| Schools | Points |
| Notre Dame | 66 |
| UCLA | 66 |
| Ole Miss | 63 |
| Utah | 62 |
| Texas A&M | 61 |
| LSU | 58 |
| Georgia | 56 |
| Northwestern | 55 |
| Michigan State | 54 |
| Florida | 54 |
| TCU | 52 |
| California | 52 |
| Ohio State | 51 |
| Iowa | 51 |
| Memphis | 48 |
| Toledo | 48 |
| Oklahoma State | 48 |
| NC State | 47 |
| Oklahoma | 44 |
| Florida State | 42 |
| Indiana | 41 |
| Baylor | 39 |
| West Virginia | 39 |
| Clemson | 37 |
| Temple | 36 |
| Miami | 36 |
| Alabama | 36 |
| Houston | 36 |
| Kentucky | 34 |
| Duke | 34 |
| Stanford | 33 |
| Michigan | 32 |
| Navy | 31 |
| Kansas State | 30 |
| USC | 30 |
| Wisconsin | 28 |
| Boise State | 28 |
| Texas Tech | 26 |
| Mississippi State | 26 |
| Syracuse | 24 |
| Western Kentucky | 24 |
| Arizona | 22 |
| North Carolina | 20 |
| Minnesota | 20 |
| Boston College | 18 |
| Penn State | 18 |
| Ohio | 15 |
| Illinois | 15 |
| Colorado State | 15 |
| Missouri | 13 |
| Marshall | 13 |
| Georgia Southern | 13 |
| Colorado | 12 |
| Air Force | 11 |
| Tulsa | 10 |
| Appalachian State | 9 |
| BYU | 3 |
| Pittsburgh | 1 |
| Georgia Tech | 0 |
| Bowling Green | 0 |
| Middle Tennessee | -1 |
| South Carolina | -2 |
| Tennessee | -3 |
| Hawaii | -3 |
| Auburn | -3 |
| Washington State | -4 |
| Oregon | -5 |
| Virginia Tech | -6 |
| Ball State | -6 |
| Rutgers | -6 |
| Northern Illinois | -7 |
| Nevada | -7 |
| Akron | -8 |
| Washington | -10 |
| Rice | -11 |
| Arizona State | -11 |
| Oregon State | -11 |
| Southern Mississippi | -12 |
| Nebraska | -12 |
| Wake Forest | -13 |
| FIU | -15 |
| Louisiana Tech | -15 |
| U Conn | -16 |
| East Carolina | -16 |
| Buffalo | -17 |
| UL-Monroe | -17 |
| New Mexico | -17 |
| San Jose State | -18 |
| USF | -20 |
| Cincinnati | -21 |
| UTEP | -21 |
| South Alabama | -22 |
| Maryland | -22 |
| Utah State | -22 |
| Georgia State | -23 |
| Old Dominion | -24 |
| Tulane | -25 |
| Texas | -27 |
| Troy | -27 |
| Iowa State | -29 |
| UL-Lafayette | -30 |
| Charlotte | -31 |
| Louisville | -32 |
| Vanderbilt | -33 |
| Arkansas | -33 |
| Virginia | -34 |
| Central Michigan | -36 |
| Western Michigan | -37 |
| UNLV | -38 |
| Arkansas State | -41 |
| Fresno State | -42 |
| SMU | -43 |
| San Diego State | -45 |
| Kent State | -46 |
| Texas State | -50 |
| U Mass | -51 |
| Eastern Michigan | -52 |
| Purdue | -52 |
| Idaho | -53 |
| Army | -53 |
| Miami (Ohio) | -58 |
| New Mexico State | -59 |
| North Texas | -61 |
| UTSA | -68 |
| Kansas | -69 |
| FAU | -79 |
| UCF | -83 |
| Wyoming | -89 |
Wednesday, September 30, 2015
Quality Win Index: Edition 1
After last season, I announced that I would be launching a new ranking system, which would interact with our current PRS Rankings for FBS Football. I am launching our QWI (Quality Wins Index) tonight. What this system does is grade teams wins and losses in a formulaic system. This system grades out quality of not only wins, but also quality of losses, to give you a true look at what a teams strength of schedule actually looks like at the time that these games are played, month to month. There are point values for wins against both Power Five, and Group of Five schools, and a minimal reward for playing against FCS schools. There are point totals that value wins over ranked opponents at the time of game played over games against non-ranked opponents. Moving forward, these rankings will be posted at the end of each month. These rankings do not interfere with our current PRS ranking, but lined up side by side, will show the true quality of every team by the end of the season. Enjoy the new Quality Wins Index, and of course feel free to comment here or on Twitter where I can be reached by tweeting @BiloFootball.
