2014 NFL Draft Prospectus
Wide Receivers
Finally, we find a group of some depth in this 2014 class. The WR
position is stacked with talent for every need, and enough to go around for
miles. Of course, there is issue with some players in this group being rated a
bit higher than they should be. Overall, this is an impressive group, as
witnessed by activities at the combine, mixed with some very nice game film
highlights.
If you are in need as an NFL franchise for WR help, this is your year,
and everyone can hit the jackpot with the right guy from this class that can
mix into your system. This is the first unit that I am really excited about in
2014.
Top 5
Sammy Watkins, Clemson
Mike Evans, Texas A&M
Marqise Lee, USC
Odell Beckham, Jr., LSU
Brandin Cooks, Oregon State
Most Overrated
Marqise Lee, USC
Kelvin Benjamin, Florida State
Most Underrated
Paul Richardson, Colorado
Jordan Matthews, Vanderbilt
Jared Abbrederis, Wisconsin
Josh Huff, Oregon
Devin Street, Pittsburgh
Best Small School Prospects
Erik Lora, Eastern Illinois
Jeff Janis, Saginaw Valley State
Sammy Watkins, Clemson
6-1, 205
4.47 40 Time
Projected Pick: 1-5
Watkins was a three year player at
Clemson, and goes down as one of the best, if not the best, receiver to ever
come out of Death Valley. In 2011, Watkins caught 82 passes for 1219 yards and
12 TDs, while averaging 93.8 yards per game, and 14.9 yards per reception.
Watkins missed three games in 2012, but still managed a line of 57-708-3,
averaging 70.8 yards per game and 12.4 yards per grab. Watkins had by far his
best effort in 2013, when he set a line of 101-1464-12, averaging 112.6 per
game and 14.5 per touch. Watkins also has 52 career rushes for 339 yards and
one score.
Pros: Watkins is an elite athlete and football player, and may be
one of the very best players available in this draft, and would be anyone’s
bargain even as a number one overall selection. Watkins is singularly a guy who
can change an entire game with his ability and elite speed. He constantly beats
double teams to the football, and leaps like a pogo stick for up in the air
tosses. Watkins regularly escapes jam attempts up front, and is more than
physical enough to work in traffic and make plays.
Cons: Watkins was used a bunch in the screen game early in his
career, and only really started being dynamic on the outside in 2013.
Personally, I believe that he will only continue to grow as an outside threat,
but it’s something to look for. He may still be learning some route running due
to Clemson’s college heavy wide open playground offense. Watkins missed three
games in 2012 due to drug charges, so his character has to be checked out, and
he may need a mentor to make sure that he walks the straight and narrow now
that he’ll likely have millions of bucks to play with.
Final Grade: A
Final Assessment: Good God, if it weren’t for the drug/character
issue from 2012, he would have gotten an A+, because he is the most elite skill
set player in this draft. If Watkins can stay clean and healthy, he is going to
have a huge career, and will be making major plays for at least the next
decade. Watkins is as good as they get.
Mike Evans, Texas A&M
6-5, 225
4.58 40 Time
Projected Pick: 5-10
Evans was a three year player at
A&M, but he redshirted one of those seasons (2011). One of the best
receivers ever out of A&M, Evans put up a line of 82-1105-5 in 2012, while
averaging 85 yards per game and 13.5 yards per catch. He followed that up with
a rock solid 69-1394-12 in 2013, averaging 107.2 per game and an amazing 20.2
per catch.
Pros: Some may say that Johnny Manziel made Mike Evans, but I see
it the other way around. Evans is a beast as far as overall size is considered
at WR, and he may remind some of Michael Irvin in his hay day for overall size
and ball aggressiveness. With his size, he just muscles through most DBs, and
takes the ball away from most on pass plays, even when double teamed. Evans
uses his size to not only go over most DBs, but he uses his frame to block out
defenders while catching passes. Outstanding technique on long passes, and
excellent body control when tracking balls.
Cons: If there is a single knock against Evans, it’s his lack of
elite speed. When you are as big as Evans, you usually lose something in the
speed game. Evans, however, makes up for it with his physical game. The offense
he played in at A&M wasn’t exactly traditional, so you have to wonder how
he feels and looks in a more basic offense. Evans also lacks experience, having
only played two full seasons in college (26 games). Due to lacking experience,
he may still just be coming into his own.
Final Grade: A
Final Assessment: Evans is a lock for the top ten on day one of the
draft, and if not for Watkins, would be the first receiver taken. Early
analysis has Evans going to the Bucs, especially after they dumped Mike
Williams off to the Bills. Evans is a huge, physical number one receiver who,
despite lacking grade speed, could be a game changer with the physical way in
which he plays. He will likely prove that he doesn’t need Manziel to make him
look good on Sundays. It’s almost impossible to pass on a guy like Evans with
his great physical tools and size.
