Troy Trojans 2018 Football Preview
Opening Statement: The good news is that Neal Brown returns as head coach, as he is coming off an 11-2 season and a 1st place finish in the Sun Belt standings. He was one of the best G5 coaches in the nation not pilfered by a larger school, and frankly I am shocked that he remains at Troy. The bad news is that he has to return to coach a team without his best weapons on offense in Brandon Silvers and Jordan Chunn, and returns just 2 skill set players from last season. With a ton of holes on both sides of the football to worry about in August, the time has come to test the mettle of Brown's overall recruiting abilities and see if he is building a foundation, or was maybe just a flash in the pan.
Breakdown Offense: It's time for Kaleb Barker to step up and shine at QB for Troy. He completed 8/13 passes last season as the understudy to Silvers, and his time is now as a junior. He has completed 11 total passes in 2 years, and he will be asked to, at the very least, be a game manager that does not turn the football over or make game killing mistakes. If he cannot win out in camp, Sawyer Smith gets a shot at the job.
With Chunn gone at RB, the job likely falls to Jamarius Henderson, a junior. He rushed just 45 times as a sophomore, but showed big play ability with an average of 7.89 yards per carry. If he can become a home run threat on the field as a regular, that takes all of the pressure off of the new QB, but if the new QB fails to get things rolling and keep things honest, Henderson could run into a brick wall. JC transfer Kevin Perkins will have his shot at some carries as well, and BJ Smith, a junior, could fill out the group, despite having just 27 carries last season.
Receiver should be a decent spot for the Trojans heading into camp, as 2 starters return in Deondre Douglas and Damion Willis. Douglas caught 48 passes for 628 yards last fall, and averaged 13.08 yards per catch. Willis caught 42 passes for 620 yards and averaged 14.76 yards per catch. They combined for 7 TD receptions. Sidney Davis is expected to step into the 3rd receiver role, but caught just 8 passes in 13 games as a junior. The bad news here is that the Trojans lose 4 of the top 7 pass catchers from a year ago, so there is little depth.
Gabe Hill is the starter at TE, but caught just one pass last season, and is basically a 3rd tackle in this offense.
The Trojans line may be the strength of the offense in 2018, as 4 starters return in Kirk Kelley (LT), Deontas Crumitie (C), Tristan Crowder (RG), and J.I. Gaston (RT). Dylan Bradshaw, a senior, brings program experience to the RG spot. James Peach, a junior, could find himself in the mix for that OG spot as well, but also could bring depth to the interior or at Tackle. Zach Banner and Dylan Bradshaw bring depth at C and G, and should help make this the best line in the Sun Belt this fall.
Breakdown Defense: Vic Koenning's defense was the best in the Sun Belt last fall, and ranked 24th overall nationally in total defense. That said, there are plenty of holes to fill heading into fall camp, especially on the line, where just one starter returns in NG Trevon Sanders. He was good for 5 TFLs last fall, andanchors a defense that ranked 7th nationally last fall against the run. Zo Bridges is penciled in to start at DE, and should blow up this fall after recording 6 TFLs last fall as a rotational end. Marcus Webb is slated to start at DT, and totaled 8.5 TFLs, so even with new names in full time starting spots, the experience and depth remains the same. Antione Barker fills in at both DE and DT and added another 6.5 TFLs last fall.
Hunter Reese is back for his senior season at the BANDIT position, which is a hybrid LB/S spot. He led the team with 14 TFLs last fall, and added 6.5 sacks, and 35 total tackles. Tron Folsom is the returning starter at LB in the 3-3-5 defense, and he led the team with 80 tackles, adding 9 TFLs, 3 PBUs, and 2 QB hurries. AJ Smiley is the penciled in new starter at LB, but he recorded just 10 tackles last fall. Justin Whisenhunt could also be in the mix up against Smiley in camp. Zo Bridges brings a decent backup at BANDIT, while Kevin Nixon brings some depth to the overall LB group.
The secondary returns just 2 of 5 starters this fall in CB Blace Brown and S Cedarius Rookard. Both are seniors. Brown totaled 6 PBUs, and a team leading 5 INTs last fall, and should be a pre-season All-Sun Belt pick. Rookard picked off 2 passes, forced 2 fumbles, and totaled 74 tackles, good for 2nd on the team. Marcus Jones fits into the open CB spot, as he totaled 6 PBUs as a freshman last fall, with 2 INTs. Tyler Murray is the new NB heading into fall camp. He picked off a pass and forced 2 fumbles in 13 games as a freshman last fall. Melvin Tyus is the likely new starter at the open S spot. He played in 13 games as a sophomore last fall. Jawon McDowell is the likely 3rd CB, while Adarius Wesley backs up at Safety.
Breakdown Special Teams: Tyler Sumpter is back and will handle both PK an P this fall after hitting 7/9 FG attempts last season, and averaging 40 yards per punt.
Marcus Jones is one of the best return men in the game, and returned 3 kicks for scores last fall while averaging 30.3 yards per return. He also averaged 9.31 yards per punt.
Final Analysis: The holes on offense are a bit more concerning than most on defense, as the defensive holes could be plugged by experienced players who are now getting a bigger break or role than they had a year ago, and so depth is paying off, with room to spare on that side of the football. Troy should not slip far defensively, and maybe won't at all. Offensively, with both a new QB and RB, and 4 of their top 7 receivers gone, the Trojans will have to get someone to step up in each of these areas in a big way, and that is asking more. The line should be one of the best in the Sun Belt, and they may have to work harder this year than last, when they only allowed 15 sacks on the season. In short, Troy should be good enough once again to be one of the top 3 teams in the conference, but pushing for a repeat conference title may be asking a lot. Still, it's hard to count them out.
Tuesday, July 10, 2018
Monday, July 9, 2018
2018 College Football Team Previews: Toledo Rockets
Toledo Rockets 2018 Football Preview
Opening Statement: Jason Candle has picked right up where Matt Campbell left off with the Rockets, but Candle moved a step ahead when he won the MAC title last season, the first time that has happened since 2004. The Rockets are loaded with talent yet again, but have to find a replacement for one of the best players in school and conference history in QB Logan Woodside, who has moved on to the NFL. Candle and OC Brian Wright have gotten to work on that project, and the end result could determine whether or not the Rockets have enough fuel to soar to another MAC title in 2018.
Breakdown Offense: The QB job is down to junior Mitchell Guadagni or Eli Peters, a sophomore. Guadagni has all of 6 attempted passes to his name, and completed just one of them, and was the 3rd string QB last fall. Peters may have the brighter future, but has no experience.
Art Thompkins was the 3rd back last fall, but could be starting in 2018, but will likely share carries with Shakif Seymour. Seymour rushed for 702 yards last fall, and scored 12 times while averaging 6.05 yards per carry. Thompkins rushed for 629 yards, while scoring 2 times. He also avareged 6.05 yards per carry. Production and experience drops off sharply after that.
The Rockets have one of the better receiving corps in the nation heading into the season.Cody Thompson, Jon'Vea Johnson, and Diontae Johnson all return. Diontae Johnson was a beast last season, as he posted 74-1278-13, and averaged over 17 yards per catch. Jon'Vae Johnson caught 42 passed for 689 yards and 5 scores, and averaged 16.4 yards per catch. Thompson missed 9 games last fall, and managed to post 28-537-4, and averaged 19.18 yards per catch, and may be the bet of the group, if healthy. There is plenty of depth and talent behind this group as well.
Reggie Gilliam will start at TE, but Jordan Fisher also returns after catching 20 passes last season.
The line could be a question, as just 2 starters return. Sami Kassem (LG) and Bryce Harris (C) are those starters. Yazeed Atariwa is projected to start at LT, and Brandon Heidecker is penciled in at RT. Luke Doerger is projected at RG. Look for Brock Ruble, a transfer from Florida State, to have a shot to start at either Tackle or Guard, as he started 13 games for the Seminoles at Tackle last season.
Breakdown Defense: The line may be a bit thin this fall, as just one starter returns in DT Nate Childress. He totaled just 2 TFLs as a sophomore last season. Tyrone Chambers is penciled in as the starter at the open DT spot. He played in just 3 games as a freshman. Willie Ross and Tuzar Skipper are the projected starters at DE. They combined for 3 TFLs off the bench.
Tyler Taafe is the lone starting LB returning, and he totaled just 38 tackles, with 24 of those coming as assists. Richard Olekanma, a senior, is expected to start along side him in the 4-2-5 set. He totaled 45 tackles last fall. Again, depth is thin.
The secondary is loaded, and returns 4 of 5 starters in Ka'Dar Hollman (CB), DeDarallo Blue (NB), Kahlil Robinson (S), and Josh Teachey (S). Hollman recorded 7 PBUs and 35 tackles. Blue finished with 36 tackles, and 2 PBUs. Robinson totaled 4 PBUs, 4 INTs, and 67 tackles, and Teachey totaled 56 tackles. Sophomore Justin Clark looks to take over the open spot at CB. He totaled 5 PBUs as a freshman.
Breakdown Special Teams: Jameson Vest is one of the best PKs in the nation after hitting 25/30 FG attempts last season, and he hit 56/58 PATs. He will be a senior this fall.
Bailey Flint is back at Punter, but struggled to average just over 38 yards per punt last fall as a freshman. More is needed from him.
Final Analysis: Toledo looks to be in the running to win 10 games or more once again this season, but surviving a tough early run that includes games against Miami at home, and Fresno State on the road, will be key. The Rockets are looking to develop help at key spots (QB, defensive front 6), and will have limited slots early on to get those spots comfortably running. If they can get everything together entering MAC play, Toledo will once again be a tough out, and should have the ability to push West favorite Northern Illinois on the road in November.
Opening Statement: Jason Candle has picked right up where Matt Campbell left off with the Rockets, but Candle moved a step ahead when he won the MAC title last season, the first time that has happened since 2004. The Rockets are loaded with talent yet again, but have to find a replacement for one of the best players in school and conference history in QB Logan Woodside, who has moved on to the NFL. Candle and OC Brian Wright have gotten to work on that project, and the end result could determine whether or not the Rockets have enough fuel to soar to another MAC title in 2018.
Breakdown Offense: The QB job is down to junior Mitchell Guadagni or Eli Peters, a sophomore. Guadagni has all of 6 attempted passes to his name, and completed just one of them, and was the 3rd string QB last fall. Peters may have the brighter future, but has no experience.
Art Thompkins was the 3rd back last fall, but could be starting in 2018, but will likely share carries with Shakif Seymour. Seymour rushed for 702 yards last fall, and scored 12 times while averaging 6.05 yards per carry. Thompkins rushed for 629 yards, while scoring 2 times. He also avareged 6.05 yards per carry. Production and experience drops off sharply after that.
The Rockets have one of the better receiving corps in the nation heading into the season.Cody Thompson, Jon'Vea Johnson, and Diontae Johnson all return. Diontae Johnson was a beast last season, as he posted 74-1278-13, and averaged over 17 yards per catch. Jon'Vae Johnson caught 42 passed for 689 yards and 5 scores, and averaged 16.4 yards per catch. Thompson missed 9 games last fall, and managed to post 28-537-4, and averaged 19.18 yards per catch, and may be the bet of the group, if healthy. There is plenty of depth and talent behind this group as well.
Reggie Gilliam will start at TE, but Jordan Fisher also returns after catching 20 passes last season.
The line could be a question, as just 2 starters return. Sami Kassem (LG) and Bryce Harris (C) are those starters. Yazeed Atariwa is projected to start at LT, and Brandon Heidecker is penciled in at RT. Luke Doerger is projected at RG. Look for Brock Ruble, a transfer from Florida State, to have a shot to start at either Tackle or Guard, as he started 13 games for the Seminoles at Tackle last season.
Breakdown Defense: The line may be a bit thin this fall, as just one starter returns in DT Nate Childress. He totaled just 2 TFLs as a sophomore last season. Tyrone Chambers is penciled in as the starter at the open DT spot. He played in just 3 games as a freshman. Willie Ross and Tuzar Skipper are the projected starters at DE. They combined for 3 TFLs off the bench.
Tyler Taafe is the lone starting LB returning, and he totaled just 38 tackles, with 24 of those coming as assists. Richard Olekanma, a senior, is expected to start along side him in the 4-2-5 set. He totaled 45 tackles last fall. Again, depth is thin.
The secondary is loaded, and returns 4 of 5 starters in Ka'Dar Hollman (CB), DeDarallo Blue (NB), Kahlil Robinson (S), and Josh Teachey (S). Hollman recorded 7 PBUs and 35 tackles. Blue finished with 36 tackles, and 2 PBUs. Robinson totaled 4 PBUs, 4 INTs, and 67 tackles, and Teachey totaled 56 tackles. Sophomore Justin Clark looks to take over the open spot at CB. He totaled 5 PBUs as a freshman.
Breakdown Special Teams: Jameson Vest is one of the best PKs in the nation after hitting 25/30 FG attempts last season, and he hit 56/58 PATs. He will be a senior this fall.
Bailey Flint is back at Punter, but struggled to average just over 38 yards per punt last fall as a freshman. More is needed from him.
Final Analysis: Toledo looks to be in the running to win 10 games or more once again this season, but surviving a tough early run that includes games against Miami at home, and Fresno State on the road, will be key. The Rockets are looking to develop help at key spots (QB, defensive front 6), and will have limited slots early on to get those spots comfortably running. If they can get everything together entering MAC play, Toledo will once again be a tough out, and should have the ability to push West favorite Northern Illinois on the road in November.
2018 College Football Team Previews: Texas Tech Red Raiders
Texas Tech Red Raiders 2018 Football Preview
Opening Statement: It's put up or shut up time for head coach Kliff Kingsbury in Lubbock, as he enters year 6 with an overall record of 30-33. Personally, I would have fired him after each of the past two seasons, and given that most outlets have them projected as finishing 8th in the Big 12 this fall, most folks do not believe that things are going to get much better moving forward. With just one skill player coming back on offense, and a defense that ranked 104th last season overall, there is just no real buzz around things changing, and it would be thought easily that Kingsbury could be dead man walking as head coach entering the 2018 campaign.
Breakdown Offense: Nic Shimonek is gone at QB, so it's time to move on to the next in line of plug and play QBs that populate the air raid system. Sophomore Jett Duffey and junior McLane Carter are in a battle for the QB spot heading into fall camp. Neither did much to establish themselves to this point however. Duffy is extremely raw, and Carter lacks overall arm strength and accuracy. This is bad news for a coach who desperately needs someone to step up.
De'Leon Ward and Tre King look to split carries this fall, as they did throughout spring camp. King rushed for 623 yards as the backup last fall, and averaged 4.76 yards per carry. He scored 5 times. Ward did not carry the football at all last fall. The issue is that everyone on the roster at RB is either extremely raw, or is not much of a threat to break out.
TJ Vasher is the lone returning starter at WR this fall. He caught just 29 passes last fall, and totaled 545 yards while averaging 18.79 yards per catch. He scored 6 times. Antoine Wesley, De'Quan Bowman, and Donta Thompson left spring ball holding the other 3 starting spots. They combined for 13 receptions last fall. There is virtually zero depth or experience after this group.
The line returns 4 starters in Travis Bruffy (LT), Paul Stawarz (C), Jack Anderson (RG), and Terence Steele (RT). Dawson Deaton is penciled in at LG as a freshman. Jacob Hines could push him for the job in fall camp, while Madison Akamnonu and Bailey Smith add some depth outside at the Tackle spots.
Breakdown Defense: Defense has never been a staple under Kingsbury, and that could be the case again in 2018, as the Red Raiders ranked 104th in total defense last fall, and 122nd nationally against the pass. Broderick Washington (DT) and Eli Howard (DE) are your returning starters on the line. Howard led the team last fall with 8.5 TFLs and 5.5 sacks. Washington finished last fall with a pair of sacks. Nick McCann is penciled in at NT, while Kolin Hill returns to start at DE. Hill totaled 6 TFLs last fall, while McCann played in 10 games as a freshman.
Dakota Allen and Jordyn Brooks both return to start at LB. Allen led the team with 102 tackles last fall, and totaled 6 TFLs. Brooks totaled 89 tackles, but made just 0.5 tackles behind the line last fall. Depth at LB may be an issue after the starting unit.
The secondary returns 4 of 5 starters in the 4-2-5 set. Vaughnte Dorsey, Jah'Shawn Johnson, and Justus Parker all return at Safety, while DaMarcus Fields is the returning starter at CB. Fields recorded 7 PBUs last fall. Dorsey totaled 3 PBUs and added 59 tackles. Johnson recorded 97 tackles, and added 5 PBUs. Parker led the team with 4 INTs, and added 3 QB hurries and 4 forced fumbles, and was good for 42 tackles. Octavious Morgan is the other starting CB, and he finished with 8 PBUs last fall.
Breakdown Special Teams: Clayton Hatfield returns at PK for the Red Raiders, but hit just 6/10 FG attempts last fall. He missed 7 games with injury.
Dominic Panazzalo managed to average 41.4 yards per punt last season despite some costly shanks. He will be expected to be more consistent this fall as a senior.
Both KR and PR jobs are wide open heading into fall camp, and likely will not be settled until the season opener against Ole Miss on 9/1 in Houston.
Final Analysis: It would seem that the power that be are finally awakened to the fact that they may not have the right guy running their program. It's win now or else for Kingsbury after 5 mostly wasted years of settling towards the Big 12 basement. This program does not have to be bad, but it has settled for that with Kingsbury for far too long. With all of the massive questions and holes on offense heading into the fall, it would seem next to impossible for this team to finish high enough in the conference standings to save Kingsbury now, short of a miracle. The first 6 weeks of the schedule alone could finish him off.
Opening Statement: It's put up or shut up time for head coach Kliff Kingsbury in Lubbock, as he enters year 6 with an overall record of 30-33. Personally, I would have fired him after each of the past two seasons, and given that most outlets have them projected as finishing 8th in the Big 12 this fall, most folks do not believe that things are going to get much better moving forward. With just one skill player coming back on offense, and a defense that ranked 104th last season overall, there is just no real buzz around things changing, and it would be thought easily that Kingsbury could be dead man walking as head coach entering the 2018 campaign.
Breakdown Offense: Nic Shimonek is gone at QB, so it's time to move on to the next in line of plug and play QBs that populate the air raid system. Sophomore Jett Duffey and junior McLane Carter are in a battle for the QB spot heading into fall camp. Neither did much to establish themselves to this point however. Duffy is extremely raw, and Carter lacks overall arm strength and accuracy. This is bad news for a coach who desperately needs someone to step up.
De'Leon Ward and Tre King look to split carries this fall, as they did throughout spring camp. King rushed for 623 yards as the backup last fall, and averaged 4.76 yards per carry. He scored 5 times. Ward did not carry the football at all last fall. The issue is that everyone on the roster at RB is either extremely raw, or is not much of a threat to break out.
TJ Vasher is the lone returning starter at WR this fall. He caught just 29 passes last fall, and totaled 545 yards while averaging 18.79 yards per catch. He scored 6 times. Antoine Wesley, De'Quan Bowman, and Donta Thompson left spring ball holding the other 3 starting spots. They combined for 13 receptions last fall. There is virtually zero depth or experience after this group.
The line returns 4 starters in Travis Bruffy (LT), Paul Stawarz (C), Jack Anderson (RG), and Terence Steele (RT). Dawson Deaton is penciled in at LG as a freshman. Jacob Hines could push him for the job in fall camp, while Madison Akamnonu and Bailey Smith add some depth outside at the Tackle spots.
Breakdown Defense: Defense has never been a staple under Kingsbury, and that could be the case again in 2018, as the Red Raiders ranked 104th in total defense last fall, and 122nd nationally against the pass. Broderick Washington (DT) and Eli Howard (DE) are your returning starters on the line. Howard led the team last fall with 8.5 TFLs and 5.5 sacks. Washington finished last fall with a pair of sacks. Nick McCann is penciled in at NT, while Kolin Hill returns to start at DE. Hill totaled 6 TFLs last fall, while McCann played in 10 games as a freshman.
Dakota Allen and Jordyn Brooks both return to start at LB. Allen led the team with 102 tackles last fall, and totaled 6 TFLs. Brooks totaled 89 tackles, but made just 0.5 tackles behind the line last fall. Depth at LB may be an issue after the starting unit.
The secondary returns 4 of 5 starters in the 4-2-5 set. Vaughnte Dorsey, Jah'Shawn Johnson, and Justus Parker all return at Safety, while DaMarcus Fields is the returning starter at CB. Fields recorded 7 PBUs last fall. Dorsey totaled 3 PBUs and added 59 tackles. Johnson recorded 97 tackles, and added 5 PBUs. Parker led the team with 4 INTs, and added 3 QB hurries and 4 forced fumbles, and was good for 42 tackles. Octavious Morgan is the other starting CB, and he finished with 8 PBUs last fall.
