The only thing left to do for the 2018 NFL Draft is to grade it in retrospect. We begin with the Cleveland Browns, who made nine selections. Here are those picks, and my grades, averaged out to a final score at the end.
1. QB Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma
Mayfield was my number one QB throughout this process, and this was a last minute strategy change from Sam Darnold. I don't hate the pick.
Grade: A
2. CB Denzel Ward, Ohio State
Ward was a top ten prospect, but with Fitzpatrick and James still hanging here, this was a reach for a guy who I see as a career Nickel Corner.
Grade: B
3. OT, Austin Corbett, Nevada
Corbett is an eventual replacement candidate for Joe Thomas, and was a solid value pick at the top of the second round. Underrated player who could do very well here.
Grade: A
4. RB, Nick Chubb, Georgia
Chubb is not an every down back, but will he have to be? Still, even if he was graded as a second round pick, I feel as if there may have been better options here.
Grade: C
5. DE Chad Thomas, Miami
Instead of Ward with the four pick they could have had Bradley Chubb at DE, but they get Thomas in the 3rd, when he was a late 4th round graded player. Not a great look here. Yu go from a big time starter to a rotational guy.
Grade: D
6. WR Antonio Callaway, Florida
He was a first round talent with undraftable off-field issues. I took him out of m y top 10 receivers, but the Browns took him anyway. I hate this pick.
Grade: F
7. ILB Genard Avery, Memphis
Worth a day three pick, Avery could develop into a very useful weapon on defense, for a small investment. This is where the Browns got back on track.
Grade: A
8. WR Damian Ratley, Texas A&M
He was never on our radar, and I am not certain how he elevated to a draft pick from a UDFA. Not a smart use of day three. Back off the rails again.
Grade: F
9. DB, Simeon Thomas, Louisiana-Lafayette
Yet another player drafted in the 6th that nobody had info on. Another player who should have been a UDFA at best. Won't make the roster.
Grade: F
Total Points: 18
Averages Out To: 2.0 (D Grade)
Monday, April 30, 2018
Wednesday, April 25, 2018
College Football Win Totals 2018: American Athletic Conference
With the NFL Draft upon us this week, we can now start to take some time to analyze the upcoming 2018 college football season. I start with looking at schedules, conference by conference, and looking at win totals that I have set for each team. I begin with the AAC, in alphabetical order:
Cincinnati Bearcats
The non-conference schedule is not a wood chipper for UC this season. Wins should come against Alabama A&M and Miami (Ohio), but I do project losses against UCLA in the opener, and Ohio in the non con finale.
Where trouble sets in, is during AAC play, where I only can project wins against U Conn in the conference opener, and against East Carolina in the season finale. I project losses at home to Tulane, Navy, and USF, while I see road losses to U Conn, Temple, SMU, and UCF.
Win Total: Four wins projected
East Carolina Pirates
I have such little hope for ECU until they finally admit they made a mistake in hiring Scotty Montgomery. I project one lone non con win over North Carolina A&T in the season opener, but that will be no lock. I project losses to North Carolina and Old Dominion on the road, and to Virginia Tech on the road as well.
In AAC play, I project road losses to USF, Temple, and Tulane, and Cincinnati while I project home losses to UCF, Houston and Memphis.I will project a home win over U Conn.
Win Total: Two wins projected
Houston Cougars
Houston under performed in 2017, and will be looking for a rebound in year two under Major Applewhite.
I project non con wins over Rice, Texas Tech, and Texas Southern, and will give a slight edge to the Cougars at home over Kevin Sumlin and the Arizona Wildcats.
In AAC play, I can project home wins over Tulsa, Temple, and Tulane, while projecting road wins over East Carolina and Memphis. I Project conference losses against Navy, USF, and SMU.
Win Total: Nine wins projected
Memphis Tigers
With some heavy personnel losses this season, Memphis is primed to take just a step back in 2018, but Mike Norvell could have some things up his sleeve heading into fall camp.
I project non con wins over Mercer, Georgia State, and South Alabama, with a loss coming against Missouri on the road.
In AAC play, I project win over Tulane, U Conn, East Carolina, and Tulsa, with losses projected against Navy, UCF, SMU, and Houston.
Win Total: Seven wins projected
Navy Midshipmen
Again, Navy skidded a bit last season, and they look to bounce back in 2018. I project wins in non con play over Hawaii, Lehigh, and Air Force. I also project a snapping of Army's two game win streak in the series. I do project a non con loss to Notre Dame, putting Navy at 4-1 in non con play.
In AAC play, I project wins over Memphis, Temple, Houston, Cincinnati, Tulsa, and Tulane. I project losses to SMU and UCF.
Win Total: Ten wins projected
SMU Mustangs
The Sonny Dykes era began in a terrible bowl loss for the Mustangs, but a bounce back is in order to a degree in 2018.
I see a 2-2 non con run with wins over North Texas and Houston Baptist, but losses to TCU and Michigan.
In AAC play, I project wins over Navy, Tulane, Cincinnati, U Conn, Memphis and Tulsa. I project losses to UCF and Houston.
Win Total: Eight wins projected
Temple Owls
Geoff Collins got his era started as head coach last season to mixed results. With five games in September, it will be imperative to get off to a fast start.
Temple should find wins against Villanova, Buffalo, and Tulsa at home that first month, while losses could come against Maryland and Boston College on the road.
There are just three games in October, with a bye week to close out the month. Home should be friendly that month as well with wins projected against East Carolina and Cincinnati, while I will project a road loss to Navy.
The final month of November will tell the tale for Temple, and it could be a tough month, I project the Owls to start the month off at 0-3 with losses to UCF and Houston on the road, and a loss to USF at home. Temple should be able to rebound to finish the month with a win at U Conn.
Win Total: Six wins projected
Tulane Green Wave
Tulane should be an interesting team in year three under Willie Fritz. This is a year where they should be pushing for a bowl bid.
There are five games on the bill between August 30th and the end of September. I project an opening loss to Wake Forest, followed by wins over Nicholls State and UAB, and losses to Ohio State and Memphis to close out with a 2-3 start.
Tulane has three dates in October, and could get a rebound with wins over Cincinnati and Tulsa, but a loss could come to SMU, which would lead to a 4-4 record with everything on the line heading into November.
November is a meat grinder, and upsets will have to happen to get bowl eligible, as I project losses to USF, Houston, and Navy, with the lone projected win coming on 11/10 against East Carolina.
Win Total: Five wins projected
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
There is no other way to describe 2017 than it being a train wreck. With two wins last season, Tulsa will be scrambling to find their place in the AAC race in 2018, and it could be a tough slog.
There are four games in September, with an opening win over Central Arkansas likely. Tulsa could then peel off three straight losses to Texas, Arkansas State, and Temple to close out the first month at 1-3.
There are four October dates, and things do not get any easier for Tulsa. I project a winless month with losses coming against Houston, USF, Arkansas, and Tulane.
A second win for the season is possible to start the final month, with U Conn coming to town to open November. Tulsa then should be a road dog the next two weeks with likely losses to Memphis and Navy, and a home loss to could wrap the season against SMU.
Win Total: Two wins projected
UCF Knights
The magic of 2017 has moved on, as has the coaching staff, but there is still plenty of potential left for new head coach Josh Heupel and QB McKenzie Melton.
UCF has five games on the docket in the opening month, and they should be favored to win against U Conn in the opener, followed by likely wins over South Carolina State, North Carolina, FAU, and Pitt. FAU is the one game worth watching in that opening frame, as the Owls will be looking to pull some magic of their own.
In October, UCF will have three games lined up. Again, the Knights should be favored in all three, with projected wins against SMU at home, and Memphis and East Carolina on the road.
November will be the great test for the Knights, as they should be favored in all four games once again with wins over Temple, Navy, Cincinnati, and USF projected, but watch out for those games against Navy and USF.
Win Total: 12 wins projected
U Conn Huskies
Round two of the Randy Edsall era has not been a fun watch, and things could be dicey once again in 2018.
The Huskies should have a mixed bag in the opening month with five games on the schedule. I project losses to UCF and Boise State to open the year, but then a win should come against Rhode Island in game three. I see a loss to Syracuse, before the Huskies have a shot against Cincinnati in the finale, but I could see a loss coming there as well.
October has a three game set, with a lone win coming against U Mass in the final game of the month. I project losses to Memphis and USF.
U Conn could only be favored in a single game in November as well, with a projected win against East Carolina, but losses should come against Tulsa, East Carolina, and Temple.
Win Total: Three wins projected
USF Bulls
The Bulls should have an interesting year in season two under Charlie Strong, and could push UCF and Navy as AAC favorites in 2018.
There are four games to open the season in September for the Bulls, and they should be projected to win games against Elon, Illinois, and East Carolina. I will narrowly project a loss to Georgia Tech, but I am thinking of that more as a swing game than anything.
There are four games in October, with wins projected against U Mass and Tulsa on the road, and U Conn at home. There is a trip up game to close the month against Houston on the road, where I could see some road fatigue slipping in, so I will call the Cougars a narrow favorite for now.
November presents a case for a strong close for the Bulls, with projected wins against Tulane at home, and Cincinnati and Temple on the road. I project a season ending loss to UCF, but agains, USF could challenge there.
Win Total: Nine wins projected
Final Win Totals Projected For Each Team
Cincinnati 4
East Carolina 2
Houston 9
Memphis 7
Navy 10
SMU 8
Temple 6
Tulane 5
Tulsa 2
UCF 12
U Conn 3
USF 9
Projected Bowl Teams (6): Houston, Memphis, Navy, SMU, Temple, UCF, USF
Cincinnati Bearcats
The non-conference schedule is not a wood chipper for UC this season. Wins should come against Alabama A&M and Miami (Ohio), but I do project losses against UCLA in the opener, and Ohio in the non con finale.
Where trouble sets in, is during AAC play, where I only can project wins against U Conn in the conference opener, and against East Carolina in the season finale. I project losses at home to Tulane, Navy, and USF, while I see road losses to U Conn, Temple, SMU, and UCF.
Win Total: Four wins projected
East Carolina Pirates
I have such little hope for ECU until they finally admit they made a mistake in hiring Scotty Montgomery. I project one lone non con win over North Carolina A&T in the season opener, but that will be no lock. I project losses to North Carolina and Old Dominion on the road, and to Virginia Tech on the road as well.
In AAC play, I project road losses to USF, Temple, and Tulane, and Cincinnati while I project home losses to UCF, Houston and Memphis.I will project a home win over U Conn.
Win Total: Two wins projected
Houston Cougars
Houston under performed in 2017, and will be looking for a rebound in year two under Major Applewhite.
I project non con wins over Rice, Texas Tech, and Texas Southern, and will give a slight edge to the Cougars at home over Kevin Sumlin and the Arizona Wildcats.