Marqise Lee, USC
6-1, 190
4.52 40 Time
Projected Pick: 15-20
Lee was a three year player at
USC, and left after his junior season. In 2011, Lee put up a line of
73-1143-11, and averaged 95.3 yards per game, while averaging a solid 15.7
yards per grab. In 2012, Lee followed up with 118-1731-14 in 13 games,
averaging 132.4 yards per game and 14.6 per catch. Lee fell back a bit in 2013,
lining up 57-791-4. He averaged just 71.9 yards per game and 13.9 per catch,
both career lows at USC, as were his overall catches and yardage. His TDs fell
off in 2013 by a whopping ten.
Pros: Lee runs solid routes, and uses short burst quickness and
fluidity to escape being jammed up front. He is a machine in the bubble screen
game, and has solid athleticism in the open field. Solid route runner who can
get open quickly. He is a decent blocker downfield on run downs. Decent hands,
and can get to the ball in traffic.
Cons: Despite his apparent skills, he really had a crappy final
year at USC. Granted, the QB situation was largely unstable enough, but elite
WRs make their QBs better, and Lee obviously had zero effect on the QBs in
place at USC in 2013. I felt at times that Lee just didn’t care very much last
season, and didn’t really show much drive most of the time, especially when he
played one of the worst games of his career against a horrid Hawaii team in the
2013 opener. Basically, I question his motivation, and his personal motor. He
doesn’t especially run great routes, and tries to do too much on some plays,
and will kind of do whatever he wants to. He believes in his athleticism a bit
too much, and it has bitten him and his QBs at times. If his 2013 season were
his grand finale, then I feel like he lost himself a few million bucks. Lee has
just an OK build, and while he has run a sub 4.5 40, he doesn’t always run that
speed. More fluid and short burst quick than overall fast.
Final Grade: C
Final Assessment: Since it looked like he took most of 2013 off,
maybe Lee will be fresh and energized for his rookie season, and we will see
more of the guy we saw in 2011 and 2012. Basically, I question his motivation,
and I may look elsewhere for help in what is really a deep position in 2014.
Let him be someone else’s gamble to play their money on.
Odell Beckham, Jr., LSU
5-11, 195
4.49 40 Time
Projected Pick: 20-25
Beckham was another early entry
guy, having played three seasons at LSU. In 2011, Beckham put up a line of
41-475-2, averaging 33.9 per game and 11.6 per catch. In 2012, Beckham started
showing some improvement, putting up 43-713-2, averaging 54.8 and 16.6. In
2013, Beckham, like his QB Zach Mettenberger, finally arrived, and put up
59-1152-8, averaging 88.6 per game and a career best 19.5 per catch.
Pros: Beckham is a multi-use receiver, who doubles up as a kick
returner. In 2013, Beckham became a legitimate threat, and was a guy that LSU
had to get the ball to regularly. Strong speed player with a bit of power, and
despite a smaller frame, he’s not afraid to get physical and will block
downfield. He will likely light it up on returns on both kick offs and punts.
Cons: The first knock on Beckham is his size, which is not elite at
under 6-0, and under 200 lbs. Beckham has some elite skills, which is why I
called him one of my most underrated receivers, but he really didn’t come on
strong until 2013, and was largely background art in his first two seasons at
LSU. He is not a finished product yet, and still has some work to do to be all
he can be. The physical tools are there, but he needs refinement.
Final Grade: B
Beckham shows some strong
potential, and may be worth the risk of grabbing him towards the end of the
first round. He can really provide on returns while he develops more as a
receiver, and may grow into something of a solid threat in the slot, much like
Julian Edelman has done for New England. Beckham is an intriguing prospect who
could really blow up on Sundays in a good way. In my opinion, he would have
been better off staying for his senior year.
Brandin Cooks, Oregon State
5-10, 185
4.49 40 Time
Projected Pick: 25-30
Cooks is yet another early entry
guy who played three seasons at Oregon State. In 2011, Cooks, a backup at the
time, put up 31-391-3 in 12 games, and averaged 32.6 yards per game and 12.6
per catch. Cooks took over as a starter in 2012, and lined up 67-1151-5, while
averaging 88.5 and 17.2 Cooks continued on his path to dominance in 2013,
posting 128-1730-16, while averaging 133.1 and 13.5, and was named our All-Bilo
Wide Receiver of the Year.