Breakdown Special Teams: Clayton Hatfield returns at PK for the Red Raiders, but hit just 6/10 FG attempts last fall. He missed 7 games with injury.
Dominic Panazzalo managed to average 41.4 yards per punt last season despite some costly shanks. He will be expected to be more consistent this fall as a senior.
Both KR and PR jobs are wide open heading into fall camp, and likely will not be settled until the season opener against Ole Miss on 9/1 in Houston.
Final Analysis: It would seem that the power that be are finally awakened to the fact that they may not have the right guy running their program. It's win now or else for Kingsbury after 5 mostly wasted years of settling towards the Big 12 basement. This program does not have to be bad, but it has settled for that with Kingsbury for far too long. With all of the massive questions and holes on offense heading into the fall, it would seem next to impossible for this team to finish high enough in the conference standings to save Kingsbury now, short of a miracle. The first 6 weeks of the schedule alone could finish him off.
2018 College Football Team Previews: Texas State Bobcats
Texas State Bobcats 2018 Football Preview
Opening Statement: Texas State, was in a phrase, a dumpster fire in 2017. The Bobcats finished with just 2 wins on the season, with one of those wins coming against FCS member Houston Baptist, and the Bobcats scored just 20 points in that win. In all, the offense ranked 122nd in scoring, 101st in rushing offense, 82nd in passing offense, and 107th in total offense per game. Defensively, the news was no better. Texas State ranked 105th in points allowed pure game, 126th against the pass, and 102nd in total defense, and the Bobcats ranked 125th in turnover margin with a number of -15. It simply cannot get much worse in 2018, but it doesn't look to gt much better.
Breakdown Offense: The QB situation is still unstable heading into fall camp, as Willie Jones III and Jaylen Gipson, a RS freshman, are still trying to win the job. Jones completed just 48.6% of his limited passing attempts last season, and so this position still seems a bid void of talent overall. If the passing game cannot get going, there is little run game to support this offense.
Anthony Taylor is back at RB after leading the team a season ago with just 436 yards and 2 scores. He averaged 4.04 yards per carry, but could never get a consistent flow going. He only carried the ball 9 times per game, and that will not get it done in any regard. Robert Brown and Jaylin Nelson come in to back him up, but again, nobody is proven in this group, and the Bobcats desperately need someone to step up and blow up.
Jeremiah Haydel and Tyler Watts return at WR, but Elijah King, the top receiver from last season, is gone. Watts caught 40 passes last fall for just 332 yards, but is, by far, the best option returning. Hayel caught just 8 passes as a freshman, but started near the end of the year. Mason Hays is the penciled in 3rd receiver, but again, he has virtually no experience or production to rely upon. Hutch White and Caleb Twyford are in the mix for work as well, but this is a thin overall unit.
Elijah Rogers is the starting TE heading into fall camp, but caught just 4 passes last fall, and there is no depth here.
The line may be the best overall part of this offense, as 4 starters return in Aaron Brewer (LT), Jacob Rowland (LG), Reece Jordan (C), and Nic Foster (RT). Sophomore Josiah Washington is penciled in to start at RG. Kregg Lemons and Tanner King will try to provide some depth.
Breakdown Defense: Sami Awad is the lone returning starter on the line at NT, and he totaled all of 0.5 TFLs last fall. That's not a great foundation to build on. DT Jordan Mittie transferred to Kansas State leaving another hole. Jaquel Pierce is penciled in at DT, while Kumonde Hines is the projected starter at DE. John Lilly is the backup at NT.
The LB unit should be solid this fall, as Bryan London II and Frankie Griffin both return. London led the team with 91 tackles, and added 3 TFLs, while Griffin led the team with 11.5 TFLs and totaled 74 tackles. They also combined for 8 PBUs. Hal Vinson and Nik Daniels are the new starters in the 3-4 set. Hinson totaled 40 tackles, while Daniels added 35. Clifton Lewis could push for the ILB spot, while John Brannon and Gavin Graham add some depth.
JaShon Waddy (CB) and AJ Krawczyk (S) are the returning starters in the secondary. Waddy totaled 5 PBUs last fall, while Krawczyk forced 2 fumbles and totaled 74 tackles. This secondary did not create a single INT last fall, which is almost unimaginable in the modern era. Anthony Taylor (CB) and Jalen Smith (S) are the projected new starters. Josh Newman adds some depth at Safety, and could push Smith for the starting job. Greg Peace should win the 3rd Corner spot, while Preston Dimery is the 3rd Safety.
Breakdown Special Teams: James Sherman should hold the PK spot down this fall after connecting on 5/7 FG attempts last season, but Foster Hilborn is still around, and could share attempts once again.
Clayton Stewart is penciled in to take over at Punter as a freshman this fall.
Haydel was the primary KR man last fall, but was well below average in the job. The hope is that he can be pushed in camp. White was decent on PR duty, averaging 7.22 yards per return.
Final Analysis: The Bobcats are still very much a mess, and enter the season losing their final 4 games of last season, and 10 of their last 11. This program appears no closer to being decent in Sun Belt play than they were a year ago, and the roster looks like a sharp mess still. I am not certain what anyone expected from a former FCS program that could not even dominate and win big on that level before moving up to FBS football, but this is what you have. There is no real end in sight to the misery.
Opening Statement: Texas State, was in a phrase, a dumpster fire in 2017. The Bobcats finished with just 2 wins on the season, with one of those wins coming against FCS member Houston Baptist, and the Bobcats scored just 20 points in that win. In all, the offense ranked 122nd in scoring, 101st in rushing offense, 82nd in passing offense, and 107th in total offense per game. Defensively, the news was no better. Texas State ranked 105th in points allowed pure game, 126th against the pass, and 102nd in total defense, and the Bobcats ranked 125th in turnover margin with a number of -15. It simply cannot get much worse in 2018, but it doesn't look to gt much better.
Breakdown Offense: The QB situation is still unstable heading into fall camp, as Willie Jones III and Jaylen Gipson, a RS freshman, are still trying to win the job. Jones completed just 48.6% of his limited passing attempts last season, and so this position still seems a bid void of talent overall. If the passing game cannot get going, there is little run game to support this offense.
Anthony Taylor is back at RB after leading the team a season ago with just 436 yards and 2 scores. He averaged 4.04 yards per carry, but could never get a consistent flow going. He only carried the ball 9 times per game, and that will not get it done in any regard. Robert Brown and Jaylin Nelson come in to back him up, but again, nobody is proven in this group, and the Bobcats desperately need someone to step up and blow up.
Jeremiah Haydel and Tyler Watts return at WR, but Elijah King, the top receiver from last season, is gone. Watts caught 40 passes last fall for just 332 yards, but is, by far, the best option returning. Hayel caught just 8 passes as a freshman, but started near the end of the year. Mason Hays is the penciled in 3rd receiver, but again, he has virtually no experience or production to rely upon. Hutch White and Caleb Twyford are in the mix for work as well, but this is a thin overall unit.
Elijah Rogers is the starting TE heading into fall camp, but caught just 4 passes last fall, and there is no depth here.
The line may be the best overall part of this offense, as 4 starters return in Aaron Brewer (LT), Jacob Rowland (LG), Reece Jordan (C), and Nic Foster (RT). Sophomore Josiah Washington is penciled in to start at RG. Kregg Lemons and Tanner King will try to provide some depth.
Breakdown Defense: Sami Awad is the lone returning starter on the line at NT, and he totaled all of 0.5 TFLs last fall. That's not a great foundation to build on. DT Jordan Mittie transferred to Kansas State leaving another hole. Jaquel Pierce is penciled in at DT, while Kumonde Hines is the projected starter at DE. John Lilly is the backup at NT.
The LB unit should be solid this fall, as Bryan London II and Frankie Griffin both return. London led the team with 91 tackles, and added 3 TFLs, while Griffin led the team with 11.5 TFLs and totaled 74 tackles. They also combined for 8 PBUs. Hal Vinson and Nik Daniels are the new starters in the 3-4 set. Hinson totaled 40 tackles, while Daniels added 35. Clifton Lewis could push for the ILB spot, while John Brannon and Gavin Graham add some depth.
JaShon Waddy (CB) and AJ Krawczyk (S) are the returning starters in the secondary. Waddy totaled 5 PBUs last fall, while Krawczyk forced 2 fumbles and totaled 74 tackles. This secondary did not create a single INT last fall, which is almost unimaginable in the modern era. Anthony Taylor (CB) and Jalen Smith (S) are the projected new starters. Josh Newman adds some depth at Safety, and could push Smith for the starting job. Greg Peace should win the 3rd Corner spot, while Preston Dimery is the 3rd Safety.
Breakdown Special Teams: James Sherman should hold the PK spot down this fall after connecting on 5/7 FG attempts last season, but Foster Hilborn is still around, and could share attempts once again.
Clayton Stewart is penciled in to take over at Punter as a freshman this fall.
Haydel was the primary KR man last fall, but was well below average in the job. The hope is that he can be pushed in camp. White was decent on PR duty, averaging 7.22 yards per return.
Final Analysis: The Bobcats are still very much a mess, and enter the season losing their final 4 games of last season, and 10 of their last 11. This program appears no closer to being decent in Sun Belt play than they were a year ago, and the roster looks like a sharp mess still. I am not certain what anyone expected from a former FCS program that could not even dominate and win big on that level before moving up to FBS football, but this is what you have. There is no real end in sight to the misery.
2018 College Football Team Previews: Texas A&M Aggies
Texas A&M Aggies 2018 Football Preview
Opening Statement: Kevin Sumlin, who, like Charlie Strong at Texas, was never a great fit for the Aggies, has finally moved on. The Aggies made a big splash move by hiring Jimbo Fisher away from Florida State for an obscene amount of cash, and the move had better pay dividends, as it is already one of the more controversial contracts in college football history. Jimbo will be tasked to improve recruiting, when it became obvious last fall that recruiting was not all it was cracked up to be with the Seminoles. He has the unenviable task of making A&M relevant in the SEC West, where he has to go up against Alabama, Auburn, and the rest of the cast. Can it work?
Breakdown Offense: It would appear that there is a battle brewing heading into fall camp between Nick Starkel and Kellen Mond. Starkel seems to be the better fit for what a Pro Set offense is supposed to look like, as he passed for 1793 yards and 14 TDs to 6 INTs last fall, while completing 60% of his passes in 7 games. He is more of a pocket presence that works best in a Jimbo Fisher offense, but yet, Monds, a dual threat QB, is still holding on after passing for 1375 yards with 8 TDs and 6 INTs, and a 51% completion rate. I will stick my neck out and project that Starkel wins out, but he will have to stay healthy to hold the job.
Trayveon Williams is the guy at RB, and should hopefully see an increase in carries per game in the new offense. With his explosive ability, he should be one of the better backs in the SEC. He rushed for 798 yards an 8 scores, but carried the ball just 14.42 times per game in the spread offense. That should change in the Pro Set scheme. There is an ongoing battle for the RB2 spot heading into fall camp between Kendall Bussey and Jacob Kibodi. They combined for 58 carries last season, and Bussey should have the edge in the battle, a she carried the ball 47 of those 58 carries last fall.
Christian Kirk and Damion Ratley. who combined for 101 receptions last fall, have both moved on. Jhamon Ausbon becomes the new top receiver after playing in every game as a freshman last fall. He caught 50 passes for 571 yards and 3 scores, but must become more of a field stretching receiver this fall. Cam Buckley should be the guy replacing Kirk inside, as he averaged 16.59 yards per catch as a freshman last fall. Kendrick Rodgers, Clyde Chriss, and Hezekiah Jones are scheduled to have a battle for the 3rd starting WR spot in fall camp, but that battle could also go some way to create depth. Roshauud Paul is another candidate for some reps in the SLOT spot, and will add some weaponry to the return game as well.
The TE spot was devalued by the former staff, but will once again become a weapon. Jace Sternberger had a huge spring and was the MVP of the spring game, and will take the starting spot. Camron Horry will be his backup, but Sternberger is the guy here.
The line returns 3 starters in Keaton Sutherland (LG), Erik McCoy (C), and Connor Lanfar (RG), but both Tackle spots need to find starters in fall camp. Koda Martin was favored to win the LT job, but fell ill and missed the end of spring camp, leaving the door open for Dam Moore, Jr. to still have a shot to steal the job. Carson Green took hold of the RT sot in spring camp, and looks to have locked it down as a sophomore. Kellen Diesch will back him up. Jared Hocker is expected to give a push to Lanfear at RG in fall camp, while Grayson Reed will back up the LG spot. Colton Prater will back up at C, but can play just about anywhere.
Breakdown Defense: Texas A&M played a style of defense that utterly failed to live up to the great defenses of Aggie past under Kevin Sumlin, and the hope is that DC Mike Elko can bring back the great defense of Aggie lore.
The line returns 2 starters in DE Landis Durham and DT Kingsley Keke. Durham tied for the team lead last fall with 12 TFLs, and added a team leading 10.5 sacks and 56 tackles. Keke is more of a land mover in the middle, opening up holes for others to make plays. The staff is looking to upgrade his role, as he totaled just 2.5 TFLs. Sophomore Justin Madubuike is slated to start at the open DT spot, while Michael Clemons is penciled in at the open DE spot, but look for Tyree Johnson to push hard for that DE spot in fall camp. Ondario Robinson is another name to watch at DE this fall after redshirting last season. Jayden Peevy and Jaylen Mack add depth inside.
The LB unit returns 2 starters in Otaro Alaka and Tyrel Dodson. Dodson led the team last fall with 105 tackles, and added 11 TFLs. Alaka finished with 78 tackles, and tied for the team lead with 12 TFLs. They combined for 11 sacks as well, so this unit should be stacked. Buddy Johnson should step into the ROLB spot. Johnson totaled 20 tackles as a freshman last fall. Anthony Hines, Santino Marchiol, and Ikenna Okeke add solid depth.
The secondary had some struggles last fall, but they do return 3 starters to this unit, so there is hope with a new staff around to fix the problems. Debione Renfro and Charles Oliver return at CB. Oliver tied for the team lead with 8 PBUs (Dodson also had 8 at LB). He added 24 tackles on the season. The trick now is to turn some of those PBUs into turnovers. Renfro finished with 5 PBUs, and totaled 54 tackles. Clifford Chattman, who missed last fall due to academic issues, could push Renfro hard in fall camp. Travon Fuller and Myles Jones will also be pushing for reps.
FS Derrick Tucker is the other returning starter in the secondary. He totaled 55 tackles and 4 PBUs, and returned a pick for a score. He should be joined by SS Donovan Wilson, who has the task of filling in for the departed Armani Watts. Deshawn Capers-Smith should see some time on the field as well, and Keldrick Carper adds depth here.
Breakdown Special Teams: Daniel LaCamera will give the Aggies a huge scoring weapon, as he nailed 18/21 FGs last season, and hit 51/52 PATs. Expect him to be one of the top kickers in the SEC this fall.
Braden Mann is the lone option at Punter, as Shane Tripucka moves on. Mann was rock solid in spring camp, and had a huge spring game.
The return game loses Kirk, but with Paul and Buckley, there are available options that should keep the Aggies on the rails.
Final Analysis: There simply will not be much of a growth window for Fisher with the Aggies after the kind of cash they threw at him to leave Florida State. The Aggies paid him $75 million over 10 years, a ridiculous deal for anyone, to bring A&M to the top of the heap with Alabama in the SEC West, and while there is no expectation that happens this season, expectations are still sky high. Fisher has enough talent on hand, and should be a stabilizing figure in a locker room and coaching staff gone nuts under Sumlin. The Aggies could get to 8 wins easily this season, but 8 wins or less was why Sumlin was fired, so the goal is to increase that total in 2019.
Opening Statement: Kevin Sumlin, who, like Charlie Strong at Texas, was never a great fit for the Aggies, has finally moved on. The Aggies made a big splash move by hiring Jimbo Fisher away from Florida State for an obscene amount of cash, and the move had better pay dividends, as it is already one of the more controversial contracts in college football history. Jimbo will be tasked to improve recruiting, when it became obvious last fall that recruiting was not all it was cracked up to be with the Seminoles. He has the unenviable task of making A&M relevant in the SEC West, where he has to go up against Alabama, Auburn, and the rest of the cast. Can it work?
Breakdown Offense: It would appear that there is a battle brewing heading into fall camp between Nick Starkel and Kellen Mond. Starkel seems to be the better fit for what a Pro Set offense is supposed to look like, as he passed for 1793 yards and 14 TDs to 6 INTs last fall, while completing 60% of his passes in 7 games. He is more of a pocket presence that works best in a Jimbo Fisher offense, but yet, Monds, a dual threat QB, is still holding on after passing for 1375 yards with 8 TDs and 6 INTs, and a 51% completion rate. I will stick my neck out and project that Starkel wins out, but he will have to stay healthy to hold the job.
Trayveon Williams is the guy at RB, and should hopefully see an increase in carries per game in the new offense. With his explosive ability, he should be one of the better backs in the SEC. He rushed for 798 yards an 8 scores, but carried the ball just 14.42 times per game in the spread offense. That should change in the Pro Set scheme. There is an ongoing battle for the RB2 spot heading into fall camp between Kendall Bussey and Jacob Kibodi. They combined for 58 carries last season, and Bussey should have the edge in the battle, a she carried the ball 47 of those 58 carries last fall.
Christian Kirk and Damion Ratley. who combined for 101 receptions last fall, have both moved on. Jhamon Ausbon becomes the new top receiver after playing in every game as a freshman last fall. He caught 50 passes for 571 yards and 3 scores, but must become more of a field stretching receiver this fall. Cam Buckley should be the guy replacing Kirk inside, as he averaged 16.59 yards per catch as a freshman last fall. Kendrick Rodgers, Clyde Chriss, and Hezekiah Jones are scheduled to have a battle for the 3rd starting WR spot in fall camp, but that battle could also go some way to create depth. Roshauud Paul is another candidate for some reps in the SLOT spot, and will add some weaponry to the return game as well.
The TE spot was devalued by the former staff, but will once again become a weapon. Jace Sternberger had a huge spring and was the MVP of the spring game, and will take the starting spot. Camron Horry will be his backup, but Sternberger is the guy here.
The line returns 3 starters in Keaton Sutherland (LG), Erik McCoy (C), and Connor Lanfar (RG), but both Tackle spots need to find starters in fall camp. Koda Martin was favored to win the LT job, but fell ill and missed the end of spring camp, leaving the door open for Dam Moore, Jr. to still have a shot to steal the job. Carson Green took hold of the RT sot in spring camp, and looks to have locked it down as a sophomore. Kellen Diesch will back him up. Jared Hocker is expected to give a push to Lanfear at RG in fall camp, while Grayson Reed will back up the LG spot. Colton Prater will back up at C, but can play just about anywhere.
Breakdown Defense: Texas A&M played a style of defense that utterly failed to live up to the great defenses of Aggie past under Kevin Sumlin, and the hope is that DC Mike Elko can bring back the great defense of Aggie lore.
The line returns 2 starters in DE Landis Durham and DT Kingsley Keke. Durham tied for the team lead last fall with 12 TFLs, and added a team leading 10.5 sacks and 56 tackles. Keke is more of a land mover in the middle, opening up holes for others to make plays. The staff is looking to upgrade his role, as he totaled just 2.5 TFLs. Sophomore Justin Madubuike is slated to start at the open DT spot, while Michael Clemons is penciled in at the open DE spot, but look for Tyree Johnson to push hard for that DE spot in fall camp. Ondario Robinson is another name to watch at DE this fall after redshirting last season. Jayden Peevy and Jaylen Mack add depth inside.
The LB unit returns 2 starters in Otaro Alaka and Tyrel Dodson. Dodson led the team last fall with 105 tackles, and added 11 TFLs. Alaka finished with 78 tackles, and tied for the team lead with 12 TFLs. They combined for 11 sacks as well, so this unit should be stacked. Buddy Johnson should step into the ROLB spot. Johnson totaled 20 tackles as a freshman last fall. Anthony Hines, Santino Marchiol, and Ikenna Okeke add solid depth.
The secondary had some struggles last fall, but they do return 3 starters to this unit, so there is hope with a new staff around to fix the problems. Debione Renfro and Charles Oliver return at CB. Oliver tied for the team lead with 8 PBUs (Dodson also had 8 at LB). He added 24 tackles on the season. The trick now is to turn some of those PBUs into turnovers. Renfro finished with 5 PBUs, and totaled 54 tackles. Clifford Chattman, who missed last fall due to academic issues, could push Renfro hard in fall camp. Travon Fuller and Myles Jones will also be pushing for reps.
