Butch Jones, Tennessee
Jones is already out according to several sources, it's just a matter of when at this point. If the Vols lose to Southern Miss, he is likely to be gone next week. If he wins out, he will be allowed to finish the season, but maybe not, as another report has surfaced over forcing a player to play with a concussion in last week's loss. If that is to be the case, Jones would be owed no buyout, and negotiations over the buyout would cease immediately. Either way, he is gone.
David Beaty, Kansas
He has gotten a lot of protection from the media since coming on, and of course, he found the program in dire straights when hired. The bad news is that he was never a good hire to begin with, and nothing has improved under his watch, as Kansas is forced to endure blow out loss after blow out loss. Beaty is likely gone, but don't be shocked if he gets one more year. I still think that he is gone sooner than later.
Scottie Montgomery, East Carolina
When the alumni have bailed the ship on yo, you are a short timer in every way. I do not see East Carolina admitting their mistake in this hire after this season, but you never know. I don't see things getting any better, and people I have spoken with are not happy at all over this situation.
Larry Fedora, North Carolina
I've made no secret over my lack of fandom for Fedora, but my attitude towards his career is spreading. UNC is just 1-8, and he has missed several opportunities to make a mark in the ACC before this season. Again, there is sufficient grumbling going on, but I can see him getting one more season to make it right before the administration moves on him.
Jimbo Fisher, Florida State
The Seminoles have devolved into a sloppy mess, and Jimbo is even getting into it with fans in the stands who are deservedly unhappy with the mess that this team has turned into in 2017. One QB injury should not dissolve a team with this much talent, so something else is at play. Several assistants have already been announced as not returning in 2018.
Bobby Petrino, Louisville
It may not be as bad as what is happening at Florida State, but Louisville has fallen off of the map in a big and bold way this season, and Lamar Jackson, who may be the most talented College QB in years overall, is not even a discussion point right now. Add to the fact that the man that hired him, Tom Jurich, has been fired, and you have a recipe for total change coming.
Kliff Kingsbury, Texas Tech
After what was an encouraging start to the season, the Red Raiders have fallen completely off of the grid, and are now 1-4 in Big 12 play. Short of bowling for the Red Raiders, I do not see Kingsbury being retained, and I still think he has to win out to keep his job.
Mike Riley, Nebraska
Make no mistake here, Riley is already gone. New AD Bill Moos is openly shopping for replacements, as he was openly gushing about UCF coach Scott Frost. Riley was a mistake hire in the first place, and that mistake is about to be rectified.
Lovie Smith, Illinois
Smith has done nothing to turn around the moribund Illini during his tenure, and seems to be completely disinterested in doing what needs to be done here. Again, he was hired because of his name, not his ability, and he has shown a complete lack of ability on the job. The quicker he is booted, the better.
David Bailiff, Rice
He should have been gone after last season, when it appeared the trigger would be pulled according to statements by the AD in the closing weeks of last season. There would be no excuse this time, as Rice is once again plummeting to the bottom of CUSA in 2017 at 1-8.
Kilani Sitake, BYU
2-7 records do not work out at a place like BYU, and it doesn't take long for a fan base like this to turn. I believe that he gets one more season to turn the mess around, but no more. BYU will also remain handcuffed by their refusal to hire anyone from outside the Morman faith as a head coach.
Lance Leipold, Buffalo
After what was a decent swing earlier in the season that showed some promise, Buffalo has fallen back to a 3-6 record, and that is unsettling for the former D3 coach of the year. Leipold has struggled to get Buffalo afloat in a very weak division in the MAC, and that may be his undoing.
Paul Haynes, Kent State
I see absolutely no way that Haynes survives to fight another season with the Golden Flashes. He missed several weeks due to some medical issues this season, and he has failed to build on what Darrell Hazell set up as a foundation. Kent State is a train wreck.
Matt Wells, Utah State
Once a red hot prospect looking for major jobs, he may not be able to keep the one he has now, and rumors started swirling that Gary Anderson could be up for a return this week. Keep an eye on this one, as a bad month of November could spell certain doom.
Bob Davie, New Mexico
Even though his scandal from earlier this season has quieted down, Bob Davie is still on the burner front and center. There has been little in the way of noise over this job, but Davie could be gone as soon as the end of this season.
Jim Mora, UCLA
If Mora fails to win another game, and UCLA finishes 4-8 once again, or even 5-7, there is no legitimate reason for the Bruins to keep him...other than the fact that Dan Guerrero is a horrible football AD who will have no business firing yet another coach (4th) to hire yet another (5th). This bears watching.