In AAC play, I can project home wins over Tulsa, Temple, and Tulane, while projecting road wins over East Carolina and Memphis. I Project conference losses against Navy, USF, and SMU.
Win Total: Nine wins projected
Memphis Tigers
With some heavy personnel losses this season, Memphis is primed to take just a step back in 2018, but Mike Norvell could have some things up his sleeve heading into fall camp.
I project non con wins over Mercer, Georgia State, and South Alabama, with a loss coming against Missouri on the road.
In AAC play, I project win over Tulane, U Conn, East Carolina, and Tulsa, with losses projected against Navy, UCF, SMU, and Houston.
Win Total: Seven wins projected
Navy Midshipmen
Again, Navy skidded a bit last season, and they look to bounce back in 2018. I project wins in non con play over Hawaii, Lehigh, and Air Force. I also project a snapping of Army's two game win streak in the series. I do project a non con loss to Notre Dame, putting Navy at 4-1 in non con play.
In AAC play, I project wins over Memphis, Temple, Houston, Cincinnati, Tulsa, and Tulane. I project losses to SMU and UCF.
Win Total: Ten wins projected
SMU Mustangs
The Sonny Dykes era began in a terrible bowl loss for the Mustangs, but a bounce back is in order to a degree in 2018.
I see a 2-2 non con run with wins over North Texas and Houston Baptist, but losses to TCU and Michigan.
In AAC play, I project wins over Navy, Tulane, Cincinnati, U Conn, Memphis and Tulsa. I project losses to UCF and Houston.
Win Total: Eight wins projected
Temple Owls
Geoff Collins got his era started as head coach last season to mixed results. With five games in September, it will be imperative to get off to a fast start.
Temple should find wins against Villanova, Buffalo, and Tulsa at home that first month, while losses could come against Maryland and Boston College on the road.
There are just three games in October, with a bye week to close out the month. Home should be friendly that month as well with wins projected against East Carolina and Cincinnati, while I will project a road loss to Navy.
The final month of November will tell the tale for Temple, and it could be a tough month, I project the Owls to start the month off at 0-3 with losses to UCF and Houston on the road, and a loss to USF at home. Temple should be able to rebound to finish the month with a win at U Conn.
Win Total: Six wins projected
Tulane Green Wave
Tulane should be an interesting team in year three under Willie Fritz. This is a year where they should be pushing for a bowl bid.
There are five games on the bill between August 30th and the end of September. I project an opening loss to Wake Forest, followed by wins over Nicholls State and UAB, and losses to Ohio State and Memphis to close out with a 2-3 start.
Tulane has three dates in October, and could get a rebound with wins over Cincinnati and Tulsa, but a loss could come to SMU, which would lead to a 4-4 record with everything on the line heading into November.
November is a meat grinder, and upsets will have to happen to get bowl eligible, as I project losses to USF, Houston, and Navy, with the lone projected win coming on 11/10 against East Carolina.
Win Total: Five wins projected
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
There is no other way to describe 2017 than it being a train wreck. With two wins last season, Tulsa will be scrambling to find their place in the AAC race in 2018, and it could be a tough slog.
There are four games in September, with an opening win over Central Arkansas likely. Tulsa could then peel off three straight losses to Texas, Arkansas State, and Temple to close out the first month at 1-3.
There are four October dates, and things do not get any easier for Tulsa. I project a winless month with losses coming against Houston, USF, Arkansas, and Tulane.
A second win for the season is possible to start the final month, with U Conn coming to town to open November. Tulsa then should be a road dog the next two weeks with likely losses to Memphis and Navy, and a home loss to could wrap the season against SMU.
Win Total: Two wins projected
UCF Knights
The magic of 2017 has moved on, as has the coaching staff, but there is still plenty of potential left for new head coach Josh Heupel and QB McKenzie Melton.
UCF has five games on the docket in the opening month, and they should be favored to win against U Conn in the opener, followed by likely wins over South Carolina State, North Carolina, FAU, and Pitt. FAU is the one game worth watching in that opening frame, as the Owls will be looking to pull some magic of their own.
In October, UCF will have three games lined up. Again, the Knights should be favored in all three, with projected wins against SMU at home, and Memphis and East Carolina on the road.
November will be the great test for the Knights, as they should be favored in all four games once again with wins over Temple, Navy, Cincinnati, and USF projected, but watch out for those games against Navy and USF.
Win Total: 12 wins projected
U Conn Huskies
Round two of the Randy Edsall era has not been a fun watch, and things could be dicey once again in 2018.
The Huskies should have a mixed bag in the opening month with five games on the schedule. I project losses to UCF and Boise State to open the year, but then a win should come against Rhode Island in game three. I see a loss to Syracuse, before the Huskies have a shot against Cincinnati in the finale, but I could see a loss coming there as well.
October has a three game set, with a lone win coming against U Mass in the final game of the month. I project losses to Memphis and USF.
U Conn could only be favored in a single game in November as well, with a projected win against East Carolina, but losses should come against Tulsa, East Carolina, and Temple.
Win Total: Three wins projected
USF Bulls
The Bulls should have an interesting year in season two under Charlie Strong, and could push UCF and Navy as AAC favorites in 2018.
There are four games to open the season in September for the Bulls, and they should be projected to win games against Elon, Illinois, and East Carolina. I will narrowly project a loss to Georgia Tech, but I am thinking of that more as a swing game than anything.
There are four games in October, with wins projected against U Mass and Tulsa on the road, and U Conn at home. There is a trip up game to close the month against Houston on the road, where I could see some road fatigue slipping in, so I will call the Cougars a narrow favorite for now.
November presents a case for a strong close for the Bulls, with projected wins against Tulane at home, and Cincinnati and Temple on the road. I project a season ending loss to UCF, but agains, USF could challenge there.
Win Total: Nine wins projected
Final Win Totals Projected For Each Team
Cincinnati 4
East Carolina 2
Houston 9
Memphis 7
Navy 10
SMU 8
Temple 6
Tulane 5
Tulsa 2
UCF 12
U Conn 3
USF 9
Projected Bowl Teams (6): Houston, Memphis, Navy, SMU, Temple, UCF, USF
Tuesday, April 24, 2018
Power Rated Sports 2018 NFL Draft Prospectus
Don't be caught without all of the information that you could ever want when watching this year's NFL Draft! Get your copy of the Power Rated Sports 2018 NFL Draft Prospectus today! It contains 136 pages of my personal notes and analysis on every player available over 14 chapters based on position!
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Bilo's Top 10 Defensive Backs For the 2018 NFL Draft
Here is the final positional updated rankings for our series on the 2018 NFL Draft. In this post, I rank the top 10 DBs, regardless of CB or S designation. Here we go:
1. Derwin James, S, Florida State
He may be the best overall athlete on the defensive side of the football, and will be a force to be reckoned with on the next level. He is ranked Ninth overall on the bog board.
2. Denzel Ward, CB, Ohio State
He is ranked 12th overall, but may be limited to Nickel Corner work on the next level because he lacks overall size to contend with bigger, stronger receivers on the outside.
3. Minkah Fitzpatrick, CB/S, Alabama
He is ranked 15th on the big board, but I would draft him before Ward based on his ability to play anywhere in the secondary.
4. Justin Reid, S, Stanford
Reid has high cover ability, and that is what some teams value, especially in today's spread offense mindset. I like him going to the Patriots at #23.
5. Jaire Alexander, CB, Louisville
He has quietly climbed the big board, and now looks like a late first round certainty. His stock is climbing steadily.
6. Josh Jackson, CB, Iowa
With only one year of starter quality production, some teams have viewed him with caution.He may just be coming into his own as a player, and he has a ton of mileage left unused. He has snuck into the late first round.
7. Carlton Davis, CB Auburn
Another guy who has quietly climbed the boards. He could be the last DB available with a late first round grade, but could slide into the early portion of the second round. Still, his potential is solid.
8. Mike Hughes, CB UCF
Hughes has been a climber as well. Some folks like him as early as the mid-first, but we see that as a reach. Early second would be an optimal spot for him.
9. Isaiah Oliver, CB, Colorado
Oliver is far from a complete prospect. Some have him as a late first round pick, but we grade him somewhere along the mid-second.
10. Jessie Bates, S, Wake Forest
Bates sneaks into our top ten, but he represents a solid drop off in play from Reid, as he is more run support, while Reid gives you solidity in pass defense, more so than Bates.
For all of my notes on these players, and more, check out the 2018 NFL Draft Prospectus, with 136 pages of notes covering 14 chapters of information! Order and get yours today: http://bilosports.blogspot.com/p/power-rated-sports-premium-subscription.html
1. Derwin James, S, Florida State
He may be the best overall athlete on the defensive side of the football, and will be a force to be reckoned with on the next level. He is ranked Ninth overall on the bog board.
2. Denzel Ward, CB, Ohio State
He is ranked 12th overall, but may be limited to Nickel Corner work on the next level because he lacks overall size to contend with bigger, stronger receivers on the outside.
3. Minkah Fitzpatrick, CB/S, Alabama
He is ranked 15th on the big board, but I would draft him before Ward based on his ability to play anywhere in the secondary.
4. Justin Reid, S, Stanford
Reid has high cover ability, and that is what some teams value, especially in today's spread offense mindset. I like him going to the Patriots at #23.
5. Jaire Alexander, CB, Louisville
He has quietly climbed the big board, and now looks like a late first round certainty. His stock is climbing steadily.
6. Josh Jackson, CB, Iowa
With only one year of starter quality production, some teams have viewed him with caution.He may just be coming into his own as a player, and he has a ton of mileage left unused. He has snuck into the late first round.
7. Carlton Davis, CB Auburn
Another guy who has quietly climbed the boards. He could be the last DB available with a late first round grade, but could slide into the early portion of the second round. Still, his potential is solid.
8. Mike Hughes, CB UCF
Hughes has been a climber as well. Some folks like him as early as the mid-first, but we see that as a reach. Early second would be an optimal spot for him.
9. Isaiah Oliver, CB, Colorado
Oliver is far from a complete prospect. Some have him as a late first round pick, but we grade him somewhere along the mid-second.
10. Jessie Bates, S, Wake Forest
Bates sneaks into our top ten, but he represents a solid drop off in play from Reid, as he is more run support, while Reid gives you solidity in pass defense, more so than Bates.
For all of my notes on these players, and more, check out the 2018 NFL Draft Prospectus, with 136 pages of notes covering 14 chapters of information! Order and get yours today: http://bilosports.blogspot.com/p/power-rated-sports-premium-subscription.html
Bilo's Top 10 Linebackers For the 2018 NFL Draft
In what may be the worst overall draft class heading into the draft in 20 years, teams will struggle after the first round or two to find any real work ready players to fill their needs. I would expect a run at both OLB and ILB in the first two rounds. Here are my updated rankings at the LB position for the 2018 NFL Draft:
1. Tremaine Edmunds, ILB, Virginia Tech
Nothing has changed here, but he has slid down one spot on the overall prospect draft board. He is a freakish athlete who should not drop beyond the top ten picks.