FS Derrick Tucker is the other returning starter in the secondary. He totaled 55 tackles and 4 PBUs, and returned a pick for a score. He should be joined by SS Donovan Wilson, who has the task of filling in for the departed Armani Watts. Deshawn Capers-Smith should see some time on the field as well, and Keldrick Carper adds depth here.
Breakdown Special Teams: Daniel LaCamera will give the Aggies a huge scoring weapon, as he nailed 18/21 FGs last season, and hit 51/52 PATs. Expect him to be one of the top kickers in the SEC this fall.
Braden Mann is the lone option at Punter, as Shane Tripucka moves on. Mann was rock solid in spring camp, and had a huge spring game.
The return game loses Kirk, but with Paul and Buckley, there are available options that should keep the Aggies on the rails.
Final Analysis: There simply will not be much of a growth window for Fisher with the Aggies after the kind of cash they threw at him to leave Florida State. The Aggies paid him $75 million over 10 years, a ridiculous deal for anyone, to bring A&M to the top of the heap with Alabama in the SEC West, and while there is no expectation that happens this season, expectations are still sky high. Fisher has enough talent on hand, and should be a stabilizing figure in a locker room and coaching staff gone nuts under Sumlin. The Aggies could get to 8 wins easily this season, but 8 wins or less was why Sumlin was fired, so the goal is to increase that total in 2019.
Friday, July 6, 2018
2018 College Football Team Previews: Texas Longhorns
Texas Longhorns 2018 Football Preview
Opening Statement: Expectations at Texas are never for 6 or 7 win seasons, and that is exactly what the Longhorn faithful got in year one under Tom Herman and staff at Texas in 2017. Certainly, losing to a Texas Tech team on the skids in the regular season finale could not have sit too well either. Texas had 4 losses of 4 points or less last fall, and finished ranked 95th in the nation in rushing. Historically, when Texas fails to run the football with consistency and dominance, they lose. Can the Longhorns patch up the lackluster rushing attack, and patch up a pass defense that ranked 109th, all while trying to become relevant again in the Big 12 race?
Breakdown Offense: Sam Ehlinger likely becomes the starting QB in fall camp, but that decision never came to fruition in spring camp, with Shane Buechele hanging on for dear life in a two man battle. Buechele cannot stay healthy for an entire season, but Ehlinger cannot pass with enough consistency and accuracy, and the best you can hope for is him not making game changing mistakes with the football. This duo managed to toss 11 INTs last fall, against just 18 TDs. I expect to see both in action at points again this fall.
The run game was a mess, and injuries on the line and at TE did not help. Daniel Young projects as the starter at RB, but he rushed for just 373 yards last fall. Texas needs to find a front line back that can carry the load, because having Ehlinger as the leading rusher is not going to get it done again. Toneil Carter, Kyle Porter, and Tristian Houston all return, but someone has got to step up and be a star, and they may not have that guy on the roster.
Collin Johnson and Lil'Jordan Humphery both return as starters at WR this fall, while Devin Duverney tries to take the open 3rd receiver spot. Johnson caught 54 passes for 765 yards, but scored just 2 times on the year. Humphery caught 37 passes for 431 yards, but he also struggled to score, as he found the end zone just once. Duvernay caught just 9 passes last fall. Joerrod Heard likely pushes into the starting lineup in camp, and could push Humphery to 2nd team status. John Burt and and Jordan Puncey could also be looking for serious reps in camp as well.
Andrew Beck returns from injury, and will likely start at TE. Freshman Reese Leitao could move into the 2nd TE spot, while Cade Brewer brings in another young player for the role that saw some work last fall.
Only 2 starters return on the line in Patrick Vahe (LG) and Zach Shackleford (C). Calvin Anderson was one of the top transfer targets in the nation, and fills in a need at LT after moving over from Rice. Elijah Rodriguez (RG) and Derek Kerstetter (RT) are penciled on on the right side. Mikey Grandy could be pushing for the job at RG in camp. Depth is a mixed bag across the unit, especially at C, where the position is thin.
Breakdown Defense: The defense was strong against the run, as they ranked 8th nationally, allowing just 106.8 yards per game. The good news on that front is that 2 starters are back on the line in DE Charles Omenibu and NT Chris Nelson. They combined for 10 TFLs last fall, and should provide some solid play to replace Poona Ford, who moved on the the NFL. Breckyn Hager is the starter at the open DE spot, and totaled 9 TFLs last fall. Jamari Chisholm and Ta'Quon Graham add depth at the DE spots, while Gerald Wilbon backs up inside.
There is plenty of skill returning at LB this fall, as the unit is led by the return of Gary Johnson at ROV. Johnson finished with 60 tackles last season, and totaled 6 TFLs. Anthony Wheeler also returns to start after totaling 47 tackles. Replacing Malik Jefferson will be a huge task, and that falls to Malcolm Roach, who totaled 37 tackles off the bench. Jeffrey McCulloch and Edwin Freeman will be the backups outside, while Ayodele Adeoye backs up in the middle spot.
The secondary was torched last season, allowing 258.8 yards passing per game. The unit finished 108th in passing yards allowed per game. PJ Locke III is back at CB after totaling just 2 PBUs last fall, while Brandon Jones returns at Safety. Jones finished with 61 tackles, but is also limited in pass coverage. Davante Davis works out at CB for now, as he finished with 3 PBUs in 10 games last fall, while Chris Brown is penciled in at the open Safety spot. Anthony Cook and Eric Cuffee are the backups at CB, but neither has much experience. Caden Sterns is a freshman, and will back up one Safety spot, while another freshman, BJ Foster, is the backup at the other.
Breakdown Special Teams: Can Joshua Rowland get his confidence back at PK? That is a huge question, as he hit just 11/18 FG attempts last season, and visibly started to doubt himself. There were 3 kickers in spring camp, and it may be best if one of them was ready to make a push for the job.
Ryan Bujcevski is the likely punter as a freshman this season after the loss of All World Punter Michael Dickson to the NFL. His will be massive shoes to fill.
Kris Boyd and Kyle Porter return on KR duties, and both are dangerous options for opponents to kick to. A new PR man needs to be identified in camp, as Reggie Hemphill-Mapps did not return to Texas after his freshman season, and enrolled at Trinity Valley CC.
Final Analysis: The Longhorns are in for another tough slog this fall, as 3 of their first 4 games are against Maryland on the road, who should be very much improved over last fall, and then USC and TCU in weeks 3 and 4. If they can survive the first 4 weeks with a split, that would be fortunate. That first month will set the tone moving forward, but the hype over Tom Herman, thus far, has not amounted to a ton between Houston and Texas. It will be a free pass year once again, but 2019 will really tell the tale.
Opening Statement: Expectations at Texas are never for 6 or 7 win seasons, and that is exactly what the Longhorn faithful got in year one under Tom Herman and staff at Texas in 2017. Certainly, losing to a Texas Tech team on the skids in the regular season finale could not have sit too well either. Texas had 4 losses of 4 points or less last fall, and finished ranked 95th in the nation in rushing. Historically, when Texas fails to run the football with consistency and dominance, they lose. Can the Longhorns patch up the lackluster rushing attack, and patch up a pass defense that ranked 109th, all while trying to become relevant again in the Big 12 race?
Breakdown Offense: Sam Ehlinger likely becomes the starting QB in fall camp, but that decision never came to fruition in spring camp, with Shane Buechele hanging on for dear life in a two man battle. Buechele cannot stay healthy for an entire season, but Ehlinger cannot pass with enough consistency and accuracy, and the best you can hope for is him not making game changing mistakes with the football. This duo managed to toss 11 INTs last fall, against just 18 TDs. I expect to see both in action at points again this fall.
The run game was a mess, and injuries on the line and at TE did not help. Daniel Young projects as the starter at RB, but he rushed for just 373 yards last fall. Texas needs to find a front line back that can carry the load, because having Ehlinger as the leading rusher is not going to get it done again. Toneil Carter, Kyle Porter, and Tristian Houston all return, but someone has got to step up and be a star, and they may not have that guy on the roster.
Collin Johnson and Lil'Jordan Humphery both return as starters at WR this fall, while Devin Duverney tries to take the open 3rd receiver spot. Johnson caught 54 passes for 765 yards, but scored just 2 times on the year. Humphery caught 37 passes for 431 yards, but he also struggled to score, as he found the end zone just once. Duvernay caught just 9 passes last fall. Joerrod Heard likely pushes into the starting lineup in camp, and could push Humphery to 2nd team status. John Burt and and Jordan Puncey could also be looking for serious reps in camp as well.
Andrew Beck returns from injury, and will likely start at TE. Freshman Reese Leitao could move into the 2nd TE spot, while Cade Brewer brings in another young player for the role that saw some work last fall.
Only 2 starters return on the line in Patrick Vahe (LG) and Zach Shackleford (C). Calvin Anderson was one of the top transfer targets in the nation, and fills in a need at LT after moving over from Rice. Elijah Rodriguez (RG) and Derek Kerstetter (RT) are penciled on on the right side. Mikey Grandy could be pushing for the job at RG in camp. Depth is a mixed bag across the unit, especially at C, where the position is thin.
Breakdown Defense: The defense was strong against the run, as they ranked 8th nationally, allowing just 106.8 yards per game. The good news on that front is that 2 starters are back on the line in DE Charles Omenibu and NT Chris Nelson. They combined for 10 TFLs last fall, and should provide some solid play to replace Poona Ford, who moved on the the NFL. Breckyn Hager is the starter at the open DE spot, and totaled 9 TFLs last fall. Jamari Chisholm and Ta'Quon Graham add depth at the DE spots, while Gerald Wilbon backs up inside.
There is plenty of skill returning at LB this fall, as the unit is led by the return of Gary Johnson at ROV. Johnson finished with 60 tackles last season, and totaled 6 TFLs. Anthony Wheeler also returns to start after totaling 47 tackles. Replacing Malik Jefferson will be a huge task, and that falls to Malcolm Roach, who totaled 37 tackles off the bench. Jeffrey McCulloch and Edwin Freeman will be the backups outside, while Ayodele Adeoye backs up in the middle spot.
The secondary was torched last season, allowing 258.8 yards passing per game. The unit finished 108th in passing yards allowed per game. PJ Locke III is back at CB after totaling just 2 PBUs last fall, while Brandon Jones returns at Safety. Jones finished with 61 tackles, but is also limited in pass coverage. Davante Davis works out at CB for now, as he finished with 3 PBUs in 10 games last fall, while Chris Brown is penciled in at the open Safety spot. Anthony Cook and Eric Cuffee are the backups at CB, but neither has much experience. Caden Sterns is a freshman, and will back up one Safety spot, while another freshman, BJ Foster, is the backup at the other.
Breakdown Special Teams: Can Joshua Rowland get his confidence back at PK? That is a huge question, as he hit just 11/18 FG attempts last season, and visibly started to doubt himself. There were 3 kickers in spring camp, and it may be best if one of them was ready to make a push for the job.
Ryan Bujcevski is the likely punter as a freshman this season after the loss of All World Punter Michael Dickson to the NFL. His will be massive shoes to fill.
Kris Boyd and Kyle Porter return on KR duties, and both are dangerous options for opponents to kick to. A new PR man needs to be identified in camp, as Reggie Hemphill-Mapps did not return to Texas after his freshman season, and enrolled at Trinity Valley CC.
Final Analysis: The Longhorns are in for another tough slog this fall, as 3 of their first 4 games are against Maryland on the road, who should be very much improved over last fall, and then USC and TCU in weeks 3 and 4. If they can survive the first 4 weeks with a split, that would be fortunate. That first month will set the tone moving forward, but the hype over Tom Herman, thus far, has not amounted to a ton between Houston and Texas. It will be a free pass year once again, but 2019 will really tell the tale.
2018 College Football Team Previews: Temple Owls
Temple Owls 2018 Football Preview
Opening Statement: The first season under Geoff Collins started off in a bumpy fashion, as the Owls started out 3-5 on the season. The Owls then found Frank Nutile at QB, and the team finished 4-1, and beat FIU in the Gasparilla Bowl 28-3. The Owls are in much better shape coming into the season in 2018 than they were a year ago, with experience across the roster. The schedule, however, is a bit on the tougher side, so will that be something to consider when asking if the Owls can make a push in the AAC race?
Breakdown Offense: Nutile returns as the starter at QB after passing for 1600 yards and 12 TDs in 8 games last season, and he was the hero that lifted the team in that season closing run. He is not giving that job back to anyone, so Logan Marchi, who he replaced, transferred to East Tennessee State after the season to regain his shot. Nutile completed 61.3% of his passes, which is an upgrade over Marchi, but he still tossed 7 picks, which is something that will need to be worked out over a full season as starter. Todd Centeio likely steps into the number 2 role in fall camp.
Ryquell Armstead is back at RB, and is joined by David Hood once again to form up the 2 headed monster attack from a year ago. They combined for 1242 yards rushing last fall, with 10 scores. Hood averaged 4.91 yards per carry, but Armstead is more the short gain type, averaging just 3.87 yards per carry. Jager Gardner, who carried 12 times, but missed 10 games last fall, could be the 3rd back, but a receiver could have some carries as well in Isaiah Wright, who carried 25 times in a multi-duty role last fall.
Wright is the lone returning starter at WR after catching 46 passes last season for 668 yards and 4 scores, while averaging 14.52 yards per catch. Adonis Jennings and Keith Kirkwood have both moved on, and that takes 87 receptions off the table from a year ago. Ventell Bryant and Jaden Blue are expected to take over those roles. Bryant caught 29 passes last fall, but Blue will be a freshman. Another freshman, Sean Ryan, out of Brooklyn, brings high expectations, and hopes are that he could have some impact after enrolling early.
The line returns just 2 starters that finished the season in LG Vincent Picozzi and C Matt Hennessey. Jovahn Fair is slated in at RG, and has some experience. Jalein Robinson is penciled in at LT, while James McHale is the RT heading into fall camp. They have both started in the past and have experience, making the transition easier. Depth is going to be a problem, as there has been little development behind this group.
Breakdown Defense: The interior defensive line has some experience coming back with 2 returning starters in Dan Archibong and Michael Dogbe. They combined for 4.5 TFLs last season, and Archibong started as a freshman. Quincy Roche was a huge contributor as a rotational DE last fall, as he totaled 11.5 TFLs as a freshman with 7 sacks. He is a full starter this fall. Dana Levine is starting at the other open DE spot. He totaled 2 sacks off the bench last fall, and should see increased numbers this season. Again, there is not much in the way of depth other than DeAndre Kelly off the bench.
The starting LB unit returns intact in Sam Franklin, Shaun Bradley, and Chapelle Russell. Bradley led the team with 85 tackles last fall, while Russell finished 3rd as a sophomore with 70. Franklin added 59 tackles. Russell is coming off a second major knee injury, and his status may not be clear until well into camp. Bradley finished with 10 TFLs, and is probably the most disruptive of what could be a very good unit.
Delvin Randall returns to start at Safety, but 3 new starters must be found. Luckily there is some experience to rely upon. Randall finished with 83 tackles and 4 INTs last fall. Benny Walls is expected to start at the open Safety spot. He forced 2 fumbles as a sophomore last fall.
Linwood Crump and Rock Ya-Sin are the expected starters at CB. Crump totaled 6 PBUs last fall and added 15 tackles as a sophomore. Ya-Sin does not have as much game experience, but is a senior heading into the season.
Breakdown Special Teams: Aaron Boumerhi is the starter at PK after hitting 15/23 FG attempts last season, but he also missed 2 PATs as well as 8 FG attempts, meaning that he left 26 points on the field last season. He could be pushed in camp, but likely retains the job.
Connor Bowler is expected to win the open Punter job after the departure of Alex Starzyk. He is a freshman.
Wright is expected to be the primary KR man after averaging 24.92 yards per return. He scored once last season. He also averaged 9.91 on punt returns, with one score.
Final Analysis: There is enough returning talent to remain competitive for the Owls in 2018, but not enough talent returning likely to compete for the AAC East title with UCF. Temple could surprise some people with a couple of wins that they should not get, if they could knock off both Maryland and Boston College out of conference. If they could do that, anywhere from 6 to 8 wins could be possible. I will bank on 6 and another bowl.
Opening Statement: The first season under Geoff Collins started off in a bumpy fashion, as the Owls started out 3-5 on the season. The Owls then found Frank Nutile at QB, and the team finished 4-1, and beat FIU in the Gasparilla Bowl 28-3. The Owls are in much better shape coming into the season in 2018 than they were a year ago, with experience across the roster. The schedule, however, is a bit on the tougher side, so will that be something to consider when asking if the Owls can make a push in the AAC race?
Breakdown Offense: Nutile returns as the starter at QB after passing for 1600 yards and 12 TDs in 8 games last season, and he was the hero that lifted the team in that season closing run. He is not giving that job back to anyone, so Logan Marchi, who he replaced, transferred to East Tennessee State after the season to regain his shot. Nutile completed 61.3% of his passes, which is an upgrade over Marchi, but he still tossed 7 picks, which is something that will need to be worked out over a full season as starter. Todd Centeio likely steps into the number 2 role in fall camp.
Ryquell Armstead is back at RB, and is joined by David Hood once again to form up the 2 headed monster attack from a year ago. They combined for 1242 yards rushing last fall, with 10 scores. Hood averaged 4.91 yards per carry, but Armstead is more the short gain type, averaging just 3.87 yards per carry. Jager Gardner, who carried 12 times, but missed 10 games last fall, could be the 3rd back, but a receiver could have some carries as well in Isaiah Wright, who carried 25 times in a multi-duty role last fall.
Wright is the lone returning starter at WR after catching 46 passes last season for 668 yards and 4 scores, while averaging 14.52 yards per catch. Adonis Jennings and Keith Kirkwood have both moved on, and that takes 87 receptions off the table from a year ago. Ventell Bryant and Jaden Blue are expected to take over those roles. Bryant caught 29 passes last fall, but Blue will be a freshman. Another freshman, Sean Ryan, out of Brooklyn, brings high expectations, and hopes are that he could have some impact after enrolling early.
The line returns just 2 starters that finished the season in LG Vincent Picozzi and C Matt Hennessey. Jovahn Fair is slated in at RG, and has some experience. Jalein Robinson is penciled in at LT, while James McHale is the RT heading into fall camp. They have both started in the past and have experience, making the transition easier. Depth is going to be a problem, as there has been little development behind this group.
Breakdown Defense: The interior defensive line has some experience coming back with 2 returning starters in Dan Archibong and Michael Dogbe. They combined for 4.5 TFLs last season, and Archibong started as a freshman. Quincy Roche was a huge contributor as a rotational DE last fall, as he totaled 11.5 TFLs as a freshman with 7 sacks. He is a full starter this fall. Dana Levine is starting at the other open DE spot. He totaled 2 sacks off the bench last fall, and should see increased numbers this season. Again, there is not much in the way of depth other than DeAndre Kelly off the bench.
The starting LB unit returns intact in Sam Franklin, Shaun Bradley, and Chapelle Russell. Bradley led the team with 85 tackles last fall, while Russell finished 3rd as a sophomore with 70. Franklin added 59 tackles. Russell is coming off a second major knee injury, and his status may not be clear until well into camp. Bradley finished with 10 TFLs, and is probably the most disruptive of what could be a very good unit.
Delvin Randall returns to start at Safety, but 3 new starters must be found. Luckily there is some experience to rely upon. Randall finished with 83 tackles and 4 INTs last fall. Benny Walls is expected to start at the open Safety spot. He forced 2 fumbles as a sophomore last fall.
Linwood Crump and Rock Ya-Sin are the expected starters at CB. Crump totaled 6 PBUs last fall and added 15 tackles as a sophomore. Ya-Sin does not have as much game experience, but is a senior heading into the season.
Breakdown Special Teams: Aaron Boumerhi is the starter at PK after hitting 15/23 FG attempts last season, but he also missed 2 PATs as well as 8 FG attempts, meaning that he left 26 points on the field last season. He could be pushed in camp, but likely retains the job.
Connor Bowler is expected to win the open Punter job after the departure of Alex Starzyk. He is a freshman.
Wright is expected to be the primary KR man after averaging 24.92 yards per return. He scored once last season. He also averaged 9.91 on punt returns, with one score.
Final Analysis: There is enough returning talent to remain competitive for the Owls in 2018, but not enough talent returning likely to compete for the AAC East title with UCF. Temple could surprise some people with a couple of wins that they should not get, if they could knock off both Maryland and Boston College out of conference. If they could do that, anywhere from 6 to 8 wins could be possible. I will bank on 6 and another bowl.
