong group. Gray is coming back from severe injury, so he is the question mark of the group.
Jaxon Shipley and Kendall Sanders are back to start at WR, so there should not be any drama from the passing game this season. Greg Daniels is also back at TE to give the Horns one of their best receiving groups in a long while.
The line may be an issue, as only C Dominic Espinosa and RT Kennedy Estelle return.
Defense
The line may have some serious issues on one side, but there is some experience to lean on. Cedric Reed returns at one DE, and Malcolm Brown is back at DT. Desmond Jackson should be the new starter at DT, while Shiro Davis should start at DE. New coach Charlie Strong also brought big time DT recruit Poona Ford along with him, so look for him in the rotation.
The starting LB corps returns intact with Dalton Santos, Steve Edmond, and Jordan Hicks will all be back in the middle. The defense will need them to step up as they ranked just 83rd against the run last fall.
The secondary is experienced as well, but ranked just 53rd against the pass. Both CBs return in Quandre Diggs and Duke Thomas, while Mykkele Thompson is back at SS. Senior Josh Turner should step in at FS.
Special Teams
Anthony Fera handled both PK and P jobs last season, but he's gone now. Nick Rose steps in at PK, while William Russ should handle the P job heading into camp.
Opening Game
8/30 North Texas
Final Overview
Texas, like Michigan and Nebraska, has seen better days. That's why Mack Brown absolutely had to go after last season, and Charlie Strong was brought over from Louisville. Strong was about the eighth choice for the job last fall, but he was a solid choice. That being said, not everyone was onboard with this hire.
Texas still doesn't have the athletes that OU and Baylor have right now, so they fall into the second tier in the conference. Eight wins should not be an issue, but both offense and defense must step up to get there. Improvement everywhere is a must.
Kansas State Wildcats
Projected 2014 Record: 9-3
Head Coach: Bill Snyder (178-90-1, 23rd season)
Offense
If you are looking for a spark from K State in 2014, it likely won't come from an offense that ranked only 71st nationally in 2013.
Jake Waters returns as a senior to start at QB, but he really isn't much of anything special, although he was stronger at the end of the season than the beginning.
Daniel Sams, who shared the job with Waters, moves to WR, but will not start there. Those jobs will fall to the dangerous Tyler Lockett, who will pair with Curry Sexton. Lockett scored 11 times last fall, and caught 82 passes. Zach Trujillo will also return at TE.
DeMarcus Robinson heads into camp as the starting RB, but will likely lose the job to freshman Dalvin Warmack at some point.
The line is a question, as only LT Cody Whitehair C BJ Finney return.
Defense
The defense has several questions, as only four starters returns. Three of those starters are in the front seven, which is the good news. DE Ryan Mueller, DT Travis Britz, and LB Jonathon Truman all return. JC transfer Terrell Clinkscales should start at DT, while junior Marquel Bryant will get the nod at DE. Senior Dackery Johnson and junior Charmeachealle Moore will likely win the open LB spots.
Only FS Dante Barnett returns in the secondary, and that unit was already the worst of the defense heading into this season. Randall evans and Morgan Burns lead to win the CB jobs, while SS Dylan Schellenberg should win at SS.
Special Teams
Jack Cantele returns at PK after hitting 11 of 13 last season. There will likely be a freshman handling the P job in Mitch Lochbihler.
Opening Game
8/30 Stephen F. Austin
Final Overview
The Wildcats look to be trending downward this fall, as the defense has to be largely rebuilt. The offense has some special athletes, but one of them isn't playing QB, and K State doesn't have the firepower to compete for a league title, and may even be overrated at 3rd or 4th. This could be rough go this season.
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Projected 2014 Record: 7-5
Head Coach: Mike Gundy (77-38, 10th season)
Offense
The Cowboys return some special skill set players, but there are many holes throughout this unit, and that calls for a basic rebuild up front, where only LG Chris Grisbhy and RT Daniel Koenig return to block for QB JW Walsh, who now stands as the only QB in the system with experience.
Walsh could be poised for a breakthrough in 2014, but only if the line before him can hold up under development and pressure. Two of the new starters on the line are only sophomore (C Paul Lewis, RG Zac Veatch), so this could get interesting.
RB Desmond Roland will need that line to gel as well, as he returns as the primary back after rushing for 11 TDs last fall. Rennie Childs and JC transfer Tyreek Hill could spell him and take some work themselves. Hill will also see some snaps lined up wide at receiver.
The WRs could be a very solid group, but someone needs to step up and be a star this fall, as so far, nobody has clearly taken a leadership role. Jhajuan Seales and Austin Hayes return, while Blake Webb and Marcell Ateman will likely try to step into starting roles.
Defense
Defense has never really been a focal point in Stillwater, and it could be a weak link yet again in 2014, as only four starters return from a unit that ranked 52nd nationally in total D last season.
Jimmy Bean and James Castleman return up front for the Cowboys, but two new starters must be found. Sam Wren (DE) and Ofa Hautau (DT) could step up, but there's a group trying to compete heading into camp.
Ryan Simmons is the lone returning starter at LB, while CB Kevin Peterson is the lone returnee in the secondary.
Special Teams
Ben Grogan returns as the starting PK, but was largely average to awful, hitting just 11 of 18 FGs last season, his first as a starter.
Kip Smith returns as the Punter, , and while he pinned 24 punts inside the 20, he also only averaged 39.6 yards per punt on the season, which isn't anything to write home about.
Opening Game
8/30 Florida State at Arlington
Final Overview
The schedule certainly doesn't help, as the Cowboys open with defending champ Florida State, and finishes with Kansas State, Texas, and back to back road games at Baylor and Oklahoma. That alone is too much to overcome, but then again, the lack of depth and key talent is bad news as well. Overall, I tend not to bet against Mike Gundy, and he ought to be able to squeak enough out of this squad to get back to a bowl.
TCU Horned Frogs
Projected 2014 Record: 6-6
Head Coach: Gary Patterson (120-44, 14th season)
Offense
The Frogs biggest issues has been finding stability at QB, and they have finally settled on one guy there, and that's transfer Matt Joekel. Joekel transfers over from Texas A&M, and will be the guy from day one in a new no huddle system being implemented by Doug Meacham and Sonnie Cumbie as co-coordinators.
That move allows Trevone Boykin to shift out to WR, and the Frogs should make better use of his athleticism chasing down the ball in the field, but he isn't slated to start at WR juts yet. David Porter and Josh Doctson both return as starters, but the leaders for the open jobs are Ja'Juan Story and Ty Slanina.
BJ Catalon will be back to start at RB, and will share carries with Aaron Green. Both are speedy and explosive , and could be used together to diversify the spread attack.
The line is set at Tackle with Aviante Collins and Halapoulivaati Vaitai returning, but the entire interior is on rebuild mode.
Defense
Defense has always been the calling card of great TCU teams, and it certainly looks like the strength heading into 2014 as well, as the Frogs try to get back to a bowl.
TCU is set inside on the line with both DTs coming back in Davion Pearson and Chucky Hunter. DE is a bit of a problem, as projected new starter Devonte Fields is having some legal issues in a domestic assault case as of this writing. Junior James McFarland is slated to win the other DE job, but if Fields can't go due to suspension, depth could be a big time problem off of the edge.
Marcus Mallet and Jonathon Anderson will both be back at LB, and may be the heart of the entire unit.
The secondary is experienced and deep, with four starters returning in CB Kevin White, WS Chris Hackett, SS Sam Carter, and FS Derrick Kindrel. Look for JC transfer Kenny Iloka to get a look at Safety as well.
Special Teams
Both kickers return for their 3rd seasons as starters in PK Jaden Oberkron and P Ethan Perry.
Opening Game
8/30 Samford
Final Overview
The problem with TCU will again be the offense. There will be road bumps learning a new system, and the Frogs are still looking for quality and explosiveness. They haven't quite gotten there yet, but maybe Joekel will be an answer at QB. That being said, the defense should be good enough to hold on for the offense, and make a push to get TCU into a bowl, even a minor one.
The Following teams are expected to finish with losing records and will not play in a bowl
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Projected 2014 Record: 5-7
Head Coach: Kliff Kingsbury (8-5, 2nd season)
The Good
Davis Webb now has the job at QB entirely to himself, but if he goes down, the Red Raiders are in deep trouble, as there is no other experience or depth. Webb looked solid in the spring, and looked stronger.
Two top WRs return in Jakeem Grant and Bradley Marquez, but the other two spots are open.
The O line returns three starters
The Bad
The defense was awful, and helped contribute to an epic collapse at the end of last season, as Tech lost their final five regular season games.
Only three starters return on defense (DE Brandon Jackson, BAN Pete Robertson, and LB Sam Eguavoen), and there will be several JC transfers trying to make their ways into various positions. The schedule is back loaded, and being that the Red Raiders collapsed at the end last fall, I'd have to say that finishing isn't a strong suit here.
Opening Game
8/30 Central Arkansas
West Virginia Mountaineers
Projected 2014 Record: 4-8
Head Coach: Dana Holgorsen (21-17, 4th season)
The Good
The run game, which ranked 82nd last fall, gets a big push by getting transfer Rushel Shell from arch rival Pitt.
New starting WR Mario Alford showed some skill last season, and joins Kevin White and Dalkiel Shorts to give whomever wins the QB job some targets, along with TE/FB Cody Clay.
The guards are solid on the line, and they'd better be, as Quinton Spain and Mark Glowinski are the only returning starters up front.
Having Tom Bradley on staff should be a huge bonus for the Mountaineers.
All three LBs return in Isaiah Bruce, Nick Kwiatkowski, and Brandon Golson, and the secondary may go from being a curse to a blessing with two starters returning. Bruce may be the star of the unit.
The Bad
The QB position is largely a mess, with as many as five guys in the fight in spring. Clint Trickett is a walking ER and concussion magnet. There are no true answers here.
The line needs new starters at Tackle and Center, which are bad places for inexperience while trying to find a QB.
Both DEs need to be replaced from a defense that ranked 90th against the run, and 106th against the pass. WVU needs to find an edge presence that just isn't there right now.
WVU also finished -4 in turnovers last fall, and when you lose the turnover battle, you lose football games. It's really that simple.
On offense, there just isn't that one guy you can look to who you really believe can carry to to bigger things.
WVU could be headed to yet another 4 win season, and Holgorsen knows that the heat is blasting, as home attendance is taking a huge dump.
Opening Game
8/30 Alabama at Atlanta
Iowa State Cyclones
Projected 2014 Record: 1-11
Head Coach: Paul Rhoades (27-36, 6th season)
The Good
WR Quenton Brundrage is a big time playmaker, and gives ISU at least one major weapon. TE EJ Bibbs may also be one of the better weapons on this team, he also may be one of the best TEs in the country.
The O Line is completely intact, giving whomever steps in at QB a wall to hide behind, and with a line like this, Aaron Wimberly could break out at RB.
The Bad
Grant Rohach played well at times last season, but doesn't have the job locked down, and now it's a three man race at QB.