Week 5 Picks Against the Spread
We enter week five having made progress, as I managed to make up 8 games in my deficit for the season. I am now 90-91-5 on the season. Here are my week 5 picks ATS:
| Line | Pick |
| Miami -6.5 Cincinnati | Miami |
| Memphis -9 USF | Memphis |
| Temple -23.5 Charlotte | Temple |
| BYU -17.5 U Conn | BYU |
| Georgia Tech -7.5 North Carolina | UNC |
| Penn State -24.5 Army | PSU |
| Bowling Green -9 Buffalo | BGSU |
| Toledo -6.5 Ball State | Toledo |
| Appaalchian State -24.5 Wyoming | App State |
| Ohio -2.5 Akron | Ohio |
| Kent State -10.5 Miami (Ohio) | Kent |
| Iowa state -15.5 Kansas | ISU |
| Michigan State -22 Purdue | MSU |
| U Mass -3 FIU | FIU |
| Northwestern -3.5 Minnesota | NW |
| NC State -4.5 Louisville | NC State |
| Oklahoma -7 West Virginia | OU |
| Wisconsin -7 Iowa | Iowa |
| Virginia Tech -5.5 Pittsburgh | Va. Tech |
| Texas A&M -6 Mississippi State | Aggies |
| UCF -3 Tulane | Tulane |
| Western Kentucky -7.5 Rice | WKU |
| Oklahoma State -8 Kansas State | K State |
| Houston -7 Tulsa | Houston |
| UCLA -13.5 Arizona State | UCLA |
| Stanford -14 Arizona | Arizona |
| TCU -15 Texas | TCU |
| Navy -5.5 Air Force | Navy |
| Georgia -2 Alabama | Alabama |
| Ole Miss -7 Florida | Rebels |
| Duke -6.5 Boston College | Duke |
| Nebraska -6.5 Illinois | Huskers |
| Ohio State -21 Indiana | Buckeyes |
| Northern Illinois -3 Central Michigan | NIU |
| Baylor -17 Texas Tech | Tech |
| Boise State -24.5 Hawaii | UH |
| Oregon -8 Colorado | Ducks |
| California -18.5 Washington State | Cal |
| Auburn -20.5 San Jose State | Auburn |
| Arkansas State -20 Idaho | Ark State |
| Louisiana Tech -18 UL-Lafayette | La. Tech |
| Vanderbilt PK M. Tennessee | MTSU |
| Missouri -1.5 South Carolina | SC |
| LSU -44.5 Eastern Michigan | LSU |
| Marshall -18.5 Old Dominion | ODU |
| Tennessee -6.5 Arkansas | Vols |
| East Carolina -5 SMU | ECU |
| Southern Miss -16 North Texas | USM |
| Troy -5.5 South Alabama | Troy |
| Georgia Southern -6 UL-Monroe | GSU |
| Florida State -19.5 Wake Forest | FSU |
| Michigan -15 Maryland | Michigan |
| Utah State -4.5 Colorado State | CSU |
| UTSA -3 UTEP | UTSA |
| Notre Dame PK Clemson | ND |
| New Mexico -12.5 New Mexico State | UNM |
| Nevada -6.5 UNLV | Nevada |
| San Diego State -8.5 Fresno State | SDSU |
Games of the Week and Picks (FBS and FCS)
Games of the Week:
Week 5
Here are all of our Games of the Week for Week 5, plus our
entire straight up picks for the week in FBS and FCS football:
Ohio State at
Indiana
There is no doubt that Ohio State should win this game
this week, but they have hardly been playing their best football. Indiana has
been barely scraping by, but are they good enough to upset the Buckeyes? Are
they seriously a solid 4-0 football team?Pick: Ohio State W
Ole Miss at
Florida
Florida has improved in every aspect of the game, and
kept Tennessee under their thumb last weekend. Ole Miss received a huge upset
scare at the hands of Vanderbilt. Both are ranked, and the Rebels are heading
to the swamp to solidify their place at the top of the SEC heap. Something
tells me the Gators will want to have a say in that.Pick: Ole Miss L
Notre Dame at
Clemson
The Irish have not traveled to Death Valley since 1979,
and Joe Montana was the QB then. Clemson is trying to get young QB DeShawn
Watson running in the right direction, while we still await DeShone Kizer’s