2018 College Football Team Previews: TCU Horned Frogs
TCU Horned Frogs 2018 Football Preview
Opening Statement: TCU is in a situation where the team can swing in either direction this fall. Only 8 total starters return combined on offense and defense, but they still have Gary Patterson coaching a football team that is coming off 11 wins and a win over Stanford in the Alamo Bowl. There is plenty of talent to go around, and there is no reason to firmly believe that the Horned Frogs cannot make a run for a top 3 spot in the Big 12 race, but do they have enough to push their way into the Big 12 title game in 2018?
Breakdown Offense: Kenny HIll has moved on at QB for the Frogs, and the job is being handed over to dual threat specialist Shawn Robinson. Robinson has serious ability as a runner, as he averaged 6.91 yards per carry in limited duty as a runner last season, but his passing work needs some work, as he completed just 48.1% of his attempted passes, again, in limited duty. If he gets bottled into a one dimensional role, that will really put a damper on what TCU is able to do offensively, and the ride ends before it has had a chance to begin. Penn transfer Michael Collins is available as the backup, but nobody believes that he will push for the starting job at any point.
Darius Anderson is back at RB, and led the team last fall with 768 yards and 8 scores, and averaged 6 yards per carry. He missed 3 games last fall, so keeping him healthy will be paramount to success this fall, especially with a developing QB situation on hand. He was available for the Stanford game, or was thought to be, but did not play. Sewo Olonilua is back as well, and is expected to have an expanded role in the offense beyond goal line work. He rushed for 330 yards, but scored 7 times, and averaged 5.16 yards per carry. Kenady Snell, who has serious speed and pass catching ability, carried 25 times as a freshman last fall, and is the 3rd back.
Jaelin Austin is back to start at WR, but he will be joined by 3 new starters at the position in fall camp. Jalen Reagor, Jarrison Stewart, and KaVontae Turpin are all heading into camp with the edge for those jobs. Austin caught just 15 passes last fall, but averaged 16.13 yards per catch. Reagor actually led the team in receiving, as he caught 33 passes for 576 yards and 8 scores as a rotational receiver last fall. Having him back is exactly like having a front line starter returning. Turpin caught 41 passes, while Stewart caught just 9 as a junior. Omar Manning and Dylan Thomas are top flight backups who could actually start, and Taye Barber and Ni"Jeel Meeking add solid depth.
The line could be a bit shaky, as only 2 starters return in Cordel Iwuagwu (LG) and Lucas Niang (RT). Anthony McKinney and Austin Myers will battle more in fall camp at LT. Kelton Hollins looks locked in at C as of now, but the RG spot is a battle between Chris Gaynor and Trey Elliott.
Breakdown Defense: Defense is always a priority under Patterson, but the entire unit returns just 5 starters this season, with 2 on the line in DE Ben Banogu and DT Ross Blacklock. Banogu is one of the best in the Big 12 and nationally, as he totaled 16.5 TFLs in 2017, and added 8.5 sacks. He also totaled 7 QB hurries and 3 forced fumbles to go with 49 tackles. Blacklock added 6.5 TFLs as a freshman, with a pair of sacks. LJ Collier is expected to start at DE, while Corey Bethley is penciled in at the open DT spot. Bethley totaled 3.5 TFLs last fall as a freshman inside, while Collier added 4.5. Brandon Bowen, Joe Broadnax, George Ellis, and Michael Epley all add some depth up front.
Ty Summers will return at LB, but will have a new partner in crime in the middle, most likely in Garret Wallow. Summers totaled 64 tackles last season, and added 8 TFLs. Wallow is a converted Safety, and will see a ton of competition in fall camp from big time Northern Illinois transfer Jawuan Johnson, who totaled 98 tackles last fall for the Huskies. he added 18 TFLs last season, and added 4 sacks. Johnson will likely overtake the job in fall camp. Arico Evans and Montrel Wilson are the depth. Alec Dunham brings up the rear of the depth chart for now.
The secondary returns just 2 starters in the 4-2-5 set in CB Jeff Gladney and FS Nico Small. Gladney is in his 3rd year on the job, and totaled 5 PBUs, while Small also totaled 5 PBUs last season. Julius Lewis will likely start at the open CB spot, but played in just 3 games last season. Markel Simmons is the S or ROV guy, and missed 2 games last fall. Innis Gaines returns at SS, and forced 2 fumbles last season. Lewis was still injured and was unavailable for spring ball, so look for Tony James to maybe push him out in fall camp.
Breakdown Special Teams: The Frogs have the rare luxury of having 2 high quality PKs return in Cole Bunce and Jonathon Song. Bunce took over when Song was injured last season, but they combined to hit 14/15 FG attempts as sophomores last fall. Bunce has the edge, but I could see both getting opportunities to get work in this fall.
Adam Nunez returns at Punter, and he is a field position punter extreme, but still averaged just 39.34 yards per punt. Andrew David punted 6 times last fall, and is available if needed after averaging 42.83 yards per punt.
Turpin is one of the most dangerous KR men in the Big 12 and in the country after averaging 30.8 yards per return with one score last fall. He also averaged a whopping 16.25 yards per return with one score on punt returns.
Final Analysis: The Frogs are one of those rare teams where perceived weaknesses are strengths, and that is because of a coaching staff that largely sticks together and develops the hell out of every single player they get into camp. There is on expectation of stepping back this season, as all holes are being filled with experienced players who know their jobs. TCU should absolutely be in the thick of the chase for the Big 12 title in 2018, and will surprise some doubters early, They have a huge early season attention grabbing opportunity when they take on Ohio State on 9/15 in Arlington. A win there puts them on a path that many would not otherwise see coming.
Opening Statement: TCU is in a situation where the team can swing in either direction this fall. Only 8 total starters return combined on offense and defense, but they still have Gary Patterson coaching a football team that is coming off 11 wins and a win over Stanford in the Alamo Bowl. There is plenty of talent to go around, and there is no reason to firmly believe that the Horned Frogs cannot make a run for a top 3 spot in the Big 12 race, but do they have enough to push their way into the Big 12 title game in 2018?
Breakdown Offense: Kenny HIll has moved on at QB for the Frogs, and the job is being handed over to dual threat specialist Shawn Robinson. Robinson has serious ability as a runner, as he averaged 6.91 yards per carry in limited duty as a runner last season, but his passing work needs some work, as he completed just 48.1% of his attempted passes, again, in limited duty. If he gets bottled into a one dimensional role, that will really put a damper on what TCU is able to do offensively, and the ride ends before it has had a chance to begin. Penn transfer Michael Collins is available as the backup, but nobody believes that he will push for the starting job at any point.
Darius Anderson is back at RB, and led the team last fall with 768 yards and 8 scores, and averaged 6 yards per carry. He missed 3 games last fall, so keeping him healthy will be paramount to success this fall, especially with a developing QB situation on hand. He was available for the Stanford game, or was thought to be, but did not play. Sewo Olonilua is back as well, and is expected to have an expanded role in the offense beyond goal line work. He rushed for 330 yards, but scored 7 times, and averaged 5.16 yards per carry. Kenady Snell, who has serious speed and pass catching ability, carried 25 times as a freshman last fall, and is the 3rd back.
Jaelin Austin is back to start at WR, but he will be joined by 3 new starters at the position in fall camp. Jalen Reagor, Jarrison Stewart, and KaVontae Turpin are all heading into camp with the edge for those jobs. Austin caught just 15 passes last fall, but averaged 16.13 yards per catch. Reagor actually led the team in receiving, as he caught 33 passes for 576 yards and 8 scores as a rotational receiver last fall. Having him back is exactly like having a front line starter returning. Turpin caught 41 passes, while Stewart caught just 9 as a junior. Omar Manning and Dylan Thomas are top flight backups who could actually start, and Taye Barber and Ni"Jeel Meeking add solid depth.
The line could be a bit shaky, as only 2 starters return in Cordel Iwuagwu (LG) and Lucas Niang (RT). Anthony McKinney and Austin Myers will battle more in fall camp at LT. Kelton Hollins looks locked in at C as of now, but the RG spot is a battle between Chris Gaynor and Trey Elliott.
Breakdown Defense: Defense is always a priority under Patterson, but the entire unit returns just 5 starters this season, with 2 on the line in DE Ben Banogu and DT Ross Blacklock. Banogu is one of the best in the Big 12 and nationally, as he totaled 16.5 TFLs in 2017, and added 8.5 sacks. He also totaled 7 QB hurries and 3 forced fumbles to go with 49 tackles. Blacklock added 6.5 TFLs as a freshman, with a pair of sacks. LJ Collier is expected to start at DE, while Corey Bethley is penciled in at the open DT spot. Bethley totaled 3.5 TFLs last fall as a freshman inside, while Collier added 4.5. Brandon Bowen, Joe Broadnax, George Ellis, and Michael Epley all add some depth up front.
Ty Summers will return at LB, but will have a new partner in crime in the middle, most likely in Garret Wallow. Summers totaled 64 tackles last season, and added 8 TFLs. Wallow is a converted Safety, and will see a ton of competition in fall camp from big time Northern Illinois transfer Jawuan Johnson, who totaled 98 tackles last fall for the Huskies. he added 18 TFLs last season, and added 4 sacks. Johnson will likely overtake the job in fall camp. Arico Evans and Montrel Wilson are the depth. Alec Dunham brings up the rear of the depth chart for now.
The secondary returns just 2 starters in the 4-2-5 set in CB Jeff Gladney and FS Nico Small. Gladney is in his 3rd year on the job, and totaled 5 PBUs, while Small also totaled 5 PBUs last season. Julius Lewis will likely start at the open CB spot, but played in just 3 games last season. Markel Simmons is the S or ROV guy, and missed 2 games last fall. Innis Gaines returns at SS, and forced 2 fumbles last season. Lewis was still injured and was unavailable for spring ball, so look for Tony James to maybe push him out in fall camp.
Breakdown Special Teams: The Frogs have the rare luxury of having 2 high quality PKs return in Cole Bunce and Jonathon Song. Bunce took over when Song was injured last season, but they combined to hit 14/15 FG attempts as sophomores last fall. Bunce has the edge, but I could see both getting opportunities to get work in this fall.
Adam Nunez returns at Punter, and he is a field position punter extreme, but still averaged just 39.34 yards per punt. Andrew David punted 6 times last fall, and is available if needed after averaging 42.83 yards per punt.
Turpin is one of the most dangerous KR men in the Big 12 and in the country after averaging 30.8 yards per return with one score last fall. He also averaged a whopping 16.25 yards per return with one score on punt returns.
Final Analysis: The Frogs are one of those rare teams where perceived weaknesses are strengths, and that is because of a coaching staff that largely sticks together and develops the hell out of every single player they get into camp. There is on expectation of stepping back this season, as all holes are being filled with experienced players who know their jobs. TCU should absolutely be in the thick of the chase for the Big 12 title in 2018, and will surprise some doubters early, They have a huge early season attention grabbing opportunity when they take on Ohio State on 9/15 in Arlington. A win there puts them on a path that many would not otherwise see coming.
2018 College Football Team Previews: Syracuse Orange
Syracuse Orange 2018 Football Preview
Opening Statement: Syracuse comes into the 2018 season on a 5 game skid, and coming off back to back 4-8 seasons under head coach Dino Babers, who is in, what I call, the prove it or lose it year of his tenure. The upset win over Clemson was huge last fall, but the response to that upset was this 5 game muckfest, and it would seem that the Orange got no bump from it, and you cannot allow that to happen, as it squandered a huge opportunity for the program to turn a corner. The same thing happened in his first season after a win over Virginia Tech, ranked 18th at the time, the Orange finished 1-4. That is a 1-9 record after beating a ranked opponent under Babers, and we call that a trend. Can Syracuse turn a corner this fall, or will anyone finally admit that joining the ACC was putting this program in way over its head?
Breakdown Offense: There are no more excuses. Syracuse returns 8 starters on offense, led by returning QB Eric Dungey, who still has problems staying healthy. He missed 3 games last season, and 3 in 2016, and when Dungey does not start, the Orange does not stand a chance at winning. Even when on the field, his positive numbers get far more attention than the negatives, like completing just 59.7% of his passes, and tossing 9 picks in 9 games to just 14 TD passes. Syracuse needs 2 things from him. Stay on the field, and get consistent. Tommy DeVito is the backup as a RS freshman, and tossed 3 TD passes in the spring game, for what that is worth.
Dontae Strickland is the starter at RB for the Orange, but rushed for just 482 yards last fall, averagin just 3.77 yards per carry. Moe Neal rushed for 488 yards last fall, but socred only one time, but averaged 5.02 yards per carry. In all, Syracuse ra nked just 70th nationally last fall, rushing as a team for 161.5 yards per game, but no single back rushed for more than Neal, and Dungey led the team with 577 yards. A star is needed here, or even someone who wants to take the reigns.
Devin Butler is back to start at WR, but 2 new starters are needed to pair with him. Butler, as is, caught 33 passes, but averaged just 9.91 yards per catch last fall. Someone needs to step in to stretch the field. Sharod Johnson and Nykeim Johnson are slated to fill the two open jobs, but only Nykeim caught any passes last season, and he caught just 8. There is no actual developed depth behind this group.
TE Ravian Pierce returns, and caught 29 passes, but mostly of the shorter variety. he did manage to score 4 times last season.
The line returns 4 starters this fall in Cody Conway (LT), Sam Heckel (C), Evan Adams (RG), and Airon Servais (RT). Aaron Roberts, a senior, projects to start at LG. All five of these linemen have starting experience, and Syracuse has not had that luxury in 30 years.
Breakdown Defense: Syracuse ranked 105th nationally in total defense, allowing 444 yards per game. Once again, 7 starters return, so excuses are running thin.
Three starters return on the line in DE Kendall Coleman, DE Alton Robinson, and DT Chris Slayton. Slayton is the leader of this group after finishing with 8.5 TFLs last fall. Robinson added 6 TFLs, and led the team with 5 sacks. Coleman finished with just 2.5 TFLs last season, and could be the wek link. McKinley Williams is projected as the new starter at DT, and totaled 4 TFLs as a sophomore in rotation last fall.
All 3 starting LBs must be replaced this fall. Ryan Guthrie, Kielan Whitner, and Andrew Armstrong are the starters coming out of spring football. Lakeim Williams, Tyrell Richards, and Nadarius Fagan will likely also be in the mix, but none are very experienced, and Williams, specifically, was banged up in camp and is behind the group in terms of learning curve.
There is, however, experience coming back in the secondary, as 3 starters return in CBs Chris Fredrick and Scoop Bradshaw, and SS Evan Foster. Fredrick and Bradshaw combined for 10 PBUs last fall, but Fredrick was the only player of the 2 to pick off a pass, and he had just one, which tied for the team lead. Foster totaled 4 PBUs, and finished 3rd on the team with 64 tackles. Antwan cordy is expected to step in and win the FS job. Cordy is an injury risk, as he has missed most of the last 2 seasons. There is a massive drop in talent when it comes to the second team players here, and this was also a unit that finished just 97th nationally against the pass, allowing 247.3 yards passing per game.
Breakdown Special Teams: Cole Murphy hit 20/27 FGs last season, but now has to be replaced. Starting Punter Sterling Hofrichter will likely handle both jobs this fall. He did manage to hit 2/3 FG attempts in limited action last fall, and he has a solid leg on punts, averaging 43.19 yards per punt.
Sean Riley handled a bulk of the KR duties last fall, and averaged 24.48 yards per return, and is back to handle the job once more. He also averaged 7.76 yards per punt return on the season, and will handle that job as well.
Final Analysis: This is a critical season for Dino Babers and his staff, as Syracuse should be pushing for a bowl bid in year 3. The issue is that they don't have the roster, or the talent, to make that push, and if Syracuse were to make it that far in 2018, it would be a miracle of miracles. In short, I believe that Babers could be on the hot seat at the conclusion of the coming season, and even though I think it would be likely, short of a massive disaster, to see him return in 2019, but the expectations would be win now, or else. I just do not see the Orange having what they need to take the next step, and that is discouraging for the further development of the program under Babers at this point.
Opening Statement: Syracuse comes into the 2018 season on a 5 game skid, and coming off back to back 4-8 seasons under head coach Dino Babers, who is in, what I call, the prove it or lose it year of his tenure. The upset win over Clemson was huge last fall, but the response to that upset was this 5 game muckfest, and it would seem that the Orange got no bump from it, and you cannot allow that to happen, as it squandered a huge opportunity for the program to turn a corner. The same thing happened in his first season after a win over Virginia Tech, ranked 18th at the time, the Orange finished 1-4. That is a 1-9 record after beating a ranked opponent under Babers, and we call that a trend. Can Syracuse turn a corner this fall, or will anyone finally admit that joining the ACC was putting this program in way over its head?
Breakdown Offense: There are no more excuses. Syracuse returns 8 starters on offense, led by returning QB Eric Dungey, who still has problems staying healthy. He missed 3 games last season, and 3 in 2016, and when Dungey does not start, the Orange does not stand a chance at winning. Even when on the field, his positive numbers get far more attention than the negatives, like completing just 59.7% of his passes, and tossing 9 picks in 9 games to just 14 TD passes. Syracuse needs 2 things from him. Stay on the field, and get consistent. Tommy DeVito is the backup as a RS freshman, and tossed 3 TD passes in the spring game, for what that is worth.
Dontae Strickland is the starter at RB for the Orange, but rushed for just 482 yards last fall, averagin just 3.77 yards per carry. Moe Neal rushed for 488 yards last fall, but socred only one time, but averaged 5.02 yards per carry. In all, Syracuse ra nked just 70th nationally last fall, rushing as a team for 161.5 yards per game, but no single back rushed for more than Neal, and Dungey led the team with 577 yards. A star is needed here, or even someone who wants to take the reigns.
Devin Butler is back to start at WR, but 2 new starters are needed to pair with him. Butler, as is, caught 33 passes, but averaged just 9.91 yards per catch last fall. Someone needs to step in to stretch the field. Sharod Johnson and Nykeim Johnson are slated to fill the two open jobs, but only Nykeim caught any passes last season, and he caught just 8. There is no actual developed depth behind this group.
TE Ravian Pierce returns, and caught 29 passes, but mostly of the shorter variety. he did manage to score 4 times last season.
The line returns 4 starters this fall in Cody Conway (LT), Sam Heckel (C), Evan Adams (RG), and Airon Servais (RT). Aaron Roberts, a senior, projects to start at LG. All five of these linemen have starting experience, and Syracuse has not had that luxury in 30 years.
Breakdown Defense: Syracuse ranked 105th nationally in total defense, allowing 444 yards per game. Once again, 7 starters return, so excuses are running thin.
Three starters return on the line in DE Kendall Coleman, DE Alton Robinson, and DT Chris Slayton. Slayton is the leader of this group after finishing with 8.5 TFLs last fall. Robinson added 6 TFLs, and led the team with 5 sacks. Coleman finished with just 2.5 TFLs last season, and could be the wek link. McKinley Williams is projected as the new starter at DT, and totaled 4 TFLs as a sophomore in rotation last fall.
All 3 starting LBs must be replaced this fall. Ryan Guthrie, Kielan Whitner, and Andrew Armstrong are the starters coming out of spring football. Lakeim Williams, Tyrell Richards, and Nadarius Fagan will likely also be in the mix, but none are very experienced, and Williams, specifically, was banged up in camp and is behind the group in terms of learning curve.
There is, however, experience coming back in the secondary, as 3 starters return in CBs Chris Fredrick and Scoop Bradshaw, and SS Evan Foster. Fredrick and Bradshaw combined for 10 PBUs last fall, but Fredrick was the only player of the 2 to pick off a pass, and he had just one, which tied for the team lead. Foster totaled 4 PBUs, and finished 3rd on the team with 64 tackles. Antwan cordy is expected to step in and win the FS job. Cordy is an injury risk, as he has missed most of the last 2 seasons. There is a massive drop in talent when it comes to the second team players here, and this was also a unit that finished just 97th nationally against the pass, allowing 247.3 yards passing per game.
Breakdown Special Teams: Cole Murphy hit 20/27 FGs last season, but now has to be replaced. Starting Punter Sterling Hofrichter will likely handle both jobs this fall. He did manage to hit 2/3 FG attempts in limited action last fall, and he has a solid leg on punts, averaging 43.19 yards per punt.
Sean Riley handled a bulk of the KR duties last fall, and averaged 24.48 yards per return, and is back to handle the job once more. He also averaged 7.76 yards per punt return on the season, and will handle that job as well.
Final Analysis: This is a critical season for Dino Babers and his staff, as Syracuse should be pushing for a bowl bid in year 3. The issue is that they don't have the roster, or the talent, to make that push, and if Syracuse were to make it that far in 2018, it would be a miracle of miracles. In short, I believe that Babers could be on the hot seat at the conclusion of the coming season, and even though I think it would be likely, short of a massive disaster, to see him return in 2019, but the expectations would be win now, or else. I just do not see the Orange having what they need to take the next step, and that is discouraging for the further development of the program under Babers at this point.