2. Roquan Smith, OLB, Georgia
Smith is a fantastic prospect in that he is highly productive and flexible as both an ILB or OLB depending on team need. He is currently the 6th overall rated prospect in the entire draft class.
3. Leighton Vander Esch, ILB, Boise State
His stock has been soaring in the last few weeks, and he has worked his way all the way up to a number 13 ranking overall.
4. Rashaan Evans, OLB, Alabama
Ranked number 20 overall on the big board, Evans makes perfect sense to land with a team like the Saints.
5. Darius Leonard, OLB, South Carolina State
There is a huge drop off between Evans and Leonard on the big board (39 spots overall). Leonard is a developmental prospect with long term starter potential.
6. Jerome Baker, OLB, Ohio State
There is yet another massive drop off between where Leonard ranks on the big board to where Baker ranks. Baker ranks as an early fourth round prospect, while Leonard is ranked as a mid to late second round prospect. This is where we start to realize the weakness of this group overall.
7. Fred Warner, OLB, BYU
Warner ranks one spot off from Baker, but Baker is far more athletic. Still, Warner makes plays, and that is what should matter.
8. Tegray Scales, OLB, Indiana
OLBs are dominating the draft board at this point, and Scales was massively productive, but like the others after the first round group, he has drawbacks and limitations.
9. Micah Kiser, ILB, Virginia
Kiser gets a fifth round grade. The previously rated ILB was a mid-first rounder. That's the drop off inside in this class.
10. Josey Jewell, Iowa
He is probably the best of the Day Three LBs, but limited overall athleticism is what holds him back despite an very solid college career. I would definitely grab him in the fifth if he were still there.
For more of my notes and breakdowns on this position, and all of the others, check out my 2018 NFL Draft Prospectus! Get your copy here today: http://bilosports.blogspot.com/p/power-rated-sports-premium-subscription.html
Next: Bilo's Top 10 Defensive Backs For the 2018 NFL Draft
1. Tremaine Edmunds, ILB, Virginia Tech
Nothing has changed here, but he has slid down one spot on the overall prospect draft board. He is a freakish athlete who should not drop beyond the top ten picks.
2. Roquan Smith, OLB, Georgia
Smith is a fantastic prospect in that he is highly productive and flexible as both an ILB or OLB depending on team need. He is currently the 6th overall rated prospect in the entire draft class.
3. Leighton Vander Esch, ILB, Boise State
His stock has been soaring in the last few weeks, and he has worked his way all the way up to a number 13 ranking overall.
4. Rashaan Evans, OLB, Alabama
Ranked number 20 overall on the big board, Evans makes perfect sense to land with a team like the Saints.
5. Darius Leonard, OLB, South Carolina State
There is a huge drop off between Evans and Leonard on the big board (39 spots overall). Leonard is a developmental prospect with long term starter potential.
6. Jerome Baker, OLB, Ohio State
There is yet another massive drop off between where Leonard ranks on the big board to where Baker ranks. Baker ranks as an early fourth round prospect, while Leonard is ranked as a mid to late second round prospect. This is where we start to realize the weakness of this group overall.
7. Fred Warner, OLB, BYU
Warner ranks one spot off from Baker, but Baker is far more athletic. Still, Warner makes plays, and that is what should matter.
8. Tegray Scales, OLB, Indiana
OLBs are dominating the draft board at this point, and Scales was massively productive, but like the others after the first round group, he has drawbacks and limitations.
9. Micah Kiser, ILB, Virginia
Kiser gets a fifth round grade. The previously rated ILB was a mid-first rounder. That's the drop off inside in this class.
10. Josey Jewell, Iowa
He is probably the best of the Day Three LBs, but limited overall athleticism is what holds him back despite an very solid college career. I would definitely grab him in the fifth if he were still there.
For more of my notes and breakdowns on this position, and all of the others, check out my 2018 NFL Draft Prospectus! Get your copy here today: http://bilosports.blogspot.com/p/power-rated-sports-premium-subscription.html
Next: Bilo's Top 10 Defensive Backs For the 2018 NFL Draft
Monday, April 23, 2018
Bilo's Top 10 Defensive Line Prospects For the 2018 NFL Draft
Continuing with my position by position grade updates for the 2018 NFL Draft, we now look at the best of the Defensive Linemen:
1. DE Bradley Chubb, DE, North Carolina State
Chubb was a dominant edge rusher for the Wolfpack, and should easily be a top five draft pick this week. It would be a shock to see him dip below being the fifth overall pick.
2. Da'Ron Payne, DT, Alabama
Payne's best football could be ahead of him, and he has slid into a top seven grade for this week's draft. 18 teams list DL as a primary need, and he fits the bill.
3. Vita Vea, DT, Washington
Vea ranks just one spot behind Payne on the overall draft board, and could be a top ten pick this week. It's hard to find a guy as big as he is with the athletic talent and the ability to play across the line as he has.
4. Traven Bryan, DT, Florida
Raw and explosive, Bryan is molding clay for a DC right now, and that makes him valuable.
5. Harold Landry, EDGE, Boston College
One of the best pass rushers the last three years in the college football realm, he should find a home Thursday.
6. Maurice Hurst, DT, Michigan
Hurst is the most underrated in this class on the D line, but do not be fooled by that. He has star potential.
7. Marcus Davenport, DE, UTSA
There are many different schools of thought on this prospect, but really, he may either be a dark horse star in the making, or a complete bust. I am not sure which, but he grades out well.
8. Rasheem Green, DE, USC
Green is a raw prospect who showed some serious pass rush ability when given the chance. He is maybe just a shade behind where he should be developmentally, but he is up and coming.
9. Tim Settle, DT, Virginia Tech
Settle probably should have stayed at Tech for one more season for the experience factor alone, but there is no denying that he has some real talent.
10. Harrison Phillips, DT, Stanford
He has been up and down, but he settles out in the late second round, and that is a great spot for this talented player who just needs to land in the right spot.
For all of my complete notes on these players, and many more, check out my 2018 NFL Draft Prospectus, available now! Order here: http://bilosports.blogspot.com/p/power-rated-sports-premium-subscription.html
Next: Bilo's Top 10 Linebackers For the 2018 NFL Draft
1. DE Bradley Chubb, DE, North Carolina State
Chubb was a dominant edge rusher for the Wolfpack, and should easily be a top five draft pick this week. It would be a shock to see him dip below being the fifth overall pick.
2. Da'Ron Payne, DT, Alabama
Payne's best football could be ahead of him, and he has slid into a top seven grade for this week's draft. 18 teams list DL as a primary need, and he fits the bill.
3. Vita Vea, DT, Washington
Vea ranks just one spot behind Payne on the overall draft board, and could be a top ten pick this week. It's hard to find a guy as big as he is with the athletic talent and the ability to play across the line as he has.
4. Traven Bryan, DT, Florida
Raw and explosive, Bryan is molding clay for a DC right now, and that makes him valuable.
5. Harold Landry, EDGE, Boston College
One of the best pass rushers the last three years in the college football realm, he should find a home Thursday.
6. Maurice Hurst, DT, Michigan
Hurst is the most underrated in this class on the D line, but do not be fooled by that. He has star potential.
7. Marcus Davenport, DE, UTSA
There are many different schools of thought on this prospect, but really, he may either be a dark horse star in the making, or a complete bust. I am not sure which, but he grades out well.
8. Rasheem Green, DE, USC
Green is a raw prospect who showed some serious pass rush ability when given the chance. He is maybe just a shade behind where he should be developmentally, but he is up and coming.
9. Tim Settle, DT, Virginia Tech
Settle probably should have stayed at Tech for one more season for the experience factor alone, but there is no denying that he has some real talent.
10. Harrison Phillips, DT, Stanford
He has been up and down, but he settles out in the late second round, and that is a great spot for this talented player who just needs to land in the right spot.
For all of my complete notes on these players, and many more, check out my 2018 NFL Draft Prospectus, available now! Order here: http://bilosports.blogspot.com/p/power-rated-sports-premium-subscription.html
Next: Bilo's Top 10 Linebackers For the 2018 NFL Draft
Bilo's Top 10 Offensive Linemen of the 2018 NFL Draft
I continue my upgraded ranking series by position with the offensive linemen of the 2018 NFL Draft Class. Here are my upgraded O line rankings:
1. Quentin Nelson, OG, Notre Dame
This has not changed for months, and will not as we head into the first round on Thursday. Nelson should be one of the top four or five players off the board, and is, by far, the best lineman in this class.
2. Will Hernandez, OG, UTEP
Hernandez has been one of my top linemen for over a year now, and should slide into the middle or later part of the first round this week. A massive talent that was buried in a bad program.
3. Isaiah Wynn, OG/C, Georgia
Wynn has played at every spot across the line, and could be one of the most flexible linemen since Zack Martin came out of Notre Dame.
4. James Daniels, C, Iowa
Daniels has leaped over the rest of the class at C in the closing days. Pushing to hold onto a late first round grade.
5. Mike McGlinchey, OT, Notre Dame
Once considered a top 10 lock, he has fallen after it was revealed that he would max out as a RT. Still, for a RT, you could do a lot worse.
6. Billy Pryce, C, Ohio State
Tumbled a bit after post season surgery. Could climb back up a bit in the coming 48 hours, but this is likely where he settles.
7. Connor Williams, OG, Texas
There will be a lot of debate over where this prospect should fall. If he goes too early, he is a reach, but if he goes late, a steal. Nobody can settle on middle ground on him.
8. Kolton Miller, OT, UCLA
A lot of love/hate in the air over Miller. Personally, I think that he needs to toughen up and get more grounded in fundamentals, but you could still do worse.
9. Austin Corbett, OG, Nevada
Corbett is a real dark horse in this class. Get him in the late second round, and you have yourself a steal.
10. Martinas Rankin, C, Mississpi State
Rankin has been climbing the boards steadily heading into this week, and he may settle out in the late second or early third round.
For my complete notes on the Offensive Line positions, check out my 2018 NFL Draft Prospectus, with 130 pages and 14 chapters of information regarding this year's draft class at every position! Order here: http://bilosports.blogspot.com/p/power-rated-sports-premium-subscription.html
Next: Bilo's Top 10 Defensive Line Prospects For the 2018 NFL Draft
1. Quentin Nelson, OG, Notre Dame
This has not changed for months, and will not as we head into the first round on Thursday. Nelson should be one of the top four or five players off the board, and is, by far, the best lineman in this class.
2. Will Hernandez, OG, UTEP
Hernandez has been one of my top linemen for over a year now, and should slide into the middle or later part of the first round this week. A massive talent that was buried in a bad program.