Other than Brundage at WR, nobody else really stands out, and that could be a problem down the line. Someone else needs to step up.
The defense was awful last season (105th in total D), and the entire line must be rebuilt with exception of DE Cory Morrissey. Javohn Miller is also the only returning starter at LB. Both CBs do return in Sam E. Richardson and Nigel Tribune, but both safeties must be replaced, so expect those corners to be out on an island in coverage most of the time.
Opening Game
8/30 North Dakota State
Kansas Jayhawks
Projected 2014 Record: 2-10
Head Coach: Charlie Weis (4-20, 3rd season)
The Good
A good start is that Weis dumped OC duties and brought in a new OC in John Reagan. He scraps the pro set offense and implements a spread.
Nick Harwell transfers in from Miami (Ohio), and gives the Jayhawks an elite receiver to get the ball to, if they can find anyone who can get the ball out of the backfield at QB.
WR Tony Pierson and TE Jimmy Mundine should provide some cover for Harwell, but again, a passer must be located, as Kansas finished just 117th nationally in passing.
The defense is loaded with returning starters, highlighted by a strong secondary that returns four of five starters. Ben Heeney may be one of the most underrated LBs in the Big 12.
The Bad
How does the former QB coach of Tom Brady go from Super Bowl heights to a Big 12 toilet like Kansas? As Blues Traveler once said, it's a long way to fall.
The entire offensive philosophy must be overhauled, and now that Kansas has some targets to throw the ball to, they hand the QB job to a runner in Montell Cozart. Huh?
The entire right side of the line must be rebuilt on offense as well.
So much talent returns on defense, but that same defense ranked just 96th nationally last fall, and gave up 31.8 points per game.
Charlie Weis may be shown the prairie door if KU cannot overcome even my modest expectations.
Opening Game
9/6 SE Missouri State
The conference has two schools that will eventually play into the national title scene as Oklahoma looks to be back to their old dominating ways, and Baylor looks to rebound from their Fiesta Bowl failure to become a national player for certain in 2014. The rest of the conference looks to be decent to basically average this fall, so barring any miracles, it all falls on the Sooners and Bears to make something happen.
Projected Order of Finish
1. Oklahoma
2. Baylor
3. Texas
4. Kansas State
5. Oklahoma State
6. TCU
7. Texas Tech
8. West Virginia
9. Iowa State
10. Kansas
Coaches on the Hot Seat
Charlie Weis, Kansas
Paul Rhoades, Iowa State
Dan Holgorson, West Virginia
Best Coach
Art Briles, Baylor
Worst Coach
Charlie Weis, Kansas
The following teams will finish with winning records and bowl bids...
Oklahoma Sooners
Projected 2014 Record: 11-1
Head Coach: Bob Stoops (160-39, 15th season)
Offense
Trevor Knight has the job at QB now, and he blew up in the Sugar Bowl win over Alabama. Knight should be the guy to carry on the legacy of true top performers at QB that has become a staple of Sooner football. Stability here may give the Sooners a chance at moving up from a rough ranking of 90th last fall.
The RB position is a bit jumbled, but there are options. Keith Ford heads into camp with the job, but he will likely hand the job over to freshman Joe Mixon, a huge inbound talent from California. Alex Ross is also back and in the mix as well.
WR Sterling Shepard is going to have a huge season, and is the lone returning starter there. Derrick Woods will step in and start as a sophomore, and former Blake "Belldozer" Bell will also move to WR for the 2014 season. Isaac Ijalana will also get reps in the multiple set offenses. Much is also thought of TE Taylor McNamara, who may give the Sooners yet another standout TE.
The strength on the line is at tackle, as both Tyrus Thompson and Daryl Williams return. LG Adam Shead returns, giving the Sooners senior leadership at all three spots. Juniors should start at the open C and RG spots in Ty Darlington and Nila Kasitati.
Defense
The Sooners were a strong unit last fall, ranking 20th overall. Both DEs return in Charles Tapper and Chuka Ndulue, and three of four LBs return in Dominique Alexander, Frank Shannon, and Erik Striker. New starters will be needed at one LB spot, and at DT.Jordan Phillips has the lead at DT, while senior Geneo Grissom leads at LB.
The secondary could be well improved from a ranking of 30th nationally. Julian Wilsona and Zack Sanchez return at CB, while FS Quentin Hayes is back as well. Sophomore Hatari Byrd will likely start at the open SS spot.
Special Teams
Michael Hunnicutt returns as one of the best PKs in America, and the senior has missed only 10 FGs during his entire career.
Jed Barnett is back at Punter after averaging 41.7 yards per punt.
Opening Game
8/30 Louisiana Tech
Final Overview
Of course, there always trap games when it comes to OU, but they should maneuver their way through the season without much incident, until 11/8 when they meet Baylor in Norman. If the offense improves, as it should, and the defense builds off of last season, as it should, OU could be in the championship picture (Final 4).
Baylor Bears
Projected 2014 Record: 11-1
Head Coach: Art Briles (44-32, 7th season)
Offense
Baylor finished 1st nationally in both scoring and total offense last season, and there isn't much to make me believe that the Bears won't be back there again. What's even more impressive was the balance displayed on this offense, as the Bears also finished 13th in the nation in rushing.
Back is Bryce Petty at QB, who is actually better than any QB that Baylor has had (sorry, RG3). Petty passed for 32 TDs and just 3 picks last fall, and is largely the guy to finish as our QB of the Year this fall.
Shock Linwood will get the bulk of the carries at RB, after the Bears lost several RBs the last couple of seasons. Gone is the committee approach, and Linwood should be the guy.
The WR corps is loaded with Antwan Goodley, Levi Norwood, and Corey Coleman all returning to start. Depth is also plentiful, giving the Bears the best WR corps in the nation. Tre'von Armstead will get the nod at TE.
The main question will be on the line, where only LT Spencer Drango and RG Desmine Hilliard return.
Defense
This may be the Achilles for the Bears. The defense was surprisingly strong last fall for a traditionally rich offensive football team, finishing 28th nationally. The main issue is that the roster is loaded with new starters as only three starters return in DT Beau Blackshear, LB Bryce Hager, and FS Terrell Burt. Eight new starters will tell the tale as to how far the Bears could go.
Special Teams
The Bears will be handing their PK duties to a true freshman in 2014, as Aaron Jones has moved on. Chris Callahan has the job to lose now.
Spencer Roth is a beast at Punter, as he averaged a booming 45.8 yards per punt last fall.
Opening Game
8/31 SMU
Final Overview
The offense is like the Death Star of old, without the thermal exhaust port weakness. Nothing will likely stop the offense from pumping up nearly 50 points per game this fall, but can the defense come together to stop opponents from doing the same? The new starters on D need to gel early, or else the Bears may slip. If the defense even comes together marginally, Baylor will be able to challenge Oklahoma in the Big 12,. The schedule is highly manageable, but the Bears do travel to Oklahoma. That game should be for all the marbles in the Big 12 race.
Texas Longhorns
Projected 2014 Record: 8-4
Head Coach: Charlie Strong (1st season)
Offense
The offense was highly average at best in 2013, ranking just 64th nationally, and the passing game struggled once again, ranking 79th.
David Ash is back to start at QB, but he will be challenged by USC transfer Max Wittek, Tyrone Swoopes, and Jerrod Heard in camp. Ash has never stepped all the way up to be the leader that he needs to be, and if he struggles early, look for a change to happen.
Malcolm Brown is a beast at RB, and will be joined by Jonathon Gray and Joe Bergeron as a strong group. Gray is coming back from severe injury, so he is the question mark of the group.
Jaxon Shipley and Kendall Sanders are back to start at WR, so there should not be any drama from the passing game this season. Greg Daniels is also back at TE to give the Horns one of their best receiving groups in a long while.
The line may be an issue, as only C Dominic Espinosa and RT Kennedy Estelle return.
Defense
The line may have some serious issues on one side, but there is some experience to lean on. Cedric Reed returns at one DE, and Malcolm Brown is back at DT. Desmond Jackson should be the new starter at DT, while Shiro Davis should start at DE. New coach Charlie Strong also brought big time DT recruit Poona Ford along with him, so look for him in the rotation.
The starting LB corps returns intact with Dalton Santos, Steve Edmond, and Jordan Hicks will all be back in the middle. The defense will need them to step up as they ranked just 83rd against the run last fall.
The secondary is experienced as well, but ranked just 53rd against the pass. Both CBs return in Quandre Diggs and Duke Thomas, while Mykkele Thompson is back at SS. Senior Josh Turner should step in at FS.
Special Teams
Anthony Fera handled both PK and P jobs last season, but he's gone now. Nick Rose steps in at PK, while William Russ should handle the P job heading into camp.
Opening Game
8/30 North Texas
Final Overview
Texas, like Michigan and Nebraska, has seen better days. That's why Mack Brown absolutely had to go after last season, and Charlie Strong was brought over from Louisville. Strong was about the eighth choice for the job last fall, but he was a solid choice. That being said, not everyone was onboard with this hire.
Texas still doesn't have the athletes that OU and Baylor have right now, so they fall into the second tier in the conference. Eight wins should not be an issue, but both offense and defense must step up to get there. Improvement everywhere is a must.
Kansas State Wildcats
Projected 2014 Record: 9-3
Head Coach: Bill Snyder (178-90-1, 23rd season)
Offense
If you are looking for a spark from K State in 2014, it likely won't come from an offense that ranked only 71st nationally in 2013.
Jake Waters returns as a senior to start at QB, but he really isn't much of anything special, although he was stronger at the end of the season than the beginning.
Daniel Sams, who shared the job with Waters, moves to WR, but will not start there. Those jobs will fall to the dangerous Tyler Lockett, who will pair with Curry Sexton. Lockett scored 11 times last fall, and caught 82 passes. Zach Trujillo will also return at TE.
DeMarcus Robinson heads into camp as the starting RB, but will likely lose the job to freshman Dalvin Warmack at some point.
The line is a question, as only LT Cody Whitehair C BJ Finney return.
Defense
The defense has several questions, as only four starters returns. Three of those starters are in the front seven, which is the good news. DE Ryan Mueller, DT Travis Britz, and LB Jonathon Truman all return. JC transfer Terrell Clinkscales should start at DT, while junior Marquel Bryant will get the nod at DE. Senior Dackery Johnson and junior Charmeachealle Moore will likely win the open LB spots.
Only FS Dante Barnett returns in the secondary, and that unit was already the worst of the defense heading into this season. Randall evans and Morgan Burns lead to win the CB jobs, while SS Dylan Schellenberg should win at SS.
Special Teams
Jack Cantele returns at PK after hitting 11 of 13 last season. There will likely be a freshman handling the P job in Mitch Lochbihler.
Opening Game
8/30 Stephen F. Austin
Final Overview
The Wildcats look to be trending downward this fall, as the defense has to be largely rebuilt. The offense has some special athletes, but one of them isn't playing QB, and K State doesn't have the firepower to compete for a league title, and may even be overrated at 3rd or 4th. This could be rough go this season.