Tuesday, July 3, 2018
2018 College Football Team Previews: Stanford Cardinal
Stanford Cardinal 2018 Football Preview
Opening Statement: Of course, 2017 was not a banner year for the PAC-12 overall, and Stanford found a way to steal the North title with just 9 wins by virtue of a 30-22 win over Washington in Palo Alto. They have clarity for the first time in years at QB, with KJ Costello getting the full time gig, and Bryce Love spurned millions in the NFL draft to return for his senior season on the farm. For Stanford to repeat in the North, however, they will have to find more options than just getting the ball to Love as much as they did a year ago, and the offense has to diversify. There is a new OC in Tavita Pritchard, but offense is not the only side of the football with questions, as the top 3 defenders have moved on, leaving huge holes on the defensive side. David Shaw will find a way to make it work, as he may be the best coach in the nation not named Nick Saban.
Breakdown Offense: Costello has the job at QB with nobody looking over his shoulder this fall. He played in 11 games last season, but could not stay entirely healthy, and if he fails to stay on the field this fall, there is no safety net to protect the offense. He passed for 1573 yards with 14 TDs and just 4 INTs in 11 games, so for now, he is the perfect game manager type to run the Stanford offense, but they may need more than that. Junior Jack Richardson and sophomore David Mills were the only other QBs on the roster in spring ball.
Bryce Love is the heart and soul of the offense, and is the best returning RB in the nation nationally for 2018 after spurning the NFL. He rushed for 2118 yards and 19 scores last fall, and averaged 8.05 yards per carry and 162.92 yards rushing per game. He averaged 20.23 carries per game, and will try to take pressure off the passing game once again. Even with Love last season, Stanford ranked just 30th in rushing offense per game, as there is little evident depth behind him. Cameron Scarlett ran for 8 scores, but he is not the impact back that Love is, and Trevor Speights carried the ball just 36 times last season. Dorian Maddox returns as well, but finding young talent to develop is a must, because this whole group may be gone next year. Reagan Williams left spring ball as the starter at FB
Trenton Irwin and JJ Arcega-Whiteside are the returning starter at WR. Arcega-Whiteside is the star here after catching 48 passes for 781 yards and 9 scores last fall. He averaged 16.27 yards per catch. Irwin caught 43 passes for 461 yards and 2 scores, and is more of a possession receiver, averaging just over 10 yards per catch. Connor Wedington and Donald Stewart are the immediate backups. Wedington caught 31 passes as a freshman last fall, but averaged just 7.84 yards per catch.
Kaden Smith has the edge to start at TE this fall. He caught 23 passes last fall as a sophomore, and averaged a whopping 18 yards per catch, a huge number for a TE in this offense. Scooter Harrington and Colby Parkinson are both returning as the backups.
The offensive line is once again a strength for the Cardinal, as 4 starters return in Walker Little (LT), Nate Herbig (LG), Jesse Burkett (C), and AT Hall (RT). Brandon Fanaika, a senior, is expected to step in at RG. Devery Hamilton has the ability to push for a starting job at LT, while Foster Sarell will be a primary backup as well. Senior Nick Wilson will back up at OG, while Senior Brian Chaffin brings even more depth at C.
Breakdown Defense: Harrison Phillips has moved on from the defensive line to the NFL, leaving a massive hole in the middle of the defensive front. Dylan Jackson is the only returning starter on the line, and will line up at DE once again. He totaled just 1.5 TFLs, and will be a full time starter for the first time. Jovan Swann is expected to line up opposite him at DE, while Michael Williams gets first crack at the NT job vacated by Phillips. Junior Thomas Schaffer will serve as depth at DE. This is not a particularly deep front group for Lance Anderson's defense.
Bobby Okereke and Jordan Perez will both be back to start at LB this fall. Okereke totaled 96 tackles and added 7.5 TFLs. Perez totaled 66 tackles, but was not much in terms of making plays behind the line. Joey Alfieri and Casey Toohill left spring ball as starters at the OLB spots. They combined for 58 tackles as reserves last season. Curtis Robinson could push for a starting job at OLB, and Jordan Fox could be in the mix as well. Senior Mustafa Branch could push for more time inside.
Justin Reid is gone at Safety, and Quentin Meeks is also gone at CB, so a ton of production has to be replaced in camp. Alijah Holder is back at CB, while Frank Buncom is back at Safety. Holder totaled just 3 PBUs last fall, but did force 3 fumbles. Bucom totaled 46 tackles, and was not much in pass defense. Malik Antoine is the likely starter replacing Meeks, and totaled 4 PBUs. Ben Edwards, a senior, replaces Reid, and totaled 39 tackles. Depth will be a developmental thing this season.
Breakdown Special Teams: Jet Toner returns, and is one of the better PKs in the nation after hitting 21/26 FG attempts last fall.
Jake Bailey is back at Puntr after averaging a rock solid 45.37 yards per punt, so the overall Cardinal kicking game is in excellent shape.
Scarlett and Maddox are back on KR duty, and are a dangerous duo to be sure. As a unit, they averaged over 25 yards per return last fall. Jay Tyler joins Irwin as main PR candidates, and both are solid in the job.
Final Analysis: When you lose your best defenders, 3 of them in total, it is hard to see where Stanford could be the favorite to win the North, and they are not, as Washington gets the edge in projections once again. That said, the one who doubts the ability of Shaw and his staff to find talent and ways to use it are fools. Mike Bloomgren left as OC for the Rice head job, but Pritchard has been a rising star, and should be just fine with Shaw there to mentor him along. Anderson was a candidate for several jobs, but stayed as DC, which is a gain. Costello has to stay consistent, and healthy, and Love has to be able to have clear running lanes once again if Stanford is to make a push. The Cardinal should have a schedule that sets up for 9 wins, but there are a few traps along the way, as the San Diego State game sets up as a grudge match in the opener. In any event, Stanford will have a say in who wins the PAC-12 North once again.
Opening Statement: Of course, 2017 was not a banner year for the PAC-12 overall, and Stanford found a way to steal the North title with just 9 wins by virtue of a 30-22 win over Washington in Palo Alto. They have clarity for the first time in years at QB, with KJ Costello getting the full time gig, and Bryce Love spurned millions in the NFL draft to return for his senior season on the farm. For Stanford to repeat in the North, however, they will have to find more options than just getting the ball to Love as much as they did a year ago, and the offense has to diversify. There is a new OC in Tavita Pritchard, but offense is not the only side of the football with questions, as the top 3 defenders have moved on, leaving huge holes on the defensive side. David Shaw will find a way to make it work, as he may be the best coach in the nation not named Nick Saban.
Breakdown Offense: Costello has the job at QB with nobody looking over his shoulder this fall. He played in 11 games last season, but could not stay entirely healthy, and if he fails to stay on the field this fall, there is no safety net to protect the offense. He passed for 1573 yards with 14 TDs and just 4 INTs in 11 games, so for now, he is the perfect game manager type to run the Stanford offense, but they may need more than that. Junior Jack Richardson and sophomore David Mills were the only other QBs on the roster in spring ball.
Bryce Love is the heart and soul of the offense, and is the best returning RB in the nation nationally for 2018 after spurning the NFL. He rushed for 2118 yards and 19 scores last fall, and averaged 8.05 yards per carry and 162.92 yards rushing per game. He averaged 20.23 carries per game, and will try to take pressure off the passing game once again. Even with Love last season, Stanford ranked just 30th in rushing offense per game, as there is little evident depth behind him. Cameron Scarlett ran for 8 scores, but he is not the impact back that Love is, and Trevor Speights carried the ball just 36 times last season. Dorian Maddox returns as well, but finding young talent to develop is a must, because this whole group may be gone next year. Reagan Williams left spring ball as the starter at FB
Trenton Irwin and JJ Arcega-Whiteside are the returning starter at WR. Arcega-Whiteside is the star here after catching 48 passes for 781 yards and 9 scores last fall. He averaged 16.27 yards per catch. Irwin caught 43 passes for 461 yards and 2 scores, and is more of a possession receiver, averaging just over 10 yards per catch. Connor Wedington and Donald Stewart are the immediate backups. Wedington caught 31 passes as a freshman last fall, but averaged just 7.84 yards per catch.
Kaden Smith has the edge to start at TE this fall. He caught 23 passes last fall as a sophomore, and averaged a whopping 18 yards per catch, a huge number for a TE in this offense. Scooter Harrington and Colby Parkinson are both returning as the backups.
The offensive line is once again a strength for the Cardinal, as 4 starters return in Walker Little (LT), Nate Herbig (LG), Jesse Burkett (C), and AT Hall (RT). Brandon Fanaika, a senior, is expected to step in at RG. Devery Hamilton has the ability to push for a starting job at LT, while Foster Sarell will be a primary backup as well. Senior Nick Wilson will back up at OG, while Senior Brian Chaffin brings even more depth at C.
Breakdown Defense: Harrison Phillips has moved on from the defensive line to the NFL, leaving a massive hole in the middle of the defensive front. Dylan Jackson is the only returning starter on the line, and will line up at DE once again. He totaled just 1.5 TFLs, and will be a full time starter for the first time. Jovan Swann is expected to line up opposite him at DE, while Michael Williams gets first crack at the NT job vacated by Phillips. Junior Thomas Schaffer will serve as depth at DE. This is not a particularly deep front group for Lance Anderson's defense.
Bobby Okereke and Jordan Perez will both be back to start at LB this fall. Okereke totaled 96 tackles and added 7.5 TFLs. Perez totaled 66 tackles, but was not much in terms of making plays behind the line. Joey Alfieri and Casey Toohill left spring ball as starters at the OLB spots. They combined for 58 tackles as reserves last season. Curtis Robinson could push for a starting job at OLB, and Jordan Fox could be in the mix as well. Senior Mustafa Branch could push for more time inside.
Justin Reid is gone at Safety, and Quentin Meeks is also gone at CB, so a ton of production has to be replaced in camp. Alijah Holder is back at CB, while Frank Buncom is back at Safety. Holder totaled just 3 PBUs last fall, but did force 3 fumbles. Bucom totaled 46 tackles, and was not much in pass defense. Malik Antoine is the likely starter replacing Meeks, and totaled 4 PBUs. Ben Edwards, a senior, replaces Reid, and totaled 39 tackles. Depth will be a developmental thing this season.
Breakdown Special Teams: Jet Toner returns, and is one of the better PKs in the nation after hitting 21/26 FG attempts last fall.
Jake Bailey is back at Puntr after averaging a rock solid 45.37 yards per punt, so the overall Cardinal kicking game is in excellent shape.
Scarlett and Maddox are back on KR duty, and are a dangerous duo to be sure. As a unit, they averaged over 25 yards per return last fall. Jay Tyler joins Irwin as main PR candidates, and both are solid in the job.
Final Analysis: When you lose your best defenders, 3 of them in total, it is hard to see where Stanford could be the favorite to win the North, and they are not, as Washington gets the edge in projections once again. That said, the one who doubts the ability of Shaw and his staff to find talent and ways to use it are fools. Mike Bloomgren left as OC for the Rice head job, but Pritchard has been a rising star, and should be just fine with Shaw there to mentor him along. Anderson was a candidate for several jobs, but stayed as DC, which is a gain. Costello has to stay consistent, and healthy, and Love has to be able to have clear running lanes once again if Stanford is to make a push. The Cardinal should have a schedule that sets up for 9 wins, but there are a few traps along the way, as the San Diego State game sets up as a grudge match in the opener. In any event, Stanford will have a say in who wins the PAC-12 North once again.
2018 College Football Team Previews: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles
Southern Miss Golden Eagles 2018 Football Preview
Opening Statement: Stability has returned to Southern Miss after the disastrous end to the Larry Fedora era left the cupboard empty, and he fled for the hills to North Carolina. Jay Hopson has returned the program to respectability, but he still has a great deal of work to do. The Eagles should be the kind of program that dominates in the CUSA West, and they are not at that point yet. Can Hopson get them there by 2019?
Breakdown Offense: The QB job is up in the air as we head into fall camp. JC transfer Jack Abraham looks like he could take the job, but Hopson has not granted him the position just yet, as Keon Howard, who played in 9 games last season, is still in the mix and is showing signs of improvement. Kwadra Griggs started 6 games last season, and passed for 18 TDs to just 2 INTs, but missed spring ball with an injury. If healthy, he is still very much in the mix.
The loss of Ito Smith at RB will hurt, and the unit remaining is not deep. RS freshman Steven Anderson emerged in spring ball, while RS senior George Payne returns as well. Tez Parks carried the ball 53 times as the backup last season, and is in the mix as well. This could be a committee group until someone emerges in fall camp or later.
All 4 starting receivers must be replaced in camp, and this is another clear indicator that it could be another year until the Eagles emerge from the CUSA West pack. Quaz Watkins, Jaylond Adams, Tim Jones, and Travon Terry all came out of spring ball as the leaders to start. This entire group combined for just 37 receptions last fall, so depth is out of the question here.
The line returns 3 starters in Drake Dorbeck (LT), Arvin Fletcher (LG), and Ty Pollard (RG). The Eagles may be starting a true freshman at C this fall in Trace Clopton, while Woodylson Alcius, a sophomore, is projected at RT. Both of those spots could be problems if the youngsters don't gel quickly in camp. Dorbeck, the leader of the group, was banged up a good deal of spring ball, but should be ready to go in the fall, and could slide over to start at RT. Wyatt Richtofen could still be in the mix for the C job, while Bryce Foxworth could emerge at LT if Dorbeck moves to the right side.
Breakdown Defense: LaDarius Harris is the only returning starter on the defensive line, and will be filling his old DT spot. He totaled 5.5 TFLs last season in the middle. Jacques Turner looks like the new starter at DE, while Dalmond Landry gets the edge at NT. Turner totaled 7.5 TFLs last fall, while Landry added 3 TFLs as a junior. DeMarrio SMith could add some depth at DT. Paxton Schrimsher has the edge to start at the WOLF position, and led the team with 11 TFLs last fall, and added 5.5 sacks. Darian Yancey adds depth there.
The Golden Eagles appear set at LB, ad both Racheem Boothe and Jeremy Sangster return as starters. Boothe totaled 79 tackles as a freshman last fall, and added 3.5 sacks and 9 TFLs. Sangster totaled 56 tackles, and added 7 TFLs and 2 sacks.
The entire secondary must be replaced in fall camp. Picasso Nelson is the most experienced player back, but he missed all of last season, and was not overly productive in 2016. He starts at one Safety spot, and is joined by Xavier Marion. JC transfer Ty Williams joins Rachuan Mitchell to start at CB. Mitchell has all of 3 starts to his name. Tyler Barnes fills the FS spot. There is no experienced depth available.
Breakdown Special Teams: Parker Shaunfield is 29/34 on FG attempts over the last two seasons, and returns for his final season at Southern Miss. He may be depended upon quite a bit with an offense trying to gel all of its parts together.
Zac Everett is back at Punter, and was solid with a 40.58 yards per punt average last fall as a freshman.
T'Rod Daniels and Quez Watkins return at KR, but neither displayed home run ability in the return game last season. Watkins could also win the PR job in camp.
Final Analysis: There is talent at QB, but no clear answer as to who will pull the trigger under center when the Eagles open the season against Jackson State on 9/1. With so many holes across the roster and depth charts, I would find it hard to believe that Southern Miss will find themselves chasing the CUSA West title this season, but that could change in 2019, when so much of this young talent emerges. There is an opportunity with the schedule to win 6 games and slide into a lower tier bowl game, but thatcould be the ceiling, and there is little room for error.
Opening Statement: Stability has returned to Southern Miss after the disastrous end to the Larry Fedora era left the cupboard empty, and he fled for the hills to North Carolina. Jay Hopson has returned the program to respectability, but he still has a great deal of work to do. The Eagles should be the kind of program that dominates in the CUSA West, and they are not at that point yet. Can Hopson get them there by 2019?
Breakdown Offense: The QB job is up in the air as we head into fall camp. JC transfer Jack Abraham looks like he could take the job, but Hopson has not granted him the position just yet, as Keon Howard, who played in 9 games last season, is still in the mix and is showing signs of improvement. Kwadra Griggs started 6 games last season, and passed for 18 TDs to just 2 INTs, but missed spring ball with an injury. If healthy, he is still very much in the mix.
The loss of Ito Smith at RB will hurt, and the unit remaining is not deep. RS freshman Steven Anderson emerged in spring ball, while RS senior George Payne returns as well. Tez Parks carried the ball 53 times as the backup last season, and is in the mix as well. This could be a committee group until someone emerges in fall camp or later.
All 4 starting receivers must be replaced in camp, and this is another clear indicator that it could be another year until the Eagles emerge from the CUSA West pack. Quaz Watkins, Jaylond Adams, Tim Jones, and Travon Terry all came out of spring ball as the leaders to start. This entire group combined for just 37 receptions last fall, so depth is out of the question here.
The line returns 3 starters in Drake Dorbeck (LT), Arvin Fletcher (LG), and Ty Pollard (RG). The Eagles may be starting a true freshman at C this fall in Trace Clopton, while Woodylson Alcius, a sophomore, is projected at RT. Both of those spots could be problems if the youngsters don't gel quickly in camp. Dorbeck, the leader of the group, was banged up a good deal of spring ball, but should be ready to go in the fall, and could slide over to start at RT. Wyatt Richtofen could still be in the mix for the C job, while Bryce Foxworth could emerge at LT if Dorbeck moves to the right side.
Breakdown Defense: LaDarius Harris is the only returning starter on the defensive line, and will be filling his old DT spot. He totaled 5.5 TFLs last season in the middle. Jacques Turner looks like the new starter at DE, while Dalmond Landry gets the edge at NT. Turner totaled 7.5 TFLs last fall, while Landry added 3 TFLs as a junior. DeMarrio SMith could add some depth at DT. Paxton Schrimsher has the edge to start at the WOLF position, and led the team with 11 TFLs last fall, and added 5.5 sacks. Darian Yancey adds depth there.
The Golden Eagles appear set at LB, ad both Racheem Boothe and Jeremy Sangster return as starters. Boothe totaled 79 tackles as a freshman last fall, and added 3.5 sacks and 9 TFLs. Sangster totaled 56 tackles, and added 7 TFLs and 2 sacks.
The entire secondary must be replaced in fall camp. Picasso Nelson is the most experienced player back, but he missed all of last season, and was not overly productive in 2016. He starts at one Safety spot, and is joined by Xavier Marion. JC transfer Ty Williams joins Rachuan Mitchell to start at CB. Mitchell has all of 3 starts to his name. Tyler Barnes fills the FS spot. There is no experienced depth available.
Breakdown Special Teams: Parker Shaunfield is 29/34 on FG attempts over the last two seasons, and returns for his final season at Southern Miss. He may be depended upon quite a bit with an offense trying to gel all of its parts together.
Zac Everett is back at Punter, and was solid with a 40.58 yards per punt average last fall as a freshman.
T'Rod Daniels and Quez Watkins return at KR, but neither displayed home run ability in the return game last season. Watkins could also win the PR job in camp.
Final Analysis: There is talent at QB, but no clear answer as to who will pull the trigger under center when the Eagles open the season against Jackson State on 9/1. With so many holes across the roster and depth charts, I would find it hard to believe that Southern Miss will find themselves chasing the CUSA West title this season, but that could change in 2019, when so much of this young talent emerges. There is an opportunity with the schedule to win 6 games and slide into a lower tier bowl game, but thatcould be the ceiling, and there is little room for error.
2018 College Football Team Previews: USF Bulls
USF Bulls 2018 Football Preview
Opening Statement: When Willie Taggart moved on after rebuilding the Bulls successfully for Oregon, the perfect fit was the move to hire Charlie Strong, who had just been fired at Texas. Strong was never going to work out at Texas, and never had full support there, but in Tampa, he could be a star that he should be, and after a 10 win season in his first year at USF, it was proven that he could absolutely still coach. The Bulls have some challenges now, and Strong must replace several key positions , as just 11 total starters return this fall, and none of them are named Quentin Flowers.
Breakdown Offense: Brett Kean has been given the edge at QB for now, as he is the most experienced of the group coming into fall camp. He completed 7/11 passing attempts last fall, and had a solid showing in spring camp. Chris Oladokun is a physically gifted player, who may better fit the job, and he is still very much in the mix as we enter fall camp to replace Flowers. He played in just 2 games last season, and completed his only pass attempt.