3. Isaiah Wynn, OG/C, Georgia
Wynn has played at every spot across the line, and could be one of the most flexible linemen since Zack Martin came out of Notre Dame.
4. James Daniels, C, Iowa
Daniels has leaped over the rest of the class at C in the closing days. Pushing to hold onto a late first round grade.
5. Mike McGlinchey, OT, Notre Dame
Once considered a top 10 lock, he has fallen after it was revealed that he would max out as a RT. Still, for a RT, you could do a lot worse.
6. Billy Pryce, C, Ohio State
Tumbled a bit after post season surgery. Could climb back up a bit in the coming 48 hours, but this is likely where he settles.
7. Connor Williams, OG, Texas
There will be a lot of debate over where this prospect should fall. If he goes too early, he is a reach, but if he goes late, a steal. Nobody can settle on middle ground on him.
8. Kolton Miller, OT, UCLA
A lot of love/hate in the air over Miller. Personally, I think that he needs to toughen up and get more grounded in fundamentals, but you could still do worse.
9. Austin Corbett, OG, Nevada
Corbett is a real dark horse in this class. Get him in the late second round, and you have yourself a steal.
10. Martinas Rankin, C, Mississpi State
Rankin has been climbing the boards steadily heading into this week, and he may settle out in the late second or early third round.
For my complete notes on the Offensive Line positions, check out my 2018 NFL Draft Prospectus, with 130 pages and 14 chapters of information regarding this year's draft class at every position! Order here: http://bilosports.blogspot.com/p/power-rated-sports-premium-subscription.html
Next: Bilo's Top 10 Defensive Line Prospects For the 2018 NFL Draft
Bilo's Top Ten Tight Ends For the 2018 NFL Draft
I am still upgrading my top 10 positional rankings right up until draft day, and I now continue to do so with the TE position. This position is not usually one of the deeper spots in the draft, but this is a different kind of class, where depth here is substantial with this particular group. Here are my top 10 TEs in the 2018 draft class:
1. Mike Gesicki, Penn State
Gesicki is a premier pass catching TE who could develop into a decent pass blocker in time. He would be a perfect first round fit for a few teams, including New England.
2. Dallas Goedert, South Dakota State
Goedert dominated as a receiver at the TE position at FCS South Dakota State. He will not block much, but he can do some damage in the red zone.
3. Mark Andrews, Oklahoma
Andrews is a dangerous pass catcher who creates serious mismatch issues in the open field. Consider him one of the elite pass catchers in the draft.
4. Hayden Hurst, South Carolina
Not one of my absolute favorites in this class, but he is the blocker that the other top guys at this spot are not. He is not much of a scorer or red zone threat, but he can block all day.
5. Ian Thomas, Indiana
He is probably the most raw of the upper group, but he is coming into his own at the right time, and is molding clay at this point. A coaches dream.
6. Dalton Schultz, Stanford
Looks more like a traditional blocking Y TE on the next level, but if that's what you need, he could be your guy in the middle rounds.
7. Durham Smythe, Notre Dame
A traditional blocking TE, he plays more like a third tackle, and has the mindset of one as well.
8. Chris Herndon, Miami
Has some injury concerns, and is very raw, but is capable of making big plays when you need him to, if he can stay on the field.
9. Adam Breneman, U Mass
His stock has dropped as of late, but I still cannot ignore his production over the last two years, as he was our FBS TE of the Year both seasons.
10. Tyler Conklin, Central Michigan
Conklin would have been top five if not for a drop off in play last fall. Still, he could develop into a solid combo TE on the next level, or fall off completely.
For more of my notes on the TE position, and all others, check out my 2018 NFL Draft Prospectus. Get yours today by ordering here: http://bilosports.blogspot.com/p/power-rated-sports-premium-subscription.html
Next: Bilo's Top 10 Offensive Linemen of the 2018 NFL Draft
1. Mike Gesicki, Penn State
Gesicki is a premier pass catching TE who could develop into a decent pass blocker in time. He would be a perfect first round fit for a few teams, including New England.
2. Dallas Goedert, South Dakota State
Goedert dominated as a receiver at the TE position at FCS South Dakota State. He will not block much, but he can do some damage in the red zone.
3. Mark Andrews, Oklahoma
Andrews is a dangerous pass catcher who creates serious mismatch issues in the open field. Consider him one of the elite pass catchers in the draft.
4. Hayden Hurst, South Carolina
Not one of my absolute favorites in this class, but he is the blocker that the other top guys at this spot are not. He is not much of a scorer or red zone threat, but he can block all day.
5. Ian Thomas, Indiana
He is probably the most raw of the upper group, but he is coming into his own at the right time, and is molding clay at this point. A coaches dream.
6. Dalton Schultz, Stanford
Looks more like a traditional blocking Y TE on the next level, but if that's what you need, he could be your guy in the middle rounds.
7. Durham Smythe, Notre Dame
A traditional blocking TE, he plays more like a third tackle, and has the mindset of one as well.
8. Chris Herndon, Miami
Has some injury concerns, and is very raw, but is capable of making big plays when you need him to, if he can stay on the field.
9. Adam Breneman, U Mass
His stock has dropped as of late, but I still cannot ignore his production over the last two years, as he was our FBS TE of the Year both seasons.
10. Tyler Conklin, Central Michigan
Conklin would have been top five if not for a drop off in play last fall. Still, he could develop into a solid combo TE on the next level, or fall off completely.
For more of my notes on the TE position, and all others, check out my 2018 NFL Draft Prospectus. Get yours today by ordering here: http://bilosports.blogspot.com/p/power-rated-sports-premium-subscription.html
Next: Bilo's Top 10 Offensive Linemen of the 2018 NFL Draft
Friday, April 20, 2018
Bilo's Top 10 Wide Receivers For the 2018 NFL Draft
As an addition to our NFL Draft Prospectus, available for purchase on this site, I continue my top 10 series by position for the NFL Draft prospects with a cliff note version of my favorite receivers in this class.
1. Calvin Ridley, Alabama
Ridley has some folks that love him, and some that like our number two selection better, but there is no better route runner and facilitator of big plays available that can outshine Ridley. With a big play QB tossing the ball to him (something he did not have at Alabama), he could really blow up quickly.
2. Courtland Sutton, SMU
Sutton is a big time producing talent, but came from more of a system environment at SMU, and will have to adjust to life in a scheme, rather than a syste. Graded as the 42nd best prospect on average for this draft class, we still have him going as a first rounder to the Cowboys to replace Dez Bryant.
3. DJ Chark, LSU
Like Ridley, Chark never had a decent passing QB to play with, and has all of the skills to wow people as a pro. He is a big time deep ball threat, and will be opening some eyes quite shortly.
4. Christian Kirk, Texas A&M
Kirk will be a rock solid slot receiver option as a pro, and could really fit a team like New England like a glove. If he were a few inches taller, we would have him graded as first round material.
5. DJ Moore, Maryland
Moore is another dark horse receiver who we have yet to see the best of based on bad QB play, but in his case, QB injuries were decimating during his time at Maryland, especially in 2017. He could really be ready to elevate.
6. Anthony Miller, Memphis
Miller flew under the radar in a big way at Memphis, but has his best games against his toughest opponents. He will be a mid round steal who could go as high as a second round pick.
7. James Washington, Oklahoma State
His build may not be what people are looking for, and he may be a system guy, but those numbers and production cannot be ignored. He will fit nicely, somewhere.
8. Michael Gallup, Colorado State
Scouting services were slow to pick up on Gallup, a star at both Colorado State and on the JC circuit, but he is a diamond in the rough, and a mid-round pick worth keeping an eye on.
9. Dante Pettis, Washington
Probably a better return man than starting WR, but he is not a terrible starting WR option at all. What he does on returns is something special, and he will earn his early money there.
10. Equanimeous St. Brown, Notre Dame
St. Brown is another guy who got screwed by bad QB play in college. He is a huge target who is ready to get on the radar, and stay there.
Note: Antonio Callaway was not considered for our top 10, even though he averages between second and third on many boards at WR. His red flag, off-field issues were no go for my team, and we left him out of the top ten based on the fact that we would not sign him with someone else's money.
Get full profiles on every Wide Receiver, and players at every other position with our NFL Draft Prospectus. Get your copy today by following the link: http://bilosports.blogspot.com/p/power-rated-sports-premium-subscription.html
Next: Top 10 TEs
1. Calvin Ridley, Alabama
Ridley has some folks that love him, and some that like our number two selection better, but there is no better route runner and facilitator of big plays available that can outshine Ridley. With a big play QB tossing the ball to him (something he did not have at Alabama), he could really blow up quickly.
2. Courtland Sutton, SMU
Sutton is a big time producing talent, but came from more of a system environment at SMU, and will have to adjust to life in a scheme, rather than a syste. Graded as the 42nd best prospect on average for this draft class, we still have him going as a first rounder to the Cowboys to replace Dez Bryant.
3. DJ Chark, LSU
Like Ridley, Chark never had a decent passing QB to play with, and has all of the skills to wow people as a pro. He is a big time deep ball threat, and will be opening some eyes quite shortly.
4. Christian Kirk, Texas A&M
Kirk will be a rock solid slot receiver option as a pro, and could really fit a team like New England like a glove. If he were a few inches taller, we would have him graded as first round material.
5. DJ Moore, Maryland
Moore is another dark horse receiver who we have yet to see the best of based on bad QB play, but in his case, QB injuries were decimating during his time at Maryland, especially in 2017. He could really be ready to elevate.
6. Anthony Miller, Memphis
Miller flew under the radar in a big way at Memphis, but has his best games against his toughest opponents. He will be a mid round steal who could go as high as a second round pick.
7. James Washington, Oklahoma State
His build may not be what people are looking for, and he may be a system guy, but those numbers and production cannot be ignored. He will fit nicely, somewhere.
8. Michael Gallup, Colorado State
Scouting services were slow to pick up on Gallup, a star at both Colorado State and on the JC circuit, but he is a diamond in the rough, and a mid-round pick worth keeping an eye on.
9. Dante Pettis, Washington
Probably a better return man than starting WR, but he is not a terrible starting WR option at all. What he does on returns is something special, and he will earn his early money there.
10. Equanimeous St. Brown, Notre Dame
St. Brown is another guy who got screwed by bad QB play in college. He is a huge target who is ready to get on the radar, and stay there.
Note: Antonio Callaway was not considered for our top 10, even though he averages between second and third on many boards at WR. His red flag, off-field issues were no go for my team, and we left him out of the top ten based on the fact that we would not sign him with someone else's money.