Pros: Cooks showed solid progression in his three years at OSU, and
improved by bounds every single season. He is a strong worker, and really took
time to develop his game. Cooks has elite athleticism, and carried the ball on
rushing attempts 61 times in three seasons. Cooks get’s out of the gate
quickly, and avoids jams. He was used both inside and outside at OSU, giving
him solid versatility all over the field, and can be used in many different
ways. Solid open field speed gives Cooks the ability to go after the deep ball,
but also allows him short burst ability in traffic. Despite not having great
size, he has solid agility and power in traffic as well. Cooks has a solid
football IQ, and understands the game like a pro.
Cons: Cooks is small. That’s not a huge problem when used
creatively, but he is not a guy who you line up wide on every down and let rip.
He can get knocked around a bit, and bigger, more physical DBs will get after
him on the next level unless teams are creative with him. Because of this
issue, Cooks also is basically of no value blocking downfield on running downs.
Final Grade: B
Final Assessment: Cooks is a dynamic athlete who can really change
the tempo of a football game with his top grade athleticism. A natural pass
catcher, he will be a weapon out of the slot, and can occasionally be used on
the outside in four or five receiver formations. Cooks may be underrated due to
his lacking size, but he is definitely not to be overlooked. He will be a
weapon.
Kelvin Benjamin, Florida State
6-5, 240
4.61 40 Time
Projected Pick: 30-35
Benjamin is an early entry player
who spent three seasons at Florida State, however, he redshirted in 2011. In
2012, , 2013, Benjamin really improved, putting up numbers of 54-1011-15, with
72.2 per game and 18.7 per grab.
Pros: Benjamin has a huge build, allowing him to get physical with
DBs on the line. His size also makes him dominant in jump ball situations. He
has a huge stride and wingspan, and shows solid body control in traffic. Solid
deep ball target. Benjamin shows solid and surprising agility and sometimes can
play like a smaller receiver where he shows good burst and quick step speed. He
can block like a pro downfield, and he is a tank to tackle.
Cons: His speed is highly average and even poor for a receiver. He
may need to transition to TE in the NFL, a position that his skill set would
likely dominate. He is unpolished as a route runner, and lacks overall
experience, with just one big time season to show for his collegiate career. In
all, he has just 28 career games under his belt, and likely has a lot to learn.
Final Grade: C
Final Assessment: With just one standout season, and lacking elite,
or even decent speed, Benjamin really should have stayed at FSU one more
season. He is raw, and slow, and may be better suited to play TE in the NFL.
Benjamin is too raw to pick early, and scout assessments of him going in the
late 1st or early 2nd round is really more a take on his
size and potential, rather than what he has actually produced. Due to this
fact, Benjamin makes my overrated list.
Allen Robinson, Penn State
6-2, 220
4.6 40 Time
Projected Pick: 30-35
Robinson was a three year player
at Penn State and is another early entry. In 2011, Robinson posted a line of just
3-29-0. He really came on the scene in 2012, posting 77-1018-11, averaging 84.8
yards per game and 13.2 yards per catch. Robinson returned in 2013, and took
off for a line of 97-1432-6, averaging 119.3 and 14.8.
Pros: Robinson certainly has an NFL build. The fact that he has
produced back to back 1000 yard seasons means that he knows how to produce.
Penn State ran an NFL styled offense under Bill O’Brien, so he should have a
seamless transition onto an NFL roster. Robinson is a solid blocker, and dominated
in a major conference. He is physical in traffic, and uses his body to make
solid catches.
Cons: Robinson is not the fastest guy in the bunch, and being that
he isn’t a super-sized receiver, there really isn’t any excuse. As physical as
he was in the Big 10, he won’t be able to muscle bigger corners around on the
next level. Lacking solid speed may drop him into the second round.
Final Grade: B-
Final Assessment: Robinson is a big receiver who is physical and
will fight for footballs, but may lack the total intangibles to be a solid
number one receiver for an NFL franchise. He does, however, have some other
very solid intangibles which are hard to ignore. Too productive in college to
pass by without regret, Robinson has some solid skill to offer on Sundays if
drafted in a good spot.
Davante Adams, Fresno State
6-1, 212
4.56 40 Time
Projected Pick: 40-45
Adams was a three year player at
Fresno State, but he did redshirt in 2011. Adams came on the scene in 2012,
when he posted 102-1312-14. He returned in 2013 to post 131-1718-24. Adams
caught 38 TD passes in two seasons, and averaged over 100 yards per game both
seasons as well.
Pros: Solid size for an NFL build. Adams knows his way around a red
zone, having scored those 38 TDs. He was super productive in both seasons at
Fresno State. Adams was a huge hit in a wide open passing game, and may fit in
some of the higher powered offenses in the NFL. Adams knows how to work a route
and get open, even when teams double up on him.