The Bulls are literally starting over again at RB, as they lose 4 of their top 5 rushers from a season ago, including Flowers, who led the team. Elijah Mack is getting the edge for now, but carried the football just 3 times for 10 yards last season. Jordan Kronkite could see some time as well, and Trevon Sands returns as the most experienced back here from last season, as he carried the ball 26 times, but did not overwhelm anyone.
The new QB will have 2 returning starters at WR coming back, which is solid news. Darnell Salomon and Tyre McCants are both back. McCants was the better of the 2, as he posted 36-686-7, and averaged 19.06 yards per catch. Salomon posted 32-512-5, and averaged 16 yards per catch, so big play options remain in the passing game. Ryeshene Bronson projects as the 3rd starter, but Randall St. Felix could also still emerge with the job when the Bulls open the season against Elon on 9/1. DeAngelo Antoine will back up McCants in the SLOT, while Stanley Clerveaux backs up Salomon.
Mitchell Wilcox will return to start at TE, and caught 17 passes last fall as a sophomore. Frederick Lloyd, Jr., a RS freshman, has emerged as the possible backup.
The line returns 3 starters in LT Eric Mayes, RG William Atterbury, and RT Marcus Norman. Mayes was banged up in spring camp, and Atterbury worked at LT in his absence, but will slide back to RG if Mayes is healthy. RS freshman Demetrius Harris projects to start at LG, while sophomore Michael Wiggs is the leader at C. Christion Gainer and Jeremiah Stafford are the backups at Tackle, and Hal Roberson projects to back up at both OG spots. Jean Marcellus is the back up at C.
Breakdown Defense: Strong, a former DC, has to fill 3 starter roles on the defensive line as we head to fall camp. Only DE Greg Reaves returns to start. He led the team last fall with 14 TFLs, and added 4 sacks, and will have to be the leader up front. Kirk Livingstone projects as the starter at the open DE spot. Josh Black and Vincent Jackson are the backups. Reaves was recovering from injury all spring.
The Bulls have 2 new starters at DT, with Kevin Bronson and Kelvin Pinckney having the edge to start. Kevin Kegler and Mi'Cario Stanley, both sophomores, are the backups. The Bulls recruited well, and 4 incoming freshman hit campus in fall camp, and any of them could push for time.
Nico Sawtelle is the lone returning starter at LB for the Bulls. He totaled 54 tackles , and added 4.5 TFLs last season, and will anchor the MIKE spot. Khalid McGee could win the OLB spot in fall camp as a senior, as he totaled 38 tackles last season. Keirston Johnson backs up the MLB spot, while freshman Dwayne Boyles could push McGee.
The secondary returns 3 starters in the 4-2-5 set in CB Mazzi Wilkins, NB Ronnie Hoggins, and SS Jaymon Thomas. Wilkins totaled 9 PBUs and 3 INTs last season, while Hoggins totaled 9 PBUs and 2 picks from the Nickel spot. Thomas finished with 3 PBUs, one INT, and 44 tackles. Chris Barr, a senior, could start at the open CB spot, but sophomore Mike Hampton and freshman Nick Roberts could push him into a backup role once again. Craig Watts is the backup at NB, while Mekhi LaPointe is the backup to Thomas. Naytron Culpepper and Nate Ferguson are in a battle for the open Safety spot heading into fall camp.
Breakdown Special Teams: Losing Emilio Nadelman at PK will hurt, after he hit 21 FG tries last fall. Jake Vivonetto, a senior, will try to take over the job.
The Bulls will also turn to a freshman at Punter this fall in Trent Schneider after losing Jonathon Hernandez, who averaged over 43 yards per punt last fall.
McCants looks like he could inherit the KR job that is now open, while the PR job is wide open heading to camp.
Final Analysis: I cannot say to you that I expect the Bulls to get anywhere close to 10 wins again in 2018, especially with all the key losses and holes across the board. I can see them pushing for 8 wins this fall, as the schedule is more than forgiving for a team with so much work to do in camp. The Bulls could potentially start out 6-1 before they play the tougher part of their schedule, and a fast start would go a long way to getting them back into the chase in the AAC, especially as that kind of start builds confidence. I do not see the Bulls pushing UCF in the AAC East, but a very solid season could still be in store if all the new parts gel.
Opening Statement: When Willie Taggart moved on after rebuilding the Bulls successfully for Oregon, the perfect fit was the move to hire Charlie Strong, who had just been fired at Texas. Strong was never going to work out at Texas, and never had full support there, but in Tampa, he could be a star that he should be, and after a 10 win season in his first year at USF, it was proven that he could absolutely still coach. The Bulls have some challenges now, and Strong must replace several key positions , as just 11 total starters return this fall, and none of them are named Quentin Flowers.
Breakdown Offense: Brett Kean has been given the edge at QB for now, as he is the most experienced of the group coming into fall camp. He completed 7/11 passing attempts last fall, and had a solid showing in spring camp. Chris Oladokun is a physically gifted player, who may better fit the job, and he is still very much in the mix as we enter fall camp to replace Flowers. He played in just 2 games last season, and completed his only pass attempt.
The Bulls are literally starting over again at RB, as they lose 4 of their top 5 rushers from a season ago, including Flowers, who led the team. Elijah Mack is getting the edge for now, but carried the football just 3 times for 10 yards last season. Jordan Kronkite could see some time as well, and Trevon Sands returns as the most experienced back here from last season, as he carried the ball 26 times, but did not overwhelm anyone.
The new QB will have 2 returning starters at WR coming back, which is solid news. Darnell Salomon and Tyre McCants are both back. McCants was the better of the 2, as he posted 36-686-7, and averaged 19.06 yards per catch. Salomon posted 32-512-5, and averaged 16 yards per catch, so big play options remain in the passing game. Ryeshene Bronson projects as the 3rd starter, but Randall St. Felix could also still emerge with the job when the Bulls open the season against Elon on 9/1. DeAngelo Antoine will back up McCants in the SLOT, while Stanley Clerveaux backs up Salomon.
Mitchell Wilcox will return to start at TE, and caught 17 passes last fall as a sophomore. Frederick Lloyd, Jr., a RS freshman, has emerged as the possible backup.
The line returns 3 starters in LT Eric Mayes, RG William Atterbury, and RT Marcus Norman. Mayes was banged up in spring camp, and Atterbury worked at LT in his absence, but will slide back to RG if Mayes is healthy. RS freshman Demetrius Harris projects to start at LG, while sophomore Michael Wiggs is the leader at C. Christion Gainer and Jeremiah Stafford are the backups at Tackle, and Hal Roberson projects to back up at both OG spots. Jean Marcellus is the back up at C.
Breakdown Defense: Strong, a former DC, has to fill 3 starter roles on the defensive line as we head to fall camp. Only DE Greg Reaves returns to start. He led the team last fall with 14 TFLs, and added 4 sacks, and will have to be the leader up front. Kirk Livingstone projects as the starter at the open DE spot. Josh Black and Vincent Jackson are the backups. Reaves was recovering from injury all spring.
The Bulls have 2 new starters at DT, with Kevin Bronson and Kelvin Pinckney having the edge to start. Kevin Kegler and Mi'Cario Stanley, both sophomores, are the backups. The Bulls recruited well, and 4 incoming freshman hit campus in fall camp, and any of them could push for time.
Nico Sawtelle is the lone returning starter at LB for the Bulls. He totaled 54 tackles , and added 4.5 TFLs last season, and will anchor the MIKE spot. Khalid McGee could win the OLB spot in fall camp as a senior, as he totaled 38 tackles last season. Keirston Johnson backs up the MLB spot, while freshman Dwayne Boyles could push McGee.
The secondary returns 3 starters in the 4-2-5 set in CB Mazzi Wilkins, NB Ronnie Hoggins, and SS Jaymon Thomas. Wilkins totaled 9 PBUs and 3 INTs last season, while Hoggins totaled 9 PBUs and 2 picks from the Nickel spot. Thomas finished with 3 PBUs, one INT, and 44 tackles. Chris Barr, a senior, could start at the open CB spot, but sophomore Mike Hampton and freshman Nick Roberts could push him into a backup role once again. Craig Watts is the backup at NB, while Mekhi LaPointe is the backup to Thomas. Naytron Culpepper and Nate Ferguson are in a battle for the open Safety spot heading into fall camp.
Breakdown Special Teams: Losing Emilio Nadelman at PK will hurt, after he hit 21 FG tries last fall. Jake Vivonetto, a senior, will try to take over the job.
The Bulls will also turn to a freshman at Punter this fall in Trent Schneider after losing Jonathon Hernandez, who averaged over 43 yards per punt last fall.
McCants looks like he could inherit the KR job that is now open, while the PR job is wide open heading to camp.
Final Analysis: I cannot say to you that I expect the Bulls to get anywhere close to 10 wins again in 2018, especially with all the key losses and holes across the board. I can see them pushing for 8 wins this fall, as the schedule is more than forgiving for a team with so much work to do in camp. The Bulls could potentially start out 6-1 before they play the tougher part of their schedule, and a fast start would go a long way to getting them back into the chase in the AAC, especially as that kind of start builds confidence. I do not see the Bulls pushing UCF in the AAC East, but a very solid season could still be in store if all the new parts gel.
2018 College Football Team Previews: South Carolina Gamecocks
South Carolina Gamecocks 2018 Football Preview
Opening Statement: The Gamecocks largely rode a defensive wave into 9 wins last fall that culminated with a bowl win over Michigan. The offense, led by 20 game starter Jake Bentley, never did fully live up to expectations, and like most Will Muschamp teams, that was not much of a surprise. We find South Carolina in yet another season in 2018 where all spots below Georgia in the SEC East could be a free for all, and South Carolina has a real shot to make a major push in the division. Will the offense get off the ground, or will the defense carry the day yet again?
Breakdown Offense: Bentley is back, and despite some push in spring camp, there was never any doubt that he would return as a junior as the starting QB. He had some moments last fall, but for all the pre-season hype he got a year ago, he really did not live up to it as a sophomore. He passed for 2794 yards, but he tossed 18 TDs to 12 INTs, which is a ratio I am sure that his offensive coaching staff would love to widen the gap of. He completed 62.2% of his passes, and averaged 214 yards passing per game, but we all know he can do better. Michael Scarnecchia is back as a senior to back him up, while Jay Urich and Dakereon Joyner, a pair of freshmen, will fight it out for the 3rd spot.
The staff could not commit to a single back last fall, and the offense struggled largely for it, averaging just 122 yards rushing per game, ranking them 110th nationally in rushing yards per game. That is an area that must improve if the Gamecocks are to compete for an SEC East title at any point. Not one back in the rotation carried even 100 times last fall, so someone has to step up, but it does look like the committee approach is coming back this fall, with AJ Turner, Ty'Son Williams, and Rico Dowdle all returning. Mon Denson and Caleb Kinlaw also return. This group may be deep, but other than Turner, there is not a ton of explosiveness here.
Deebo Samuel looked like he would be the best receiver in the nation early last fall, but then he went down after 3 games, and he is still struggling to return from two separate leg injuries. If he can make it back and regain his explosive form from last season, it lifts the entire offense with him. Bryan Edwards took over that lead role after Samuel went down, and returns once again after posting 64 receptions for 793 yards and 5 scores, but he cannot spread the field like Samuel can. Shi Smith will also return to start, and caught 29 passes last fall. He averaged just 2.4 touches per game last season. Or'Tre Smith, Randrecous Davis, and Chavis Dawkins are the backups, and they combined for 39 receptions last season off the bench, with 30 of those catches coming from Smith. Chad Terrell was also expected to get some reps, but suffered an ACL injury in spring ball.
Hayden Hurst is gone at TE, and it may take a committee to replace him. KC Crosby left spring ball with the edge to start, but may see more time as H-Back. Jacob August, Kyle Markway, and Evan Hinson are more pure TE types, and will battle into the fall. Kiel Pollard could add some reps, but like Crosby, could see more time at H-Back.
The line will return 3 starters in Dennis Daley (LT), Zack Bailey (LG), and Donnell Stanley (C). The right side needs to be rebuilt. Sadarius Hutcherson could be in a battle at RG with Jordan Rhodes. Rhodes was recruited at RT, but played inside during spring camp. Blake Camper looks to have the edge at RT, but if Malik Young is healthy for fall camp, he could slide in to that spot as well. Eric Douglas, a RS freshman also finds himself in the mix. Maxwell Iyama fills in as a backup at LT, Chandler Farrell backs up at LG, and Hank Manos backs up at C. Iyama and Manos are both freshmen.
Breakdown Defense: The Gamecocks allowed just over 20 points per game last fall, and ranked 25th in scoring defense, and 44th in total defense.
One of the strengths of the defense may be up front on the line. DJ Wonnum will likely return as the BUCK end, and led the team with 13 TFLs last fall, and also led with 6 sacks. He can drop into pass coverage, or be disruptive at the point of attack, as he finished with 5 PBUs as well. He totaled 57 tackles. Brad Johnson, a sophomore, could push Wonnum to the other DE spot, but will, at the very least, see plenty of reps in rotation this fall. Aaron Starling is projected to start at DE, if Wonnum does not slide over. Shameik Blackshear, however, had a huge spring, and could push his way into the job and change plans altogether.
The Gamecocks are solid inside on the line, as both Javon Kinlaw and Keir Thomas return as starters. They combined for just 6.5 TFLs last fall, but they bring back experience, and they do the dirty work that Tackles normally handle. Kobe Smith could push Thomas in fall camp, and should see plenty of rotational work this fall. Kingsley Enagbare, a freshman, is someone that is creating a lot of buzz.
TJ Brunson returns to start at MLB, but 2 new starters must be found. Brunson totaled 83 tackles last fall, and added 4.5 TFLs. He should be the heart of the middle of the defense this season. Bryson Allen-Williams looks to have the edge at SLB, but Daniel Fennell could also work his way into the role as well. Both have plenty of experience and versatility. Sherrod Greene, a sophomore, figures in at the weak side. Eldridge Thompson also figures in there, but could also see time at SPUR, replacing Skai Moore. Rosendo Luis, a freshman, is slated to back up the MIKE spot.
The secondary has to replace 3 starters, as only Rashad Fenton returns to start at CB. Fenton totaled 8 PBUs in coverage last fall, but picked off just one pass. He totaled 48 tackles. Keisean Nixon appears to have an edge at the open CB spot. Korey Banks backs him up, but freshman Jaycee Horn arrives in fall camp, and will make a push. Israel Mukuamu, a true freshman, backs up Fenton, while projected backup Tavyn Jackson slipped on the chart due to having some injury issues in spring ball.
Both Safeties need to be replaced. Steven Montac (SS) has the edge to start, but he may be used more as a utility DB, with grad transfer JT Ibe coming over from Rice in fall camp. Freshman RJ Roderick will back up at SS either way.
Jamyest Williams projects to start at FS, but moves over from NB. He was not fully healthy from a shoulder injury in spring ball, so he could get pushed out by former WR Javon Charleston. Jaylin Dickerson could still figure in here, but also had injury issues during the spring session.
Breakdown Special Teams: The kicking game last season was, in a word, abysmal, last season. Parker White returns at PK, but was just 4/12 on FG attempts of 40 yards or more last season, and was just 14/25 overall. A solid push here would be good.
Joseph Charlton was a rock at Punter last fall, and averaged 43.45 yards per punt. He will be relied upon, especially if the offense struggles yet again.
If Samuel is healthy, there is no more electrifying return man in the college game than him. Kicking the ball in his direction is a fool's errand.He could return punts as well. If he is not healthy, these spots become much more pedestrian.
Final Analysis: South Carolina ranked just 108th in total offense per game last fall, and that is simply not going to get it done again. If the Gamecocks want to approach, or even eclipse their 9 win total of 2017, the offense has to get it done, and the TD to turnover ratio from Bentley has got to improve. Deebo Samuel will have a huge impact on whether the offense sails or not. They averaged 33 points per game with him in full action, and the number plummets without him. It should not all fall to one player, however, and someone else has to step up to take the load off, especially in the run game, which was putrid last fall. Improvements also must be found on special teams, with a focus on FGs, where the Gamecocks left an astounding 39 points on the field due to missed kicks last season.
Opening Statement: The Gamecocks largely rode a defensive wave into 9 wins last fall that culminated with a bowl win over Michigan. The offense, led by 20 game starter Jake Bentley, never did fully live up to expectations, and like most Will Muschamp teams, that was not much of a surprise. We find South Carolina in yet another season in 2018 where all spots below Georgia in the SEC East could be a free for all, and South Carolina has a real shot to make a major push in the division. Will the offense get off the ground, or will the defense carry the day yet again?
Breakdown Offense: Bentley is back, and despite some push in spring camp, there was never any doubt that he would return as a junior as the starting QB. He had some moments last fall, but for all the pre-season hype he got a year ago, he really did not live up to it as a sophomore. He passed for 2794 yards, but he tossed 18 TDs to 12 INTs, which is a ratio I am sure that his offensive coaching staff would love to widen the gap of. He completed 62.2% of his passes, and averaged 214 yards passing per game, but we all know he can do better. Michael Scarnecchia is back as a senior to back him up, while Jay Urich and Dakereon Joyner, a pair of freshmen, will fight it out for the 3rd spot.
The staff could not commit to a single back last fall, and the offense struggled largely for it, averaging just 122 yards rushing per game, ranking them 110th nationally in rushing yards per game. That is an area that must improve if the Gamecocks are to compete for an SEC East title at any point. Not one back in the rotation carried even 100 times last fall, so someone has to step up, but it does look like the committee approach is coming back this fall, with AJ Turner, Ty'Son Williams, and Rico Dowdle all returning. Mon Denson and Caleb Kinlaw also return. This group may be deep, but other than Turner, there is not a ton of explosiveness here.
Deebo Samuel looked like he would be the best receiver in the nation early last fall, but then he went down after 3 games, and he is still struggling to return from two separate leg injuries. If he can make it back and regain his explosive form from last season, it lifts the entire offense with him. Bryan Edwards took over that lead role after Samuel went down, and returns once again after posting 64 receptions for 793 yards and 5 scores, but he cannot spread the field like Samuel can. Shi Smith will also return to start, and caught 29 passes last fall. He averaged just 2.4 touches per game last season. Or'Tre Smith, Randrecous Davis, and Chavis Dawkins are the backups, and they combined for 39 receptions last season off the bench, with 30 of those catches coming from Smith. Chad Terrell was also expected to get some reps, but suffered an ACL injury in spring ball.
Hayden Hurst is gone at TE, and it may take a committee to replace him. KC Crosby left spring ball with the edge to start, but may see more time as H-Back. Jacob August, Kyle Markway, and Evan Hinson are more pure TE types, and will battle into the fall. Kiel Pollard could add some reps, but like Crosby, could see more time at H-Back.
The line will return 3 starters in Dennis Daley (LT), Zack Bailey (LG), and Donnell Stanley (C). The right side needs to be rebuilt. Sadarius Hutcherson could be in a battle at RG with Jordan Rhodes. Rhodes was recruited at RT, but played inside during spring camp. Blake Camper looks to have the edge at RT, but if Malik Young is healthy for fall camp, he could slide in to that spot as well. Eric Douglas, a RS freshman also finds himself in the mix. Maxwell Iyama fills in as a backup at LT, Chandler Farrell backs up at LG, and Hank Manos backs up at C. Iyama and Manos are both freshmen.
Breakdown Defense: The Gamecocks allowed just over 20 points per game last fall, and ranked 25th in scoring defense, and 44th in total defense.
One of the strengths of the defense may be up front on the line. DJ Wonnum will likely return as the BUCK end, and led the team with 13 TFLs last fall, and also led with 6 sacks. He can drop into pass coverage, or be disruptive at the point of attack, as he finished with 5 PBUs as well. He totaled 57 tackles. Brad Johnson, a sophomore, could push Wonnum to the other DE spot, but will, at the very least, see plenty of reps in rotation this fall. Aaron Starling is projected to start at DE, if Wonnum does not slide over. Shameik Blackshear, however, had a huge spring, and could push his way into the job and change plans altogether.
The Gamecocks are solid inside on the line, as both Javon Kinlaw and Keir Thomas return as starters. They combined for just 6.5 TFLs last fall, but they bring back experience, and they do the dirty work that Tackles normally handle. Kobe Smith could push Thomas in fall camp, and should see plenty of rotational work this fall. Kingsley Enagbare, a freshman, is someone that is creating a lot of buzz.
TJ Brunson returns to start at MLB, but 2 new starters must be found. Brunson totaled 83 tackles last fall, and added 4.5 TFLs. He should be the heart of the middle of the defense this season. Bryson Allen-Williams looks to have the edge at SLB, but Daniel Fennell could also work his way into the role as well. Both have plenty of experience and versatility. Sherrod Greene, a sophomore, figures in at the weak side. Eldridge Thompson also figures in there, but could also see time at SPUR, replacing Skai Moore. Rosendo Luis, a freshman, is slated to back up the MIKE spot.