Get full profiles on every Wide Receiver, and players at every other position with our NFL Draft Prospectus. Get your copy today by following the link: http://bilosports.blogspot.com/p/power-rated-sports-premium-subscription.html
Next: Top 10 TEs
Bilo's Top 10 2018 NFL Draft Running Backs
Here are my top 10 RBs as graded by my team. Please remember that these rankings do not project where we believe that any back in this class will be drafted. These are simply who we like and in what order.
1. Saquon Barkley, Penn State
Barkley is not just the best RB in this class, he is the best pure athlete and the highest ranked prospect in the class by far. He would be completely worthy of being slotted as the number one pick in the draft, although we project him being picked in the number two spot by the Giants.
2. Ronald Jones II, USC
Jones really evolved into the back that Trojan fan had hoped for in 2017, and when Sam Darnold's confidence was flagging at QB, Jones filled the void. I project him as the third back taken in the draft, but I like would love to see him taken second at the end of the first round by Pittsburgh, although I see them possibly going with our number three selection.
3. Derrius Guice, LSU
I would have elevated him to number two on the list, but he really throttled back in 2017, much like Leonard Fournette did the year before, and it makes me question his overall commitment as a player. Still, he has all the physical tools to play, but I could see some drama come contract time.
4. Rashaad Penny, San Diego State
Penny is rising fast as NFL personnel people are finally getting into him (months after I said they should). Penny was a major producer in the college game, and having seen him in person and on film, and having interviewed him, I would be more than pleased if he fell into my draft position.
5. Sony Michel, Georgia
I have no issues with his overall game, but I have to wonder what he will be like if he has to be the guy full time, because we have never seen that from him.
6. Nick Chubb, Georgia
Chubb has the same issue as Michel. He has always been a load sharing back, and like Michel, has been injured. I like him in the middle round, but anything earlier would be risky.
7. Kerryon Johnson, Auburn
A slasher that will be asked to be more of a power back on the next level, and I am not so sure that he holds up in that role.
8. Royce Freeman, Oregon
There are concerns about lost speed for this burly power back, as he has been dealing with a knee issue on and off, and it specifically cost him in 2016. He can certainly score with 60 collegiate TDs rushing to his credit.
9. Bo Scarbrough, Alabama
Because of the depth and talent in the backfield for the Tide, I don't see that we have gotten the best of what he can do yet. In flashes he looks brilliant, and he could be just coming into his own.
10. Akrum Wadley, Iowa
He is rated below quite a few other backs in among the scouting services, but for all out production over the last two years, he fits the bill the best to fit into the top ten, as several other backs ahead of him have limited production and experience. I like proven products, and he is certainly one of those.
For full profiles of the RB class, and every other position for the NFL Draft in 2018, click here to purchase our 2018 NFL Draft Prospectus, with over 110 pages of notes and information : http://bilosports.blogspot.com/p/power-rated-sports-premium-subscription.html
Next: Bilo's Top 10 WR Prospects For the 2018 NFL Draft
1. Saquon Barkley, Penn State
Barkley is not just the best RB in this class, he is the best pure athlete and the highest ranked prospect in the class by far. He would be completely worthy of being slotted as the number one pick in the draft, although we project him being picked in the number two spot by the Giants.
2. Ronald Jones II, USC
Jones really evolved into the back that Trojan fan had hoped for in 2017, and when Sam Darnold's confidence was flagging at QB, Jones filled the void. I project him as the third back taken in the draft, but I like would love to see him taken second at the end of the first round by Pittsburgh, although I see them possibly going with our number three selection.
3. Derrius Guice, LSU
I would have elevated him to number two on the list, but he really throttled back in 2017, much like Leonard Fournette did the year before, and it makes me question his overall commitment as a player. Still, he has all the physical tools to play, but I could see some drama come contract time.
4. Rashaad Penny, San Diego State
Penny is rising fast as NFL personnel people are finally getting into him (months after I said they should). Penny was a major producer in the college game, and having seen him in person and on film, and having interviewed him, I would be more than pleased if he fell into my draft position.
5. Sony Michel, Georgia
I have no issues with his overall game, but I have to wonder what he will be like if he has to be the guy full time, because we have never seen that from him.
6. Nick Chubb, Georgia
Chubb has the same issue as Michel. He has always been a load sharing back, and like Michel, has been injured. I like him in the middle round, but anything earlier would be risky.
7. Kerryon Johnson, Auburn
A slasher that will be asked to be more of a power back on the next level, and I am not so sure that he holds up in that role.
8. Royce Freeman, Oregon
There are concerns about lost speed for this burly power back, as he has been dealing with a knee issue on and off, and it specifically cost him in 2016. He can certainly score with 60 collegiate TDs rushing to his credit.
9. Bo Scarbrough, Alabama
Because of the depth and talent in the backfield for the Tide, I don't see that we have gotten the best of what he can do yet. In flashes he looks brilliant, and he could be just coming into his own.
10. Akrum Wadley, Iowa
He is rated below quite a few other backs in among the scouting services, but for all out production over the last two years, he fits the bill the best to fit into the top ten, as several other backs ahead of him have limited production and experience. I like proven products, and he is certainly one of those.
For full profiles of the RB class, and every other position for the NFL Draft in 2018, click here to purchase our 2018 NFL Draft Prospectus, with over 110 pages of notes and information : http://bilosports.blogspot.com/p/power-rated-sports-premium-subscription.html
Next: Bilo's Top 10 WR Prospects For the 2018 NFL Draft
Thursday, April 19, 2018
Bilo's Top Ten NFL Draft QB Prospects
The NFL Draft Prospectus has been releasing by chapter to our subscribers. Without giving away too much information, here are my top ten QBs for the 2018 NFL Draft:
1. Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma
Most folks have Darnold at number one, but Mayfield, in my opinion, is the best available QB in this class, and is the most well rounded.
2. Sam Darnold, USC
Had Darnold had the kind of 2017 season most of us expected of him, he would have been number one. He is still the best big play QB available, even if he lost confidence at some point last season.
3. Josh Rosen, UCLA
Rosen has some major skills, and some major turnover flaws and a hero complex. He is as divisive as they get, and I see him as a mid-level NFL starter.
4. Josh Allen, Wyoming
He is a ton of hype, but is nowhere near ready to be an impact starter in the NFL this year, or maybe next. Flaws are everywhere in his game.
5. Lamar Jackson, Louisville
The most athletic QB in the class also has the most when it comes to issues as a passing QB as a pro. He has to be rebuilt from a fundamental angle. He will need at least two years to develop before playing.
6. Mason Rudolph, Oklahoma State
He is rising up the charts, but rumors of him going in the first round make me nervous. He has a ton of work to do before he sees action, and he has to get out of the system mindset.
7. Kyle Lauletta, Richmond
Many people see him as being this year's Jimmy G. He is not. He is a solid QB who can stand up and play, but will need a couple of years to learn. He is not Jimmy G., nor is he Carson Wentz.
8. Mike White, Western Kentucky
His numbers really fell off the board last season when a coaching change took place. He has a shot as a backup, but right now, that's all there is to him.
9. Luke Falk, Washington State
Injury prone, thin, and a system QB in college, he will have to unlearn all he has learned and be rebuilt to have a shot on the next level.
10. Riley Ferguson, Memphis
Ferguson has a solid arm, and knows how to win big games, but he is undersized, comes from a system, and has some fundamental work to do before he can be taken seriously.
Click here for full profiles and breakdowns of each prospect here: http://bilosports.blogspot.com/p/power-rated-sports-premium-subscription.html
Next: Top 10 RBs
1. Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma
Most folks have Darnold at number one, but Mayfield, in my opinion, is the best available QB in this class, and is the most well rounded.
2. Sam Darnold, USC
Had Darnold had the kind of 2017 season most of us expected of him, he would have been number one. He is still the best big play QB available, even if he lost confidence at some point last season.
3. Josh Rosen, UCLA
Rosen has some major skills, and some major turnover flaws and a hero complex. He is as divisive as they get, and I see him as a mid-level NFL starter.
4. Josh Allen, Wyoming
He is a ton of hype, but is nowhere near ready to be an impact starter in the NFL this year, or maybe next. Flaws are everywhere in his game.
5. Lamar Jackson, Louisville
The most athletic QB in the class also has the most when it comes to issues as a passing QB as a pro. He has to be rebuilt from a fundamental angle. He will need at least two years to develop before playing.
6. Mason Rudolph, Oklahoma State
He is rising up the charts, but rumors of him going in the first round make me nervous. He has a ton of work to do before he sees action, and he has to get out of the system mindset.
7. Kyle Lauletta, Richmond
Many people see him as being this year's Jimmy G. He is not. He is a solid QB who can stand up and play, but will need a couple of years to learn. He is not Jimmy G., nor is he Carson Wentz.
8. Mike White, Western Kentucky
His numbers really fell off the board last season when a coaching change took place. He has a shot as a backup, but right now, that's all there is to him.
9. Luke Falk, Washington State
Injury prone, thin, and a system QB in college, he will have to unlearn all he has learned and be rebuilt to have a shot on the next level.
10. Riley Ferguson, Memphis
Ferguson has a solid arm, and knows how to win big games, but he is undersized, comes from a system, and has some fundamental work to do before he can be taken seriously.
Click here for full profiles and breakdowns of each prospect here: http://bilosports.blogspot.com/p/power-rated-sports-premium-subscription.html
Next: Top 10 RBs
2018 NFL Draft Round One Mock
While I am not normally a fan of mock drafts, simply because there are so many fluid situations leading into and on draft day itself. I will attempt to give you the best insight I have on the draft next week, based on the information that I have now, one week out. Here we go...
1. Browns: QB Sam Darnold, USC
During and after his pro day, it was fairly apparent that owner Jimmy Haslem had completely zeroed on on Darnold, as he attended the pro day personally, and spent a good deal of that day with Darnold and his parents. It would not surprise me to see that a deal has already been worked out, and is just short of a signature on the line. This fits an absolute need for the Browns, and pretty much falls in line with everything I have been told.
My Take On the Pick: I am sold that this is probably the right thing to do for the Browns, and allows Darnold to be an all-in starter in 2019 after playing behind Tyrod Taylor for all of, or most of 2018.
2. Giants: RB Saquon Barkley, Penn State
Now that the Giants have gone all-in with Eli Manning again, QB is much less a pressing need than it may have been last year. Davis Webb is not the answer for the Giants, but with Manning fully back in the saddle, that is not as much an issue. Now you have to give Manning some weapons to play with, and the best overall graded prospect in the draft happens to be a RB with a ton of versatility.
My Take: Barkley is the top graded prospect in this draft, by far, and gives the Giants a major weapon in both the run and pass game. Barkley fits the bill, even if he does not fit the want of the fan base.
