Oklahoma Sooners (11-1, 8-1) vs. TCU Horned Frogs (10-2, 7-2)
Oklahoma Wins If: Baker Mayfield Does His Thing
Mayfield averages over 341 yards passing per game and has tossed 37 TDs to just five picks all year long. In their 38-20 win over the Frogs this season, Mayfield passed for 333 yards and three scores, with no INTs. Marquis Brown, Mark Andrews, and CeeDee Lamb will all get plenty of opportunities to catch the football, because you cannot double up all of them.
Oklahoma Wins If: They Play Defensively More to What They Did In the Earlier Win
Oklahoma beat TCU 38-20, but does allow over 25 points per game on average. If the Sooner can frustrate the Frogs and QB Kenny Hill early enough, and keep TCU from scoring a bunch of first half points, the Sooners should easily win this football game.
TCU Wins If: Kenny Hill Has the Game of His Life
Hill has not thrown a pick since 10/28 in a loss to Iowa State. He has to keep on that track if the Frogs are to have a shot tomorrow in this game. Look for Oklahoma to try to bottle up the edges and keep Hill in the pocket where he will have to make throws against an opportune play making secondary. Hill completed just 46% of his passes in the earlier loss to Oklahoma, and if that happens again, it will be another long day.
TCU Wins If: They Keep Mayfield From Tossing More Than Two Scoring Passes
Mayfield is at his best when he is hitting strikes in the end zone and helping OU run away with the win. When the Sooners get trapped into having to move the ball on the ground, they slow up and that does not fit their personnel. On the season, TCU allows just over 15 points per game, and they will have to do what they did to get there this time around, but that is a huge task.
Key Players Oklahoma Offense: QB Baker Mayfield, WR Marquis Brown, WR CeeDee Lamb, TE Mark Andrews, RB Rodney Anderson
Key Players Oklahoma Defense: LB Emmanuel Beal, DE Ogbonnia Okoronkwo, DB Parnell Motley, DB Tre Norwood
Key Players TCU Offense: QB Kenny Hill, RB Darius Anderson, Rb Siwo Olonilua, WR John Diarse, WR Jalon Reager
Key Players TCU Defense: LB Travin Howard (Missed last 2 games), DL Ben Bonogu, DL Mat Boesen, DB Ranthony Texada, DB Jeff Gladney
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