The secondary has to replace 3 starters, as only Rashad Fenton returns to start at CB. Fenton totaled 8 PBUs in coverage last fall, but picked off just one pass. He totaled 48 tackles. Keisean Nixon appears to have an edge at the open CB spot. Korey Banks backs him up, but freshman Jaycee Horn arrives in fall camp, and will make a push. Israel Mukuamu, a true freshman, backs up Fenton, while projected backup Tavyn Jackson slipped on the chart due to having some injury issues in spring ball.
Both Safeties need to be replaced. Steven Montac (SS) has the edge to start, but he may be used more as a utility DB, with grad transfer JT Ibe coming over from Rice in fall camp. Freshman RJ Roderick will back up at SS either way.
Jamyest Williams projects to start at FS, but moves over from NB. He was not fully healthy from a shoulder injury in spring ball, so he could get pushed out by former WR Javon Charleston. Jaylin Dickerson could still figure in here, but also had injury issues during the spring session.
Breakdown Special Teams: The kicking game last season was, in a word, abysmal, last season. Parker White returns at PK, but was just 4/12 on FG attempts of 40 yards or more last season, and was just 14/25 overall. A solid push here would be good.
Joseph Charlton was a rock at Punter last fall, and averaged 43.45 yards per punt. He will be relied upon, especially if the offense struggles yet again.
If Samuel is healthy, there is no more electrifying return man in the college game than him. Kicking the ball in his direction is a fool's errand.He could return punts as well. If he is not healthy, these spots become much more pedestrian.
Final Analysis: South Carolina ranked just 108th in total offense per game last fall, and that is simply not going to get it done again. If the Gamecocks want to approach, or even eclipse their 9 win total of 2017, the offense has to get it done, and the TD to turnover ratio from Bentley has got to improve. Deebo Samuel will have a huge impact on whether the offense sails or not. They averaged 33 points per game with him in full action, and the number plummets without him. It should not all fall to one player, however, and someone else has to step up to take the load off, especially in the run game, which was putrid last fall. Improvements also must be found on special teams, with a focus on FGs, where the Gamecocks left an astounding 39 points on the field due to missed kicks last season.
Monday, July 2, 2018
NHL Free Agency Report: Top 20 UFAs, and Where They Have Gone
Here is an update on all of the top free agents in the NHL:
1. C John Tavares, New York Islanders
Tavares took the amazingly fortunate news of the Islanders landing Barry Trotz as head coach and trashed it, as he bolted for his hometown Toronto Maple Leafs on a 7 year, $77 million deal. The Islanders went from elation, and an expectation of Tavares coming back, to wondering what may be next.
2. LW James Van Riemsdyk, Toronto
Tavares in, and Van Riemsdyk out. He bails for a 5 year deal worth $35 million with the Flyers, meaning that Wayne Simmonds is on his way out in Philly, as Simmonds is coming off his worst season since 2011/12. Toronto can absorb his loss now better than the Islanders can without Tavares.
3. C Paul Stasny, Winnipeg
Stasny decided that if he could not beat them, he would join them, and heads to Vegas on a 3 year deal worth $19.5 million. It helps Vegas absorb the loss of James Neal, to be discussed later in this post. Stasny is a huge get for the shocking Western Conference champs.
4. C Joe Thornton, San Jose
He is 39, and his best days are behind him. Still, he may be one of the best Centers in the league, even now. He gets a team friendly one year deal to stay in San Jose, and will get $5 million for his trouble.
5. James Neal, Vegas
Neal was largely one of the heart and soul players behind the shocking Vegas run, but that was not enough, as he follows David Perron out the door, and signs a 5 year deal with Calgary. It's a big loss for the Golden Knights, and a huge gain for the Flames.
6. LW Rick Nash, Boston
One of the best two way players in the league, his best days are behind him, but he can still really help someone by scoring somewhere around 20 goals. He remains unsigned, and may yet retire.
7. D Mike Green, Detroit
Finished with a -20 in 2017/18, and is far from his peak. Still, he was one of the best defensemen in a not great market for defense. He is solid on the power play still, and can fire it from the blue line. He remains unsigned.
8. LW David Perron, Vegas
He was spectacular during the regular season, as he was good for 66 points in 70 games. He was absentee in the postseason, especially in the Stanley Cup Finals. He returns to St. Louis on a 4 year, $16 million deal. Which guy shows up?
9. LW Thomas Vanek, Florida
Vanek is the guy who gets moved at the trade deadline, but should give the Red Wings a solid presence on the left side that is worth a no trade clause on a one year deal worth $3 million.
10. C Tyler Bozak, Boston
Bozak has never been very good without Phil Kessel playing on his line. He has, however, racked up some good numbers while playing with Kessel, and it was enough to convince St. Louis to bring him in with David Perron on 3 year deal worth $15 million. The Blues are desperate to get back to the playoffs.
11. D Calvin De Haan, Islanders
He played in just 33 games this past season, but is still solid on potential...enough to earn this ranking. The Islanders would like to get him back on a short, team friendly deal, but he remains unsigned.
12. G Carter Hutton, St. Louis
He was the best goalie in the league when it came to GAA average for those who played over 20 games. St. Louis was not ready to break the bank based on that, and now he has left for Buffalo, who hopes that his short season work can translate to a longer season and bigger work load.
13. Robin Lehner, Buffalo
With Hutton likely being his replacement in Buffalo, he needs a new home, and remains unsigned after a terrible team left him out to dry in 2017/18. He still has a decent history, and has to be better than what he displayed last season.
14. LW Patrick Maroon, New Jersey
The Devils acquired him from Edmonton last season, and he appears to be slowing down some, but he is still a big guy that can produce offensively, and there is a market for that. He had 27 goals 2 years ago for the Oilers.
15. D Ian Cole, Pittsburgh
One of the more fearless shot blockers in the business. He does not have a ton of shiny on him, but he does the dirty work that helps teams win. Colorado valued that, and signed him to a 3 year deal worth $12.75 million.
16. RW Michael Grabner, NY Rangers
He has tremendous speed, which will help young play makers in Arizona appreciate him as he can really spread the ice out. He no longer fit into the plans of the rebuilding Rangers, so the Coyotes get a fast veteran for $10.05 million over 3 years.
17. C Riley Nash, Boston
Nash picked up 41 points in a career year for the Bruins. He has always been considered a second tier player, and Columbus is cool with that, as they sign him to a 2 year deal with team friendly financial terms ($5.2 million). Remember, the Blue Jackets had tremendous issues early last season with health within the forward ranks. Call this insurance.
18. G Jonathon Burnier, Colorado
He is basically a platoon Goalie, but he gives solid effort across the board, and does not kill you with poor play in net. It's a thin goalie market, so Detroit was forced to shell out more than they would have liked at 3 years and $9 million.
19. D John Moore, New Jersey
He was a second line defender for the Devils last season, but he gets marked up because it is a thin crop of defensemen this summer. He will likely settle in as a 3rd liner, and should work like a charm there, but will get overpaid in that role. Boston gave him $13.75 million over 5 seasons.
20. C Derek Ryan, Carolina
He scored 15 goals last season for the Hurricanes, and that will earn him some cash as a 2nd or 3rd line Center who is maybe just coming into his own. The late bloomer was able to parlay his work into a deal with Calgary for 3 years at $9.375 million.
1. C John Tavares, New York Islanders
Tavares took the amazingly fortunate news of the Islanders landing Barry Trotz as head coach and trashed it, as he bolted for his hometown Toronto Maple Leafs on a 7 year, $77 million deal. The Islanders went from elation, and an expectation of Tavares coming back, to wondering what may be next.
2. LW James Van Riemsdyk, Toronto
Tavares in, and Van Riemsdyk out. He bails for a 5 year deal worth $35 million with the Flyers, meaning that Wayne Simmonds is on his way out in Philly, as Simmonds is coming off his worst season since 2011/12. Toronto can absorb his loss now better than the Islanders can without Tavares.
3. C Paul Stasny, Winnipeg
Stasny decided that if he could not beat them, he would join them, and heads to Vegas on a 3 year deal worth $19.5 million. It helps Vegas absorb the loss of James Neal, to be discussed later in this post. Stasny is a huge get for the shocking Western Conference champs.
4. C Joe Thornton, San Jose
He is 39, and his best days are behind him. Still, he may be one of the best Centers in the league, even now. He gets a team friendly one year deal to stay in San Jose, and will get $5 million for his trouble.
5. James Neal, Vegas
Neal was largely one of the heart and soul players behind the shocking Vegas run, but that was not enough, as he follows David Perron out the door, and signs a 5 year deal with Calgary. It's a big loss for the Golden Knights, and a huge gain for the Flames.
6. LW Rick Nash, Boston
One of the best two way players in the league, his best days are behind him, but he can still really help someone by scoring somewhere around 20 goals. He remains unsigned, and may yet retire.
7. D Mike Green, Detroit
Finished with a -20 in 2017/18, and is far from his peak. Still, he was one of the best defensemen in a not great market for defense. He is solid on the power play still, and can fire it from the blue line. He remains unsigned.
8. LW David Perron, Vegas
He was spectacular during the regular season, as he was good for 66 points in 70 games. He was absentee in the postseason, especially in the Stanley Cup Finals. He returns to St. Louis on a 4 year, $16 million deal. Which guy shows up?
9. LW Thomas Vanek, Florida
Vanek is the guy who gets moved at the trade deadline, but should give the Red Wings a solid presence on the left side that is worth a no trade clause on a one year deal worth $3 million.
10. C Tyler Bozak, Boston
Bozak has never been very good without Phil Kessel playing on his line. He has, however, racked up some good numbers while playing with Kessel, and it was enough to convince St. Louis to bring him in with David Perron on 3 year deal worth $15 million. The Blues are desperate to get back to the playoffs.
11. D Calvin De Haan, Islanders
He played in just 33 games this past season, but is still solid on potential...enough to earn this ranking. The Islanders would like to get him back on a short, team friendly deal, but he remains unsigned.
12. G Carter Hutton, St. Louis
He was the best goalie in the league when it came to GAA average for those who played over 20 games. St. Louis was not ready to break the bank based on that, and now he has left for Buffalo, who hopes that his short season work can translate to a longer season and bigger work load.
13. Robin Lehner, Buffalo
With Hutton likely being his replacement in Buffalo, he needs a new home, and remains unsigned after a terrible team left him out to dry in 2017/18. He still has a decent history, and has to be better than what he displayed last season.
14. LW Patrick Maroon, New Jersey
The Devils acquired him from Edmonton last season, and he appears to be slowing down some, but he is still a big guy that can produce offensively, and there is a market for that. He had 27 goals 2 years ago for the Oilers.
15. D Ian Cole, Pittsburgh
One of the more fearless shot blockers in the business. He does not have a ton of shiny on him, but he does the dirty work that helps teams win. Colorado valued that, and signed him to a 3 year deal worth $12.75 million.
16. RW Michael Grabner, NY Rangers
He has tremendous speed, which will help young play makers in Arizona appreciate him as he can really spread the ice out. He no longer fit into the plans of the rebuilding Rangers, so the Coyotes get a fast veteran for $10.05 million over 3 years.
17. C Riley Nash, Boston
Nash picked up 41 points in a career year for the Bruins. He has always been considered a second tier player, and Columbus is cool with that, as they sign him to a 2 year deal with team friendly financial terms ($5.2 million). Remember, the Blue Jackets had tremendous issues early last season with health within the forward ranks. Call this insurance.
18. G Jonathon Burnier, Colorado
He is basically a platoon Goalie, but he gives solid effort across the board, and does not kill you with poor play in net. It's a thin goalie market, so Detroit was forced to shell out more than they would have liked at 3 years and $9 million.
19. D John Moore, New Jersey
He was a second line defender for the Devils last season, but he gets marked up because it is a thin crop of defensemen this summer. He will likely settle in as a 3rd liner, and should work like a charm there, but will get overpaid in that role. Boston gave him $13.75 million over 5 seasons.
20. C Derek Ryan, Carolina
He scored 15 goals last season for the Hurricanes, and that will earn him some cash as a 2nd or 3rd line Center who is maybe just coming into his own. The late bloomer was able to parlay his work into a deal with Calgary for 3 years at $9.375 million.
NHL Free Agency Report: Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo made a huge mark in signing Goalie Carter Hutton, who led the NHL in GAA for players who started at least 20 games last season. He gets a 3 year deal with an annual value of $2.75 million per season. He is with his 4th franchise, but is likely valued as a number one goalie right out the gate by the Sabres.
Scott Wilson was resigned for 2 years after scoring 14 points on 85 shots on goal last season. He was acquired via trade last December from Pittsburgh.
The Sabres also signed Scott Wedgewood to a one year deal.
Buffalo has 4 Group 2 FAs left, with none signed. They have lost Chad Johnson from the Group 3s, but still have 7 unsigned. Seth Griffith was lost from the Group 6s, but 2 remain unsigned. Victor Antipin was lost from the UFA group, as he returned to Russia. Wilson was re-signed as a UFA.
Scott Wilson was resigned for 2 years after scoring 14 points on 85 shots on goal last season. He was acquired via trade last December from Pittsburgh.
The Sabres also signed Scott Wedgewood to a one year deal.
Buffalo has 4 Group 2 FAs left, with none signed. They have lost Chad Johnson from the Group 3s, but still have 7 unsigned. Seth Griffith was lost from the Group 6s, but 2 remain unsigned. Victor Antipin was lost from the UFA group, as he returned to Russia. Wilson was re-signed as a UFA.
NHL Free Agency Report: Boston Bruins
The Bruins signed 7 players in free agency thus far, with 4 of those deals being NHL contracts. The NHL deals include G Jaraslov Harak (2 years, $2.75 million cap), D John Moore (2 years, $2.75 million cap), F Joakim Nordstrom (2 years, $1 million cap), and F Chris Wagner (2 years, $1.75 million cap). D Cody Goloubef, and F Mark McNeill, were both signed on two way deals, with both of them likely headed to Providence.
Axel Andersson was signed to an entry level deal.
Halak started 49 games with Buffalo last season, and finished with a 20-26-6 record on the season in goal. Moore finished with 18 points in New Jersey last season, and 22 points the season before, with a career high 12 goals. He has also played in Arizona, with the Rangers, and with Columbus. Nordstrom played in 156 games over the last two seasons with Carolina. Wagner split time with Anaheim and the Islanders last season and finished with 253 hits, good for 3rd in the league.
The Bruins have lost 5 Group 2 FAs, while 5 remain unsigned. They lost both of their group 6 FAs, and have 3 Group 2 FAs unsigned. Justin Hickman is an unsigned UFA.
Axel Andersson was signed to an entry level deal.
Halak started 49 games with Buffalo last season, and finished with a 20-26-6 record on the season in goal. Moore finished with 18 points in New Jersey last season, and 22 points the season before, with a career high 12 goals. He has also played in Arizona, with the Rangers, and with Columbus. Nordstrom played in 156 games over the last two seasons with Carolina. Wagner split time with Anaheim and the Islanders last season and finished with 253 hits, good for 3rd in the league.
The Bruins have lost 5 Group 2 FAs, while 5 remain unsigned. They lost both of their group 6 FAs, and have 3 Group 2 FAs unsigned. Justin Hickman is an unsigned UFA.
NHL Free Agency Report: Arizona Coyotes
The Coyotes are in the midst of an off-season rebuild, and continued the process by signing Forward Michael Grabner on a 3 year deal. The speed merchant finished the season by finishing with 36 points on 27 goals and 9 assists. His speed game should open up the ice somewhat for play makers already on the ice. He played for New Jersey and the Rangers last season, and will be 30 years old on opening night.
The Rangers traded him to New Jersey in February 22nd, and he scored just 2 points in the playoffs for the Devils. Financials were not disclosed on the deal.
The Coyotes still have 5 Group 2 FAs, and and 4 Group 3 FAs. They have already lost Joel Hanley (Dallas), and Zac Rinaldo (Nashville) from the Group 3 FA class, and have Freddie Hamilton and Sean Maguire out there as UFAs.
The Rangers traded him to New Jersey in February 22nd, and he scored just 2 points in the playoffs for the Devils. Financials were not disclosed on the deal.
The Coyotes still have 5 Group 2 FAs, and and 4 Group 3 FAs. They have already lost Joel Hanley (Dallas), and Zac Rinaldo (Nashville) from the Group 3 FA class, and have Freddie Hamilton and Sean Maguire out there as UFAs.
NBA Free Agency Report: Deals Are Plentiful In Early Hours, Especially For Tier 2 Players
Here are the rest of the early signings of this free agency period in the NBA:
Celtics Re-Sign Aron Baynes
The Celtics re-signed one of their 2 priority FAs in the Center on a 2 year deal worth $11 million. The second season is a player option on the deal. Marcus Smart is still unsigned, and the Celtics have approximately $11 million on the books under the luxury tax to get a deal done, but that could be tight, considering the market for Smart at this point.
Spurs Re-Sign Gay, Green, Sign Belinelli
The Spurs will stay over the cap after signing Rudy Gay to a Non-Bird deal for one season at $10 million. He had some interest outside of the franchise after opting out of his deal at $9 million, but worked out a deal to build further value with San Antonio for next summer, when more teams will have expendable cap space.
Danny Green signed his deal to return as well, and the Spurs managed to bring in Marco Belinelli, bringing him back home to San Antonio, where he played from 2013-15 before playing with the Sixers in 2016/17.
With this group of signings, the Spurs ensure that they have not only stayed over the cap, but that they are also not in a rebuilding mode at this time.
Mavs Finally Get Their Man, Sign DeAndre Jordan
The Mavericks have been trying, for some extended period of time, to sign DeAndre Jordan away from the Clippers, and they finally got their man yesterday, as they signed him to a one year $24.1 million deal.
He is a force inside, and gives the Mavs a big that they can pair with Luca Doncic, the rookie acquired on draft night.
The Mavs did select not to pick up the option on Dirk Nowitzki, but that does not mean that they plan not to sign him to a deal outside of the Bird rule. Jordan, at this point, is an upgrade over the aging Nowitzki, as he gives them a more physical presence in the paint.
Brooklyn Signs 2 In First Hour
The Nets brought back their top reserve, Guard Joe Harris for 2 years and $16 million, while they also reunited backup Center Ed Davis with Jeremy Lin. Harris gives the Nets scoring off the bench, and has improved each year in his stay with the Nets, while Davis adds some depthoff the bench in the paint, and averaged 6.5 rebounds per game as a reserve in Portland last season. Davis and Lin both played with the Lakers in the past, and have worked well together. Both signings came within the first 45 minutes of free agency, and Harris had drawn interest from both Indiana and Golden State.
Thunder Adds Depth, Brings Back Grant, Signs Noel
Oklahoma City re-signed Forward Jerami Grant to keep some depth, and then added more front court depth by signing reclamation project Nerlens Noel from the Mavs for an undisclosed amount of cash. Noel's deal will be a 2 year deal with a player option for the second year, while Grant signed for 3 years and $27 million.
Indiana Adds Much Needed Wing Depth In McDermott
The Pacers had been hot on the trail of both Denver's Will Barton and Brooklyn's Joe Harris, but finally landed their guy after both targets re-signed with their teams in Doug McDermott, the journeyman from Dallas who will now be with his 5th team at age 26. McDermott gets a 3 year deal worth $22 million and gives the Pacers a wing that they lost when their own Glenn Robinson III left for a deal with Detroit after playing in just 23 games last season. McDermott shot a career high 49.4% from 3 point range last season in Dallas, and gives the Pacers a huge presence when clutch 3 pointers will be needed.
Wolves Bring Back Rose At Discounted Rate
Much injured, and highly over hyped PG Derrick Rose has agreed to return to Minnesota on a one year deal worth just $2.2 million for the 2018/19 season. While this signing does not signal a seismic shift in philosophy for Minnesota, it gives them some stability this season as the franchise continues to show improvement long term. It's a team friendly deal that does not keep them from trying to sign Karl Anthony Towns to a long term deal.
Memphis Adds Depth, Signs Casspi
This deal means little in the scheme of things, but it is a one year deal for the journeyman forward who started 7 games at Golden State last season, but was waived for the playoffs. He provides some end of the bench competition for the Grizzlies at worst, but could end up cut if he does not earn a roster spot in the playoffs. Terms, other than deal length, were not disclosed.
Gerald Green Returns to Houston On Minimum Deal
Gerald Green scored 12.1 points per game off the bench, and gave the Rockets a clutch presence when needed last season. With Trevor Ariza gone, getting him back in the fold was highly necessary as a bench presence. He gets a one year deal worth $2.4 million against the cap.