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Projected 2014 Record: 7-5
Head Coach: Mike Gundy (77-38, 10th season)
Offense
The Cowboys return some special skill set players, but there are many holes throughout this unit, and that calls for a basic rebuild up front, where only LG Chris Grisbhy and RT Daniel Koenig return to block for QB JW Walsh, who now stands as the only QB in the system with experience.
Walsh could be poised for a breakthrough in 2014, but only if the line before him can hold up under development and pressure. Two of the new starters on the line are only sophomore (C Paul Lewis, RG Zac Veatch), so this could get interesting.
RB Desmond Roland will need that line to gel as well, as he returns as the primary back after rushing for 11 TDs last fall. Rennie Childs and JC transfer Tyreek Hill could spell him and take some work themselves. Hill will also see some snaps lined up wide at receiver.
The WRs could be a very solid group, but someone needs to step up and be a star this fall, as so far, nobody has clearly taken a leadership role. Jhajuan Seales and Austin Hayes return, while Blake Webb and Marcell Ateman will likely try to step into starting roles.
Defense
Defense has never really been a focal point in Stillwater, and it could be a weak link yet again in 2014, as only four starters return from a unit that ranked 52nd nationally in total D last season.
Jimmy Bean and James Castleman return up front for the Cowboys, but two new starters must be found. Sam Wren (DE) and Ofa Hautau (DT) could step up, but there's a group trying to compete heading into camp.
Ryan Simmons is the lone returning starter at LB, while CB Kevin Peterson is the lone returnee in the secondary.
Special Teams
Ben Grogan returns as the starting PK, but was largely average to awful, hitting just 11 of 18 FGs last season, his first as a starter.
Kip Smith returns as the Punter, , and while he pinned 24 punts inside the 20, he also only averaged 39.6 yards per punt on the season, which isn't anything to write home about.
Opening Game
8/30 Florida State at Arlington
Final Overview
The schedule certainly doesn't help, as the Cowboys open with defending champ Florida State, and finishes with Kansas State, Texas, and back to back road games at Baylor and Oklahoma. That alone is too much to overcome, but then again, the lack of depth and key talent is bad news as well. Overall, I tend not to bet against Mike Gundy, and he ought to be able to squeak enough out of this squad to get back to a bowl.
TCU Horned Frogs
Projected 2014 Record: 6-6
Head Coach: Gary Patterson (120-44, 14th season)
Offense
The Frogs biggest issues has been finding stability at QB, and they have finally settled on one guy there, and that's transfer Matt Joekel. Joekel transfers over from Texas A&M, and will be the guy from day one in a new no huddle system being implemented by Doug Meacham and Sonnie Cumbie as co-coordinators.
That move allows Trevone Boykin to shift out to WR, and the Frogs should make better use of his athleticism chasing down the ball in the field, but he isn't slated to start at WR juts yet. David Porter and Josh Doctson both return as starters, but the leaders for the open jobs are Ja'Juan Story and Ty Slanina.
BJ Catalon will be back to start at RB, and will share carries with Aaron Green. Both are speedy and explosive , and could be used together to diversify the spread attack.
The line is set at Tackle with Aviante Collins and Halapoulivaati Vaitai returning, but the entire interior is on rebuild mode.
Defense
Defense has always been the calling card of great TCU teams, and it certainly looks like the strength heading into 2014 as well, as the Frogs try to get back to a bowl.
TCU is set inside on the line with both DTs coming back in Davion Pearson and Chucky Hunter. DE is a bit of a problem, as projected new starter Devonte Fields is having some legal issues in a domestic assault case as of this writing. Junior James McFarland is slated to win the other DE job, but if Fields can't go due to suspension, depth could be a big time problem off of the edge.
Marcus Mallet and Jonathon Anderson will both be back at LB, and may be the heart of the entire unit.
The secondary is experienced and deep, with four starters returning in CB Kevin White, WS Chris Hackett, SS Sam Carter, and FS Derrick Kindrel. Look for JC transfer Kenny Iloka to get a look at Safety as well.
Special Teams
Both kickers return for their 3rd seasons as starters in PK Jaden Oberkron and P Ethan Perry.
Opening Game
8/30 Samford
Final Overview
The problem with TCU will again be the offense. There will be road bumps learning a new system, and the Frogs are still looking for quality and explosiveness. They haven't quite gotten there yet, but maybe Joekel will be an answer at QB. That being said, the defense should be good enough to hold on for the offense, and make a push to get TCU into a bowl, even a minor one.
The Following teams are expected to finish with losing records and will not play in a bowl
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Projected 2014 Record: 5-7
Head Coach: Kliff Kingsbury (8-5, 2nd season)
The Good
Davis Webb now has the job at QB entirely to himself, but if he goes down, the Red Raiders are in deep trouble, as there is no other experience or depth. Webb looked solid in the spring, and looked stronger.
Two top WRs return in Jakeem Grant and Bradley Marquez, but the other two spots are open.
The O line returns three starters
The Bad
The defense was awful, and helped contribute to an epic collapse at the end of last season, as Tech lost their final five regular season games.
Only three starters return on defense (DE Brandon Jackson, BAN Pete Robertson, and LB Sam Eguavoen), and there will be several JC transfers trying to make their ways into various positions. The schedule is back loaded, and being that the Red Raiders collapsed at the end last fall, I'd have to say that finishing isn't a strong suit here.
Opening Game
8/30 Central Arkansas
West Virginia Mountaineers
Projected 2014 Record: 4-8
Head Coach: Dana Holgorsen (21-17, 4th season)
The Good
The run game, which ranked 82nd last fall, gets a big push by getting transfer Rushel Shell from arch rival Pitt.
New starting WR Mario Alford showed some skill last season, and joins Kevin White and Dalkiel Shorts to give whomever wins the QB job some targets, along with TE/FB Cody Clay.
The guards are solid on the line, and they'd better be, as Quinton Spain and Mark Glowinski are the only returning starters up front.
Having Tom Bradley on staff should be a huge bonus for the Mountaineers.
All three LBs return in Isaiah Bruce, Nick Kwiatkowski, and Brandon Golson, and the secondary may go from being a curse to a blessing with two starters returning. Bruce may be the star of the unit.
The Bad
The QB position is largely a mess, with as many as five guys in the fight in spring. Clint Trickett is a walking ER and concussion magnet. There are no true answers here.
The line needs new starters at Tackle and Center, which are bad places for inexperience while trying to find a QB.
Both DEs need to be replaced from a defense that ranked 90th against the run, and 106th against the pass. WVU needs to find an edge presence that just isn't there right now.
WVU also finished -4 in turnovers last fall, and when you lose the turnover battle, you lose football games. It's really that simple.
On offense, there just isn't that one guy you can look to who you really believe can carry to to bigger things.
WVU could be headed to yet another 4 win season, and Holgorsen knows that the heat is blasting, as home attendance is taking a huge dump.
Opening Game
8/30 Alabama at Atlanta
Iowa State Cyclones
Projected 2014 Record: 1-11
Head Coach: Paul Rhoades (27-36, 6th season)
The Good
WR Quenton Brundrage is a big time playmaker, and gives ISU at least one major weapon. TE EJ Bibbs may also be one of the better weapons on this team, he also may be one of the best TEs in the country.
The O Line is completely intact, giving whomever steps in at QB a wall to hide behind, and with a line like this, Aaron Wimberly could break out at RB.
The Bad
Grant Rohach played well at times last season, but doesn't have the job locked down, and now it's a three man race at QB.
Other than Brundage at WR, nobody else really stands out, and that could be a problem down the line. Someone else needs to step up.
The defense was awful last season (105th in total D), and the entire line must be rebuilt with exception of DE Cory Morrissey. Javohn Miller is also the only returning starter at LB. Both CBs do return in Sam E. Richardson and Nigel Tribune, but both safeties must be replaced, so expect those corners to be out on an island in coverage most of the time.
Opening Game
8/30 North Dakota State
Kansas Jayhawks
Projected 2014 Record: 2-10
Head Coach: Charlie Weis (4-20, 3rd season)
The Good
A good start is that Weis dumped OC duties and brought in a new OC in John Reagan. He scraps the pro set offense and implements a spread.
Nick Harwell transfers in from Miami (Ohio), and gives the Jayhawks an elite receiver to get the ball to, if they can find anyone who can get the ball out of the backfield at QB.
WR Tony Pierson and TE Jimmy Mundine should provide some cover for Harwell, but again, a passer must be located, as Kansas finished just 117th nationally in passing.
The defense is loaded with returning starters, highlighted by a strong secondary that returns four of five starters. Ben Heeney may be one of the most underrated LBs in the Big 12.
The Bad
How does the former QB coach of Tom Brady go from Super Bowl heights to a Big 12 toilet like Kansas? As Blues Traveler once said, it's a long way to fall.
The entire offensive philosophy must be overhauled, and now that Kansas has some targets to throw the ball to, they hand the QB job to a runner in Montell Cozart. Huh?
The entire right side of the line must be rebuilt on offense as well.
So much talent returns on defense, but that same defense ranked just 96th nationally last fall, and gave up 31.8 points per game.
Charlie Weis may be shown the prairie door if KU cannot overcome even my modest expectations.
Opening Game
9/6 SE Missouri State
Saturday, July 19, 2014
2014 College Football Preview: Big 10
The Big 10 adds two new members, however useless they are to the bigger picture (Maryland, Rutgers). If the Big Ten needed new members, certainly there had to be better big picture candidates. The conference seemed to be dead set on adding the New York/New Jersey and Washington DC markets. Here's a newsflash...those are two terrible college football markets that are pro sports markets first, and college football falls about fifth or sixth in priority when it comes to coverage, or even fan interest. Add to that the fact that Maryland and Rutgers are historical average to horrible programs, and the Big 14 really grades an epic fail when it comes to who they chose to expand with. The conference would have been better off staying at 12 until better candidates chose to come along. Sometimes market size and TV viewing households do not translate when it comes to college football fandom. It's dated thinking at best.
The good news is that the conference has as many as four teams that could all influence the national title picture, either by eliminating someone from consideration, or by winning out and making the move for themselves. The pressure is on.
Predicted Order of Finish
East
1. Ohio State
2. Michigan State
3. Michigan
4. Penn State
5. Indiana
6. Rutgers
7. Maryland
West
1. Wisconsin
2. Nebraska
3. Iowa
4. Minnesota
5. Northwestern
6. Illinois
7. Purdue
Most Overrated
Nebraska
Most Underrated
Iowa
Coaches on the Hot Seat
Kevin Wilson, Indiana
Randy Edsell, Maryland
Kyle Flood, Rutgers
Pat Fitzgerald, Northwestern
Tim Beckman, Illinois
Bo Pelini, Nebraska
Best Coach
Urban Meyer, Ohio State
Worst Coach
Tim Beckman, Illinois
Conference Preview
The following teams are expected to post winning records and acquire bowl bids...