Cons: Adams played in a bit of an amped up, video game styled
offense, and wasn’t going up against top flight competition to boot. He has
decent, but not great, elite speed. He may be a starter, but does not look like
a number one guy.
Final Grade: B-
Final Assessment: Adams certainly had an edge at Fresno State
because of a pass happy offense, but he certainly did produce regularly. He has
the size thing down, but he will likely never be able to blow corners away on
deep routes. Adams is much too productive to be ignored, but may ceiling out at
a number two spot. I’d still draft him in a value spot.
Jordan Matthews, Vanderbilt
6-3, 212
4.46 40 Time
Projected Pick: 50-55
Matthews was a four year player at
Vandy, a rare senior on draft day. In 2010, Matthews posted 15-181-4. As a
sophomore in 2011, he posted 41-779-5 in an increased role. In 2012, Matthews
exploded as a starter by posting 94-1373-8. As a returning starter in 2013, the
senior put up a line of 112-1477-7.
Pros: Matthews has an excellent blend of size and speed that will
make him a pain to cover on the next level. Matthews made improvements to his
game every single season. He has fluid body control, will work in traffic, and
make difficult catches. Matthews will surprise many, as he was underexposed at
Vanderbilt. Matthews has shown solid skill as a downfield blocker on running
plays.
Cons: Matthews may not have hit full development, as he didn’t play
in what can be considered an NFL offense. Some scouts have made claims that his
speed isn’t as good as he times, but I personally haven’t seen Matthews run
poorly, ever.
Final Grade: A-
Final Assessment: Matthews is one of my favorite players in this
draft, and may possibly be the most underrated receiver here. There are a few
doubters, but I am not one of them. If grabbed in the lower second round, a
team can get one of the steals of the draft. His basic anonymity may shroud
some teams in ignorance when it comes to him.
Paul Richardson, Colorado
6-0, 175
4.40 40 Time
Projected Pick: 60-65
Richardson spent four seasons in Boulder,
but missed the 2012 season due to injury (knee). In 2010, Richardson posted
34-514-6. In 2011, he posted 39-555-5. He missed three games in 2011 due to
injury again. In 2013, after missing 2012, Richardson put up 83-1343-10.
Pros: Richardson put up big numbers coming off of a serious injury,
despite having a decent QB to throw him the football. He has very good speed,
despite the knee injury. Not only is he fast, he is quick, and can change
directions and show burst in the open field. If you miss him, he is gone.
Cons: Richardson has a slight build, and may get beat up some on
the next level. You have to wonder how the knee will hold up if someone gets
physical with him. He ran a limited offense at Colorado, and may have to spend
some time developing some route skills.
Final Grade: C+
Final Assessment: Richardson is a smallish receiver who only really
had one big season at Colorado, but how much of the lack of huge numbers early
really have to do with him? Richardson has solid speed, and may be a great
addition to a return game.
The Next Group
Donte Moncrief, Ole Miss: Never had a 1000 yard season. Never had a
great QB.
Jarvis Landry, LSU: Ceiling is a number two, and could have used
one more season at LSU.
Martavis Bryant, Clemson: Big bodied receiver, who spent time in
Sammy Watkins’ shadow. An enigma.
Bruce Ellington, South Carolina: Small guy, not huge numbers, and
is limited to slot work.
Robert Herron, Wyoming: Lacks ball skills, and production. Never
had a 1000 yard season in passing offense.
Jared Abbrederis, Wisconsin: Possession guy with good, not great
skills. Would be a solid 3rd down option.
Josh Huff, Oregon: Solid postseason after a great senior season.
Huff is a riser.
Mike Davis, Texas: Lacked solid production, and has slid down boards
despite raw talent.
Ryan Grant, Tulane: Huge last two seasons, and may be severely
underrated.
TJ Jones, Notre Dame: Average career, but solid senior season. On
the small side.
Devin Street, Pittsburgh: Big receiver who doesn’t always play to
size. Good, not great production.
Brandon Coleman, Rutgers: Huge build, but that’s about all he has
going for him.
Jalen Saunders, Oklahoma: Very small prospect who is limited in
what role he can play. Strictly a slot guy.
Cody Latimer, Indiana: Improving prospect, but lacks creativity and
physicality.
Dri Archer, Kent State: Former tiny RB is now a tiny WR. Special
teams a must for him.
Jeff Janis, Saginaw Valley State: Small school prospect really
grabbed eyes at the combine
Note: Dorial Beckham-Green, Missouri: Was kicked out at Missouri,
and may be available in the supplemental draft, but more than likely will have
to wait until 2015.