3. Jets: QB Josh Rosen, UCLA
I still do not believe that Rosen will be anything more than a mid-level QB in the NFL, as his game is full of flaws as much as it s filled with hyperbole that the sports media conglomerate wants to throw at him. I just cannot see the Jets waiting to see him fall to the Bills, or even the Patriots with all the rumors swirling of them trading up (which I still do not see them doing). Rosen fits a listed team need, but with their free agent signings, the need does not seem as dire. I can also see the Jets drafting Bradley Chubb here as well, but it seems that the percentages are higher in the direction of Rosen.
My Take: I don't love the pick, personally, but could see the rationale of them going that way regardless. The Jets could also go another way and build their defense with Tremaine Edmunds here, but I see Rosen as too much of a carrot to dangle.
4. Browns: OG Quentin Nelson
With Joe Thomas retiring, the Browns have a need to replace some tenaciousness on the line, and Nelson brings all of that. He is the second highest graded prospect in this draft, and everything on film looks as advertised. The best offensive lineman of the draft goes to the team with probably the worst line in the league.
My Take: Nelson starts to repair the issues that the Browns have not been able to get over in a long time, and that is bad line play. With Darnold and Nelson in play, the Browns could be building an offense that can start to play with anyone over the next few seasons. Do not be shocked, as a plan B, if the Browns trade this pick down, but I do not see that being a priority right now.
5. Broncos: QB Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma
The QB spot is not listed as an absolute team need after the signing of Case Keenum, but you have to prepare yourself for the issue of Keenum having been a one year wonder with the Vikings last season. Mayfield would be listed as the QB of the future while developing behind Keenum until needed. This pick makes exceptional sense, especially if Nelson and Barkley are already off the board at this point.
My Take: I see Mayfield as the best QB in this class, even if he gets taken behind Rosen and Darnold. Having Keenum hold the reins until Mayfield is ready is the perfect solution to issues that the position has had in Denver for far too long.
6. Colts: DE Bradley Chubb, NC State
The Colts have a ton of options at this spot, because almost all of their need positions and players could still be on the board when they get up to make their pick. Chubb is the best defensive lineman in this draft, and fits a major need for a team that has been starved of edge rush ability.
My Take: Chubb would be a perfect fit for this spot for the Colts, but if Roquan Smith were there, he could fit as well. As could Courtland Sutton or Calvin Ridley at WR, if you wanted to bolster the offense instead. It's a perfect spot for the Colts to be in.
7. Buccaneers: S Derwin James, Florida State
The Bucs added JPP from the Giants to remedy need at the DE position, and Brent Grimes returns at CB for another year. With those needs addressed, Safety became the primary position of need to be filled early, and one of the best defenders in the draft happens to be sitting in prime position for the Bucs.
My Take: James makes perfect sense for the Bucs at this spot, because they should know him well, as he won't have far to travel to report. James fits a primary need, is one of the best graded prospects in this draft, and can flat out play the game.
8. Bears: ILB Tremaine Edmunds, Virginia Tech
The Bears have need on the defensive side of the football, with three of four primary needs coming on that side of the football. Edmunds is the highest graded remaining player left on the board here, so drafting him should make plenty of sense.
My Take: The Bears could go either LB or CB here, and if they do no have access to Edmunds, they go with Denzel Ward of Ohio State, as Derwin James won't slide this far. If Edmunds is there, they have to go with him over Roquan Smith, as Edmunds has more value as far as versatility goes.
9. 49ers: WR Calvin Ridley, Alabama
The Niners have talked about trading up, but if they stay where they are, some interesting options could flow down to them. If the Colts do not move on Ridley, he falls to the Niners in almost every simulation we look at.
My Take: Kyle Shanahan will want to add some toys for his new QB Jimmy G. Ridley is the perfect addition if he falls to them here. If Ridley does not fall, Mnkah Fitzpatrick is sitting there to help the defense. No real need to move around for the Niners.
10. Raiders: LB Roquan Smith, Georgia
The Raiders will love the play of Smith to pair with Khalil Mack at LB. Smith was one of the more productive players at LB in college football last season, and his intensity would be a perfect fit.
My Take: Smith is probably my overall favorite LB in this class, even more so than Edmunds. Bringing his game to the middle of the defense makes every bit of sense and fit. If they cannot get him here, they could go with Vita Vea at DT to shore up the middle of the D line.
11. Dolphins: DT Da'Ron Payne, Alabama
Miami certainly has needs on offense, but the immediate need is on the defensive side of the football, and with Suh gone to the Rams, filling his immense hole will fall to the best prospect on the board that fits, and that would be Payne.
My Take: A few things could happen here. The Dolphins, being ever unpredictable by way of general incompetence, could stick with the plan of rebuilding their defense with Payne, Vea Vita, or Minkah Fitzpatrick, or they could go another way and take Denzel Ward, or draft a QB in Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson. This is a wide open situation.
12. Bills: QB Josh Allen, Wyoming
The Bills desperately want to move up and grab Josh Rosen early, but I really don't see anyone acting as an interested trading partner to make that happen. Allen is not the answer right now, and would almost have to be if AJ McCarron is not the right fit or answer, and that is possible.
My Take: The Bills have almost forced themselves into a corner with needing to take a QB here, because they have such little overall ability at the position right now. They would probably be OK with taking Minkah Fitzpatrick here, but, the fan base will erupt if they don't get one of the sought after QBs in this draft.
13. Redskins: DT Vita Vea, Washington
The Redskins could use the versatility and intensity of a new DT for their defensive front, and Vita Vea is that guy for this spot. He is the best remaining DL prospect on the boards at this point of the mock, and he fits a primary listed need perfectly. He gives the Skins the needed push from the interior line, and could line up as a mismatch on the outside as well.
My Take: Washington needs help on both sides of the football, but with Alex Smith and Kevin Hogan on the roster, QB can hold off for a round or two. If they go LB, Leighton Vander Esch could be a solid pick here, or if they address CB, Denzel Ward could still be available.
14. Packers: CB Denzel Ward, Ohio State
Despite drafting Kevin King a year ago, the CB spot is still problematic for the Packers, and if you want the highest graded prospect on the board at this spot, he is it. You have two rather dynamic, young corners if they make this move, and will have them for the long term as well.
My Take: Again, the Packers would do well to stay put at 14 as they should have a small buffet of picks to choose from. If they wanted to go in another direction, Minkah Fitzpatrick fits this need as well, and I could see him as a Packer as well. If they go pass rush help, Harold Landry of Boston College fits here. Courtland Sutton could provide them receiver help immediately, and Mike McGlinchey would fit as well, but would be more of a reach for help at RT.
15. Cardinals: CB/S Minkah Fitzpatrick, Alabama
If Derwin James is my favorite DB in the draft, Fitzpatrick fits right behind him. They Cardinals need a QB, but anyone who is left would be a reach here, and Lamar Jackson does not fit the style of play. They need a replacement for the eventual retirement of Larry Fitzgerald, but that is not a first round need. With Tyronn Matthieu gone, this is the biggest need they have, and Fitzgerald gives you help at either Corner or Safety. He is the answer.
My Take: Fitzpatrick, if he falls this far, would be the perfect solution to a large problem in pass defense for the Cardinals. They can find a replacement for Bradford at QB and Fitzgerald at WR later, and there should be plenty of O line help to be found in rounds two and three as well.
16. Ravens: LB Leighton Vander Esch
The Ravens have shored up some immediate need by signing RG3 as a backup to Flacco at QB, and have also signed WR Michael Crabtree as another weapon in the passing game, which was much needed. Look for the Ravens to address those areas later in the draft as well. The highest rated need filler for the Ravens left on our mock board here is the wonderfully talented LB from Boise State, who was one of the most productive defensive players in the nation in 2017, and fits an immediate need.
My Take: The Ravens can look for line, QB, and WR help later on and still make out well. Vander Esch should be available here, and they need a play maker like him to bring some fear back into opponents from that side of the field. I can only imagine Vander Esch working out and getting some help from retired legend Ray Lewis. That would be something to see.
17. Chargers: DT Taven Bryan, Florida
With Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram set on the edge, the Chargers need more help in the middle of their line, and they could get an athletic and fierce animal in Bryan here in this spot. He may still be a bit of a work in progress, but he could be a star in the coming years, and could be a key piece in what could be one of the best D lines in the league down the road.
My Take: The Chargers are in a situation that this player has to fall into position here, because based on other primary needs listed, and Bryan being gone, they would have to trade down or make a long reach to get another player that fits their needs at this spot. They could get Rashaan Evans to help at LB, but addressing the middle of their line makes more sense, and they can address other listed needs later on.
18. Seahawks: DE/OLB Harold Landry, Boston College
When Michael Bennett was traded, there were no immediate answers to replace him with. The Seahawks have several areas of extreme need, but the player who falls here, and fits a major need best, is one of the best pass rushing players in this class, and that is Landry.
My Take: Landry fills the most major hole on defense for the Seahawks, but they have more needs that are immediate than many other teams in the league, and with the current roster, I don't see hoow they are a playoff team. Landry helps that cause on defense, but there are needs in the secondary, on the line, and at TE as well.
19. Cowboys: WR Courtland Sutton, SMU
This would be a major reach pick here, but after dumping Dez Bryant, I don't see where a choice to be made is. They have to address their need here, even if Sutton is rated as the 42nd best prospect. Antonio Callaway gets a higher overall grade based on game skills, but he has a ton of red flags that most would be smart to avoid.
My Take: Like the Bills, the Cowboys have pigeon holed themselves here after dumping Bryant with no clear answer as a replacement. Sutton fits the bill, is a hometown guy out of SMU, and pretty much gives a weapon to Dak Prescott that he can actually work with on and off the field. That was not a part of the Bryant/Prescott relationship, and was a major reason that Bryant got dumped.
20. Lions: Marcus Davenport, UTSA
People are all over the place on this prospect, but at the end of the day, Davenport fits a major need for the Lions, as they need big time help off the edge, and Davenport clearly fills that role.
My Take: If they decide to improve play on the line, look for UTEP OG Will Hernandez, or Georgia's Isaiah Wynn as options, or they could go with Derrius Guice or Ronald Jones at RB. All fit need, and all could fit decently at this pick.
21. Bengals: OG Will Hernandez, UTEP
If Hernandez does not go to the Lions, he could absolutely fall to the Bengals, and is the second best guard prospect after Nelson. You may not have heard much about him in college, but he is a rock solid pick for a team that needs interior blocking after averaging just 3.6 yards per carry last season.
My Take: I do not hesitate on this pick. Hernandez is a monster home run for the Bengals if they can get him, and he will likely be a star on the line for years to come. This would be a pick that should be celebrated.
22. Bills: OG/C Isaiah Wynn, Georgia
Cordy Glenn and Eric Wood are both gone, and now that they would have grabbed their QB of the future, building the line becomes a major need. Wynn has talent to play at any spot on the line, but fits best at Guard for now, and could be a starter for years.