Ohio State Buckeyes
Projected 2014 Record: 11-1
Head Coach: Urban Meyer (24-2, 3rd season)
Offense
The Buckeyes will likely be one of the more explosive offensive teams in college football in 2014. Back is QB Braxton Miller, one of the best QBs in the nation, and a big time Heisman candidate. He is a game changer who needs to stay healthy to give the Buckeyes a shot to win it all inside and outside of the Big 10.
Ezekiel Elliott gets the nod at RB as a sophomore, but he is a weapon to be used plenty out of the backfield and in the passing game. He can be lined up all over the field, and could be a prime time power back as well.
OSU also returns one of the best receiving corps in the game in Devin Smith and Evan Spencer, but SLOT receiver Dontre Wilson will, like Elliott, be used as a weapon in various forms, and may be the most talented of the group in his first season as a starter. Jeff Heuerman is the returning starter at TE, and just gives the Buckeyes yet one more weapon in the passing game.
The only concern on this offense is the line, which could make or break the season, as only one starter (LT Taylor Dekker) returns for the 2014 season.
Defense
The secondary was the biggest issue a season ago, and it appears that it may be the Achilles once again in 2014. only CB Doran Grant returns from a unit that finished 110th against the pass in last fall by allowing 268 yards per game through the air.
The story is different up front, as the defense ranked 9th nationally against the run. Noah Spence leads a talented and deep unit up front at DE, and is joined on the line by returning starters DE Joey Bosa and DT Michael Bennett. Adolphus Washington looks to be in line to start at the opne DT position.
At LB, Joshua Perry returns as the leading tackler from a season ago, finishing with 84 tackles on the season. Curtis Grant returns at LB as well, while freshman Raekwon McMillan may battle for playing time in fall camp.
Special Teams
The Buckeyes will be turning over the PK duties to a freshman in Sean Nuemberger, but he will still have to prove himself in camp. It's always a risk to go with a freshman in such an important position. Cameron Johnston brings his cannon leg back after averaging 44 yards per punt in 2013.
Opening Game
8/30 Navy at Batimore
Final Overview
OSU is coming off of a two game losing streak to start the season, and nothing is ever guaranteed against a pesky Navy club in the opener. The secondary is being rebuilt, and wasn't that good to start with. The offense ought to score with the best of them, but the defense has some areas of shoring up to do in camp. Urban Meyer rolled off 24 straight wins to start his Buckeye career, and the Buckeyes could very well roll off 12 or 13 more this season, however, there is always a trap game in the Big 10, which is strong at the top. Michigan State is that trip up game, and nothing is ever guaranteed against Michigan in the finale, and certainly don't forget trap games in non-conference play against Navy and Virginia Tech.
Michigan State Spartans
Projected 2014 Record: 11-1
Head Coach: Mark Dantonio (64-29, 8th season)
Offense
The offense struggled at times in 2013, but came through when it was needed most, and the QB position, which was a liability when the season began, turned into a strength when Connor Cook stepped up. The junior is well in charge heading into the fall, and will lead a unit that should be much improved.
Jeremy Langford rushed for 1422 yards last fall, and returns as the primary back as a senior. Langford is an absolute beast, and could be the best overall back in the Big 10, and could be one of the best nationally.
WR Tony Lippett stepped up late in the season as well last fall, and will be the number one target in the passing game. Josiah Price is the other returning starter in the passing game at TE. Joining Lippett as starter would be Aaron Burbridge and Macgarrett Kings, but Kings was suspended and he may or may not be back. If Kings is gone, then expect DeAnthony Arnett to step into the other starting role.
The line ran an eight man rotation last fall, and it is paying off in 2014. Jack Allen returns as the starting Center, and the only other returning full time starter is LT Jack Conklin. The main question will be at RT, where sophomore Kodi Kieler is slated to start.
Defense
The best news here is the return of DC Pat Narduzzi, who turned down a few head coaching jobs to remain as DC at MSU. He returns some intriguing pieces from a unit that finished 2nd nationally in total defense last season.
Shilique Calhoun returns as the reigning Big Ten DL of the year in 2014 at DE. He is joined at the other DE spot by Marcus Rush. They compliment each other perfectly coming off of either edge. Lawrence Thomas and Damon Knox will be new starters in the middle of the line.
Max Bullough and Denicos Allen have both departed, but that doesn't mean that talent isn't still flowing. Taiwan Jones will be back in the middle at LB, and should be joined by new starters Darien Harris and Ed Davis, both juniors.
Trae Waynes has to be counted on to lead the secondary at CB, but the other spot is vulnerable with a sophomore taking over in Darian Hicks. Senior Kurtis Drummond will return at FS, and will be joined at SS by incoming freshman Jalyn Powell, who is expected to have a huge impact from day one in the program.
Special Teams
The kicking game is set with the return of PK Michael Geiger and P Mike Sadler. Geiger hit on 15 of 16 FGs last fall, while Sadler averaged 42.5 yards per punt and led the nation in punts downed inside the ten.
Opening Game
8/29 Jacksonville State
Final Overview
The Spartans will easily be the main challenger in division for Ohio State, and will be a major player in the national picture as well. Dantonio signed a lengthy contract extension, and Narduzzi returned to run one of the best defenses found anywhere. The Spartans are in prime position to be a major national power for the next several seasons, and have now surpassed instate rival Michigan for state superiority.
Wisconsin Badgers
Projected 2014 Record: 11-1
Head Coach: Gary Anderson (9-4, 2nd season)
Offense
Imrovement must come from the passing game if the Badgers are to become players in the conference race. Wisconsin finished just 93rd in passing last fall, but Joel Stave is back with another season under his belt at QB despite being pushed by Tanner McAvoy in camp.
The other key to the passing game must come from a largely inexperienced group at WR, as the entire returning corps combined for 28 grabs last fall. Jordan Frederick and Kenzel Doe will have to step up as they head the depth chart heading into camp. Sam Ameson is also fighting to take over at TE.
Melvin Gordon is a beast at RB, and will be joined in the strong backfield committee by Corey Clement, who is a strong replacement for the departed James White.
The line returns intact, with only one new starter in C Dan Voltz.
Defense
Dave Aranda will have to completely rebuild the defense, as only three starters return, and they're all in the secondary. Sojourn Shelton and Darius Hillary are both back at CB, and junior Michael Caputo returns at SS, and is largely expected to be the unit leader. Sophomore Leo Musso is in the lead to start at FS heading into the fall.
The entire front seven is going to be loaded with new starters, but that's not all bad for the Badgers. Aranda likes the unit that he has coming in, and figures to blitz more and have more intricate schemes going on in the 3-4 defense. The only issue with having so many new faces is that depth figures to be an issue. As good as the new faces may be, injuries could wreck the season that could be special if all things come together.
Special Teams
Jack Russell is back at PK after hitting 9 of 13 FGs last fall. That being said, he is being challenged by big time recruit Rafael Gaglianone in camp. That could be an interesting battle heading into the fall, and both could see action during the early part of the year.
Drew Meyer returns as the Punter, but he had a subpar season in 2013, averaging just 38.6 yards per punt. He has a firm hold on the job, and has no real challengers heading into the season.
Opening Game
8/30 LSU at Houston
Final Overview
Despite so many new faces and questions, if all things come together, the Badgers could be playing for a Big Ten title, and could make a push in the national picture. Gary Anderson is one hell of a coach, and resisted being recruited to leave by the Cleveland Browns. In all reality, that shouldn't have been a difficult call to make, and staying in Madison was the right call. The opener is tough with LSU in what is an essential home game for the Tigers, but the Badgers should blow through the next eight games until they run into Nebraska and Iowa in back to back weeks in November. If you are looking for a dark horse, Wisconsin could be your team.
Nebraska Cornhuskers
Projected 2014 Record: 10-2
Head Coach: Bo Pelini (58-24, 7th season)
Offense
This unit was largely all over the place in 2013, and the Huskers come into the season looking for stability, especially at the QB position, which never should have been an issue. Tommie Armstrong, Jr. comes in as the man at QB this fall after starting eight times a year ago in relief. Armstrong looked wonderful sometimes, and awful in other situations. He has had a full spring to lock into the role, and should be more stable this time around.
One benefit Armstrong has is Ameer Abdullah running out of the I behind him. Abdullah rushed for 1690 yards last fall, and is one of the premier backs in the nation. If he can break into the end zone more than 9 times this fall, well, that would be just great.
Kenny Bell is one of the premier receivers in America, and he will try to give Armstrong a reliable target, especially in the red zone, where Bell is the man. Jamal Turner and Sam Burch are new full time starters, so that may be an issue as they develop into their roles. Cethan Carter returns to start at TE.
The line could be a mess, and that is a huge problem with a young QB trying to find his way. LG Jake Cotton is the lone returning starter. All of the front runners in the other positions are upper classmen, but that also means that depth could be a disaster when injuries hit.
Defense
Remember when the Huskers were one of the most dominant forces in college football? Well, many of you may not have been alive back in those days. Nebraska finished ranked 40th in total defense, and ranked no higher than 33rd in any given stat on the defensive side. That is where the problem is for Nebraska, and until that issue is resolved, Nebraska will never likely be a team to deal with on a national level, and the fan base needs to realize that. It all starts with the black shirts, and they may not be walking through that door.
Randy Gregory (DE) and Vincent Valentine (DT) are back on the line, but the other DL jobs are open. Michael Rose is back at LB, and more will be needed of him this fall. Zaire Anderson and David Santos will flank him, with Anderson being expected to add some impact on the edge rush.
Josh Mitchell will return to start at CB, but a new starter will be lining up on the other side in junior Jonathon Rose. Corey Cooper is back at SS, but FS is open, with the job likely falling to sophomore Leroy Alexander.
Special Teams
Mauro Bondi was expected to win the PK job, but wasn't solid enough in the spring, so now he finds himself in a battle with freshman Drew Brown heading into camp. Sam Fultz had a solid freshman season as the starting Punter, and is back after averaging 41.6 yards per punt.
Opening Game
8/30 Florida Atlantic
Final Overview
It all starts with fixing the QB play, the offensive line, and finding a way to return to dominance on defense. Bo Pelini is a cat with nine lives spent, as he somehow avoided being canned after having several meltdowns last season on and off the field. Pelini may have gotten an extension after last season, but make no mistake, the heat us at inferno level, and Pelini may not have the talent to break through with this football team. There are some nice pieces, but overall, there aren't enough special athletes on this football team to challenge the big boys in the Big Ten. This isn't the old days, when the Huskers could steam through the Big 2 and little 6. Pelini is going to hear it all year long, but the fan base also has to somehow cope with the fact that the 70s, 80s, and 90s are over, and the landscape has changed.
Iowa Hawkeyes
Projected 2014 Record: 10-2
Head Coach: Kirk Ferentz (108-79, 16th season)
Offense
If you want to find a breakthrough player in the Big 10 in 2014, it may end up being QB Jake Rudock. Rudock was largely hit and miss last fall, but he may have developed enough from lessons learned that he could very well push forward and break through the upper echelon of conference QBs this fall. He certainly has some decent skills to build on after passing for 18 TDs and 2383 yards last fall.