first trip away from South Bend. This should be one of the better matchups of
the week.Pick: Notre Dame L
Alabama at Georgia
The Bulldogs have had an easy run of things lately in the
SEC East. They have not been challenged by a fairly week schedule this season,
but the Tide is rolling in as a team on the ropes, and when Nick Saban is on
the ropes, that is usually not a good thing. Pick: Alabama W
Mississippi State
at Texas A&M
Both squads are trying to stay in the race in the SEC
West, but they both look like teams that are kind of just holding on. MSU only
has Dak Prescott and a solid defense, while Texas A&M will try that
defense, and will use their defense as a serious weapon.Pick: Texas A&M W
West Virginia at
Oklahoma
The Mountaineers have been a surprising team after a 3-0
start, but the schedule has not been against a killer lineup. Oklahoma finally
looks like a team that can take off with QB Baker Mayfield. Both teams will let
loose on offense, so expect a huge amount of fireworks to take place.Pick: Oklahoma W
Iowa at Wisconsin
The Badgers have been skidding by through a 3-1 mark, but
Iowa is coming to town on a very nice streak. Wisconsin could finally be
exposed, as many are wondering why Wisconsin is ranked ahead of Iowa at this
point. This could be Kirk Ferentz’s best team in a decade at Iowa.Pick: Iowa W
Northern Iowa at Illinois State
Neither team has an FCS loss this season, so we are looking at a top tier Missouri Valley game early in the season. The winner establishes themselves as a major playoff contender, the loser is on the ropes.
Pick: Illinois State W
North Dakota at
Portland State
Both teams are off to surprising starts with wins over
FBS teams, and are playing at the top of their games now. The winner gets an
edge in Big Sky play, and the loser risks sliding into a funk. This is a must
win for both sides. Pick: Portland State L
North Dakota State
at South Dakota State
This is the game of the week in any division. SDSU is a
usurper, coming up to steal the crown that NDSU has owned for a good long time.
NDSU is wounded a bit, looking to keep their crown despite some bleeding. At
the end of it, expect a war to be fought.Pick: South Dakota State L
| FBS | Picks |
| Thursday | |
| Miami at Cincinnati | Miami L |
| Friday | |
| Memphis at USF | Memphis W |
| Temple at Charlotte | Temple W |
| BYU at U Conn | BYU W |
| Saturday | |
| Purdue at Michigan State | Michigan St. W |
| Texas at TCU | TCU W |
| Texas Tech at Baylor | Baylor W |
| Arizona State at UCLA | UCLA L |
| Eastern Michigan at LSU | LSU W |
| Florida State at Wake Forest | Florida State W |
| Minnesota at Northwestern | NW W |
| Arizona at Stanford | Stanford W |
| Kansas State at Oklahoma State | Oklahoma St W |
| Michigan at Maryland | Michigan W |
| Washington State at California | California W |
| Kansas at Iowa State | Iowa State W |
| Houston at Tulsa | Tulsa L |
| Army at Penn State | Penn State W |
| Missouri at South Carolina | S. Carolina L |
| Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech L |
| UCF at Tulane | Tulane W |
| Louisville at NC State | NC State L |
| Ohio at Akron | Ohio W |
| Toledo at Ball State | Toledo W |
| Northern Illinois at Central Michigan | NIU L |
| FIU at U Mass | U Mass W |
| Boston College at Duke | Duke W |
| Liberty at Georgia State | Liberty W |