Derek Mason, Vanderbilt
Mason has no lost five straight games this season, and the Commodores are sinking fast. Recruiting is tanking, and there is no sign that anything is going to get any better. It looks like my prediction of 4 wins for 2017 could be close to the mark.
Kevin Sumlin, Texas A&M
It looks like the best you can expect is a 7-5 finish for the Aggies this season, and that would not be enough to keep Sumlin based on what expectations are for the Aggie program. That said, one has to wonder who they will attract to replace him in a year of a shallow candidate pool. That said, it is difficult to see Sumlin lasting at A&M, but I would fully expect him to land on his feet in weeks after his termination.
Bret Bielema, Arkansas
Bielema has done virtually nothing to warrant having his job at Arkansas since he has been there, but for some reason, Jeff Long protects him, and I believe it to be more out of ego than actually thinking it can work. Long does not want to admit that he has, again, made a terrible coaching hire at Arkansas, and is trying to mitigate the damage, but it is not working. Arkansas has been irrelevant in the SEC for years, and it will not change unless they go all in on a top flight coach.
Matt Luke, Ole Miss
It's hardly fair to place Luke on this list, but by all indications and things that I have been told, he will not be the permanent coach at Ole Miss after his interim term ends at the end of this season. The Rebels are a mess right now, and Luke has been a part of a staff tht has clearly been shady since day one. The Rebels will go clean break, and start over.
Everett Withers, Texas State
Withers has not been able to get the motor running at a program that clearly made a mistake by ever leaving the ranks of FCS football. Right now it is a 50/50 shot as to whether or not he gets another year, and I am leaning towards him getting that extra year, but looking at James Madison, where he came from, competing for national FCS titles since he left, Withers is probably wondering why he ever left.
SEATS ARE WARM, and GETTING WARMER
Todd Graham, Arizona State
Brad Lambert, Charlotte
Gus Malzahn, Auburn (AD Jacobs announced he is leaving)
Barry Odom, Missouri
Jim Harbaugh, Michigan
Randy Edsell, U Conn
Paul Johnson, Georgia Tech
Mike Jinks, Bowling Green
Chuck Martin, Miami (Ohio)
Tony Sanchez, UNLV
Joey Jones, South Alabama
Mark Hudspeth, UL-Lafayette
Doug Martin, New Mexico State
ALREADY GONE
Jim McElwain, Florida
McElwain and the Florida administration came to a mutual parting of the ways. Florida will likely try to target UCF head coach Scott Frost, Matt Campbell of Iowa State, and Dan Mullen of Mississippi State, but don't count out a sniff at Penn State OC Joe Moorhead, as the Gators want to jump start their offense in a big way.
Whomever they go after, they need to make a commitment to improving facilities in a big way, as they currently have some of the worst in the SEC.
Tyson Summers, Georgia Southern
When Willie Fritz left for Tulane, the Eagles made a move from within and promoted Summers. Summers was clearly not ready for the move up, and failed miserably. One candidate that the Eagles should consider right out the gate is James Madison coach Mike Houston, who has already won one title at FCS James Madison, and is currently in a great spot to win another. Houston also elevated annual doormat The Citadel, and has experience coaching a style of offense that would work well with GSU current personnel.
Gary Anderson, Oregon State
Anderson was never clearly a good fit at OSU, but it gets worse when you find out that he was trashing his own staff and players to a Portland reporter via text message while still employed. That will make him a tough fit anywhere else, but rumors persist that if Utah State thinks they can get him back, they would move on Matt Wells' firing. The best current candidate for the Beavers would be Cal OC Beau Baldwin, who ran a massively successful program at Eastern Washington, and took the Cal OC job to get him more exposure for an FCS job.
Sean Kugler, UTEP
Kugler just never could get the Miners playing well outside of one year when current Green Bay Packers RB Aaron Jones was his back. After Jones left, the Miners went right back to being terrible, and Kugler quit mid-season. Mike Price has come on as the interim coach, but he is no permanent answer. The answer here may come from the FCS ranks with Central Arkansas head coach Steve Campbell. Campbell has the UCA Bears playing top 10 football in the Southland Conference, and has won national titles as a head coach at Delta State and Mississippi Gulf Coast College. Another possible answer could be Sam Houston State coach KC Keeler, who is long overdue for a shot at an FBS job.
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