Mark Weisman is back to start at RB, but the Hawkeyes are especially deep at RB, and Jordan Canzeri and Damon Bullock could add significant carries. There are six other RBs on the depth chart. FB Adam Cox will get the nod to start this fall.
Kevonte Martin-Manley never really broke through last fall at WR, but he has an opportunity this fall to be the leader on this offense. He has all of the skills to do so, but needs to step up big. Tevaun Smith will get the job opposite heading into camp, but look out for freshman Derrick Willies, who got on the radar in spring ball. Senior Ray Hamilton will likely be the starting TE on opening day.
The line is solid with Brandon Scherff back at LT, Austin Blythe at Center, and Jordan Walsh at RG.
Defense
The defense is the strong side of this football team, having finished 9th national in total defense. There are some issues, however, especially in the middle. All three linebackers must be replaced. Travis Perry, Quinton Alston, and Reggie Spearman are in line to start heading into camp.
The line is loaded, with three starters returning in DE Drew Ott, DT Carl Davis, and DT Louis Trinca-Pasat. THe front seven helped the Hawkeyes rank 10th national in 2013, holding opponents to 128.4 yards per game. The secondary has holes to fill at CB and FS. Sean Draper is slated to hold down the open CB spot, while Jordan Lomax is lined up to start at FS. Desmond King had a very nice freshman season, and is back at CB, while John Lowdermilk returns at SS.
Special Teams
There will be a new PK this fall, with Marshall Koehn slated to lead the pack heading into camp, but he will have challengers until the season opener.
Conner Kornbrath averaged 40 yards per punt last fall, and is back, but JC transfer Dillon Kidd may give him a run for the job.
Opening Game
8/30 Northern Iowa
Final Overview
Iowa is the 4th team in the Big 10 that could potentially blow up into a national scene stealer in 2014. There is more than enough talent on defense to carry the offense as it finds itself, and the schedule is completely manageable until the final two games of the season, when Iowa takes on Wisconsin and Nebraska in back to back weeks to close it out. Kirk Ferentz could have his best team in the last ten years if everything comes together. There is plenty to look forward to this fall in Iowa City.
Michigan Wolverines
Projected 2014 Record: 9-3
Head Coach: Brady Hoke (26-13, 4th season)
Offense
The Wolverines, like Nebraska, have issues that weren't always issues in the past. With Michigan, it's a dysfunctional running game, that was always the strength on traditional Wolverine football teams. UM ranked just 102nd in rushing in 2013, which is completely unacceptable by Michigan standards, and if you want one specific area to blame the collapse of 2013 on, this could be a prime suspect.
It's time for Derrick Green, the top recruited RB for UM in 2013, to show his thing in 2014. He will get the first crack at the open RB job, and will be joined there by De'Veon Smith. These guys have much to prove.
Nobody has more to prove than QB Devin Gardner, who is back as a 5th season. He is working on his 3rd coordinator, so his struggles are not all his fault. Doug Nussmeier will try to tweak Gardner into being more pocket thinking, which is where he really excels. Shane Morris is hanging around if Gardner faults, but he has shown little thus far.
Devin Funchess, one of the best TEs in the country, will likely line up more at WR this fall, with Erik AJ Williams starting at TE. This could be an excellent one-two punch for the passing game, which is dying for dependable targets.
The line really is a black hole of disaster, and was a major factor in the struggles of both the running game, and the entirety of the problems that the Wolverines have been having. Nine different linemen started last fall, and that was a huge disaster. Three full time starters return in LT Erik Magnuson, LG Kyle Bosch, and RG Kyle Kallis. All three are sophomores, and will serve as building blocks moving forward. The other two spots are open.
Defense
Frank Clark and Brennan Beyer return at DE, but there will be new starters in the middle of the line. The defense was largely average last fall, so pressure has to come from up front, and disrupt the passing game, which averaged 231.3 yards per game last fall. The LB corps returns intact, which is a huge relief, and gives the D some stability. Desmond Morgan, Jake Ryan, and James Ross III all return, but more is expected after ranking 29th against the run, which is a strong point.
Ray Taylor is back at CB, and Jarrod Wilson is back at FS, while Blake Countess returns at the other CB spot, giving Michigan a strong building point in the secondary. It's time for this group to step it up.
Special Teams
Matt Wile returns at PK after starting as the Punter last fall, but he does have some experience at PK duties, so not all is lost here. He hands his punting duties over to senior Will Hagerup, who returns after being suspended last fall. He has a quality leg.
Opening Game
8/30 Appalachian State
Final Overview
We all know what happened the last time that Appalachian State opened a season in the Big House (Remember, I called that ASU win), but ASU is no longer an FCS member, and is not the same quality as that club, so don't expect a repeat here.
The offense has several issues, and the defense needs to step up. There are few special athletes here, and the strong defenses and run game from the past that were the foundations of all great Michigan teams do not exist here.
Brady Hoke is a strong coach, but he had better start turning it around, or else the locals will be head hunting. Like Nebraska fan, it's time to acknowledge that the 70s, 80s, and 90s are long gone, and Bo isn't walking through that door to fix things.
Penn State Nittany Lions
Projected 2014 Record: 8-4
Head Coach: James Franklin (1st season)
Offense
With change at the top, there is always a problem with consistency. Christian Hackenberg needs to find that this season after a strong, but not perfect freshman year. Bill O'Brien has moved on to the NFL, so James Franklin has to take Hackenberg to the next level, and Franklin has never had this kind of QB to deal with before, so the results will largely be anyone's guess.
Zach Zwinak could be a huge breakthrough player in the conference at RB in 2014, but he needs Franklin to just get him the ball in the playbook. Bill Belton and Akeel Lynch will also get some carries, but Zwinak could be the star here.
Jesse James is back at TE, but all of the other receiver spots are open heading into camp, which could be the biggest problem that the offense holds.
The offensive line could be an issue as well, as only LT Donovan Smith returns.
Defense
This unit has some work to do, ranking just 48th in total D last fall.
Deion Barnes and CJ Olaniyan are back at DE, but they will largely be supporting new starters at DT in the 4-3. The LB corps is the strength up front, as both Mike Hull and Nyeem Wartman both return to the fold. Sophomore Brandon Bell should be the new starter at the open LB spot, while Anthony Zettel and Austin Johnson will line up at the DT spots as we head into the fall.
The secondary gave up 237 yards passing per game last fall, ranking just 73rd. It shoud be better with three returning starters in CBs Trevor Williams and Jordan Lucas returning along with S Adrian Amos. Senior Ryan Keiser will likely be the new starter at Safety heading into the fall.
Special Teams
Sam Ficken is back at PK, but hit just 15 of 23 for the season, and just 8 of 15 in the second half of the season. The punting game was no better, and it's up to new starter Chris Gulla, a freshman, to fix the problem.
Opening Game
8/30 UCF at Dublin, Ireland
Final Overview
Penn State was just showing progress coming off of the Sandusky/Paterno debacle, and then Bill O'Brien, largely sick and freaking tired of dealing with a delusional Paternoite crowd, bolted for a job coaching the Houston Texans. Nobody can blame him. In a short three years, the Lions are moving on to yet another head coach. Luckily, they landed James Franklin, who was largely recruited for several jobs. Franklin brings huge energy, and will recruit the hell out of the place. He should find a good deal of success, but questions remain about how good he will be on the big stage after working at some middling programs. The schedule shows 8 wins, but it's all about how the offense progresses with a young QB, and how much the D can step up from a middle of the road season. The Lions may be on their way back, but they aren't there yet.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
Projected 2014 Record: 7-5
Head Coach: Jerry Kill (17-21, 4th season)
Offense
Mitch Leidner was handed the full time job at QB after sharing duties with Phillip Nelson last fall. Nelson transferred, and then found some off-field trouble, so Leidner is the man. He has to be able to think pass before run, as he was the team's second leading rusher last fall. It's time to think more front line starter than situational guy.
David Cobb and Rodrick Williams will try to take some heat off of Leidner at RB, and both had starting experience last season, but someone has to be the guy here. Donnell Kirkwood is another back returning who started some last fall.
Both receiver jobs are open heading into camp, and that group could determine Leidner's fate and legacy. Only TE Maxx Williams returns in this group.
The line looks to be strong with three starters returning in LG Zac Epping, RG Caleb Bak, and RT Josh Campion. This group has a great deal of experience. Tommy Olson is the new starter at Center, and is a senior. LT Ben Lauer is the kid of the group as a sophomore.
Defense
There is depth and experience on the line, as DE Thieren Cockran, DE Michael Amaefula, and DT Cameron Botticelli all return. Scott Epke should be the lone new starter at DT.
LB may be a different story, as only Damien Wilson returns. He should be flanked by De'Vondre Campbell and Jack Lynn, who are holding down jobs coming out of spring ball.
Eric Murray is back at CB, and Cedric Thompson is back at S, but there are new bodies needed at CB and the other S spot as well.
Special Teams
Freshman Ryan Santoso is likely the new starter at PK, but that battle will continue into fall practice. Punter is more locked down, with Peter Morteli returning after a strong season ins 2013 that saw him average 43.3 yards per punt.
Opening Game
8/28 Eastern Illinois
Final Overview
The Gophers must find a way to be a better passing team if they hope to exceed seven wins, which seems to be their plateau. The run game is solid, but if a passing game cannot be found, then teams will go with 8 men I the box and challenge the Gophers to try to throw the football, which is no their strong suit.
The defense must step up as well, but wasn't terrible season, ranking 43rd in total defense.
It's time for the entire program to find a way to push through, and a healthy coach in Jerry Kill would be a nice start. He was taken out of play several times last fall with his health issues, and no matter what anyone says, it's a distraction.
The following programs are projected to finish with losing records, and will likely not receive bowl bids...
Indiana Hoosiers
Projected 2014 Record: 6-6
Head Coach: Kevin Wilson
The Good
The offense is one of the most explosive in the country, having scored 38.4 points per game, which was good for 16th nationally. The Hoosiers averaged 508.5 yards per game, good for 9th nationally.
The entire offensive line returns, which could be a huge building block for an already great offense. RB Tevin Coleman ran for 928 yards last season, but missed three games. He should be healthy.
Nine starters return on defense, but that could be bad news...see below.
The Bad
The defense was one of the worst in the country, ranking 120th nationally. The Hoosiers gave up 527.9 yards per game, and 38.4 points per game, the same as the offense scored. PK Mitch Ewald moved on, so the points gained from the kicking game must be found in another source. Kevin Wilson's overall record is 10-26 heading into his 4th season, so 2014 has to be the year that this football team turns a corner. Patience in Bloomington, even for football, only lasts so long.
By the way, as good as the offense is, I hate two QB systems, and the Hoosiers are running one. Nobody wins big with a two QB system.
Northwestern Wildcats
Projected 2014 Record: 5-7
Head Coach: Pat Fitzgerald
The Good
QB Trevor Siemian is finally the full time QB, but only if he can stay on the field. Injuries ruined him last season, but then again, injuries wrecked every position last fall in some way.
If Venric Mark is healthy, he can be one of the most dynamic backs in the conference. He was far from healthy last fall.