Blazers Sign Stauskas On Minimum Deal
Portland signed Nic Stauskas to a veteran minimum deal worth $1.6 million for one season. He essentially replaces Shabazz Napier, whose option was not picked up by the team over the weekend. He has averaged 7 points per game, and will be on his 4th team since 2014.
More info to come as the free agency frenzy continues!
Celtics Re-Sign Aron Baynes
The Celtics re-signed one of their 2 priority FAs in the Center on a 2 year deal worth $11 million. The second season is a player option on the deal. Marcus Smart is still unsigned, and the Celtics have approximately $11 million on the books under the luxury tax to get a deal done, but that could be tight, considering the market for Smart at this point.
Spurs Re-Sign Gay, Green, Sign Belinelli
The Spurs will stay over the cap after signing Rudy Gay to a Non-Bird deal for one season at $10 million. He had some interest outside of the franchise after opting out of his deal at $9 million, but worked out a deal to build further value with San Antonio for next summer, when more teams will have expendable cap space.
Danny Green signed his deal to return as well, and the Spurs managed to bring in Marco Belinelli, bringing him back home to San Antonio, where he played from 2013-15 before playing with the Sixers in 2016/17.
With this group of signings, the Spurs ensure that they have not only stayed over the cap, but that they are also not in a rebuilding mode at this time.
Mavs Finally Get Their Man, Sign DeAndre Jordan
The Mavericks have been trying, for some extended period of time, to sign DeAndre Jordan away from the Clippers, and they finally got their man yesterday, as they signed him to a one year $24.1 million deal.
He is a force inside, and gives the Mavs a big that they can pair with Luca Doncic, the rookie acquired on draft night.
The Mavs did select not to pick up the option on Dirk Nowitzki, but that does not mean that they plan not to sign him to a deal outside of the Bird rule. Jordan, at this point, is an upgrade over the aging Nowitzki, as he gives them a more physical presence in the paint.
Brooklyn Signs 2 In First Hour
The Nets brought back their top reserve, Guard Joe Harris for 2 years and $16 million, while they also reunited backup Center Ed Davis with Jeremy Lin. Harris gives the Nets scoring off the bench, and has improved each year in his stay with the Nets, while Davis adds some depthoff the bench in the paint, and averaged 6.5 rebounds per game as a reserve in Portland last season. Davis and Lin both played with the Lakers in the past, and have worked well together. Both signings came within the first 45 minutes of free agency, and Harris had drawn interest from both Indiana and Golden State.
Thunder Adds Depth, Brings Back Grant, Signs Noel
Oklahoma City re-signed Forward Jerami Grant to keep some depth, and then added more front court depth by signing reclamation project Nerlens Noel from the Mavs for an undisclosed amount of cash. Noel's deal will be a 2 year deal with a player option for the second year, while Grant signed for 3 years and $27 million.
Indiana Adds Much Needed Wing Depth In McDermott
The Pacers had been hot on the trail of both Denver's Will Barton and Brooklyn's Joe Harris, but finally landed their guy after both targets re-signed with their teams in Doug McDermott, the journeyman from Dallas who will now be with his 5th team at age 26. McDermott gets a 3 year deal worth $22 million and gives the Pacers a wing that they lost when their own Glenn Robinson III left for a deal with Detroit after playing in just 23 games last season. McDermott shot a career high 49.4% from 3 point range last season in Dallas, and gives the Pacers a huge presence when clutch 3 pointers will be needed.
Wolves Bring Back Rose At Discounted Rate
Much injured, and highly over hyped PG Derrick Rose has agreed to return to Minnesota on a one year deal worth just $2.2 million for the 2018/19 season. While this signing does not signal a seismic shift in philosophy for Minnesota, it gives them some stability this season as the franchise continues to show improvement long term. It's a team friendly deal that does not keep them from trying to sign Karl Anthony Towns to a long term deal.
Memphis Adds Depth, Signs Casspi
This deal means little in the scheme of things, but it is a one year deal for the journeyman forward who started 7 games at Golden State last season, but was waived for the playoffs. He provides some end of the bench competition for the Grizzlies at worst, but could end up cut if he does not earn a roster spot in the playoffs. Terms, other than deal length, were not disclosed.
Gerald Green Returns to Houston On Minimum Deal
Gerald Green scored 12.1 points per game off the bench, and gave the Rockets a clutch presence when needed last season. With Trevor Ariza gone, getting him back in the fold was highly necessary as a bench presence. He gets a one year deal worth $2.4 million against the cap.
Blazers Sign Stauskas On Minimum Deal
Portland signed Nic Stauskas to a veteran minimum deal worth $1.6 million for one season. He essentially replaces Shabazz Napier, whose option was not picked up by the team over the weekend. He has averaged 7 points per game, and will be on his 4th team since 2014.
More info to come as the free agency frenzy continues!
NBA Free Agency Report: Denver Inks Will Barton For 4 Years
Will Barton, the longest current tenured Nugget, has re-signed with Denver for 4 years total for $54 million. One of the best 6th men in the league, Barton saw career highs statistically for Denver last season, and is a valued member of the foundation of a building project that is starting to pay some dividends.
Barton has 3 years guaranteed on this new deal, with a player option for year 4, and the cap hit is in the range of $12.5 million, which is consistent with the top 6th men in the same stat region as Barton throughout the league. This deal becomes easier to deal with as league cap figures increase throughout the deal.
It would be best to keep Barton coming off the bench, where he scored 15.7 points per game from last season, but there is a shot that he becomes a 5th starter, which would devalue the bench overall. If Denver can go out and grab an affordable 5th starter, and keep Barton as the 6th man, this deal looks better, and the Nuggets have variable lineup options that strengthen the overall product.
Stay tuned...
Barton has 3 years guaranteed on this new deal, with a player option for year 4, and the cap hit is in the range of $12.5 million, which is consistent with the top 6th men in the same stat region as Barton throughout the league. This deal becomes easier to deal with as league cap figures increase throughout the deal.
It would be best to keep Barton coming off the bench, where he scored 15.7 points per game from last season, but there is a shot that he becomes a 5th starter, which would devalue the bench overall. If Denver can go out and grab an affordable 5th starter, and keep Barton as the 6th man, this deal looks better, and the Nuggets have variable lineup options that strengthen the overall product.
Stay tuned...
NBA Free Agency Report: Raptors Take Care of Their Own, Re-Sign VanFleet
Fred VanFleet saw his only real other option sawed off when Phoenix signed Trevor Ariza, but yet the Raptors still payed more cash than was projected to retain VanFleet, even as he held zero leverage, by inking him to a 2 year deal worth $18 million.
One of the best 6th men in the NBA last season, the Raptors values resigning VanFleet to try to find a way to overcome past failures and sail into the NBA finals. VanFleet was a key part of the structure that got the Raptors into the number one seed in the East last season, and now will get a chance at redemption.
Toronto fell well short as a one seed last fall, and are trying to figure out what to do with their under performing roster, and are even thought to be considering trading star Guard Kyle Lowery. The Raptors are still a Guard-centric team, and need to find some help up front, and need to find somebody capable of defending, especially in clutch situations, and dealing Lowery may be the only path to that goal.
More to come...
One of the best 6th men in the NBA last season, the Raptors values resigning VanFleet to try to find a way to overcome past failures and sail into the NBA finals. VanFleet was a key part of the structure that got the Raptors into the number one seed in the East last season, and now will get a chance at redemption.
Toronto fell well short as a one seed last fall, and are trying to figure out what to do with their under performing roster, and are even thought to be considering trading star Guard Kyle Lowery. The Raptors are still a Guard-centric team, and need to find some help up front, and need to find somebody capable of defending, especially in clutch situations, and dealing Lowery may be the only path to that goal.
More to come...
NBA Free Agency Report: Knicks Make Quiet, Non Splashy Moves
New York has been awful for as long as anyone can remember. What they have done this week, however, is stay consistent, and draw from confident moves that speak of a slow building process, rather than a throw money at everything that moves philosophy. In that vein, the Knicks announced that Enes Kanter will opt in to his player option, and they signed Mario Hezonja, who has languished in anonymity in Orlando since being drafted in the same class as Knicks star Kritaps Porzingas. With Porzingas to miss most of the upcoming season, the Knicks get two solid veterans, and don't have to kill their budget to do so. Hezonja will provide some depth, and signed to specifically play for head coach David Fizdale, one of the more solid hires of the coaching carousel in the NBA this season. He gets a one year deal worth $6.5 million. Again, low risk, high reward.
More to come as the free agency frenzy continues.
More to come as the free agency frenzy continues.
NBA Free Agency Report: Pistons Sign Glenn Robinson III To Smart One and One Deal
Detroit nailed a huge need on the wing, as they signed Glenn Robinson III to a one and one deal worth $8 million. He gets one season guaranteed with a team option for the 2019/20 season. He was limited to just 23 games after a promising 2016/17 season with an ankle injury.
The Pistons are banking on a solid return from injury, and they push Stanley Johnson, who has trended in the wrong direction. If Robinson does not bounce back, they still have Johnson, and they cut the deal at one season.
This is a high reward, low risk deal for Detroit, but do not expect much more movement for the Pistons, as they are trying to avoid the league luxury tax, even with an increased salary cap for the 2018/19 season.
If Robinson returns to the form that made the Pacers excited during the 2016/17 season, this could be a move that, at the very least, pushes the Pistons to a lower playoff seed in the East, and does so at little overall cost.
The Pistons are banking on a solid return from injury, and they push Stanley Johnson, who has trended in the wrong direction. If Robinson does not bounce back, they still have Johnson, and they cut the deal at one season.
This is a high reward, low risk deal for Detroit, but do not expect much more movement for the Pistons, as they are trying to avoid the league luxury tax, even with an increased salary cap for the 2018/19 season.
If Robinson returns to the form that made the Pacers excited during the 2016/17 season, this could be a move that, at the very least, pushes the Pistons to a lower playoff seed in the East, and does so at little overall cost.
NBA Free Agency Report: Pelicans Make a Move, But Not One Anyone Was Waiting For
The Pelicans took an insurance bid on signing Elfrid Payton, a PG, who spent most of his career with Orlando before being dealt to Phoenix at the trading deadline. Payton has never fully deveopled as a starting PG in the NBA, as his 3 point percentage is well under 30% for his career, and has a career average of just 6.4 assists per game.
Payton became a priority signing, as the Pelicans are still trying to come to terms with Rajon Rondo, who is currently a free agent. New Orleans is also trying to resign DeMarcus Cousins, who will be meeting with the team today, as well as meeting with the Lakers afterwards.
There is still a priority on signing both Rondo and Cousins at this time, and the Pelicans are also looking to speak with Tyreke Evans at some point in the next 48 hours. If the Pelicans are to make a play in the Western Conference, and stay on an upward arc, signing Cousins is paramount. Signing Rondo, not so much.
Stay tuned as we move forward in the next week with more NBA news in New Orleans.
Payton became a priority signing, as the Pelicans are still trying to come to terms with Rajon Rondo, who is currently a free agent. New Orleans is also trying to resign DeMarcus Cousins, who will be meeting with the team today, as well as meeting with the Lakers afterwards.
There is still a priority on signing both Rondo and Cousins at this time, and the Pelicans are also looking to speak with Tyreke Evans at some point in the next 48 hours. If the Pelicans are to make a play in the Western Conference, and stay on an upward arc, signing Cousins is paramount. Signing Rondo, not so much.
Stay tuned as we move forward in the next week with more NBA news in New Orleans.
NBA Free Agency Report: Trevor Ariza Deal In Phoenix Is Much Adieu About Nothing
Trevor Ariza signed a one year deal in Phoenix worth $15 million, and the Suns wasted all of their internal cap space on a player that simply is a part to be used for one year with a young, developing roster that now includes top draft pick DeAndre Ayton and young players like Josh Jackson and Devin Booker.
Ariza was simply a 3rd option when it came to getting a deal done by Houston, and he fell sharply behind Clint Capela in terms of priority. Capela is a restricted free agent, and the Rockets can match any offer made.
Ariza has never been what one would call a front line star in the league. A nice piece for defensive purposes, maybe, but he is not the kind of veteran player that can change the fortunes of any franchise, especially one engulfed in losing and young player development as the Suns. He wanted to be payed like a front line star, and he simply is not worth that, and the Suns made, in my opinion, a foolish move by spending as much as they did on a single part that really does not elevate the overall franchise at this phase.
At the same time, they are, smartly, trying to work out a long term deal with Booker, which is a much smarter use of their overall time. Who could argue that bringing in a veteran to work with the young players is a bad idea, but spending $15 million on one such player was a fools errand.
Ariza was simply a 3rd option when it came to getting a deal done by Houston, and he fell sharply behind Clint Capela in terms of priority. Capela is a restricted free agent, and the Rockets can match any offer made.
Ariza has never been what one would call a front line star in the league. A nice piece for defensive purposes, maybe, but he is not the kind of veteran player that can change the fortunes of any franchise, especially one engulfed in losing and young player development as the Suns. He wanted to be payed like a front line star, and he simply is not worth that, and the Suns made, in my opinion, a foolish move by spending as much as they did on a single part that really does not elevate the overall franchise at this phase.
At the same time, they are, smartly, trying to work out a long term deal with Booker, which is a much smarter use of their overall time. Who could argue that bringing in a veteran to work with the young players is a bad idea, but spending $15 million on one such player was a fools errand.
NBA Free Agency Report: Chris Paul Signs In Houston, Paul George In Oklahoma City
For one thing, you can check my tweets @BiloRatedSports. I have stated for months that Paul George would not be leaving OKC after they acquired him in a deal with Indiana last year. He was overwhelmed by the welcome he received by the fan base there, and Russell Westbrook has been recruiting him to resign ever since he landed there. Any talk of him bolting for his hometown Lakers was absurd, as he has been telegraphing his intent to stay with the Thunder for months. That very thing happened yesterday, as George resigned with OKC, basically ensuring that the Thunder would, at the very least, maintain their standing as a top 3 team in the Western Conference moving forward. George jilted LeBron James and his recruiting efforts, and never met with Lakers President Magic Johnson in a move that was sure to draw the ire of the Lakers faithful who somehow believe, that even in their current state of dumpster fire kingdom, that every single free agent of magnitude would bow before Magic at some point. In short, I will finally tell you all, with all certainty, that those days are long gone and dead. Magic has no real power in the current NBA hierarchy, and has not had any for a good many years. Rob Pelinka is not a draw, nor is it a draw when Kobe Bryant picks up the phone. Kobe could hardly draw interest when he was a player, as stars were repulsed from wanting to be his teammate. Why would they answer to him now?
Paul George found a home. He is largely loved in OKC, has found success in OKC, and wants to play in OKC for as long as he can. The franchise is on an upward swing, and nobody could blame him for doing what he told us all for months that he would do, if many had only listened. In OKC, George can be a star in his own right, and will be on equal footing with Westbrook and Carmelo Anthony. In LA, he is LeBron's trusty sidekick, and that's it.
Paul was also on the recruiting list with LeBron, and again, had already had his time in LA with the Clippers. He has found his home in Houston, and the Rockets rewarded him with a 4 year deal worth $160 million, more base cash than LeBron got by signing in LA. His signing means that Houston, short of a couple of moves at this point to simply bolster depth, will remain a top 3 player in the Western Conference. Paul has his injury history, to be certain, and that did not change when he was lost in the playoffs, but it bolsters the Rockets when he is on the court, and is enough to keep them in a position to push Golden State when he is healthy.
With these two major signings, stability reigned in a market that was highly thought of to be fraught with change. Looks like ESPN swung and missed on those projections once again, because for a majority of the biggest stars in this market, the more things changed, the more they stayed the same.
Paul George found a home. He is largely loved in OKC, has found success in OKC, and wants to play in OKC for as long as he can. The franchise is on an upward swing, and nobody could blame him for doing what he told us all for months that he would do, if many had only listened. In OKC, George can be a star in his own right, and will be on equal footing with Westbrook and Carmelo Anthony. In LA, he is LeBron's trusty sidekick, and that's it.
Paul was also on the recruiting list with LeBron, and again, had already had his time in LA with the Clippers. He has found his home in Houston, and the Rockets rewarded him with a 4 year deal worth $160 million, more base cash than LeBron got by signing in LA. His signing means that Houston, short of a couple of moves at this point to simply bolster depth, will remain a top 3 player in the Western Conference. Paul has his injury history, to be certain, and that did not change when he was lost in the playoffs, but it bolsters the Rockets when he is on the court, and is enough to keep them in a position to push Golden State when he is healthy.
With these two major signings, stability reigned in a market that was highly thought of to be fraught with change. Looks like ESPN swung and missed on those projections once again, because for a majority of the biggest stars in this market, the more things changed, the more they stayed the same.
NBA Free Agency Report: LeBron Lakers Deal Does Not Make Them Contenders Alone
Lebron James joined the Lakers on a 4 year $154 million deal yesterday, wrapping up a deal that most of us have known would come for months. While the Lakers get the best current single player in the game right now, that move, alone, will not do anything for their status for the 2018/19 season. Other targets of James, including Houston PG Chris Paul, and OKC forward Paul George, declined the lure of Los Angeles, and ended up returning to their respective teams with new deals in place. A trade with San Antonio for Kawhi Leonard has not materialized, and may not at any point in time before he becomes a free agent in this time next year.
San Antonio has absolutely no motivation to deal Leonard to Los Angeles, which would make the Lakers stronger long term, while making the Spurs weaker in the West short term. I say that in all relativity to what Leonard means to the Spurs, which is, as is, absolutely nothing, as he did not play any respectable amount of time in 2017/18, and does not want to be there.
As of this writing, the only pieces that the Lakers have been able to lure along with James have been JaVale McGee and Lance Stephenson. That is not going to move the needle anywhere with a Laker franchise that has been mired in losing for a longer period than anytime in my lifespan. Even if the Lakers can grab DeMarcus Cousins from New Orleans, which is no guarantee at this point, the Lakers are still marginably better than they were a year ago, and their roster is now more muddled with ill fitting pieces than ever, with the albatross of paying LeBron James $154 million to not go to the finals. The only internal deal made by the front office, as of this writing, was to resign Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, again, a move that does not move the Lakers any closer to beating not only Golden State, but does not make them any better than Houston, Oklahoma City, Utah, or New Orleans, especially if the Pelicans can talk Cousins into resigning there.
With the majority of the impact making free agents already signed, it looks as if LeBron cornered himself into a deal, while falsely believing that he can wave his conductors wand and talk anyone he likes into joining him in LA. He had conversations with Kevin Durant about getting him to opt out at Golden State to join him in LA, but why on Earth would he do that? You don't leave the mansion on the hill to reside in the neighborhood dumpster, which is exactly what the Lakers have been.
In closing, the Lakers largely took a big swing and picked up a base hit, when they needed a grand slam. Their focus on signing LeBron, while believing that he would lure a gold cart worth of talent with him, was a massive miscalculation, and it may have just cost them $154 million to merely be a lower seed in the playoffs, if they are fortunate.
San Antonio has absolutely no motivation to deal Leonard to Los Angeles, which would make the Lakers stronger long term, while making the Spurs weaker in the West short term. I say that in all relativity to what Leonard means to the Spurs, which is, as is, absolutely nothing, as he did not play any respectable amount of time in 2017/18, and does not want to be there.
As of this writing, the only pieces that the Lakers have been able to lure along with James have been JaVale McGee and Lance Stephenson. That is not going to move the needle anywhere with a Laker franchise that has been mired in losing for a longer period than anytime in my lifespan. Even if the Lakers can grab DeMarcus Cousins from New Orleans, which is no guarantee at this point, the Lakers are still marginably better than they were a year ago, and their roster is now more muddled with ill fitting pieces than ever, with the albatross of paying LeBron James $154 million to not go to the finals. The only internal deal made by the front office, as of this writing, was to resign Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, again, a move that does not move the Lakers any closer to beating not only Golden State, but does not make them any better than Houston, Oklahoma City, Utah, or New Orleans, especially if the Pelicans can talk Cousins into resigning there.
With the majority of the impact making free agents already signed, it looks as if LeBron cornered himself into a deal, while falsely believing that he can wave his conductors wand and talk anyone he likes into joining him in LA. He had conversations with Kevin Durant about getting him to opt out at Golden State to join him in LA, but why on Earth would he do that? You don't leave the mansion on the hill to reside in the neighborhood dumpster, which is exactly what the Lakers have been.
In closing, the Lakers largely took a big swing and picked up a base hit, when they needed a grand slam. Their focus on signing LeBron, while believing that he would lure a gold cart worth of talent with him, was a massive miscalculation, and it may have just cost them $154 million to merely be a lower seed in the playoffs, if they are fortunate.
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