| Wyoming at Appalachian State | App State W |
| Old Dominion at Marshall | Marshall W |
| North Carolina at Georgia Tech | Ga. Tech L |
| Miami (Ohio) at Kent State | Kent State W |
| Air Force at Navy | Navy W |
| Bowling Green at Buffalo | BGSU W |
| Western Kentucky at Rice | WKU W |
| Nebraska at Illinois | Nebraska L |
| San Jose State at Auburn | Auburn W |
| East Carolina at SMU | East Carolina W |
| South Alabama at Troy | Troy L |
| North Texas at Southern Miss | S. Miss W |
| Arkansas at Tennessee | Tennessee L |
| UNLV at Nevada | Nevada L |
| Vanderbilt at M. Tennessee | MTSU L |
| Georgia Southern at UL-Monroe | GSU W |
| UL-Lafayette at Louisiana Tech | La. Tech W |
| Colorado State at Utah State | Colorado State L |
| Idaho at Arkansas State | Arkansas St. W |
| E. Kentucky at Kentucky | Kentucky W |
| UTSA at UTEP | UTSA W |
| New Mexico at New Mexico State | UNM W |
| Oregon at Colorado | Oregon |
| Hawaii at Boise State | Boise State |
| Fresno State at San Diego State | SDSU |
| FCS | |
| Thursday | |
| Lamar at SE Louisiana | Lamar L |
| Alabama State at Texas Southern | ASU W |
| Friday | |
| Colgate at Cornell | Colgate W |
| Columbia at Princeton | Princeton W |
| Georgetown at Harvard | Harvard W |
| Southern Utah at Weber State | S. Utah W |
| Saturday | |
| Stony Brook at James Madison | JMU W |
| Duquesne at C. Conn. State | Duquesne W |
| Robert Morris at Wagner | RMU W |
| Yale at Lehigh | Yale W |
| Valporaiso at Davidson | Valpo W |
| Dayton at Stetson | Dayton W |
| Norfolk State at Howard | Norfolk State W |
| Albany at Holy Cross | Albany L |
| Bryant at Monmouth | Bryant L |
| Jacksonville at Morehead State | Jacksonville W |
| St. Francis at E. Tennessee State | SFU W |
| Bucknell at VMI | Bucknell W |
| Morgan State at Delaware State | Delaware St L |
| North Carolina A&T at Hampton | Hampton L |
| Miss. Valley State at Jacksonville State | JSU W |
| Faith (FL) at Prairie View | Prairie View W |
| Indiana State at Missouri State | Indiana St W |
| Northwestern State at Incarnate Word | IWU W |
| Youngstown State at South Dakota | YSU W |
| Dartmouth at Penn | Dartmouth W |
| Presbyterian at Western Carolina | WCU W |
| McNeese State at Nicholls State | McNeese St W |
| Elon at New Hampshire | UNH W |
| Maine at Richmond | Richmond W |
| Montana at UC-Davis | Montana W |
| Sam Houston State at Stephen F Austin | SHSU W |
| Marist at San Diego | San Diego W |
| Southern Illinois at Western Illinois | WIU W |
| Bethune-Cookman at NC Central | BC W |
| Alcorn State at UA-Pine Bluff | Alcorn State W |
| Eastern Illinois at Austin Peay | EIU W |
| Alabama A&M at Coastal Carolina | CCU W |
| Rhode Island at Brown | Brown W |
| Fordham at Lafayette | Fordham W |
| Wofford at Mercer | Wofford W |
| Drake at Campbell | Campbell W |
| South Carolina State at Furman | SC State L |
| Florida A&M at Savannah State | FAM L |
| UT-Martin at Tennessee Tech | Tech L |
| Murray State at SE Missouri State | Murray State L |
| Grambling at Jackson State | Grambling W |
| Abilene Christian at Central Arkansas | ACU L |
| Montana State at Northern Arizona | MSU L |
| William & Mary at Delaware | WM L |
| Faith (Arkansas) at Houston Baptist | HBU W |
| Northern Colorado at Sacramento State | Sac State L |
| Idaho State at Cal Poly | Cal Poly W |
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