The offensive line returns four starters, giving the Wildcats a starting point to build from, as is the receiving corps, as both Christian Jones and Tony Jones are slated to return.
Slotback Dan Vitale is one of the more interesting players in the conference.
The Bad
The union situation that started at Northwestern is potentially a huge blight on college football, and could change everything for the worse. Of course, every player that has signed on for this suit is someone who basically has no pro future, so there's that.
Neither the offense, nor the defense was absolutely awful, but neither were they overly wonderful. The defense was, however, particularly awful against the pass, ranking 99th in that category, while finishing 88th in total defense.
Several players got experience due to injury last season, but they have to all prove themselves, as they were bogged down last fall.
The schedule is a bit difficult, and a 2-6 start is possible. The Cats will be better this season, but maybe not by much. Pat Fitzgerald is seeing his star diminish just a bit.
Illinois Fighting Illini
Projected 2014 Record: 4-8
Head Coach: Tim Beckman
The Good
The Illini have a QB that could carry them to another level in Oklahoma State transfer Wes Lunt. That being said, he is in a three way battle to win the job that hasn't been decided.
Josh Ferguson is back at RB, and is just as dangerous as a runner as he is a receiver. In short, he's a nightmare for defenses in coverage.
The offensive line returns four starters, giving the offense some consistency.
Bill Cubit may have been a mess as a head coach at Western Michigan, but he's a solid OC who can find ways to use several players in unique ways.
The Bad
The defense wasn't as bad as Indiana, but it was damn close. The Illini ranked 110th nationally in total defense in 2013.
The defense wasn't athletically talented at all, and the unit spent much of the off season trying to add speed and strength. It's impossible for me to say that they are much better off than they were a year ago, and three sophomores are starting (LB TJ Neal, CB Caleb Day, and FS Taylor Barton).
The offense has to find a run game, as they ranked just 92nd in the country in rushing, which brought the rest of the offense to a halt.
At the end of the day, the Illini will be lucky to return to four wins, and that may not be enough to save Tim Beckman's job.
Purdue Boilermakers
Projected 2014 Record: 4-8
Head Coach: Darrell Hazell
The Good
If you had to find something that worked for Purdue last fall, it was that the pass defense ranked 55th against the pass. That's about as good as anything got last season. Danny Etling is back at QB after starting as a freshman, so I'm looking for development here.
The middle of the line returns, which could help an anemic run game, and Akeem Hunt is a weapon at RB, where he'll be able to concentrate his full attention after playing both RB and WR last fall.
That pass defense returns three starters in the secondary in CB Frankie Williams, SS Landon Feltcher, and FS Taylor Richards.
The Bad
The offense was awful, the defense was awful, and the Boilers were just awful in every way. Purdue finished 119th in offense, and 104th in defense. The kicking game was terrible, and there is a battle at PK heading into the fall.
I'm being too harsh on Darrell Hazell as head coach calling him the worst in the Big 10, but until he gets this thing running, that's the honest truth. Maybe Tim Beckman is worse, but it's too close to call right now.
Maryland Terrapins
Projected 2014 Record: 3-9
Head Coach: Randy Edsell
The Good
CJ Brown returns at QB, and may be the biggest weapon the Terps have on offense, but he has to get better as a passer. As far as his running ability out of the spread read offense, he is a wizard.
The Terps are deep at RB, so the run game is a strength. That's a good thing, because the Terps only ranked 83rd in rushing last fall.
Both receivers return, and four starters return on the line, giving Maryland hopes of actually taking off on offense.
The defense wasn't terrible last fall, ranking 44th nationally. Six starters return in the front seven, so run defense should be a strength.
The secondary looks to get stronger as well, with three starters returning there for a unit that allowed 225.1 yards per game.
The Bad
Maryland ranked 75th nationally in total offense, and they don't seem to be any closer to finding answers to get much better than that.
There could be a major losing streak built into the schedule, with 8 potential losses in the middle of the slate. Turnovers were a killer as well, as the Terps finished -7 last fall.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Projected 2014 Record: 2-10
Head Coach: Kyle Flood
The Good
There is depth at RB for the first time in a while, if the health bug doesn't bite. Paul James could be a game changer, but was banged up last year, which opened the door for several other RBs.
The receiving corps could have depth, but several receivers are inexperienced.
Tyler Kroft could end up being one of the better TEs in the conference when all is said and done.
All five linemen return on offense.
The run defense is really solid, and there is depth up front to support a unit that ranked 4th nationally against the run.
The Bad
The offense was a wreck, ranking just 95th in total defense. Pass D was especially terrible, ranking 120th.
Rutgers has another QB situation, with Chas Dodd battling Gary Nova, amongst others. None of them are very good overall, and Nova is barely better than average most days. That doesn't help an anemic run game, as Rutgers ranked 100th nationally in rushing.
The schedule is particularly brutal, with a four week stretch mid season against Michigan, Ohio State, Nebraska, and Wisconsin. The Knights may be scarlet in their own blood by the end of their first season in the Big 10.
The good news is that the conference has as many as four teams that could all influence the national title picture, either by eliminating someone from consideration, or by winning out and making the move for themselves. The pressure is on.
Predicted Order of Finish
East
1. Ohio State
2. Michigan State
3. Michigan
4. Penn State
5. Indiana
6. Rutgers
7. Maryland
West
1. Wisconsin
2. Nebraska
3. Iowa
4. Minnesota
5. Northwestern
6. Illinois
7. Purdue
Most Overrated
Nebraska
Most Underrated
Iowa
Coaches on the Hot Seat
Kevin Wilson, Indiana
Randy Edsell, Maryland
Kyle Flood, Rutgers
Pat Fitzgerald, Northwestern
Tim Beckman, Illinois
Bo Pelini, Nebraska
Best Coach
Urban Meyer, Ohio State
Worst Coach
Tim Beckman, Illinois
Conference Preview
The following teams are expected to post winning records and acquire bowl bids...
Ohio State Buckeyes
Projected 2014 Record: 11-1
Head Coach: Urban Meyer (24-2, 3rd season)
Offense
The Buckeyes will likely be one of the more explosive offensive teams in college football in 2014. Back is QB Braxton Miller, one of the best QBs in the nation, and a big time Heisman candidate. He is a game changer who needs to stay healthy to give the Buckeyes a shot to win it all inside and outside of the Big 10.
Ezekiel Elliott gets the nod at RB as a sophomore, but he is a weapon to be used plenty out of the backfield and in the passing game. He can be lined up all over the field, and could be a prime time power back as well.
OSU also returns one of the best receiving corps in the game in Devin Smith and Evan Spencer, but SLOT receiver Dontre Wilson will, like Elliott, be used as a weapon in various forms, and may be the most talented of the group in his first season as a starter. Jeff Heuerman is the returning starter at TE, and just gives the Buckeyes yet one more weapon in the passing game.
The only concern on this offense is the line, which could make or break the season, as only one starter (LT Taylor Dekker) returns for the 2014 season.
Defense
The secondary was the biggest issue a season ago, and it appears that it may be the Achilles once again in 2014. only CB Doran Grant returns from a unit that finished 110th against the pass in last fall by allowing 268 yards per game through the air.
The story is different up front, as the defense ranked 9th nationally against the run. Noah Spence leads a talented and deep unit up front at DE, and is joined on the line by returning starters DE Joey Bosa and DT Michael Bennett. Adolphus Washington looks to be in line to start at the opne DT position.
At LB, Joshua Perry returns as the leading tackler from a season ago, finishing with 84 tackles on the season. Curtis Grant returns at LB as well, while freshman Raekwon McMillan may battle for playing time in fall camp.
Special Teams
The Buckeyes will be turning over the PK duties to a freshman in Sean Nuemberger, but he will still have to prove himself in camp. It's always a risk to go with a freshman in such an important position. Cameron Johnston brings his cannon leg back after averaging 44 yards per punt in 2013.
Opening Game
8/30 Navy at Batimore
Final Overview
OSU is coming off of a two game losing streak to start the season, and nothing is ever guaranteed against a pesky Navy club in the opener. The secondary is being rebuilt, and wasn't that good to start with. The offense ought to score with the best of them, but the defense has some areas of shoring up to do in camp. Urban Meyer rolled off 24 straight wins to start his Buckeye career, and the Buckeyes could very well roll off 12 or 13 more this season, however, there is always a trap game in the Big 10, which is strong at the top. Michigan State is that trip up game, and nothing is ever guaranteed against Michigan in the finale, and certainly don't forget trap games in non-conference play against Navy and Virginia Tech.
Michigan State Spartans
Projected 2014 Record: 11-1
Head Coach: Mark Dantonio (64-29, 8th season)
Offense
The offense struggled at times in 2013, but came through when it was needed most, and the QB position, which was a liability when the season began, turned into a strength when Connor Cook stepped up. The junior is well in charge heading into the fall, and will lead a unit that should be much improved.
Jeremy Langford rushed for 1422 yards last fall, and returns as the primary back as a senior. Langford is an absolute beast, and could be the best overall back in the Big 10, and could be one of the best nationally.
WR Tony Lippett stepped up late in the season as well last fall, and will be the number one target in the passing game. Josiah Price is the other returning starter in the passing game at TE. Joining Lippett as starter would be Aaron Burbridge and Macgarrett Kings, but Kings was suspended and he may or may not be back. If Kings is gone, then expect DeAnthony Arnett to step into the other starting role.
The line ran an eight man rotation last fall, and it is paying off in 2014. Jack Allen returns as the starting Center, and the only other returning full time starter is LT Jack Conklin. The main question will be at RT, where sophomore Kodi Kieler is slated to start.
Defense
The best news here is the return of DC Pat Narduzzi, who turned down a few head coaching jobs to remain as DC at MSU. He returns some intriguing pieces from a unit that finished 2nd nationally in total defense last season.
Shilique Calhoun returns as the reigning Big Ten DL of the year in 2014 at DE. He is joined at the other DE spot by Marcus Rush. They compliment each other perfectly coming off of either edge. Lawrence Thomas and Damon Knox will be new starters in the middle of the line.
Max Bullough and Denicos Allen have both departed, but that doesn't mean that talent isn't still flowing. Taiwan Jones will be back in the middle at LB, and should be joined by new starters Darien Harris and Ed Davis, both juniors.
Trae Waynes has to be counted on to lead the secondary at CB, but the other spot is vulnerable with a sophomore taking over in Darian Hicks. Senior Kurtis Drummond will return at FS, and will be joined at SS by incoming freshman Jalyn Powell, who is expected to have a huge impact from day one in the program.
Special Teams
The kicking game is set with the return of PK Michael Geiger and P Mike Sadler. Geiger hit on 15 of 16 FGs last fall, while Sadler averaged 42.5 yards per punt and led the nation in punts downed inside the ten.
Opening Game
8/29 Jacksonville State
Final Overview
The Spartans will easily be the main challenger in division for Ohio State, and will be a major player in the national picture as well. Dantonio signed a lengthy contract extension, and Narduzzi returned to run one of the best defenses found anywhere. The Spartans are in prime position to be a major national power for the next several seasons, and have now surpassed instate rival Michigan for state superiority.