My Take: Again, the Bills absolutely have to make this happen. If they can somehow get Hernandez, even better, but line is need based on letting guys go with no clear answers as replacements.
23. Patriots: S Justin Reid, Stanford
The Patriots are highly unlikely to trade their two first round picks, because they just don't do that. They will wait for the right fit, and they were exposed in the secondary against the Eagles in the Super Bowl. Reid will try to fit in and bolster a secondary that is full of holes.
My Take: Yes, the Pats will go QB at some point, but they have to fill immediate need, and that secondary was garbage last season. Reid is a solid fit here, and will help bolster a weak position.
24. Panthers: CB Jaire Alexander, Louisville
The Panthers get a need in the secondary in Alexander, but they could also go with any number of Corners that fall right around his same draft grade. Alexander is a solid fit here, as the Panthers try to bolster their pass defense.
My Take: The Panthers really need a receiver, but there is no value in taking any of the receivers that are left this high in the process. There are no Safeties on the board graded this highly, either, so that takes that option away. CB, in this spot, clearly makes the most sense.
25. Titans: DT Maurice Hurst, Michigan
While the Titans would love to find a play maker at WR here, there is not one to be had that fits the draft spot. They have need for depth on the line, and Hurst has value for the Titans in this spot, and is a player who could have immediate impact for them now.
My Take: Do the Titans stay put and draft Hurst, who fits an absolute need, do they reach, or do they trade the pick? There as many questions as answers here, but Hurst would be a solid get in this spot, and fits a need in a big way with a big time player.
26. Falcons: TE Mike Gesicki, Penn State
The Falcons have talked about adding more play making weapons in this draft to help Matt Ryan and Julio Jones become more effective, and Gesicki fits the mold of a play making, pass catching TE that can be a major force on offense. He fits what they are looking for here.
My Take: Gesicki is one of the premier pass catching TEs in a draft close with several to offer. He adds a whole new dimension to the Falcon offense, and looks like a perfect fit at this point in the first round for this team and their needs.
27. Saints: OLB Rashaan Evans, Alabama
The organization has made no secret of the need to improve their edge rush game, and Evans fits the bill at OLB for the Saints. He is the highest rated player left on the board at this point, fits what they absolutely need, and has the resume to help this team right now.
My Take: I struggled with this pick for the Saints, because they have a few bigger needs, but in the end, Evans fit the best for value, and fits a need that Payton has been getting on about publicly. If they go offense, look for Dallas Goedert, the TE out of South Dakota State to be a major player available here. They could also see an opportunity and make a play for Lamar Jackson as a developmental pick.
28. Steelers: RB Derrius Guice, LSU
With the Le'Veon Bell drama ongoing, it would be wise to draft Guice and send a message that the Steelers will not bow down. They could then work on a contract with leverage behind them, and have an heir apparent down the line to work with.
My Take: The Steelers would consider Evans if the Saints pass up on him, but they have needs at ILB and S, and the value is not here with this pick. They could go Safety as well, where Jesse Bates could make sense. WR is also a need, but again, I question value.
29. Jaguars: OT Mike McGlinchey, Notre Dame
The Jags have a serious load of needs for this draft, but the highest value comes at RT in McGlinchey. He is most comfortable playing at that spot, and can be dominant from that position, and the need is absolutely there.
My Take: There are so many directions that they can take here. They could look at Lamar Jackson, they could look at Darius Leonard at OLB, they could trade out. So many things make sense here, but again, we look at value and need, and this fits both.
30. Vikings: OT Kolton Miller, UCLA
After signing Kirk Cousins to a massive pay day, they now have to protect him. The best available lineman available that fits that need is Miller.
My Take: Miller continues to rise in the eyes of personnel people, but I am not sure that I see it. That said, they could also go with Connor Williams of Texas at OG, who grades out just about the same. Don't be surprised if they stick close to home and give Cousins another weapon in Dallas Goedert of South Dakota State as well.
31. Patriots: QB Lamar Jackson, Louisville
I have heard several things, but most of it media driven on which QB could go in this spot, and I just believe that taking Mason Rudolph here would be a waste of an early pick. You need someone who fits the need, and with Rudolph receiving a third round grade, that would be an immense reach, and the Patriots are not stupid.
My Take: Jackson will get time to learn behind Brady, who, going against reports of this week, is not going anywhere. Maybe he can develop into something special, maybe not, but we will have time to find out if he lands with New England, which would be a perfect landing spot for him.
32. Eagles: TE Dallas Goedert, South Dakota State
He is a big time receiving threat, and hey, the FCS thing has worked out well for the Eagles as of late. He gives Carson Wentz or Nick Foles another upgraded play maker who can score.
My Take: I love Goedert, and he fits a need, but don't be shocked if the Eagles go with another FCS player to take care of a major need at LB in Darius Leonard of South Carolina State here.
1. Browns: QB Sam Darnold, USC
During and after his pro day, it was fairly apparent that owner Jimmy Haslem had completely zeroed on on Darnold, as he attended the pro day personally, and spent a good deal of that day with Darnold and his parents. It would not surprise me to see that a deal has already been worked out, and is just short of a signature on the line. This fits an absolute need for the Browns, and pretty much falls in line with everything I have been told.
My Take On the Pick: I am sold that this is probably the right thing to do for the Browns, and allows Darnold to be an all-in starter in 2019 after playing behind Tyrod Taylor for all of, or most of 2018.
2. Giants: RB Saquon Barkley, Penn State
Now that the Giants have gone all-in with Eli Manning again, QB is much less a pressing need than it may have been last year. Davis Webb is not the answer for the Giants, but with Manning fully back in the saddle, that is not as much an issue. Now you have to give Manning some weapons to play with, and the best overall graded prospect in the draft happens to be a RB with a ton of versatility.
My Take: Barkley is the top graded prospect in this draft, by far, and gives the Giants a major weapon in both the run and pass game. Barkley fits the bill, even if he does not fit the want of the fan base.
3. Jets: QB Josh Rosen, UCLA
I still do not believe that Rosen will be anything more than a mid-level QB in the NFL, as his game is full of flaws as much as it s filled with hyperbole that the sports media conglomerate wants to throw at him. I just cannot see the Jets waiting to see him fall to the Bills, or even the Patriots with all the rumors swirling of them trading up (which I still do not see them doing). Rosen fits a listed team need, but with their free agent signings, the need does not seem as dire. I can also see the Jets drafting Bradley Chubb here as well, but it seems that the percentages are higher in the direction of Rosen.
My Take: I don't love the pick, personally, but could see the rationale of them going that way regardless. The Jets could also go another way and build their defense with Tremaine Edmunds here, but I see Rosen as too much of a carrot to dangle.
4. Browns: OG Quentin Nelson
With Joe Thomas retiring, the Browns have a need to replace some tenaciousness on the line, and Nelson brings all of that. He is the second highest graded prospect in this draft, and everything on film looks as advertised. The best offensive lineman of the draft goes to the team with probably the worst line in the league.
My Take: Nelson starts to repair the issues that the Browns have not been able to get over in a long time, and that is bad line play. With Darnold and Nelson in play, the Browns could be building an offense that can start to play with anyone over the next few seasons. Do not be shocked, as a plan B, if the Browns trade this pick down, but I do not see that being a priority right now.
5. Broncos: QB Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma
The QB spot is not listed as an absolute team need after the signing of Case Keenum, but you have to prepare yourself for the issue of Keenum having been a one year wonder with the Vikings last season. Mayfield would be listed as the QB of the future while developing behind Keenum until needed. This pick makes exceptional sense, especially if Nelson and Barkley are already off the board at this point.
My Take: I see Mayfield as the best QB in this class, even if he gets taken behind Rosen and Darnold. Having Keenum hold the reins until Mayfield is ready is the perfect solution to issues that the position has had in Denver for far too long.
6. Colts: DE Bradley Chubb, NC State
The Colts have a ton of options at this spot, because almost all of their need positions and players could still be on the board when they get up to make their pick. Chubb is the best defensive lineman in this draft, and fits a major need for a team that has been starved of edge rush ability.
My Take: Chubb would be a perfect fit for this spot for the Colts, but if Roquan Smith were there, he could fit as well. As could Courtland Sutton or Calvin Ridley at WR, if you wanted to bolster the offense instead. It's a perfect spot for the Colts to be in.
7. Buccaneers: S Derwin James, Florida State
The Bucs added JPP from the Giants to remedy need at the DE position, and Brent Grimes returns at CB for another year. With those needs addressed, Safety became the primary position of need to be filled early, and one of the best defenders in the draft happens to be sitting in prime position for the Bucs.
My Take: James makes perfect sense for the Bucs at this spot, because they should know him well, as he won't have far to travel to report. James fits a primary need, is one of the best graded prospects in this draft, and can flat out play the game.
8. Bears: ILB Tremaine Edmunds, Virginia Tech
The Bears have need on the defensive side of the football, with three of four primary needs coming on that side of the football. Edmunds is the highest graded remaining player left on the board here, so drafting him should make plenty of sense.
My Take: The Bears could go either LB or CB here, and if they do no have access to Edmunds, they go with Denzel Ward of Ohio State, as Derwin James won't slide this far. If Edmunds is there, they have to go with him over Roquan Smith, as Edmunds has more value as far as versatility goes.
9. 49ers: WR Calvin Ridley, Alabama
The Niners have talked about trading up, but if they stay where they are, some interesting options could flow down to them. If the Colts do not move on Ridley, he falls to the Niners in almost every simulation we look at.
My Take: Kyle Shanahan will want to add some toys for his new QB Jimmy G. Ridley is the perfect addition if he falls to them here. If Ridley does not fall, Mnkah Fitzpatrick is sitting there to help the defense. No real need to move around for the Niners.
10. Raiders: LB Roquan Smith, Georgia
The Raiders will love the play of Smith to pair with Khalil Mack at LB. Smith was one of the more productive players at LB in college football last season, and his intensity would be a perfect fit.
My Take: Smith is probably my overall favorite LB in this class, even more so than Edmunds. Bringing his game to the middle of the defense makes every bit of sense and fit. If they cannot get him here, they could go with Vita Vea at DT to shore up the middle of the D line.
11. Dolphins: DT Da'Ron Payne, Alabama
Miami certainly has needs on offense, but the immediate need is on the defensive side of the football, and with Suh gone to the Rams, filling his immense hole will fall to the best prospect on the board that fits, and that would be Payne.
My Take: A few things could happen here. The Dolphins, being ever unpredictable by way of general incompetence, could stick with the plan of rebuilding their defense with Payne, Vea Vita, or Minkah Fitzpatrick, or they could go another way and take Denzel Ward, or draft a QB in Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson. This is a wide open situation.