Wisconsin Badgers
Projected 2014 Record: 11-1
Head Coach: Gary Anderson (9-4, 2nd season)
Offense
Imrovement must come from the passing game if the Badgers are to become players in the conference race. Wisconsin finished just 93rd in passing last fall, but Joel Stave is back with another season under his belt at QB despite being pushed by Tanner McAvoy in camp.
The other key to the passing game must come from a largely inexperienced group at WR, as the entire returning corps combined for 28 grabs last fall. Jordan Frederick and Kenzel Doe will have to step up as they head the depth chart heading into camp. Sam Ameson is also fighting to take over at TE.
Melvin Gordon is a beast at RB, and will be joined in the strong backfield committee by Corey Clement, who is a strong replacement for the departed James White.
The line returns intact, with only one new starter in C Dan Voltz.
Defense
Dave Aranda will have to completely rebuild the defense, as only three starters return, and they're all in the secondary. Sojourn Shelton and Darius Hillary are both back at CB, and junior Michael Caputo returns at SS, and is largely expected to be the unit leader. Sophomore Leo Musso is in the lead to start at FS heading into the fall.
The entire front seven is going to be loaded with new starters, but that's not all bad for the Badgers. Aranda likes the unit that he has coming in, and figures to blitz more and have more intricate schemes going on in the 3-4 defense. The only issue with having so many new faces is that depth figures to be an issue. As good as the new faces may be, injuries could wreck the season that could be special if all things come together.
Special Teams
Jack Russell is back at PK after hitting 9 of 13 FGs last fall. That being said, he is being challenged by big time recruit Rafael Gaglianone in camp. That could be an interesting battle heading into the fall, and both could see action during the early part of the year.
Drew Meyer returns as the Punter, but he had a subpar season in 2013, averaging just 38.6 yards per punt. He has a firm hold on the job, and has no real challengers heading into the season.
Opening Game
8/30 LSU at Houston
Final Overview
Despite so many new faces and questions, if all things come together, the Badgers could be playing for a Big Ten title, and could make a push in the national picture. Gary Anderson is one hell of a coach, and resisted being recruited to leave by the Cleveland Browns. In all reality, that shouldn't have been a difficult call to make, and staying in Madison was the right call. The opener is tough with LSU in what is an essential home game for the Tigers, but the Badgers should blow through the next eight games until they run into Nebraska and Iowa in back to back weeks in November. If you are looking for a dark horse, Wisconsin could be your team.
Nebraska Cornhuskers
Projected 2014 Record: 10-2
Head Coach: Bo Pelini (58-24, 7th season)
Offense
This unit was largely all over the place in 2013, and the Huskers come into the season looking for stability, especially at the QB position, which never should have been an issue. Tommie Armstrong, Jr. comes in as the man at QB this fall after starting eight times a year ago in relief. Armstrong looked wonderful sometimes, and awful in other situations. He has had a full spring to lock into the role, and should be more stable this time around.
One benefit Armstrong has is Ameer Abdullah running out of the I behind him. Abdullah rushed for 1690 yards last fall, and is one of the premier backs in the nation. If he can break into the end zone more than 9 times this fall, well, that would be just great.
Kenny Bell is one of the premier receivers in America, and he will try to give Armstrong a reliable target, especially in the red zone, where Bell is the man. Jamal Turner and Sam Burch are new full time starters, so that may be an issue as they develop into their roles. Cethan Carter returns to start at TE.
The line could be a mess, and that is a huge problem with a young QB trying to find his way. LG Jake Cotton is the lone returning starter. All of the front runners in the other positions are upper classmen, but that also means that depth could be a disaster when injuries hit.
Defense
Remember when the Huskers were one of the most dominant forces in college football? Well, many of you may not have been alive back in those days. Nebraska finished ranked 40th in total defense, and ranked no higher than 33rd in any given stat on the defensive side. That is where the problem is for Nebraska, and until that issue is resolved, Nebraska will never likely be a team to deal with on a national level, and the fan base needs to realize that. It all starts with the black shirts, and they may not be walking through that door.
Randy Gregory (DE) and Vincent Valentine (DT) are back on the line, but the other DL jobs are open. Michael Rose is back at LB, and more will be needed of him this fall. Zaire Anderson and David Santos will flank him, with Anderson being expected to add some impact on the edge rush.
Josh Mitchell will return to start at CB, but a new starter will be lining up on the other side in junior Jonathon Rose. Corey Cooper is back at SS, but FS is open, with the job likely falling to sophomore Leroy Alexander.
Special Teams
Mauro Bondi was expected to win the PK job, but wasn't solid enough in the spring, so now he finds himself in a battle with freshman Drew Brown heading into camp. Sam Fultz had a solid freshman season as the starting Punter, and is back after averaging 41.6 yards per punt.
Opening Game
8/30 Florida Atlantic
Final Overview
It all starts with fixing the QB play, the offensive line, and finding a way to return to dominance on defense. Bo Pelini is a cat with nine lives spent, as he somehow avoided being canned after having several meltdowns last season on and off the field. Pelini may have gotten an extension after last season, but make no mistake, the heat us at inferno level, and Pelini may not have the talent to break through with this football team. There are some nice pieces, but overall, there aren't enough special athletes on this football team to challenge the big boys in the Big Ten. This isn't the old days, when the Huskers could steam through the Big 2 and little 6. Pelini is going to hear it all year long, but the fan base also has to somehow cope with the fact that the 70s, 80s, and 90s are over, and the landscape has changed.
Iowa Hawkeyes
Projected 2014 Record: 10-2
Head Coach: Kirk Ferentz (108-79, 16th season)
Offense
If you want to find a breakthrough player in the Big 10 in 2014, it may end up being QB Jake Rudock. Rudock was largely hit and miss last fall, but he may have developed enough from lessons learned that he could very well push forward and break through the upper echelon of conference QBs this fall. He certainly has some decent skills to build on after passing for 18 TDs and 2383 yards last fall.
Mark Weisman is back to start at RB, but the Hawkeyes are especially deep at RB, and Jordan Canzeri and Damon Bullock could add significant carries. There are six other RBs on the depth chart. FB Adam Cox will get the nod to start this fall.
Kevonte Martin-Manley never really broke through last fall at WR, but he has an opportunity this fall to be the leader on this offense. He has all of the skills to do so, but needs to step up big. Tevaun Smith will get the job opposite heading into camp, but look out for freshman Derrick Willies, who got on the radar in spring ball. Senior Ray Hamilton will likely be the starting TE on opening day.
The line is solid with Brandon Scherff back at LT, Austin Blythe at Center, and Jordan Walsh at RG.
Defense
The defense is the strong side of this football team, having finished 9th national in total defense. There are some issues, however, especially in the middle. All three linebackers must be replaced. Travis Perry, Quinton Alston, and Reggie Spearman are in line to start heading into camp.
The line is loaded, with three starters returning in DE Drew Ott, DT Carl Davis, and DT Louis Trinca-Pasat. THe front seven helped the Hawkeyes rank 10th national in 2013, holding opponents to 128.4 yards per game. The secondary has holes to fill at CB and FS. Sean Draper is slated to hold down the open CB spot, while Jordan Lomax is lined up to start at FS. Desmond King had a very nice freshman season, and is back at CB, while John Lowdermilk returns at SS.
Special Teams
There will be a new PK this fall, with Marshall Koehn slated to lead the pack heading into camp, but he will have challengers until the season opener.
Conner Kornbrath averaged 40 yards per punt last fall, and is back, but JC transfer Dillon Kidd may give him a run for the job.
Opening Game
8/30 Northern Iowa
Final Overview
Iowa is the 4th team in the Big 10 that could potentially blow up into a national scene stealer in 2014. There is more than enough talent on defense to carry the offense as it finds itself, and the schedule is completely manageable until the final two games of the season, when Iowa takes on Wisconsin and Nebraska in back to back weeks to close it out. Kirk Ferentz could have his best team in the last ten years if everything comes together. There is plenty to look forward to this fall in Iowa City.
Michigan Wolverines
Projected 2014 Record: 9-3
Head Coach: Brady Hoke (26-13, 4th season)
Offense
The Wolverines, like Nebraska, have issues that weren't always issues in the past. With Michigan, it's a dysfunctional running game, that was always the strength on traditional Wolverine football teams. UM ranked just 102nd in rushing in 2013, which is completely unacceptable by Michigan standards, and if you want one specific area to blame the collapse of 2013 on, this could be a prime suspect.
It's time for Derrick Green, the top recruited RB for UM in 2013, to show his thing in 2014. He will get the first crack at the open RB job, and will be joined there by De'Veon Smith. These guys have much to prove.
Nobody has more to prove than QB Devin Gardner, who is back as a 5th season. He is working on his 3rd coordinator, so his struggles are not all his fault. Doug Nussmeier will try to tweak Gardner into being more pocket thinking, which is where he really excels. Shane Morris is hanging around if Gardner faults, but he has shown little thus far.
Devin Funchess, one of the best TEs in the country, will likely line up more at WR this fall, with Erik AJ Williams starting at TE. This could be an excellent one-two punch for the passing game, which is dying for dependable targets.
The line really is a black hole of disaster, and was a major factor in the struggles of both the running game, and the entirety of the problems that the Wolverines have been having. Nine different linemen started last fall, and that was a huge disaster. Three full time starters return in LT Erik Magnuson, LG Kyle Bosch, and RG Kyle Kallis. All three are sophomores, and will serve as building blocks moving forward. The other two spots are open.
Defense
Frank Clark and Brennan Beyer return at DE, but there will be new starters in the middle of the line. The defense was largely average last fall, so pressure has to come from up front, and disrupt the passing game, which averaged 231.3 yards per game last fall. The LB corps returns intact, which is a huge relief, and gives the D some stability. Desmond Morgan, Jake Ryan, and James Ross III all return, but more is expected after ranking 29th against the run, which is a strong point.
Ray Taylor is back at CB, and Jarrod Wilson is back at FS, while Blake Countess returns at the other CB spot, giving Michigan a strong building point in the secondary. It's time for this group to step it up.
Special Teams
Matt Wile returns at PK after starting as the Punter last fall, but he does have some experience at PK duties, so not all is lost here. He hands his punting duties over to senior Will Hagerup, who returns after being suspended last fall. He has a quality leg.
Opening Game
8/30 Appalachian State
Final Overview
We all know what happened the last time that Appalachian State opened a season in the Big House (Remember, I called that ASU win), but ASU is no longer an FCS member, and is not the same quality as that club, so don't expect a repeat here.
The offense has several issues, and the defense needs to step up. There are few special athletes here, and the strong defenses and run game from the past that were the foundations of all great Michigan teams do not exist here.
Brady Hoke is a strong coach, but he had better start turning it around, or else the locals will be head hunting. Like Nebraska fan, it's time to acknowledge that the 70s, 80s, and 90s are long gone, and Bo isn't walking through that door to fix things.