12. Bills: QB Josh Allen, Wyoming
The Bills desperately want to move up and grab Josh Rosen early, but I really don't see anyone acting as an interested trading partner to make that happen. Allen is not the answer right now, and would almost have to be if AJ McCarron is not the right fit or answer, and that is possible.
My Take: The Bills have almost forced themselves into a corner with needing to take a QB here, because they have such little overall ability at the position right now. They would probably be OK with taking Minkah Fitzpatrick here, but, the fan base will erupt if they don't get one of the sought after QBs in this draft.
13. Redskins: DT Vita Vea, Washington
The Redskins could use the versatility and intensity of a new DT for their defensive front, and Vita Vea is that guy for this spot. He is the best remaining DL prospect on the boards at this point of the mock, and he fits a primary listed need perfectly. He gives the Skins the needed push from the interior line, and could line up as a mismatch on the outside as well.
My Take: Washington needs help on both sides of the football, but with Alex Smith and Kevin Hogan on the roster, QB can hold off for a round or two. If they go LB, Leighton Vander Esch could be a solid pick here, or if they address CB, Denzel Ward could still be available.
14. Packers: CB Denzel Ward, Ohio State
Despite drafting Kevin King a year ago, the CB spot is still problematic for the Packers, and if you want the highest graded prospect on the board at this spot, he is it. You have two rather dynamic, young corners if they make this move, and will have them for the long term as well.
My Take: Again, the Packers would do well to stay put at 14 as they should have a small buffet of picks to choose from. If they wanted to go in another direction, Minkah Fitzpatrick fits this need as well, and I could see him as a Packer as well. If they go pass rush help, Harold Landry of Boston College fits here. Courtland Sutton could provide them receiver help immediately, and Mike McGlinchey would fit as well, but would be more of a reach for help at RT.
15. Cardinals: CB/S Minkah Fitzpatrick, Alabama
If Derwin James is my favorite DB in the draft, Fitzpatrick fits right behind him. They Cardinals need a QB, but anyone who is left would be a reach here, and Lamar Jackson does not fit the style of play. They need a replacement for the eventual retirement of Larry Fitzgerald, but that is not a first round need. With Tyronn Matthieu gone, this is the biggest need they have, and Fitzgerald gives you help at either Corner or Safety. He is the answer.
My Take: Fitzpatrick, if he falls this far, would be the perfect solution to a large problem in pass defense for the Cardinals. They can find a replacement for Bradford at QB and Fitzgerald at WR later, and there should be plenty of O line help to be found in rounds two and three as well.
16. Ravens: LB Leighton Vander Esch
The Ravens have shored up some immediate need by signing RG3 as a backup to Flacco at QB, and have also signed WR Michael Crabtree as another weapon in the passing game, which was much needed. Look for the Ravens to address those areas later in the draft as well. The highest rated need filler for the Ravens left on our mock board here is the wonderfully talented LB from Boise State, who was one of the most productive defensive players in the nation in 2017, and fits an immediate need.
My Take: The Ravens can look for line, QB, and WR help later on and still make out well. Vander Esch should be available here, and they need a play maker like him to bring some fear back into opponents from that side of the field. I can only imagine Vander Esch working out and getting some help from retired legend Ray Lewis. That would be something to see.
17. Chargers: DT Taven Bryan, Florida
With Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram set on the edge, the Chargers need more help in the middle of their line, and they could get an athletic and fierce animal in Bryan here in this spot. He may still be a bit of a work in progress, but he could be a star in the coming years, and could be a key piece in what could be one of the best D lines in the league down the road.
My Take: The Chargers are in a situation that this player has to fall into position here, because based on other primary needs listed, and Bryan being gone, they would have to trade down or make a long reach to get another player that fits their needs at this spot. They could get Rashaan Evans to help at LB, but addressing the middle of their line makes more sense, and they can address other listed needs later on.
18. Seahawks: DE/OLB Harold Landry, Boston College
When Michael Bennett was traded, there were no immediate answers to replace him with. The Seahawks have several areas of extreme need, but the player who falls here, and fits a major need best, is one of the best pass rushing players in this class, and that is Landry.
My Take: Landry fills the most major hole on defense for the Seahawks, but they have more needs that are immediate than many other teams in the league, and with the current roster, I don't see hoow they are a playoff team. Landry helps that cause on defense, but there are needs in the secondary, on the line, and at TE as well.
19. Cowboys: WR Courtland Sutton, SMU
This would be a major reach pick here, but after dumping Dez Bryant, I don't see where a choice to be made is. They have to address their need here, even if Sutton is rated as the 42nd best prospect. Antonio Callaway gets a higher overall grade based on game skills, but he has a ton of red flags that most would be smart to avoid.
My Take: Like the Bills, the Cowboys have pigeon holed themselves here after dumping Bryant with no clear answer as a replacement. Sutton fits the bill, is a hometown guy out of SMU, and pretty much gives a weapon to Dak Prescott that he can actually work with on and off the field. That was not a part of the Bryant/Prescott relationship, and was a major reason that Bryant got dumped.
20. Lions: Marcus Davenport, UTSA
People are all over the place on this prospect, but at the end of the day, Davenport fits a major need for the Lions, as they need big time help off the edge, and Davenport clearly fills that role.
My Take: If they decide to improve play on the line, look for UTEP OG Will Hernandez, or Georgia's Isaiah Wynn as options, or they could go with Derrius Guice or Ronald Jones at RB. All fit need, and all could fit decently at this pick.
21. Bengals: OG Will Hernandez, UTEP
If Hernandez does not go to the Lions, he could absolutely fall to the Bengals, and is the second best guard prospect after Nelson. You may not have heard much about him in college, but he is a rock solid pick for a team that needs interior blocking after averaging just 3.6 yards per carry last season.
My Take: I do not hesitate on this pick. Hernandez is a monster home run for the Bengals if they can get him, and he will likely be a star on the line for years to come. This would be a pick that should be celebrated.
22. Bills: OG/C Isaiah Wynn, Georgia
Cordy Glenn and Eric Wood are both gone, and now that they would have grabbed their QB of the future, building the line becomes a major need. Wynn has talent to play at any spot on the line, but fits best at Guard for now, and could be a starter for years.
My Take: Again, the Bills absolutely have to make this happen. If they can somehow get Hernandez, even better, but line is need based on letting guys go with no clear answers as replacements.
23. Patriots: S Justin Reid, Stanford
The Patriots are highly unlikely to trade their two first round picks, because they just don't do that. They will wait for the right fit, and they were exposed in the secondary against the Eagles in the Super Bowl. Reid will try to fit in and bolster a secondary that is full of holes.
My Take: Yes, the Pats will go QB at some point, but they have to fill immediate need, and that secondary was garbage last season. Reid is a solid fit here, and will help bolster a weak position.
24. Panthers: CB Jaire Alexander, Louisville
The Panthers get a need in the secondary in Alexander, but they could also go with any number of Corners that fall right around his same draft grade. Alexander is a solid fit here, as the Panthers try to bolster their pass defense.
My Take: The Panthers really need a receiver, but there is no value in taking any of the receivers that are left this high in the process. There are no Safeties on the board graded this highly, either, so that takes that option away. CB, in this spot, clearly makes the most sense.
25. Titans: DT Maurice Hurst, Michigan
While the Titans would love to find a play maker at WR here, there is not one to be had that fits the draft spot. They have need for depth on the line, and Hurst has value for the Titans in this spot, and is a player who could have immediate impact for them now.
My Take: Do the Titans stay put and draft Hurst, who fits an absolute need, do they reach, or do they trade the pick? There as many questions as answers here, but Hurst would be a solid get in this spot, and fits a need in a big way with a big time player.
26. Falcons: TE Mike Gesicki, Penn State
The Falcons have talked about adding more play making weapons in this draft to help Matt Ryan and Julio Jones become more effective, and Gesicki fits the mold of a play making, pass catching TE that can be a major force on offense. He fits what they are looking for here.
My Take: Gesicki is one of the premier pass catching TEs in a draft close with several to offer. He adds a whole new dimension to the Falcon offense, and looks like a perfect fit at this point in the first round for this team and their needs.
27. Saints: OLB Rashaan Evans, Alabama
The organization has made no secret of the need to improve their edge rush game, and Evans fits the bill at OLB for the Saints. He is the highest rated player left on the board at this point, fits what they absolutely need, and has the resume to help this team right now.
My Take: I struggled with this pick for the Saints, because they have a few bigger needs, but in the end, Evans fit the best for value, and fits a need that Payton has been getting on about publicly. If they go offense, look for Dallas Goedert, the TE out of South Dakota State to be a major player available here. They could also see an opportunity and make a play for Lamar Jackson as a developmental pick.
28. Steelers: RB Derrius Guice, LSU
With the Le'Veon Bell drama ongoing, it would be wise to draft Guice and send a message that the Steelers will not bow down. They could then work on a contract with leverage behind them, and have an heir apparent down the line to work with.
My Take: The Steelers would consider Evans if the Saints pass up on him, but they have needs at ILB and S, and the value is not here with this pick. They could go Safety as well, where Jesse Bates could make sense. WR is also a need, but again, I question value.
29. Jaguars: OT Mike McGlinchey, Notre Dame
The Jags have a serious load of needs for this draft, but the highest value comes at RT in McGlinchey. He is most comfortable playing at that spot, and can be dominant from that position, and the need is absolutely there.
My Take: There are so many directions that they can take here. They could look at Lamar Jackson, they could look at Darius Leonard at OLB, they could trade out. So many things make sense here, but again, we look at value and need, and this fits both.
30. Vikings: OT Kolton Miller, UCLA
After signing Kirk Cousins to a massive pay day, they now have to protect him. The best available lineman available that fits that need is Miller.
My Take: Miller continues to rise in the eyes of personnel people, but I am not sure that I see it. That said, they could also go with Connor Williams of Texas at OG, who grades out just about the same. Don't be surprised if they stick close to home and give Cousins another weapon in Dallas Goedert of South Dakota State as well.
31. Patriots: QB Lamar Jackson, Louisville
I have heard several things, but most of it media driven on which QB could go in this spot, and I just believe that taking Mason Rudolph here would be a waste of an early pick. You need someone who fits the need, and with Rudolph receiving a third round grade, that would be an immense reach, and the Patriots are not stupid.
My Take: Jackson will get time to learn behind Brady, who, going against reports of this week, is not going anywhere. Maybe he can develop into something special, maybe not, but we will have time to find out if he lands with New England, which would be a perfect landing spot for him.
32. Eagles: TE Dallas Goedert, South Dakota State
He is a big time receiving threat, and hey, the FCS thing has worked out well for the Eagles as of late. He gives Carson Wentz or Nick Foles another upgraded play maker who can score.
My Take: I love Goedert, and he fits a need, but don't be shocked if the Eagles go with another FCS player to take care of a major need at LB in Darius Leonard of South Carolina State here.
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