Penn State Nittany Lions
Projected 2014 Record: 8-4
Head Coach: James Franklin (1st season)
Offense
With change at the top, there is always a problem with consistency. Christian Hackenberg needs to find that this season after a strong, but not perfect freshman year. Bill O'Brien has moved on to the NFL, so James Franklin has to take Hackenberg to the next level, and Franklin has never had this kind of QB to deal with before, so the results will largely be anyone's guess.
Zach Zwinak could be a huge breakthrough player in the conference at RB in 2014, but he needs Franklin to just get him the ball in the playbook. Bill Belton and Akeel Lynch will also get some carries, but Zwinak could be the star here.
Jesse James is back at TE, but all of the other receiver spots are open heading into camp, which could be the biggest problem that the offense holds.
The offensive line could be an issue as well, as only LT Donovan Smith returns.
Defense
This unit has some work to do, ranking just 48th in total D last fall.
Deion Barnes and CJ Olaniyan are back at DE, but they will largely be supporting new starters at DT in the 4-3. The LB corps is the strength up front, as both Mike Hull and Nyeem Wartman both return to the fold. Sophomore Brandon Bell should be the new starter at the open LB spot, while Anthony Zettel and Austin Johnson will line up at the DT spots as we head into the fall.
The secondary gave up 237 yards passing per game last fall, ranking just 73rd. It shoud be better with three returning starters in CBs Trevor Williams and Jordan Lucas returning along with S Adrian Amos. Senior Ryan Keiser will likely be the new starter at Safety heading into the fall.
Special Teams
Sam Ficken is back at PK, but hit just 15 of 23 for the season, and just 8 of 15 in the second half of the season. The punting game was no better, and it's up to new starter Chris Gulla, a freshman, to fix the problem.
Opening Game
8/30 UCF at Dublin, Ireland
Final Overview
Penn State was just showing progress coming off of the Sandusky/Paterno debacle, and then Bill O'Brien, largely sick and freaking tired of dealing with a delusional Paternoite crowd, bolted for a job coaching the Houston Texans. Nobody can blame him. In a short three years, the Lions are moving on to yet another head coach. Luckily, they landed James Franklin, who was largely recruited for several jobs. Franklin brings huge energy, and will recruit the hell out of the place. He should find a good deal of success, but questions remain about how good he will be on the big stage after working at some middling programs. The schedule shows 8 wins, but it's all about how the offense progresses with a young QB, and how much the D can step up from a middle of the road season. The Lions may be on their way back, but they aren't there yet.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
Projected 2014 Record: 7-5
Head Coach: Jerry Kill (17-21, 4th season)
Offense
Mitch Leidner was handed the full time job at QB after sharing duties with Phillip Nelson last fall. Nelson transferred, and then found some off-field trouble, so Leidner is the man. He has to be able to think pass before run, as he was the team's second leading rusher last fall. It's time to think more front line starter than situational guy.
David Cobb and Rodrick Williams will try to take some heat off of Leidner at RB, and both had starting experience last season, but someone has to be the guy here. Donnell Kirkwood is another back returning who started some last fall.
Both receiver jobs are open heading into camp, and that group could determine Leidner's fate and legacy. Only TE Maxx Williams returns in this group.
The line looks to be strong with three starters returning in LG Zac Epping, RG Caleb Bak, and RT Josh Campion. This group has a great deal of experience. Tommy Olson is the new starter at Center, and is a senior. LT Ben Lauer is the kid of the group as a sophomore.
Defense
There is depth and experience on the line, as DE Thieren Cockran, DE Michael Amaefula, and DT Cameron Botticelli all return. Scott Epke should be the lone new starter at DT.
LB may be a different story, as only Damien Wilson returns. He should be flanked by De'Vondre Campbell and Jack Lynn, who are holding down jobs coming out of spring ball.
Eric Murray is back at CB, and Cedric Thompson is back at S, but there are new bodies needed at CB and the other S spot as well.
Special Teams
Freshman Ryan Santoso is likely the new starter at PK, but that battle will continue into fall practice. Punter is more locked down, with Peter Morteli returning after a strong season ins 2013 that saw him average 43.3 yards per punt.
Opening Game
8/28 Eastern Illinois
Final Overview
The Gophers must find a way to be a better passing team if they hope to exceed seven wins, which seems to be their plateau. The run game is solid, but if a passing game cannot be found, then teams will go with 8 men I the box and challenge the Gophers to try to throw the football, which is no their strong suit.
The defense must step up as well, but wasn't terrible season, ranking 43rd in total defense.
It's time for the entire program to find a way to push through, and a healthy coach in Jerry Kill would be a nice start. He was taken out of play several times last fall with his health issues, and no matter what anyone says, it's a distraction.
The following programs are projected to finish with losing records, and will likely not receive bowl bids...
Indiana Hoosiers
Projected 2014 Record: 6-6
Head Coach: Kevin Wilson
The Good
The offense is one of the most explosive in the country, having scored 38.4 points per game, which was good for 16th nationally. The Hoosiers averaged 508.5 yards per game, good for 9th nationally.
The entire offensive line returns, which could be a huge building block for an already great offense. RB Tevin Coleman ran for 928 yards last season, but missed three games. He should be healthy.
Nine starters return on defense, but that could be bad news...see below.
The Bad
The defense was one of the worst in the country, ranking 120th nationally. The Hoosiers gave up 527.9 yards per game, and 38.4 points per game, the same as the offense scored. PK Mitch Ewald moved on, so the points gained from the kicking game must be found in another source. Kevin Wilson's overall record is 10-26 heading into his 4th season, so 2014 has to be the year that this football team turns a corner. Patience in Bloomington, even for football, only lasts so long.
By the way, as good as the offense is, I hate two QB systems, and the Hoosiers are running one. Nobody wins big with a two QB system.
Northwestern Wildcats
Projected 2014 Record: 5-7
Head Coach: Pat Fitzgerald
The Good
QB Trevor Siemian is finally the full time QB, but only if he can stay on the field. Injuries ruined him last season, but then again, injuries wrecked every position last fall in some way.
If Venric Mark is healthy, he can be one of the most dynamic backs in the conference. He was far from healthy last fall.
The offensive line returns four starters, giving the Wildcats a starting point to build from, as is the receiving corps, as both Christian Jones and Tony Jones are slated to return.
Slotback Dan Vitale is one of the more interesting players in the conference.
The Bad
The union situation that started at Northwestern is potentially a huge blight on college football, and could change everything for the worse. Of course, every player that has signed on for this suit is someone who basically has no pro future, so there's that.
Neither the offense, nor the defense was absolutely awful, but neither were they overly wonderful. The defense was, however, particularly awful against the pass, ranking 99th in that category, while finishing 88th in total defense.
Several players got experience due to injury last season, but they have to all prove themselves, as they were bogged down last fall.
The schedule is a bit difficult, and a 2-6 start is possible. The Cats will be better this season, but maybe not by much. Pat Fitzgerald is seeing his star diminish just a bit.
Illinois Fighting Illini
Projected 2014 Record: 4-8
Head Coach: Tim Beckman
The Good
The Illini have a QB that could carry them to another level in Oklahoma State transfer Wes Lunt. That being said, he is in a three way battle to win the job that hasn't been decided.
Josh Ferguson is back at RB, and is just as dangerous as a runner as he is a receiver. In short, he's a nightmare for defenses in coverage.
The offensive line returns four starters, giving the offense some consistency.
Bill Cubit may have been a mess as a head coach at Western Michigan, but he's a solid OC who can find ways to use several players in unique ways.
The Bad
The defense wasn't as bad as Indiana, but it was damn close. The Illini ranked 110th nationally in total defense in 2013.
The defense wasn't athletically talented at all, and the unit spent much of the off season trying to add speed and strength. It's impossible for me to say that they are much better off than they were a year ago, and three sophomores are starting (LB TJ Neal, CB Caleb Day, and FS Taylor Barton).
The offense has to find a run game, as they ranked just 92nd in the country in rushing, which brought the rest of the offense to a halt.
At the end of the day, the Illini will be lucky to return to four wins, and that may not be enough to save Tim Beckman's job.
Purdue Boilermakers
Projected 2014 Record: 4-8
Head Coach: Darrell Hazell
The Good
If you had to find something that worked for Purdue last fall, it was that the pass defense ranked 55th against the pass. That's about as good as anything got last season. Danny Etling is back at QB after starting as a freshman, so I'm looking for development here.
The middle of the line returns, which could help an anemic run game, and Akeem Hunt is a weapon at RB, where he'll be able to concentrate his full attention after playing both RB and WR last fall.
That pass defense returns three starters in the secondary in CB Frankie Williams, SS Landon Feltcher, and FS Taylor Richards.
The Bad
The offense was awful, the defense was awful, and the Boilers were just awful in every way. Purdue finished 119th in offense, and 104th in defense. The kicking game was terrible, and there is a battle at PK heading into the fall.
I'm being too harsh on Darrell Hazell as head coach calling him the worst in the Big 10, but until he gets this thing running, that's the honest truth. Maybe Tim Beckman is worse, but it's too close to call right now.
Maryland Terrapins
Projected 2014 Record: 3-9
Head Coach: Randy Edsell
The Good
CJ Brown returns at QB, and may be the biggest weapon the Terps have on offense, but he has to get better as a passer. As far as his running ability out of the spread read offense, he is a wizard.
The Terps are deep at RB, so the run game is a strength. That's a good thing, because the Terps only ranked 83rd in rushing last fall.
Both receivers return, and four starters return on the line, giving Maryland hopes of actually taking off on offense.
The defense wasn't terrible last fall, ranking 44th nationally. Six starters return in the front seven, so run defense should be a strength.
The secondary looks to get stronger as well, with three starters returning there for a unit that allowed 225.1 yards per game.
The Bad
Maryland ranked 75th nationally in total offense, and they don't seem to be any closer to finding answers to get much better than that.
There could be a major losing streak built into the schedule, with 8 potential losses in the middle of the slate. Turnovers were a killer as well, as the Terps finished -7 last fall.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Projected 2014 Record: 2-10
Head Coach: Kyle Flood
The Good
There is depth at RB for the first time in a while, if the health bug doesn't bite. Paul James could be a game changer, but was banged up last year, which opened the door for several other RBs.
The receiving corps could have depth, but several receivers are inexperienced.
Tyler Kroft could end up being one of the better TEs in the conference when all is said and done.
All five linemen return on offense.
The run defense is really solid, and there is depth up front to support a unit that ranked 4th nationally against the run.
The Bad
The offense was a wreck, ranking just 95th in total defense. Pass D was especially terrible, ranking 120th.
Rutgers has another QB situation, with Chas Dodd battling Gary Nova, amongst others. None of them are very good overall, and Nova is barely better than average most days. That doesn't help an anemic run game, as Rutgers ranked 100th nationally in rushing.
The schedule is particularly brutal, with a four week stretch mid season against Michigan, Ohio State, Nebraska, and Wisconsin. The Knights may be scarlet in their own blood by the end of their first season in the Big 10.
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